Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.806781+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 14-0 | 1 | 25.14 | 39.5 | 9.84 | 13.56 | 0.44 |
| 2 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 13-1 | 0.93 | 22.9 | 16.14 | 9.72 | 12.17 | 0.83 |
| 3 | UCF | American Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.61 | 13.31 | 10.13 | 9.87 | 2.13 |
| 4 | Louisville | American Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.52 | 23 | 7.45 | 12.03 | -0.03 |
| 5 | Auburn | SEC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.97 | 14.79 | 13.61 | 10.53 | 1.47 |
| 6 | Missouri | SEC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.83 | 16.07 | 12.57 | 10.89 | 1.11 |
| 7 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.8 | 28.85 | 11.17 | 11.3 | -0.3 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.73 | 22.86 | 10.48 | 11.75 | 0.25 |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.63 | 24.23 | 10.96 | 11.91 | -0.91 |
| 10 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.45 | 25 | 9.79 | 11.3 | -0.3 |
| 11 | South Carolina | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.37 | 13.77 | 11.91 | 10.05 | 0.95 |
| 12 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.27 | 10.77 | 12.35 | 9.35 | 1.65 |
| 13 | Clemson | ACC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.18 | 18 | 9.64 | 10.45 | 0.55 |
| 14 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 12-2 | 0.86 | 20.76 | 14.57 | 6.76 | 10.47 | 1.53 |
| 15 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.62 | 13.08 | 7.7 | 9.11 | 1.89 |
| 16 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.38 | 13.29 | 14.36 | 10.9 | 0.1 |
| 17 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.7 | 13.77 | 12.81 | 9.77 | 0.23 |
| 18 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.66 | 17.46 | 11.41 | 10.44 | -0.44 |
| 19 | LSU | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.37 | 13.77 | 10.71 | 9.88 | 0.12 |
| 20 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.95 | 15.38 | 7.49 | 9.86 | 0.14 |
| 21 | Ball State | Mid-American | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.73 | 13.85 | 6.5 | 9.64 | 0.36 |
| 22 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.42 | 13.07 | 13.68 | 10.08 | -0.08 |
| 23 | USC | Pac-12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.97 | 8.5 | 12.73 | 9.66 | 0.34 |
| 24 | Marshall | Conference USA | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.83 | 19.21 | 7.65 | 11.32 | -1.32 |
| 25 | Texas A&M | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.81 | 12 | 13.1 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 26 | Washington | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.78 | 15.08 | 11.64 | 9.99 | -0.99 |
| 27 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.77 | 18.93 | 7.32 | 12.12 | -2.12 |
| 28 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.76 | 18.54 | 10.43 | 11.16 | -2.16 |
| 29 | Duke | ACC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.45 | 6.14 | 10.64 | 8.69 | 1.31 |
| 30 | North Texas | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.44 | 14.08 | 9.61 | 10.39 | -1.39 |
| 31 | Rice | Conference USA | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.24 | 5.21 | 9.89 | 8.58 | 1.42 |
| 32 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.2 | 4.85 | 13.27 | 7.98 | 1.02 |
| 33 | Miami | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.11 | 7.08 | 10.71 | 8.26 | 0.74 |
| 34 | Navy | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.07 | 9.15 | 9.17 | 8.84 | 0.16 |
| 35 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17 | 7.08 | 9.92 | 8.38 | 0.62 |
| 36 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.76 | 5.46 | 9.42 | 8.02 | 0.98 |
| 37 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.75 | 7.31 | 7.9 | 8.33 | 0.67 |
| 38 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.73 | 11.08 | 5.71 | 9.51 | -0.51 |
| 39 | Utah State | Mountain West | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.41 | 14.71 | 9.99 | 11.39 | -2.39 |
| 40 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.18 | 6.25 | 7.72 | 7.57 | 0.43 |
| 41 | Georgia | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.98 | 7.69 | 13.8 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 42 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.88 | 11.38 | 10.75 | 9.5 | -1.5 |
| 43 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.78 | 9.23 | 11.2 | 8.87 | -0.87 |
| 44 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.77 | 8.08 | 11.79 | 8.8 | -0.8 |
| 45 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.75 | 12.69 | 9.16 | 9.45 | -1.45 |
| 46 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.75 | 10.31 | 10.31 | 9.19 | -1.19 |
| 47 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.73 | 6.31 | 12.88 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 48 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.68 | 7.38 | 11.57 | 8.92 | -0.92 |
| 49 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.35 | 3.46 | 12.98 | 7.46 | 0.54 |
| 50 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.35 | 5.23 | 10.8 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 51 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.31 | 3.23 | 12.99 | 7.68 | 0.32 |
| 52 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.12 | 3.46 | 11.07 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
| 53 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.03 | 5.92 | 7.52 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 54 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.91 | 3 | 10 | 7.33 | 0.67 |
| 55 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.67 | 2.77 | 8.44 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 56 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.3 | 4.42 | 10.49 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 57 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.12 | 12.23 | 10.6 | 9.54 | -2.54 |
| 58 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.11 | 2.5 | 11.78 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 59 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.99 | 8.23 | 11.95 | 8.65 | -1.65 |
| 60 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.89 | 6.43 | 6.66 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 61 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.89 | 5.38 | 13.78 | 7.89 | -0.89 |
| 62 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.81 | 4.69 | 13.85 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 63 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.27 | 3.38 | 10.73 | 7.29 | -0.29 |
| 64 | Tulane | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.19 | 3.38 | 9.97 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 65 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.84 | -1.92 | 8.49 | 6.02 | 1.98 |
| 66 | UTSA | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.62 | -0.75 | 11.12 | 5.79 | 1.21 |
| 67 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.47 | 4.17 | 10.46 | 7.2 | -1.2 |
