Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.060982+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.52 | 19 | 16.02 | 6.63 | 1.37 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 15.62 | 11.42 | 6.2 | 1.8 |
| 3 | Marshall | Conference USA | 8-0 | 1 | 24.9 | 29.38 | 6.48 | 7.35 | 0.65 |
| 4 | Auburn | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.89 | 16.75 | 18.18 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.38 | 22.5 | 13.89 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 6 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.25 | 20.67 | 12.36 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.1 | 25.75 | 11.9 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 8 | TCU | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.94 | 25.38 | 11.13 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.8 | 13.75 | 12.93 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 10 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.74 | 20.78 | 9.55 | 7.62 | 0.38 |
| 11 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.55 | 25.25 | 8.85 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 12 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.52 | 19.62 | 9.99 | 6.77 | 0.23 |
| 13 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.28 | 10.25 | 11.32 | 5.59 | 1.41 |
| 14 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.24 | 28.5 | 6.8 | 7.03 | -0.03 |
| 15 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.02 | 9.78 | 8.67 | 6.25 | 1.75 |
| 16 | Duke | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.01 | 16.5 | 7.8 | 6.5 | 0.5 |
| 17 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 21.36 | 18.56 | 16.17 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.78 | 16.89 | 13.8 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 19 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.28 | 6 | 15.82 | 5.53 | 1.47 |
| 20 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.02 | 19.75 | 12.99 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 21 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20 | 10.67 | 11.42 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 22 | Georgia | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.93 | 18.25 | 11.67 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 23 | Missouri | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.87 | 9.44 | 11.13 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 24 | Clemson | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.8 | 14 | 13.06 | 6.35 | -0.35 |
| 25 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.67 | 23.56 | 5.72 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 26 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.67 | 23 | 10.13 | 7.26 | -1.26 |
| 27 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.57 | 9.5 | 12.53 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 28 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.48 | 7.38 | 14.06 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 29 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.39 | 12.12 | 10.23 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 30 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.74 | 12.88 | 5.83 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 31 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.61 | 5.88 | 9.26 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 32 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.6 | 9.62 | 7.46 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 33 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.35 | 7.5 | 6.88 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 34 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.95 | 12.33 | 14.26 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 35 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.85 | 5.38 | 4.69 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 36 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.84 | 10.44 | 13.35 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 37 | Miami | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.81 | 11.11 | 13.93 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 38 | Louisville | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.66 | 13.22 | 10.82 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 39 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.55 | 10.56 | 12.24 | 6.23 | -0.23 |
| 40 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.18 | 11.67 | 9.28 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 41 | Boston College | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 7.33 | 10.59 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 42 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 4.78 | 11.01 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 43 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 6.33 | 9.25 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 44 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 6.56 | 8.74 | 5.9 | 0.1 |
| 45 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.67 | 9.22 | 6.69 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 46 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 2.22 | 11.96 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 47 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.37 | 16.88 | 9.49 | 6.52 | -1.52 |
| 48 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.95 | 12 | 8.22 | 6.32 | -1.32 |
| 49 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.83 | 11 | 7.85 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 50 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.55 | 5 | 10.16 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 51 | UCF | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.55 | 4.38 | 9.12 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 52 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.38 | 6.88 | 6.81 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 53 | Florida | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.18 | 5.29 | 16.54 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 54 | Rice | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.14 | 3 | 9.31 | 4.47 | 0.53 |
| 55 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15 | 8.56 | 12.55 | 6.6 | -1.6 |
| 56 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.92 | 5 | 4.9 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 57 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.91 | 1.62 | 8.54 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 58 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.7 | 1.38 | 8.54 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 59 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.51 | 4.56 | 13.55 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 60 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.51 | 5 | 11.52 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 61 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.37 | 2.9 | 7.09 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 62 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.06 | -0.38 | 11.89 | 3.94 | 1.06 |
| 63 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.05 | 0.12 | 8.91 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 64 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.94 | 4.33 | 8.63 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 65 | California | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.78 | 2 | 11.53 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 66 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.76 | 1.44 | 11.16 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 67 | NC State | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.6 | 1.11 | 12.48 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 68 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.07 | 3.5 | 13.19 | 4.84 | -0.84 |
