Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.805490+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.16 | 42.31 | 9.09 | 12.71 | 0.29 |
| 2 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.41 | 32.08 | 10.38 | 10.79 | 0.21 |
| 3 | Auburn | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.33 | 16.15 | 12.73 | 10.04 | 1.96 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.21 | 27.42 | 9.95 | 11.38 | -0.38 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.15 | 25 | 9.96 | 11.22 | 0.78 |
| 6 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.73 | 17.08 | 9.25 | 11.48 | 0.52 |
| 7 | UCF | American Athletic | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.59 | 13.58 | 9.35 | 9.32 | 1.68 |
| 8 | Louisville | American Athletic | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.54 | 22.67 | 7.1 | 11.06 | -0.06 |
| 9 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.17 | 16.23 | 6.36 | 9.92 | 2.08 |
| 10 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.83 | 14.62 | 13.77 | 10.37 | 0.63 |
| 11 | Missouri | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.61 | 16.54 | 11.93 | 10.23 | 0.77 |
| 12 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.05 | 19.75 | 10.5 | 10.03 | -0.03 |
| 13 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.02 | 25.17 | 9.3 | 10.34 | -0.34 |
| 14 | South Carolina | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.92 | 14.08 | 11.24 | 9.36 | 0.64 |
| 15 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.79 | 10.5 | 11.77 | 8.65 | 1.35 |
| 16 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.78 | 13.08 | 7.83 | 9.11 | 1.89 |
| 17 | Clemson | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.76 | 19.08 | 8.98 | 9.86 | 0.14 |
| 18 | Ball State | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.09 | 15.25 | 5.91 | 9.08 | 0.92 |
| 19 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.99 | 15.15 | 13.66 | 9.74 | 0.26 |
| 20 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.23 | 12.42 | 12.63 | 8.74 | 0.26 |
| 21 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.23 | 20.92 | 10.11 | 10.67 | -1.67 |
| 22 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.21 | 20.62 | 7.23 | 11.54 | -1.54 |
| 23 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.99 | 14.33 | 10.34 | 9.14 | -0.14 |
| 24 | Rice | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.96 | 8.46 | 9.7 | 8.81 | 1.19 |
| 25 | Duke | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.9 | 6.92 | 10.24 | 8.35 | 1.65 |
| 26 | Miami | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.66 | 9.92 | 9.92 | 8.19 | 0.81 |
| 27 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.57 | 15.25 | 7.34 | 9.05 | -0.05 |
| 28 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.18 | 13.83 | 5.23 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 29 | USC | Pac-12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.08 | 8.5 | 13.04 | 9.66 | 0.34 |
| 30 | Marshall | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.5 | 19.85 | 7.74 | 10.56 | -1.56 |
| 31 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 12.67 | 12.76 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 32 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 15.08 | 11.49 | 9.18 | -1.18 |
| 33 | Georgia | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.25 | 8.75 | 13.44 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 34 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.21 | 13.75 | 10.73 | 9.29 | -1.29 |
| 35 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 10 | 11.88 | 8.56 | -0.56 |
| 36 | North Texas | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 13.42 | 10.18 | 9.46 | -1.46 |
| 37 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 15 | 8.85 | 9.14 | -1.14 |
| 38 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 8.58 | 11.44 | 8.51 | -0.51 |
| 39 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 6 | 12.92 | 8.02 | -0.02 |
| 40 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 5.67 | 12.37 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| 41 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.8 | 7.31 | 7.87 | 8.33 | 0.67 |
| 42 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 4.17 | 13.84 | 7.17 | 0.83 |
| 43 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 7.25 | 9.7 | 7.74 | 0.26 |
| 44 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 8.42 | 8.74 | 7.93 | 0.07 |
| 45 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 4.08 | 11.49 | 7.18 | 0.82 |
| 46 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.24 | 6.25 | 7.6 | 7.57 | 0.43 |
| 47 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.19 | 4.5 | 8.84 | 7.18 | 0.82 |
| 48 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.03 | 4.5 | 7.66 | 7.11 | 0.89 |
| 49 | Utah State | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.01 | 15.31 | 9.53 | 10.63 | -2.63 |
| 50 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.18 | 5.92 | 7.9 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 51 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.16 | 13.92 | 10.48 | 9.08 | -2.08 |
| 52 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.1 | 7.25 | 13.9 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 53 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.88 | 8.08 | 11.37 | 7.94 | -0.94 |
| 54 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.87 | 9.75 | 10.23 | 8.32 | -1.32 |
| 55 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.86 | 6.17 | 12.81 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 56 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.42 | 4.42 | 10.93 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 57 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.37 | 4.5 | 10.43 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 58 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.21 | 2.5 | 12.12 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 59 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.99 | 3 | 9.26 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 60 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.96 | 6.43 | 6.92 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 61 | Maryland | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.6 | 1.83 | 8.1 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 62 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.51 | 1.33 | 8.69 | 6.35 | 0.65 |
| 63 | Boston College | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.38 | 0.58 | 10.22 | 6.15 | 0.85 |
| 64 | Tulane | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.28 | 3.38 | 9.96 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 65 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.05 | 7.08 | 12.13 | 7.72 | -1.72 |
| 66 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.91 | -1.92 | 8.97 | 6.02 | 1.98 |
| 67 | UTSA | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.71 | -0.75 | 11.44 | 5.79 | 1.21 |
| 68 | UNLV | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.67 | -0.25 | 8.53 | 5.94 | 1.06 |
