Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.061435+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mississippi State | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.77 | 20.11 | 12.65 | 7.57 | 1.43 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.19 | 15.44 | 10.9 | 6.98 | 2.02 |
| 3 | Marshall | Conference USA | 9-0 | 1 | 24.65 | 31.22 | 5.63 | 8.32 | 0.68 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.49 | 21 | 12.95 | 8.09 | 0.91 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.48 | 20.78 | 14.2 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.26 | 24.22 | 12.36 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 7 | TCU | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.17 | 24.89 | 11.78 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 8 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.73 | 11.78 | 12.52 | 6.43 | 1.57 |
| 9 | Baylor | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.59 | 29.11 | 8.02 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 10 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.45 | 20.78 | 8.46 | 7.62 | 0.38 |
| 11 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.2 | 11.5 | 8.35 | 7.21 | 1.79 |
| 12 | Duke | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.04 | 16.56 | 7.23 | 7.4 | 0.6 |
| 13 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.39 | 21.5 | 14.21 | 9.2 | -1.2 |
| 14 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 21.27 | 14.56 | 17.51 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 15 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.73 | 6.8 | 15.59 | 6.26 | 1.74 |
| 16 | Georgia | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.51 | 19.78 | 12.22 | 7.3 | -0.3 |
| 17 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.46 | 12.9 | 11.06 | 7.23 | 0.77 |
| 18 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.4 | 21.11 | 10.46 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 19 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.31 | 9.56 | 13.51 | 6.13 | 0.87 |
| 20 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.3 | 15.11 | 11.37 | 7.04 | -0.04 |
| 21 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.13 | 21.5 | 6.72 | 8.39 | -0.39 |
| 22 | Clemson | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.13 | 14 | 11.46 | 7.13 | -0.13 |
| 23 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.07 | 22.44 | 8.9 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 24 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.05 | 7.78 | 13.74 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| 25 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.97 | 10.44 | 11.79 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 26 | Missouri | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.71 | 9.44 | 10.43 | 6.48 | 0.52 |
| 27 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.51 | 9.33 | 9.57 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 28 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.08 | 9.67 | 6.62 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 29 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.86 | 14.5 | 14.45 | 8.19 | -1.19 |
| 30 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.49 | 6.33 | 4.66 | 5.65 | 1.35 |
| 31 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.49 | 12.88 | 5.5 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 32 | Louisville | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.23 | 13.8 | 11.21 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 33 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.21 | 9.8 | 12.81 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 34 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.08 | 13.78 | 14.2 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 35 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.92 | 12.1 | 9.79 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 36 | Miami | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.77 | 11.11 | 13.77 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 37 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.74 | 12.33 | 12.99 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 38 | Utah State | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.47 | 7.6 | 8.99 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 39 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 15.33 | 10.01 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 40 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 8.11 | 11.6 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 41 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.83 | 10 | 8.06 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 42 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.7 | 4.78 | 10.28 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 43 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 9.22 | 6.25 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 44 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.42 | 4.44 | 7.85 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 45 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 2.22 | 11.32 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 46 | Florida | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.37 | 7.62 | 14.7 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 47 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.3 | 2.78 | 10.71 | 5.01 | 0.99 |
| 48 | Rice | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.21 | 3.78 | 8.2 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 49 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.92 | 2.33 | 8.13 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 50 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.81 | 7.7 | 12.63 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 51 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.56 | 5 | 10.12 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 52 | UCF | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.41 | 4.38 | 9.59 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 53 | Boston College | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.28 | 4.7 | 11.21 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 54 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.07 | 4.3 | 10.02 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 55 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.83 | 8.56 | 12.35 | 6.6 | -1.6 |
| 56 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.56 | -0.67 | 8.14 | 4.39 | 1.61 |
| 57 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.53 | 4.56 | 13.67 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 58 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.52 | 9.44 | 8.62 | 6.57 | -1.57 |
| 59 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.44 | 9.89 | 7.62 | 6.67 | -1.67 |
| 60 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.35 | 2.9 | 6.62 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 61 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.17 | 3.78 | 12.01 | 5.57 | -0.57 |
| 62 | California | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.7 | 2 | 10.6 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 63 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.67 | 4.11 | 6.08 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 64 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.57 | 1.44 | 10.86 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 65 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.32 | 3.33 | 5.14 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 66 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.54 | 11.22 | 15.41 | 6.38 | -2.38 |
