Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.803978+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 12-0 | 1 | 25.28 | 42.67 | 8.83 | 11.73 | 0.27 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 25.02 | 27.92 | 9.15 | 10.64 | 1.36 |
| 3 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 12-0 | 1 | 23.96 | 19.25 | 5.24 | 9.65 | 2.35 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.42 | 27.42 | 9.9 | 11.38 | -0.38 |
| 5 | Auburn | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.39 | 16.08 | 12.33 | 9.39 | 1.61 |
| 6 | Missouri | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.35 | 19.33 | 11.32 | 10.05 | 0.95 |
| 7 | Baylor | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.32 | 33.18 | 10.14 | 9.87 | 0.13 |
| 8 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.92 | 22.36 | 9.57 | 9.51 | 0.49 |
| 9 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.75 | 17.67 | 8.45 | 10.78 | 0.22 |
| 10 | UCF | American Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.49 | 14.45 | 8.98 | 8.61 | 1.39 |
| 11 | Louisville | American Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.25 | 24.09 | 5.66 | 10.31 | -0.31 |
| 12 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.16 | 17.09 | 6.12 | 8.18 | 1.82 |
| 13 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.64 | 18.42 | 13.6 | 9.46 | 0.54 |
| 14 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.45 | 13.83 | 13.68 | 9.42 | 0.58 |
| 15 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.17 | 25.17 | 9.4 | 10.34 | -0.34 |
| 16 | South Carolina | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.09 | 14.08 | 11.54 | 9.36 | 0.64 |
| 17 | Clemson | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.99 | 19.08 | 9.14 | 9.86 | 0.14 |
| 18 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.62 | 10.64 | 11.23 | 7.97 | 1.03 |
| 19 | Duke | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.55 | 10.67 | 9.44 | 8.54 | 1.46 |
| 20 | Ball State | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.25 | 15.25 | 6.11 | 9.08 | 0.92 |
| 21 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.64 | 15.73 | 3.6 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 22 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.43 | 20.92 | 10.21 | 10.67 | -1.67 |
| 23 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.38 | 12.42 | 12.92 | 8.74 | 0.26 |
| 24 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.18 | 14.33 | 10.9 | 9.14 | -0.14 |
| 25 | Miami | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 9.92 | 10.56 | 8.19 | 0.81 |
| 26 | Marshall | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.82 | 22.92 | 6.39 | 10.16 | -1.16 |
| 27 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.75 | 15.25 | 7.36 | 9.05 | -0.05 |
| 28 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.66 | 20.67 | 5.82 | 10.78 | -1.78 |
| 29 | Rice | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.45 | 7.75 | 9.03 | 8 | 1 |
| 30 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.4 | 8 | 11.64 | 7.24 | 0.76 |
| 31 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.92 | 10.36 | 6.56 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 32 | USC | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.65 | 7.23 | 12.78 | 8.66 | 0.34 |
| 33 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.65 | 12.67 | 13.16 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 34 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 15.08 | 11.97 | 9.18 | -1.18 |
| 35 | Georgia | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 8.75 | 13.78 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 36 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.32 | 13.75 | 10.87 | 9.29 | -1.29 |
| 37 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 10 | 12.18 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 38 | North Texas | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.16 | 13.42 | 9.83 | 9.46 | -1.46 |
| 39 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 15 | 9.1 | 9.14 | -1.14 |
| 40 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.13 | 8.58 | 12.06 | 8.51 | -0.51 |
| 41 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 6 | 13.77 | 8.02 | -0.02 |
| 42 | Utah State | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 17.17 | 8.1 | 10.1 | -2.1 |
| 43 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.99 | 4.17 | 14.05 | 7.17 | 0.83 |
| 44 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.78 | 7.25 | 9.68 | 7.74 | 0.26 |
| 45 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 4.08 | 11.12 | 7.18 | 0.82 |
| 46 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.57 | 8.5 | 7.39 | 8.19 | -0.19 |
| 47 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.34 | 4.5 | 9.35 | 7.18 | 0.82 |
| 48 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.32 | 6.25 | 7.59 | 7.57 | 0.43 |
| 49 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.13 | 4.5 | 7.86 | 7.11 | 0.89 |
| 50 | Navy | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.91 | 6.73 | 8.98 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 51 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.35 | 13.92 | 10.78 | 9.08 | -2.08 |
| 52 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.21 | 7.25 | 13.53 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 53 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.04 | 8.08 | 11.42 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 54 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.04 | 6.17 | 13.05 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 55 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.03 | 9.75 | 10.9 | 8.32 | -1.32 |
| 56 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.6 | 4.42 | 11.15 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 57 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.58 | 4.5 | 10.91 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 58 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.34 | 2.5 | 12.67 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 59 | Tulane | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.25 | 3.92 | 8.92 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 60 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.15 | 3 | 9.43 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 61 | Maryland | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.65 | 1.83 | 8.19 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 62 | Boston College | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.55 | 0.58 | 10.49 | 6.15 | 0.85 |
| 63 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.52 | 1.33 | 8.53 | 6.35 | 0.65 |
| 64 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.39 | 6.69 | 6.85 | 8.09 | -1.09 |
| 65 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.23 | 7.08 | 12.68 | 7.72 | -1.72 |
| 66 | UTSA | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.8 | -0.75 | 11.93 | 5.79 | 1.21 |
