Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.061892+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.02 | 14.3 | 10.81 | 7.6 | 2.4 |
| 2 | Marshall | Conference USA | 10-0 | 1 | 24.71 | 30.8 | 6.52 | 9.25 | 0.75 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.7 | 19.2 | 14.96 | 8.81 | 0.19 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.44 | 22.5 | 12.88 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 5 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.33 | 21 | 12.51 | 8.09 | 0.91 |
| 6 | Mississippi State | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.31 | 17.6 | 12.56 | 8.15 | 0.85 |
| 7 | TCU | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.05 | 22.8 | 10.63 | 8.36 | 0.64 |
| 8 | Baylor | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.49 | 29.11 | 7.84 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 9 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.09 | 11.5 | 8.17 | 7.21 | 1.79 |
| 10 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.3 | 21.5 | 14.15 | 9.2 | -1.2 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.07 | 20.5 | 13.16 | 8.29 | -0.29 |
| 12 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.98 | 13.73 | 11.66 | 8.19 | 0.81 |
| 13 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.73 | 21.2 | 10.89 | 8.28 | -0.28 |
| 14 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.65 | 6.8 | 15.46 | 6.26 | 1.74 |
| 15 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.65 | 23.7 | 9.96 | 9.02 | -1.02 |
| 16 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.5 | 7.9 | 14.01 | 6.36 | 1.64 |
| 17 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.36 | 9.8 | 11.38 | 6.81 | 1.19 |
| 18 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.34 | 9.5 | 12.16 | 6.76 | 1.24 |
| 19 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.32 | 15.2 | 9.23 | 7.65 | 0.35 |
| 20 | Missouri | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.14 | 9.2 | 11.08 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Duke | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.09 | 14.8 | 8.03 | 8.05 | -0.05 |
| 22 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.04 | 15.11 | 10.83 | 7.04 | -0.04 |
| 23 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.6 | 9.4 | 7.65 | 6.89 | 1.11 |
| 24 | Auburn | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.95 | 10.4 | 17.29 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 25 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 18.94 | 6 | 5.39 | 6.23 | 1.77 |
| 26 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.48 | 13.6 | 13.43 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 27 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.41 | 16.55 | 6.73 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 28 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.29 | 11.9 | 12.87 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 29 | Clemson | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.15 | 10.4 | 11.81 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 30 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.14 | 8.3 | 12.83 | 6.53 | 0.47 |
| 31 | Louisville | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.07 | 13.8 | 10.37 | 7.96 | -0.96 |
| 32 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.07 | 16.9 | 9.56 | 8.32 | -1.32 |
| 33 | Utah State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.04 | 7.55 | 8.68 | 7.54 | 0.46 |
| 34 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.89 | 7.6 | 12.33 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 35 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.84 | 12.1 | 9.43 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 36 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.74 | 7.7 | 10.49 | 6.69 | 0.31 |
| 37 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.34 | 12.7 | 6 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 38 | LSU | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 17.1 | 11.64 | 13.78 | 8.59 | -1.59 |
| 39 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.99 | 3.2 | 10 | 5.64 | 1.36 |
| 40 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.98 | 5.6 | 7.38 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 41 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.81 | 5.33 | 11.53 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 42 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.75 | 8.27 | 13.12 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 43 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.71 | 10.56 | 6.36 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 44 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.58 | 6.56 | 8.77 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 45 | Miami | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.18 | 9.6 | 15.11 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 46 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 15.74 | 0.4 | 7.23 | 5.07 | 1.93 |
| 47 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.68 | 7.7 | 12.88 | 6.47 | -0.47 |
| 48 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.42 | 6 | 12.51 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 49 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.24 | 8.5 | 8.18 | 6.65 | -0.65 |
| 50 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.23 | 5.1 | 11.92 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 51 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.16 | 3.27 | 6.27 | 6.38 | 0.62 |
| 52 | Boston College | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.11 | 4.7 | 10.91 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 53 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.06 | 3.6 | 11.38 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 54 | Florida | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.8 | 6.44 | 13.83 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 55 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.36 | 1.8 | 8.86 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 56 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.32 | 9.89 | 7.64 | 6.67 | -1.67 |
| 57 | Rice | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.12 | 0.7 | 9.93 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 58 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.94 | 1.1 | 8.37 | 5.22 | 0.78 |
| 59 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.88 | 11.8 | 15.44 | 7.33 | -2.33 |
| 60 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.87 | 3.82 | 10.86 | 6.37 | -0.37 |
| 61 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.79 | 2.73 | 13.15 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 62 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.78 | -0.2 | 11.75 | 4.96 | 1.04 |
| 63 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.37 | 7.4 | 12.68 | 7.06 | -2.06 |
| 64 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.09 | 4.5 | 14.77 | 6 | -1 |
| 65 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 4.9 | 12.81 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 66 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 6.8 | 9.17 | 6.72 | -1.72 |
