Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:35.801925+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.28 | 39.57 | 11.29 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.03 | 31.5 | 11.01 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.85 | 28.12 | 10.62 | 7.16 | 0.84 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.75 | 38.75 | 8.95 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 5 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.31 | 48 | 5.94 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 6 | Miami | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 24.92 | 21.86 | 6.98 | 6.09 | 0.91 |
| 7 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 7-0 | 1 | 24.52 | 14.43 | 6.51 | 5.03 | 1.97 |
| 8 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-0 | 1 | 23.83 | 16.12 | 2.74 | 6.08 | 1.92 |
| 9 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.4 | 13.25 | 15.62 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 10 | Missouri | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.14 | 19 | 11.69 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 11 | Clemson | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.9 | 15.5 | 12.17 | 6.25 | 0.75 |
| 12 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.77 | 12.25 | 12.56 | 6.14 | 0.86 |
| 13 | Auburn | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.73 | 16.5 | 11.03 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 14 | Louisville | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.44 | 28.75 | 7.14 | 7.66 | -0.66 |
| 15 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.33 | 18.62 | 7.45 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 16 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.17 | 15.71 | 10.59 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 17 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22 | 17.71 | 9.27 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 18 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.94 | 17.62 | 6.51 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 19 | Houston | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.75 | 19.71 | 7.57 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 20 | Ball State | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.7 | 15.89 | 4.23 | 6.95 | 1.05 |
| 21 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.44 | 19.29 | 5.78 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 22 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.4 | 18.33 | 10.36 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 23 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.91 | 11.12 | 14.46 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 24 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.82 | 15.38 | 12.28 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 25 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.55 | 9 | 13.12 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.53 | 6.75 | 13.06 | 5.68 | 0.32 |
| 27 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.23 | 6.25 | 12.95 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 28 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.19 | 18.71 | 12.96 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 29 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.16 | 13.71 | 13.2 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 30 | Duke | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 10.38 | 9.91 | 5.69 | 0.31 |
| 31 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.11 | 12.75 | 7.47 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 32 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.93 | 7 | 10.33 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 33 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.81 | 24 | 9.19 | 6.29 | -1.29 |
| 34 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.76 | 11.88 | 6.69 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 35 | Rice | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.57 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 36 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.48 | 15.86 | 7.98 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 37 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.45 | 16.43 | 9 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 38 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.26 | 8.12 | 5.25 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 39 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.21 | 8.43 | 10.83 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 40 | Tulane | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.15 | 3.62 | 8 | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| 41 | East Carolina | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.93 | 13.71 | 6.13 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 42 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.92 | 12 | 7.09 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 43 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.27 | 16.43 | 0.83 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 44 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.69 | 16 | 11.49 | 6.42 | -1.42 |
| 45 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.68 | 10.88 | 13.55 | 5.68 | -0.68 |
| 46 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.33 | 12.75 | 8.76 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 47 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.32 | 6.88 | 13.86 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 48 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.31 | 9.25 | 11.67 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 49 | North Texas | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.28 | 11.38 | 10.45 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 50 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.11 | 5.38 | 13.3 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 51 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.81 | 11.12 | 5.56 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 52 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.45 | 3 | 11.02 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 53 | Florida | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.23 | 4.86 | 15.75 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 54 | Georgia | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.23 | 2.71 | 19.01 | 3.82 | 0.18 |
| 55 | Maryland | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.19 | 2.38 | 8.36 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 56 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.06 | 15 | 6.62 | 5.37 | -1.37 |
| 57 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.04 | 7.29 | 12.49 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 58 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.65 | 1.38 | 8.04 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 59 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.41 | 1.29 | 13.75 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 60 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.33 | 0.62 | 7.72 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 61 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.33 | 4.29 | 9.53 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 62 | Rutgers | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.17 | 1.86 | 10.2 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 63 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.94 | 0.86 | 11.58 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 64 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.69 | 15.5 | 9.38 | 6.37 | -2.37 |
