Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.801518+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.67 | 40.83 | 12.2 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.12 | 31 | 10.47 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 3 | Missouri | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.03 | 22.14 | 11.41 | 5.87 | 1.13 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 25.84 | 25.14 | 10.06 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 5 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.73 | 40.29 | 7.66 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 6 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.59 | 48.5 | 6.39 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 7 | Miami | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.06 | 25 | 6.14 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 8 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 24.89 | 22.43 | 5.74 | 6.06 | 0.94 |
| 9 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 24.71 | 15.67 | 6.33 | 4.38 | 1.62 |
| 10 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 23.99 | 12.86 | 3.4 | 5.03 | 1.97 |
| 11 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.28 | 14 | 16.62 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 12 | Clemson | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.83 | 15.86 | 12.06 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 13 | Auburn | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.57 | 13.86 | 12.73 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 14 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.33 | 20.67 | 11.93 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 15 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.32 | 12.86 | 11.49 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 16 | Louisville | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.3 | 28.43 | 6.79 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 17 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.29 | 15.71 | 10.53 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 18 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.11 | 8.14 | 11.97 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 19 | UCF | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.69 | 13.17 | 12.02 | 4.63 | 0.37 |
| 20 | Ball State | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.67 | 15.62 | 4.51 | 6.16 | 0.84 |
| 21 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.46 | 14.57 | 6.21 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 22 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.43 | 15.71 | 5.76 | 5.18 | 0.82 |
| 23 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.39 | 20.33 | 8.01 | 4.94 | 0.06 |
| 24 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.05 | 17.33 | 7.05 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 25 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.98 | 17.17 | 5.12 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 26 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.49 | 16.62 | 13.75 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 27 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.3 | 18.71 | 13.18 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 28 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.05 | 10.29 | 14.57 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 29 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19 | 24 | 9.99 | 6.29 | -1.29 |
| 30 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.97 | 13 | 11.23 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 31 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.84 | 9.86 | 11.59 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 32 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.42 | 17 | 7.78 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 33 | Duke | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.23 | 11.43 | 8.4 | 5 | 0 |
| 34 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.08 | 10 | 8.14 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 35 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.06 | 13.71 | 6.34 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 36 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18 | 6.43 | 9.73 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 37 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.95 | 2.14 | 14.34 | 3.86 | 1.14 |
| 38 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.88 | 9.67 | 12.92 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 39 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.81 | 15.17 | 10.73 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 40 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.79 | 13.14 | 4.46 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 41 | Maryland | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.53 | 4.57 | 6.29 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 42 | Rice | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.43 | 3.14 | 9.65 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 43 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 17.83 | 6.34 | 5 | -1 |
| 44 | Tulane | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.38 | 3.14 | 8.33 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 45 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.36 | 6.43 | 5.64 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 46 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.34 | 16.43 | 0.82 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 47 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 6 | 10.65 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 48 | Rutgers | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.19 | 8 | 8.88 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 49 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 11.33 | 6.35 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 50 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.44 | 1.5 | 11.98 | 3.18 | 0.82 |
| 51 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.94 | 9 | 15.36 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 52 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.85 | 8.43 | 15.3 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 53 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.81 | 16.86 | 12.99 | 5.72 | -1.72 |
| 54 | Georgia | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.6 | 2.71 | 19.74 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 55 | Florida | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.57 | 4.86 | 16.16 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 56 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.45 | 9.57 | 11.42 | 5.05 | -1.05 |
| 57 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.16 | 7.14 | 12.84 | 4.66 | -0.66 |
| 58 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.99 | 3.86 | 12.71 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 59 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.88 | 6.71 | 10.93 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 60 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.86 | 3.43 | 14.53 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 61 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.59 | 4 | 9.12 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 62 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.55 | 1.43 | 16.33 | 3.71 | 0.29 |
