Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.062347+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 11-0 | 1 | 24.84 | 13.27 | 10.62 | 8.27 | 2.73 |
| 2 | Marshall | Conference USA | 11-0 | 1 | 24.57 | 28.45 | 6.51 | 10.07 | 0.93 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.47 | 21.82 | 12.32 | 9.17 | 0.83 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.42 | 20.55 | 12.25 | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| 5 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.31 | 22.18 | 11.35 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| 6 | Mississippi State | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.24 | 20.64 | 11.26 | 9.42 | 0.58 |
| 7 | TCU | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.88 | 22.8 | 10.16 | 8.36 | 0.64 |
| 8 | Baylor | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.71 | 28.3 | 8.44 | 8.78 | 0.22 |
| 9 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.31 | 13.91 | 7.86 | 8.29 | 1.71 |
| 10 | Georgia | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.19 | 22.82 | 10.89 | 9.41 | -0.41 |
| 11 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.14 | 7.82 | 15.51 | 7.1 | 1.9 |
| 12 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.12 | 23.09 | 10.49 | 9.4 | -0.4 |
| 13 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.06 | 21.73 | 10.43 | 9.72 | -0.72 |
| 14 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.05 | 11.64 | 13.24 | 7.62 | 1.38 |
| 15 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.91 | 11.55 | 12.42 | 7.84 | 1.16 |
| 16 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.88 | 13.73 | 11.26 | 8.19 | 0.81 |
| 17 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.58 | 10.82 | 10.59 | 7.62 | 1.38 |
| 18 | Missouri | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.48 | 9.09 | 10.79 | 7.78 | 1.22 |
| 19 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.41 | 14.2 | 11.19 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 20 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.45 | 16.82 | 13.98 | 9.58 | -1.58 |
| 21 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.38 | 6.09 | 5.75 | 6.92 | 2.08 |
| 22 | Auburn | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.16 | 11.64 | 14.46 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 23 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.13 | 15.73 | 12.83 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 24 | Louisville | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.7 | 12.82 | 10.98 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 25 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.69 | 13.45 | 10.11 | 8.16 | -0.16 |
| 26 | Clemson | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.66 | 12 | 11.04 | 8.51 | -0.51 |
| 27 | Utah State | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.59 | 9.75 | 8.53 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| 28 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.59 | 16.36 | 9.02 | 9.07 | -1.07 |
| 29 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.36 | 16.55 | 7.34 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 30 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.34 | 7.36 | 11.24 | 7.28 | 0.72 |
| 31 | Duke | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.28 | 11.18 | 8.16 | 8.11 | -0.11 |
| 32 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.04 | 12.64 | 6.7 | 8.11 | -0.11 |
| 33 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.93 | 7.09 | 7.97 | 7.13 | 0.87 |
| 34 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.65 | 8.9 | 10.32 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 35 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.37 | 12.3 | 6.74 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 36 | UCF | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.37 | 10.5 | 7.56 | 7.44 | -0.44 |
| 37 | LSU | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.89 | 11.64 | 13.07 | 8.59 | -1.59 |
| 38 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.79 | 9.18 | 13.29 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 39 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.61 | 7.27 | 13.19 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 40 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.59 | 8.27 | 12.74 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 41 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.46 | 11.27 | 10.43 | 7.82 | -0.82 |
| 42 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.41 | 10.73 | 9.53 | 7.72 | -0.72 |
| 43 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.17 | 4 | 12.88 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 44 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.66 | 4.91 | 7.95 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 45 | Florida | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.64 | 10.7 | 11.39 | 7.27 | -1.27 |
| 46 | Rice | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.38 | 2.27 | 10.2 | 6.04 | 0.96 |
| 47 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.35 | 2.27 | 9.88 | 5.97 | 1.03 |
| 48 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.16 | 1.18 | 9.98 | 5.77 | 1.23 |
| 49 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 15.11 | 13.45 | 15.29 | 8.47 | -2.47 |
| 50 | Houston | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.1 | 9.9 | 7.44 | 7.32 | -1.32 |
| 51 | Maryland | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.97 | 0.45 | 12.05 | 5.61 | 1.39 |
| 52 | Miami | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.66 | 7.18 | 14.48 | 7.19 | -1.19 |
| 53 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.61 | 5.5 | 10.43 | 7.37 | -0.37 |
| 54 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.44 | 8.64 | 12.26 | 8.03 | -2.03 |
| 55 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.43 | 6.45 | 13.21 | 6.9 | -0.9 |
| 56 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.16 | -0.27 | 8.31 | 5.44 | 1.56 |
| 57 | Boston College | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.01 | 4 | 12.37 | 6.59 | -0.59 |
| 58 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.98 | 4.45 | 11.42 | 7.04 | -1.04 |
| 59 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.93 | 4 | 12.61 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 60 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.9 | 6.09 | 8.82 | 6.8 | -0.8 |
| 61 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.83 | 5.09 | 10.36 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 62 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.78 | 2.73 | 12.86 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 63 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.71 | 2 | 7.05 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 64 | App State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.64 | 7.55 | 6.2 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 65 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.49 | 4.64 | 7.64 | 6.51 | -0.51 |
