Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.803488+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 43.82 | 9.05 | 10.75 | 0.25 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.17 | 30.45 | 9.14 | 10.66 | 0.34 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 25.05 | 30.36 | 8.63 | 10.01 | 0.99 |
| 4 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 10-0 | 1 | 24.19 | 19.8 | 5.93 | 7.86 | 2.14 |
| 5 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 11-0 | 1 | 24.1 | 19.27 | 5.64 | 8.78 | 2.22 |
| 6 | Baylor | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.35 | 36.2 | 10.34 | 9.17 | -0.17 |
| 7 | Missouri | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.19 | 20.45 | 11.11 | 9.32 | 0.68 |
| 8 | Auburn | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.02 | 17 | 10.89 | 8.75 | 1.25 |
| 9 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.97 | 22.36 | 9.58 | 9.51 | 0.49 |
| 10 | Clemson | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.74 | 22.09 | 8.3 | 9.37 | 0.63 |
| 11 | UCF | American Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.55 | 15.6 | 9.96 | 7.95 | 1.05 |
| 12 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.5 | 18.27 | 7.83 | 9.83 | 0.17 |
| 13 | Louisville | American Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.41 | 24.09 | 6.19 | 10.31 | -0.31 |
| 14 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.37 | 16.73 | 13.48 | 8.47 | 0.53 |
| 15 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.31 | 14.45 | 13.72 | 8.73 | 0.27 |
| 16 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.12 | 27.36 | 9.22 | 9.71 | -0.71 |
| 17 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.11 | 23.45 | 10.39 | 10.09 | -1.09 |
| 18 | South Carolina | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.74 | 14.09 | 10.42 | 8.55 | 0.45 |
| 19 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.69 | 10.64 | 11.36 | 7.97 | 1.03 |
| 20 | Duke | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.36 | 11.45 | 9.04 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 21 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.18 | 19.45 | 5.7 | 8.99 | 0.01 |
| 22 | Ball State | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.12 | 12.91 | 6.97 | 7.96 | 1.04 |
| 23 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.67 | 15.73 | 3.6 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 24 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.55 | 11.7 | 6.65 | 7.06 | 0.94 |
| 25 | USC | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.13 | 9.58 | 12.15 | 8.58 | 0.42 |
| 26 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.05 | 14.45 | 12.11 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 27 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.95 | 11.64 | 12.52 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 28 | LSU | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.92 | 15.27 | 11.65 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 29 | Miami | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.41 | 9.91 | 10.27 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 30 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.41 | 5.18 | 13.46 | 6.82 | 1.18 |
| 31 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.31 | 9.82 | 9.61 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 32 | Marshall | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.17 | 22.18 | 4.8 | 9.31 | -1.31 |
| 33 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.15 | 21 | 4.94 | 9.84 | -1.84 |
| 34 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.13 | 5.45 | 10.56 | 6.85 | 1.15 |
| 35 | Rice | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.02 | 8.09 | 8.61 | 7.34 | 0.66 |
| 36 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.94 | 10.82 | 6.7 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 37 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.6 | 6.3 | 11.44 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 38 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.97 | 15.55 | 12.39 | 8.42 | -1.42 |
| 39 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.82 | 10.45 | 12.77 | 7.93 | -0.93 |
| 40 | Georgia | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.73 | 8.91 | 13.77 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 41 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.7 | 15.82 | 10.27 | 8.7 | -1.7 |
| 42 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.7 | 11.91 | 11.17 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 43 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.64 | 7.36 | 13.37 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 44 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.6 | 8 | 12.58 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 45 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.58 | 13.82 | 9.47 | 8.18 | -1.18 |
| 46 | North Texas | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.56 | 11.73 | 10.21 | 8.35 | -1.35 |
| 47 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.54 | 12.18 | 10.58 | 8.17 | -1.17 |
| 48 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.54 | 5.64 | 14.45 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 49 | Utah State | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.49 | 16.18 | 8.62 | 9.06 | -2.06 |
| 50 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.35 | 7.45 | 11.74 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 51 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.2 | 7.18 | 10.52 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 52 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.12 | 5 | 11.43 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 53 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.91 | 6.73 | 8.93 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 54 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.83 | 4.73 | 10.08 | 6.61 | 0.39 |
| 55 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.64 | 6.55 | 7.06 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 56 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.52 | 3.55 | 9.07 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 57 | Tulane | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.5 | 4.64 | 7.81 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 58 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.1 | 2.09 | 8.36 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 59 | Boston College | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.04 | 0.91 | 10.79 | 5.71 | 1.29 |
| 60 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.45 | 8.73 | 11.55 | 7.38 | -1.38 |
| 61 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.28 | 7.91 | 11.62 | 7.24 | -1.24 |
| 62 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.61 | 2.09 | 12.22 | 6 | 0 |
| 63 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.49 | 2.73 | 9.53 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 64 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.37 | -2.18 | 8.6 | 5.03 | 1.97 |