| 63 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.52 | 6.57 | 5.69 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 64 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.41 | 3.86 | 7.79 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 65 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.36 | 3 | 10.99 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 66 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.96 | 1.71 | 11.21 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 67 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.81 | 7.5 | 14.48 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 68 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.78 | 15.5 | 10.2 | 6.37 | -2.37 |
| 69 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.27 | 0.71 | 6.57 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 70 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.11 | 0.43 | 7.29 | 3.58 | 0.42 |
| 71 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.03 | 4.5 | 8.87 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 72 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 3 | 10.46 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 73 | NC State | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.73 | 3.5 | 9.07 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 74 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 1 | 12.72 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 75 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 2.83 | 9.34 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 76 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.15 | 1.17 | 9.34 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 77 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.15 | 5.29 | 15.86 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 78 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.75 | -5.71 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 79 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.61 | 3.57 | 13.06 | 4.12 | -1.12 |
| 80 | Boston College | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.29 | -1.17 | 13.38 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 81 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.51 | 2.14 | 8.47 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 82 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.05 | -4.5 | 7.81 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 83 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.82 | -6 | 7.48 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 84 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.6 | -2.14 | 13.72 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 85 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.58 | -8 | 8.7 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 86 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.09 | 4 | 11.74 | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 87 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.92 | -5.29 | 14.55 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 88 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.22 | -9 | 9.9 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 89 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.12 | -7.29 | 7.49 | 2.38 | 0.62 |
| 90 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.09 | -12.57 | 13.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 91 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.44 | -4.25 | 7.75 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 92 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.2 | -10.25 | 13.67 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 93 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.73 | -14.75 | 11.37 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 94 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -8.67 | 12.02 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 95 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -10.17 | 11.46 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 96 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -9.5 | 7.79 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 97 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.64 | -3.71 | 13.61 | 2.87 | -0.87 |
| 98 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.53 | -4.29 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 99 | Virginia | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.46 | -6.14 | 15.58 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 100 | SMU | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -12.5 | 12.09 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 101 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -14 | 9.49 | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| 102 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.93 | -8 | 7.59 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 103 | UTSA | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.9 | -11.43 | 15.02 | 1.94 | 0.06 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -11.75 | 12.73 | 1.95 | 0.05 |
| 105 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -11.88 | 13.18 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 106 | Memphis | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 3.15 | -2.33 | 14.33 | 2.61 | -1.61 |
| 107 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.45 | -7.17 | 18.37 | 2.08 | -1.08 |
| 108 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.23 | -9 | 17.82 | 1.77 | -0.77 |
| 109 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.23 | -6.5 | 4.78 | 2.34 | -1.34 |
| 110 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.11 | -11.5 | 13.66 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 111 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.27 | -8 | 11.9 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 112 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.24 | -27.67 | 9.96 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| 113 | Air Force | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.14 | -12.86 | 10.36 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 114 | California | Pac-12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.87 | -20.71 | 17.33 | 1.29 | -0.29 |
| 115 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.83 | -21.29 | 15.53 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 116 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.79 | -20.71 | 8.87 | 0.31 | 0.69 |
| 117 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.77 | -22.57 | 12.81 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 118 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.6 | -26.71 | 14.96 | 0.64 | 0.36 |
| 119 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 0-6 | 0 | -2.2 | -12.5 | 16.21 | 1.57 | -1.57 |
| 120 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-6 | 0 | -2.22 | -14.33 | 11.74 | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 121 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-7 | 0 | -2.32 | -19.14 | 4.54 | 0.98 | -0.98 |
| 122 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-7 | 0 | -2.48 | -21.14 | 8.92 | 0.45 | -0.45 |
| 123 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.66 | -24.12 | 12.68 | 0.64 | -0.64 |
| 124 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.77 | -27.67 | 13.13 | 0.35 | -0.35 |
| 125 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-7 | 0 | -2.91 | -32 | 13.79 | 0.49 | -0.49 |