| 67 | NC State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.93 | 0.55 | 11.94 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 68 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.9 | 3.4 | 14.42 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 69 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.83 | -1.8 | 10.67 | 4.52 | 1.48 |
| 70 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.68 | -2.5 | 11.01 | 4.46 | 1.54 |
| 71 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.45 | 1.9 | 13.28 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 72 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.38 | 6.4 | 5.33 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 73 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.25 | 3.3 | 6.94 | 5.67 | -0.67 |
| 74 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.18 | 2.3 | 8.87 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 75 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.12 | 1.8 | 10.78 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 76 | California | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.07 | 1 | 11.09 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 77 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.94 | 2.1 | 6.35 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 78 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.83 | 0.3 | 12.92 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 79 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.69 | 0.3 | 10.56 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 80 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.45 | -1.9 | 10.1 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 81 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.45 | 3.8 | 11.04 | 5.76 | -1.76 |
| 82 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.24 | -3.7 | 10.39 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 83 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.1 | -5.3 | 13.36 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 84 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.88 | -4.8 | 8.97 | 3.79 | 1.21 |
| 85 | Virginia | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.79 | 0.8 | 13.18 | 5.19 | -1.19 |
| 86 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.65 | -1.91 | 12.18 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 87 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.11 | -1.2 | 6.23 | 4.78 | -0.78 |
| 88 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.1 | -3.6 | 14.7 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 89 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.03 | -2.7 | 8.28 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 90 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.44 | -7.2 | 10.29 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 91 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.41 | -10.4 | 13.55 | 3.08 | 0.92 |
| 92 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.38 | -7 | 9 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 93 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.38 | -8.6 | 11.4 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 94 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.22 | -1.73 | 8.38 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 95 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.12 | -9.1 | 8.87 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 96 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.76 | -2.6 | 8.12 | 4.41 | -1.41 |
| 97 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.68 | -4.3 | 14.06 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 98 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.67 | -2.8 | 7.34 | 4.44 | -1.44 |
| 99 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.66 | -2.4 | 7.99 | 4.55 | -1.55 |
| 100 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.66 | -4.2 | 13.41 | 4.31 | -1.31 |
| 101 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.45 | -6.3 | 14.85 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 102 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.36 | -5.6 | 10.08 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 103 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.31 | -6.7 | 12.04 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 104 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.16 | -8.5 | 12.15 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 105 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.15 | -8.1 | 11.32 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 106 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.1 | -7.5 | 11.42 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 107 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.95 | -11 | 12.06 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 108 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.9 | -11.4 | 11.27 | 2.41 | 0.59 |
| 109 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.85 | -12.1 | 11.83 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 110 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.84 | -13 | 12.18 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 111 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.83 | -10 | 6.9 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 112 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.77 | -13.5 | 11.7 | 2.18 | 0.82 |
| 113 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.48 | -6.55 | 10.59 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 114 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.02 | -16 | 13.17 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 115 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.88 | -13.91 | 8.78 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 116 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.08 | -10.33 | 9.98 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 117 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.96 | -13.33 | 12.55 | 2.36 | -0.36 |
| 118 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.85 | -8.8 | 14.75 | 3.51 | -1.51 |
| 119 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.56 | -12.2 | 11.43 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 120 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.43 | -12.9 | 7.99 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 121 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.41 | -14.8 | 11.45 | 2.4 | -0.4 |
| 122 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.21 | -10.09 | 10.16 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 123 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 1.97 | -25.8 | 10.34 | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| 124 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.83 | -17.36 | 11.54 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 125 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.27 | -11.8 | 11.28 | 2.84 | -1.84 |
| 126 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.13 | -14.2 | 11.57 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 127 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.12 | -19.7 | 10.5 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 128 | SMU | American Athletic | 0-9 | 0 | -2.89 | -33.11 | 14.5 | 0.27 | -0.27 |