| 65 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.68 | 5.38 | 15.33 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 66 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.73 | -4.38 | 8.6 | 3.36 | 1.64 |
| 67 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.68 | 4.88 | 6.54 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 68 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.62 | 1.88 | 11.3 | 4.28 | -0.28 |
| 69 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.61 | 2.62 | 9.51 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 70 | Western Kentucky | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.54 | 2.62 | 8.86 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 71 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.39 | 1.12 | 11.87 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 72 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 1 | 12.43 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 73 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.17 | 2.75 | 7.01 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 74 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.91 | -2.86 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 75 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.89 | 5.29 | 15.5 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 76 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.53 | 6.71 | 11.5 | 4.49 | -1.49 |
| 77 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.44 | -1.38 | 14.84 | 3.77 | 0.23 |
| 78 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.87 | 2.14 | 9.56 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 79 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.84 | -7.5 | 11.81 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| 80 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.76 | -6.12 | 8.86 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 81 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.43 | -1.29 | 10.37 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 82 | NC State | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.39 | -1.57 | 10.67 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 83 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.31 | 0.25 | 13.43 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 84 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.23 | -2.14 | 13.03 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 85 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.15 | -3 | 11.81 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 86 | Boston College | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.78 | -4.43 | 11.19 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 87 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.4 | -6.14 | 9.78 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 88 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.09 | -10.29 | 10.68 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
| 89 | SMU | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.87 | -9.29 | 9.58 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 90 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.33 | -4.25 | 8.4 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 91 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.33 | -7.5 | 13.52 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 92 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.12 | -7.38 | 13.51 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 93 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.01 | -8.5 | 9.74 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 94 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.99 | -5 | 6.53 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 95 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.97 | -10.25 | 12.61 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 96 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.62 | -14.75 | 11.34 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 97 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.75 | -2.71 | 17.04 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 98 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.3 | -4.29 | 8.67 | 3 | -1 |
| 99 | Tulsa | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.94 | -9.71 | 12.82 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 100 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.73 | -13.86 | 13.82 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 101 | UAB | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.64 | -11.14 | 7.2 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 102 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.5 | -16.43 | 11.37 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| 103 | Virginia | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.38 | -6.62 | 15.56 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 104 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.27 | -7.62 | 14.96 | 2.58 | -0.58 |
| 105 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.12 | -12.56 | 14.44 | 2.16 | -0.16 |
| 106 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.1 | -12.67 | 13.21 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 107 | Memphis | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 3.06 | -2.33 | 14.44 | 2.61 | -1.61 |
| 108 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.52 | -8.57 | 15.51 | 2.13 | -1.13 |
| 109 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.26 | -11 | 6.59 | 2.18 | -1.18 |
| 110 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.14 | -14.29 | 14.28 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 111 | Temple | American Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1 | -8.25 | 10.26 | 2.59 | -1.59 |
| 112 | Purdue | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.78 | -21.29 | 15.88 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 113 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.62 | -26 | 8.48 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| 114 | Air Force | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.55 | -15.62 | 10.72 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 115 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.41 | -18.25 | 7.87 | 0.68 | 0.32 |
| 116 | California | Pac-12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.33 | -21.12 | 16.06 | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 117 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.21 | -24.62 | 14.2 | 1.02 | -0.02 |
| 118 | Idaho | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.07 | -29 | 14.87 | 0.64 | 0.36 |
| 119 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | -0.08 | -27.38 | 10.32 | 0.83 | 0.17 |
| 120 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.1 | -21.33 | 11.06 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 121 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 0-7 | 0 | -2.11 | -11.71 | 14.52 | 1.94 | -1.94 |
| 122 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-8 | 0 | -2.34 | -20.25 | 4.94 | 0.99 | -0.99 |
| 123 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -2.43 | -18.71 | 13.09 | 0.99 | -0.99 |
| 124 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-8 | 0 | -2.49 | -21.62 | 9.9 | 0.56 | -0.56 |
| 125 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 0-7 | 0 | -2.81 | -29.57 | 13.51 | 0.38 | -0.38 |