| 68 | Maryland | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.39 | 0.85 | 8.68 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 69 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.35 | 4.25 | 9.14 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 70 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.92 | -0.08 | 9.31 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 71 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.8 | -0.85 | 12.48 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 72 | Boston College | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.49 | -1.23 | 10.65 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 73 | Syracuse | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.16 | -2.69 | 11.37 | 5.64 | 1.36 |
| 74 | UNLV | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.14 | -1.92 | 9.17 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 75 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.32 | -1.83 | 9.66 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 76 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.27 | 1.17 | 13.73 | 6.29 | -1.29 |
| 77 | San José State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.22 | -2.67 | 10.94 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 78 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.8 | -3.42 | 7.46 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 79 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.72 | -1.54 | 12.41 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 80 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.53 | -7.92 | 10.88 | 3.92 | 2.08 |
| 81 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.48 | -5.33 | 6.88 | 4.56 | 1.44 |
| 82 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.33 | -0.42 | 13.15 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 83 | Rutgers | American Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.12 | -3.23 | 9.73 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 84 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.93 | -0.92 | 10.87 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 85 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.22 | -5.17 | 14.12 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 86 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.81 | -5.42 | 8.19 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 87 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.73 | -6.58 | 8.93 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 88 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.68 | -8.42 | 10.81 | 3.65 | 1.35 |
| 89 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.34 | -0.17 | 11.63 | 5.95 | -1.95 |
| 90 | Florida | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.6 | -2.25 | 12.99 | 5.2 | -1.2 |
| 91 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -5.75 | 11.7 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 92 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.93 | -5.75 | 11.12 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 93 | Kent State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -6.17 | 10.41 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 94 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -7.5 | 11.4 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 95 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -7 | 10.35 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 96 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -7.08 | 5.47 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 97 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.35 | -12.83 | 10.68 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 98 | Memphis | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.21 | -5.08 | 10.89 | 4.39 | -1.39 |
| 99 | NC State | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.99 | -7.33 | 11.93 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 100 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -7.17 | 7.56 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 101 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -10.08 | 12.9 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 102 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -10 | 10.64 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 103 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.74 | -9.67 | 9.89 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 104 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -11.17 | 11.29 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 105 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -12.83 | 13.45 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 106 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.4 | -16.5 | 11.6 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| 107 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.4 | -4.92 | 9.42 | 4.74 | -2.74 |
| 108 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.93 | -10.67 | 12.71 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 109 | Virginia | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -13.5 | 14.17 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 110 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -14.83 | 12.12 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 111 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.62 | -15.33 | 9.65 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 112 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.54 | -17.5 | 10.76 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 113 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -17.58 | 10.05 | 2.37 | -0.37 |
| 114 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.3 | -23.67 | 9.65 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 115 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.23 | -26.33 | 10.41 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 116 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.17 | -11.33 | 12.61 | 3.67 | -2.67 |
| 117 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.51 | -18.25 | 10.22 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 118 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.62 | -21.33 | 10.01 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 119 | California | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.7 | -22.92 | 13.54 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 120 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.7 | -23.08 | 14.14 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 121 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.74 | -24.83 | 11.2 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
| 122 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.8 | -27.25 | 9.97 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| 123 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.85 | -28.58 | 11.32 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 124 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-12 | 0 | -2.23 | -17.92 | 7.28 | 2.03 | -2.03 |
| 125 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-12 | 0 | -2.57 | -25.92 | 10.71 | 0.53 | -0.53 |