| 69 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.91 | -2.88 | 7.97 | 3.61 | 1.39 |
| 70 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.69 | 11.22 | 15.66 | 6.38 | -2.38 |
| 71 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 2.62 | 8.37 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 72 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.29 | -1.78 | 11.19 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 73 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.04 | 2 | 6.14 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 74 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.77 | 4.78 | 12.4 | 5.38 | -1.38 |
| 75 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.74 | 3.67 | 13.93 | 5.29 | -1.29 |
| 76 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.59 | -5.22 | 11.13 | 3.48 | 1.52 |
| 77 | Virginia | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.33 | 2.44 | 11.93 | 5.01 | -1.01 |
| 78 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.3 | 1.78 | 13.66 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 79 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.22 | 1.78 | 12.83 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 80 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.08 | 1.22 | 15.1 | 4.75 | -0.75 |
| 81 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.58 | -2.5 | 10.08 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 82 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.52 | 0.22 | 14.9 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 83 | App State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.73 | 7.12 | 4.02 | 5.05 | -2.05 |
| 84 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.7 | -0.89 | 13 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 85 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.87 | -6.44 | 14.45 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 86 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.66 | 0.25 | 7.12 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 87 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.5 | -9.78 | 13.56 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 88 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.37 | -7.67 | 11.42 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 89 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.32 | -7.89 | 9.62 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 90 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.04 | -2.25 | 11.78 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 91 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.7 | -4.75 | 14.11 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 92 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.65 | -3.62 | 11.63 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 93 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.39 | -2.5 | 4.79 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 94 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.19 | -7.12 | 11.34 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 95 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.06 | -6.12 | 10.45 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 96 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.98 | -9 | 10.96 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 97 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.73 | -2.89 | 13.48 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 98 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.47 | -2.89 | 8.4 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 99 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.44 | -5 | 14.69 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 100 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -8.11 | 9.64 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 101 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.81 | -9.56 | 11.19 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 102 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.76 | -11.11 | 12.83 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 103 | South Florida | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.69 | -10.22 | 9.85 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 104 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.61 | -13.11 | 12.04 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 105 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -14.22 | 12.14 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| 106 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -12.33 | 12.28 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 107 | North Texas | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.35 | -3.88 | 6.57 | 3.41 | -1.41 |
| 108 | UTSA | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.03 | -8.38 | 12.52 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 109 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -9.88 | 10.95 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 110 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -12.5 | 13.57 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 111 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -11.25 | 9.87 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 112 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.76 | -5.44 | 14.76 | 3.7 | -1.7 |
| 113 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -10.75 | 7.3 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 114 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.72 | -9.88 | 11.04 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 115 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.67 | -4.22 | 8.19 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 116 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -15.75 | 11.99 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 117 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.49 | -6.44 | 9.88 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 118 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.47 | -7.78 | 14.39 | 3.33 | -1.33 |
| 119 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3 | -11.22 | 7 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 120 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.83 | -16.11 | 10.65 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 121 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.66 | -10.4 | 9.49 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 122 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.52 | -23.78 | 9.68 | 0.81 | 1.19 |
| 123 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.82 | -10.88 | 12.53 | 2.44 | -1.44 |
| 124 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.54 | -15.25 | 11.39 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 125 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.5 | -16.75 | 12.97 | 1.77 | -0.77 |
| 126 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.15 | -19.22 | 10.81 | 1.82 | -0.82 |
| 127 | Troy | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.06 | -21.56 | 11.39 | 1.19 | -0.19 |
| 128 | SMU | American Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -3.13 | -41 | 16.62 | 0.07 | -0.07 |