| 66 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.34 | 1.45 | 11.17 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 67 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.3 | 3.36 | 7.73 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 68 | Navy | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 4.9 | 12.5 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 69 | NC State | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.95 | 0.55 | 11.68 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 70 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 6.8 | 9.41 | 6.72 | -1.72 |
| 71 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.68 | 0.36 | 10.34 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 72 | UTEP | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.03 | -0.64 | 8.99 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 73 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.84 | 3.36 | 14.99 | 6.33 | -1.33 |
| 74 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.68 | -2.55 | 13.21 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 75 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.67 | 5.55 | 10.63 | 6.75 | -1.75 |
| 76 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.56 | 2.82 | 13 | 6.33 | -1.33 |
| 77 | Virginia | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.35 | 2.27 | 13.37 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 78 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.29 | -3.91 | 10.47 | 4.38 | 1.62 |
| 79 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.13 | -6.09 | 11.9 | 4.07 | 1.93 |
| 80 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.03 | 1.64 | 10.47 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 81 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.25 | -0.36 | 13.09 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 82 | California | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.84 | -1 | 11.54 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 83 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.79 | -1.09 | 13.4 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 84 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.77 | -0.27 | 8.16 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 85 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.49 | -1.91 | 11.98 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 86 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.99 | -3.91 | 10.07 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 87 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.9 | -5.27 | 11.63 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 88 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.8 | -5 | 9.83 | 4.09 | 0.91 |
| 89 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.78 | -4.73 | 10.35 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 90 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.6 | -6.09 | 10.12 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 91 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.54 | -9.27 | 13.46 | 3.52 | 1.48 |
| 92 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.16 | -1.2 | 6.03 | 4.78 | -0.78 |
| 93 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.38 | -1 | 7.57 | 5.26 | -1.26 |
| 94 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7 | -2.27 | 7.29 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 95 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.56 | -1.83 | 7.85 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 96 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -6.18 | 9.95 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 97 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.32 | -9.27 | 9.62 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 98 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.27 | -12.27 | 12.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 99 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.18 | -11.55 | 11.55 | 3.43 | 0.57 |
| 100 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.12 | -8.09 | 5.35 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 101 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.87 | -5.83 | 9.42 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 102 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.79 | -5.73 | 13.99 | 4.48 | -1.48 |
| 103 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.74 | -4.36 | 7.83 | 4.56 | -1.56 |
| 104 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.73 | -6 | 13.12 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 105 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.56 | -7.91 | 13.87 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 106 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.43 | -9.09 | 13.29 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 107 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.42 | -8.18 | 10.54 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 108 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.4 | -9.55 | 13.02 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 109 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.28 | -10.27 | 11.3 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 110 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.24 | -11.09 | 12.05 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 111 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.15 | -10.82 | 11.44 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 112 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.13 | -12.91 | 11.98 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 113 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.12 | -13.36 | 12.43 | 2.35 | 0.65 |
| 114 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.97 | -16 | 12.95 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 115 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.95 | -16.91 | 12.61 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| 116 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.94 | -13.91 | 8.61 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 117 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.54 | -12.3 | 11.62 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 118 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.46 | -13.4 | 10.58 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 119 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.23 | -11.09 | 15.6 | 3.43 | -1.43 |
| 120 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.19 | -10.09 | 10.61 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 121 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.98 | -12.91 | 7.56 | 2.88 | -0.88 |
| 122 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.97 | -14.36 | 11.7 | 2.72 | -0.72 |
| 123 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.63 | -16.08 | 10.93 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 124 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.54 | -24.82 | 10.17 | 1 | 1 |
| 125 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.26 | -11.8 | 10.93 | 2.84 | -1.84 |
| 126 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.13 | -14.2 | 11.77 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 127 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.37 | -20.45 | 11.25 | 1.91 | -0.91 |
| 128 | SMU | American Athletic | 0-10 | 0 | -2.91 | -34.4 | 14.57 | 0.27 | -0.27 |