Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.801075+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 26.7 | 41.6 | 10.91 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.55 | 27.5 | 11.62 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 3 | Clemson | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.28 | 24.67 | 10.87 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 4 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-0 | 1 | 26.15 | 27.6 | 9.65 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 5 | Missouri | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.14 | 22.67 | 10.72 | 5.01 | 0.99 |
| 6 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.12 | 43 | 8.07 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 25.82 | 27.67 | 8.3 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 8 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 25.75 | 45.4 | 6.16 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 9 | Miami | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 25.67 | 29.2 | 7.46 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 10 | Louisville | American Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 25.4 | 33.67 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 11 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.28 | 24.5 | 5.97 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 12 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 5-0 | 1 | 24.67 | 14 | 5.24 | 3.48 | 1.52 |
| 13 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 24.46 | 20.8 | 2.84 | 4.26 | 0.74 |
| 14 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-0 | 1 | 24.15 | 11.5 | 3.31 | 4.15 | 1.85 |
| 15 | LSU | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.3 | 19.43 | 14.04 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 16 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.84 | 14 | 14.85 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 17 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.51 | 8.14 | 13.44 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 18 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.03 | 12.5 | 10.72 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 19 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.97 | 11.83 | 13.02 | 4.38 | 0.62 |
| 20 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.94 | 15.67 | 9.48 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 21 | Auburn | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.92 | 15.5 | 11.2 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 22 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.8 | 15.83 | 10.47 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 23 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.59 | 20.33 | 8.2 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 24 | Ball State | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.52 | 14.86 | 5.26 | 5.29 | 0.71 |
| 25 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.09 | 14.67 | 7 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 26 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.97 | 13 | 6.74 | 4.2 | 0.8 |
| 27 | UCF | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.96 | 15.2 | 9.6 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 28 | Maryland | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.65 | 9.33 | 5.99 | 4.2 | 0.8 |
| 29 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.51 | 18 | 6.08 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 30 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 19.15 | 15.33 | 16.22 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 31 | Georgia | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.66 | 3.83 | 20.27 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 32 | Florida | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.57 | 8.83 | 15.44 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 33 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.51 | 11.67 | 15.95 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 34 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.39 | 17 | 13.01 | 4.56 | -0.56 |
| 35 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.21 | 11.83 | 13.86 | 4.65 | -0.65 |
| 36 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.11 | 9.67 | 14.04 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 37 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.05 | 13.14 | 3.81 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 38 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.05 | 24 | 8.96 | 5.53 | -1.53 |
| 39 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.78 | 12.83 | 9.37 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 40 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.74 | 17 | 8.55 | 4.69 | -0.69 |
| 41 | Duke | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.69 | 11.17 | 10.64 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 42 | Rutgers | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.68 | 8 | 9.72 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 43 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 5.17 | 13.62 | 3.71 | 0.29 |
| 44 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.55 | 17.83 | 7.05 | 5 | -1 |
| 45 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 9.17 | 8.12 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 46 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 6 | 12.29 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 47 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.41 | 3.14 | 7.8 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 48 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 7 | 8.24 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 49 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 12.67 | 6.56 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 50 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.23 | 7 | 8.59 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 51 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.23 | 1.83 | 15.02 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 52 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 5.17 | 7.4 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 53 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 7.33 | 7.13 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 54 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.6 | 16 | 9.59 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 55 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.58 | 15 | 0.99 | 4.86 | -0.86 |
| 56 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.03 | 2.67 | 6.59 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 57 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.86 | 8.4 | 9.42 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 58 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.68 | 5.6 | 8.45 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 59 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.55 | 10.2 | 6.23 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 60 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.38 | -0.67 | 11.96 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 61 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.12 | 4.57 | 11.36 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 62 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.88 | -0.4 | 16.72 | 2.46 | 0.54 |