| 67 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.39 | 1.3 | 12.44 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 68 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.27 | -0.78 | 8.76 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 69 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.27 | 2.3 | 8.48 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 70 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.12 | 0.9 | 13.48 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 71 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.03 | -1.78 | 10.64 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 72 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.89 | -2.44 | 9.66 | 3.92 | 1.08 |
| 73 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.87 | 0.3 | 13.53 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 74 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.62 | 4.78 | 12.17 | 5.38 | -1.38 |
| 75 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.59 | 3.67 | 13.78 | 5.29 | -1.29 |
| 76 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.4 | -5.22 | 10.87 | 3.48 | 1.52 |
| 77 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.14 | 1.78 | 13.45 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 78 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.07 | 1.22 | 14.81 | 4.75 | -0.75 |
| 79 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.06 | 1.78 | 12.48 | 4.81 | -0.81 |
| 80 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.02 | 6.56 | 4.2 | 5.6 | -1.6 |
| 81 | NC State | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.81 | -2.3 | 12.79 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 82 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.27 | 0.44 | 8.31 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 83 | Virginia | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.89 | 0.8 | 13.11 | 5.19 | -1.19 |
| 84 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.88 | -4.8 | 9.44 | 3.79 | 1.21 |
| 85 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.48 | -1.11 | 11.46 | 4.36 | -0.36 |
| 86 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.92 | -3 | 8.76 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 87 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.7 | -6.44 | 13.81 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 88 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.37 | -9.78 | 13.37 | 2.92 | 1.08 |
| 89 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.46 | -8.6 | 11.56 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 90 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.42 | -7.2 | 10.75 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 91 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.36 | -7 | 9.4 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 92 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.86 | -1.33 | 8.69 | 4.24 | -1.24 |
| 93 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.64 | -1.11 | 6.81 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 94 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.45 | -4.33 | 13.87 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 95 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -4.78 | 11.06 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 96 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.02 | -7 | 12.04 | 3.23 | -0.23 |
| 97 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.02 | -6.67 | 11.32 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 98 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -4.78 | 5.19 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 99 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -8.22 | 10.85 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 100 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.77 | -4.3 | 14.6 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 101 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.7 | -2.9 | 7.9 | 4.28 | -1.28 |
| 102 | South Florida | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -10.22 | 10.47 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 103 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -9.22 | 10.54 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 104 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.61 | -4.2 | 13.79 | 4.31 | -1.31 |
| 105 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -8 | 6.96 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 106 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.54 | -6.3 | 15.45 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 107 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -13.11 | 11.74 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 108 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -11.78 | 10.88 | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| 109 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.9 | -12.1 | 11.67 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 110 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.82 | -13.5 | 11.75 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 111 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.71 | -17.4 | 13.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 112 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.65 | -4.22 | 8.05 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 113 | UTSA | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.33 | -8.56 | 12.61 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 114 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.16 | -10.33 | 11.57 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 115 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.11 | -10.33 | 9.7 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 116 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.01 | -13.33 | 12.63 | 2.36 | -0.36 |
| 117 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.89 | -8.8 | 15.04 | 3.51 | -1.51 |
| 118 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.83 | -8.5 | 11.19 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 119 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.8 | -13.78 | 11.25 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 120 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.63 | -10.4 | 9.94 | 2.85 | -0.85 |
| 121 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.47 | -23.78 | 9.91 | 0.81 | 1.19 |
| 122 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.46 | -12.9 | 8.16 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 123 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.31 | -17.2 | 11.1 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 124 | Troy | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.17 | -17 | 10.03 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 125 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.55 | -11.22 | 12.43 | 2.67 | -1.67 |
| 126 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.34 | -14.67 | 11.14 | 1.47 | -0.47 |
| 127 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.11 | -19.7 | 10.19 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 128 | SMU | American Athletic | 0-8 | 0 | -3 | -37.12 | 14.78 | 0.18 | -0.18 |