| 69 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 4.17 | 10.88 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 70 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 2 | 13.79 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 71 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 4.25 | 9.11 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 72 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.2 | 2.42 | 10.42 | 6.52 | -0.52 |
| 73 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.8 | -1.17 | 12.28 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 74 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.35 | -1.83 | 9.51 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 75 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.32 | 1.17 | 13.85 | 6.29 | -1.29 |
| 76 | San José State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.29 | -2.67 | 11.21 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 77 | Rutgers | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.21 | -2.42 | 9.48 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 78 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.19 | -3.25 | 11.38 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 79 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -3.42 | 7.29 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 80 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.79 | -1.54 | 12.35 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 81 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.58 | -7.92 | 10.97 | 3.92 | 2.08 |
| 82 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.57 | -5.33 | 7.48 | 4.56 | 1.44 |
| 83 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.41 | -0.42 | 13.66 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 84 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9 | -0.92 | 11.29 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 85 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.27 | -5.17 | 14.26 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 86 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.86 | -5.42 | 8.33 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 87 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.78 | -6.58 | 9.15 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 88 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.75 | -8.42 | 11.37 | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| 89 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.38 | -0.17 | 11.78 | 5.95 | -1.95 |
| 90 | Florida | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.64 | -2.25 | 13.13 | 5.2 | -1.2 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -5.75 | 12.06 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 92 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -5.75 | 11.41 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 93 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -6.17 | 11 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 94 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -7.5 | 11.7 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 95 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -7 | 10.63 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 96 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -7.08 | 5.68 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 97 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.37 | -12.83 | 10.45 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 98 | Memphis | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.24 | -5.08 | 11.29 | 4.39 | -1.39 |
| 99 | NC State | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -7.33 | 12.09 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 100 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -7.17 | 7.92 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 101 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.81 | -10.08 | 12.83 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 102 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -9.67 | 10.42 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 103 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.76 | -10 | 10.75 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 104 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.7 | -11.17 | 11.58 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 105 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.66 | -12.83 | 13.63 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 106 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -16.5 | 11.92 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| 107 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.42 | -4.92 | 9.72 | 4.74 | -2.74 |
| 108 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.94 | -10.67 | 12.76 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 109 | Virginia | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.79 | -13.5 | 14.71 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 110 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.69 | -14.83 | 12.57 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 111 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.63 | -15.33 | 9.63 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 112 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -17.5 | 10.89 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 113 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.54 | -17.58 | 10.29 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 114 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.31 | -23.67 | 10 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 115 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.25 | -26.33 | 11.13 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 116 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.17 | -11.33 | 12.52 | 3.67 | -2.67 |
| 117 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.51 | -18.25 | 10.69 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 118 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.63 | -21.33 | 10.51 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 119 | California | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.7 | -22.92 | 13.55 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 120 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.71 | -23.08 | 14.65 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 121 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.75 | -24.83 | 11.3 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 122 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.81 | -27.25 | 10.13 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 123 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.85 | -28.58 | 11.5 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 124 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-12 | 0 | -2.24 | -17.92 | 7.33 | 2.03 | -2.03 |
| 125 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-12 | 0 | -2.59 | -25.92 | 11.31 | 0.53 | -0.53 |