| 63 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.38 | 8.83 | 15.54 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 64 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.18 | 10.33 | 12.33 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 65 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 14.15 | -2.67 | 6.8 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 66 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.81 | 7.5 | 14.64 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 67 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.72 | 6.83 | 14.49 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 68 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.66 | 5.83 | 15.47 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 69 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.54 | 6.5 | 13.13 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 70 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.48 | 3.67 | 14.63 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 71 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.33 | 7.17 | 8.86 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 72 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.11 | 0.71 | 5.19 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 73 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.06 | 1.17 | 14.99 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 74 | NC State | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.99 | 3.5 | 8.39 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 75 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.92 | 3.33 | 10.28 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 76 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.3 | 12.71 | 9.43 | 5.26 | -2.26 |
| 77 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.02 | 1.17 | 9.51 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 78 | Boston College | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.55 | -1.17 | 12.86 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 79 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.43 | -0.67 | 8.53 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 80 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.81 | -2 | 9.85 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 81 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.67 | -4.5 | 13.65 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 82 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.07 | -4.5 | 9.27 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 83 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.85 | -7.67 | 8.48 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 84 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.73 | -6 | 7.56 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 85 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.38 | 0 | 9.79 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 86 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.25 | 4 | 10.97 | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 87 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.21 | -4.29 | 12.6 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 88 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.96 | -2.14 | 10.3 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 89 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.37 | -7.29 | 7.77 | 2.38 | 0.62 |
| 90 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.29 | 0.83 | 9.12 | 3.08 | -1.08 |
| 91 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.07 | -12.57 | 14.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 92 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.81 | -7.4 | 9.44 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 93 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.72 | -13.86 | 10.71 | 1.49 | 1.51 |
| 94 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.44 | -16.2 | 12.51 | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| 95 | Virginia | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.7 | -5 | 15.77 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 96 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -2.5 | 6.91 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 97 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -6.83 | 7.07 | 2 | 0 |
| 98 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.71 | -3.71 | 13.03 | 2.87 | -0.87 |
| 99 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -10.17 | 13.15 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 100 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.49 | -9.5 | 7.62 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 101 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.24 | -14 | 9.28 | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 102 | UTSA | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.04 | -11.43 | 15.59 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.98 | -11 | 13.43 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 104 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 4.29 | -1 | 10.53 | 2.4 | -1.4 |
| 105 | Memphis | American Athletic | 1-4 | 0.2 | 4.22 | -1.8 | 16.2 | 2.22 | -1.22 |
| 106 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.12 | -7.8 | 18.26 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 107 | SMU | American Athletic | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.47 | -16 | 14.01 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| 108 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.38 | -9 | 18.33 | 1.77 | -0.77 |
| 109 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.32 | -6.5 | 5.02 | 2.34 | -1.34 |
| 110 | California | Pac-12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.72 | -18.83 | 18.05 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| 111 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.52 | -21.67 | 11.33 | 0.82 | 0.18 |
| 112 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.52 | -22.5 | 14.29 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 113 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.26 | -27.67 | 9.49 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| 114 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.21 | -19.33 | 8.23 | 0.35 | 0.65 |
| 115 | Air Force | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.2 | -12.86 | 10.5 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 116 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.16 | -14.57 | 17.01 | 1.44 | -0.44 |
| 117 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.65 | -26.71 | 14.43 | 0.64 | 0.36 |
| 118 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-5 | 0 | -2.12 | -12.2 | 10.2 | 1.06 | -1.06 |
| 119 | Temple | American Athletic | 0-6 | 0 | -2.15 | -12.5 | 12.38 | 1.25 | -1.25 |
| 120 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 0-6 | 0 | -2.22 | -12.5 | 15.3 | 1.57 | -1.57 |
| 121 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-6 | 0 | -2.39 | -21.17 | 3.31 | 0.74 | -0.74 |
| 122 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.6 | -23.5 | 9.17 | 0.27 | -0.27 |
| 123 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.67 | -24.57 | 11.52 | 0.52 | -0.52 |
| 124 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -2.73 | -25 | 13.48 | 0.33 | -0.33 |
| 125 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-6 | 0 | -2.95 | -33 | 13.42 | 0.39 | -0.39 |