| 65 | Maryland | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.47 | 0.18 | 8.53 | 5.55 | 0.45 |
| 66 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.35 | -0.36 | 12.03 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 67 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.28 | 3.5 | 7.4 | 6.78 | -0.78 |
| 68 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.23 | -0.64 | 12.49 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 69 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.88 | -1.09 | 9.1 | 5.23 | 0.77 |
| 70 | UTSA | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.59 | -2.64 | 12.36 | 4.85 | 1.15 |
| 71 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.32 | 3.18 | 11.42 | 6.31 | -1.31 |
| 72 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.26 | -2.45 | 6.75 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 73 | UNLV | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.24 | -2.64 | 8.59 | 4.95 | 1.05 |
| 74 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.23 | 1.55 | 14.11 | 5.88 | -0.88 |
| 75 | Rutgers | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.17 | -4.3 | 11.22 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 76 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -4.1 | 7.5 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 77 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.35 | 0.8 | 9.29 | 5.17 | -1.17 |
| 78 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.13 | -3.82 | 11.96 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 79 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9 | -3.27 | 9.44 | 4.89 | 0.11 |
| 80 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.99 | -3.82 | 9.96 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 81 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.96 | 0.64 | 15.44 | 5.64 | -1.64 |
| 82 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.87 | -3.36 | 8.41 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 83 | Florida | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.54 | 0.27 | 12.16 | 5.59 | -1.59 |
| 84 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.45 | -8.91 | 10.37 | 3.36 | 1.64 |
| 85 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.28 | 0.09 | 10.96 | 5.52 | -1.52 |
| 86 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.26 | -8.73 | 8.78 | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| 87 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.74 | -1.27 | 12.64 | 5.18 | -1.18 |
| 88 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.62 | -2.27 | 15.62 | 5.11 | -1.11 |
| 89 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.84 | -6.82 | 15.2 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 90 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -6.09 | 12.3 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 91 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.67 | -6 | 12.08 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 92 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.63 | -6.91 | 12.06 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 93 | Memphis | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.62 | -0.6 | 13.17 | 4.83 | -1.83 |
| 94 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.51 | -7.73 | 11.34 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 95 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.4 | -5.91 | 5.16 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 96 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.39 | -9.36 | 11.6 | 3.09 | 0.91 |
| 97 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.14 | -13.36 | 11.2 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 98 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -6.17 | 10.57 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 99 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.27 | -5.2 | 8 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 100 | NC State | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.68 | -6.18 | 12.51 | 3.99 | -0.99 |
| 101 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.39 | -8.36 | 9.97 | 4.1 | -1.1 |
| 102 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.32 | -10.64 | 13.34 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 103 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.17 | -11.09 | 12.74 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 104 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.97 | -16.09 | 12.03 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| 105 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.39 | -15 | 11.21 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 106 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.24 | -10.45 | 13.13 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 107 | Virginia | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.05 | -13.82 | 15.12 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 108 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.03 | -12.64 | 9.42 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 109 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.97 | -12.91 | 12.65 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 110 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.88 | -15.91 | 10.86 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 111 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.84 | -16.36 | 9.87 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 112 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.53 | -25.82 | 12.07 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 113 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.39 | -7.18 | 10.22 | 3.81 | -2.81 |
| 114 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.07 | -16.2 | 11.47 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 115 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.28 | -18.18 | 9.63 | 1.71 | -0.71 |
| 116 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.73 | 10.06 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 117 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.49 | -23.36 | 15.67 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.57 | -26.55 | 11.63 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 119 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.61 | -28.36 | 9.88 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| 120 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.68 | -30.45 | 13.43 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 121 | California | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.7 | -22.92 | 14.41 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 122 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 0-11 | 0 | -2.14 | -13 | 13.57 | 3.01 | -3.01 |
| 123 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-11 | 0 | -2.26 | -17.64 | 7.61 | 1.91 | -1.91 |
| 124 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-11 | 0 | -2.55 | -24.55 | 10.17 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
| 125 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-11 | 0 | -2.76 | -30.27 | 12.65 | 0.6 | -0.6 |