| 67 | UNLV | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.74 | -0.25 | 8.9 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 68 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 4.17 | 10.73 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 69 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 2 | 14.19 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 70 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.35 | 2.42 | 10.65 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 71 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.7 | -4.17 | 8.31 | 5.03 | 1.97 |
| 72 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.95 | -1.17 | 12.63 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 73 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.95 | 2.64 | 8.34 | 6.11 | -1.11 |
| 74 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.85 | -1.42 | 12.54 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 75 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -1.83 | 9.8 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 76 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.39 | 1.17 | 14.47 | 6.29 | -1.29 |
| 77 | San José State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.32 | -2.67 | 11.35 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 78 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.26 | -3.25 | 11.92 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 79 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.94 | -3.42 | 7.24 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 80 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.61 | -7.92 | 11.2 | 3.92 | 2.08 |
| 81 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.6 | -5.33 | 7.76 | 4.56 | 1.44 |
| 82 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.44 | -0.42 | 14.2 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 83 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.05 | -0.92 | 11.91 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 84 | Rutgers | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.82 | -4.91 | 10.13 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 85 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.46 | -6.82 | 8.13 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 86 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.27 | -5.17 | 14.3 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 87 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.95 | -5.42 | 8.47 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 88 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.78 | -8.42 | 11.84 | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| 89 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.48 | -0.17 | 12.21 | 5.95 | -1.95 |
| 90 | Florida | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.76 | -2.25 | 13.23 | 5.2 | -1.2 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.08 | -5.75 | 12.32 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 92 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.05 | -5.75 | 11.63 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 93 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -6.17 | 10.64 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 94 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -7 | 10.81 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 95 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -7.5 | 11.48 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 96 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -7.08 | 5.69 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 97 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -12.83 | 10.68 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 98 | Memphis | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.28 | -2.36 | 12.26 | 4.79 | -1.79 |
| 99 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.55 | -5.36 | 7.01 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 100 | NC State | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -7.33 | 12.59 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 101 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -10.08 | 13.36 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 102 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -10 | 10.85 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 103 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -12.83 | 13.45 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 104 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -11.17 | 12.05 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 105 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -16.5 | 12.21 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| 106 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.37 | -4.92 | 10.07 | 4.74 | -2.74 |
| 107 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2 | -13.91 | 12.72 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 108 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.96 | -10.67 | 12.81 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 109 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.9 | -13.73 | 11.31 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 110 | Virginia | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.82 | -13.5 | 15.16 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 111 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.66 | -15.33 | 9.94 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 112 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.56 | -17.5 | 10.4 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 113 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.56 | -17.58 | 10.16 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 114 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.26 | -26.33 | 11.28 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 115 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.26 | -23.67 | 10.63 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 116 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.24 | -11.33 | 12.98 | 3.67 | -2.67 |
| 117 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.51 | -18.25 | 10.85 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 118 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.62 | -21.33 | 10.44 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 119 | California | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.71 | -22.92 | 14.06 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 120 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.71 | -23.08 | 15.28 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 121 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.81 | -27.25 | 9.96 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 122 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.83 | -24.83 | 11.62 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 123 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.86 | -28.58 | 12.05 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 124 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-12 | 0 | -2.26 | -17.92 | 7.55 | 2.03 | -2.03 |
| 125 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-12 | 0 | -2.6 | -25.92 | 11.25 | 0.53 | -0.53 |