Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.063229+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida State | ACC | 13-0 | 1 | 24.76 | 11.77 | 11.39 | 9.45 | 3.55 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.77 | 24.08 | 12.97 | 11.16 | 0.84 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.61 | 20.46 | 12.76 | 11.31 | 0.69 |
| 4 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.48 | 23.85 | 11.44 | 11.02 | 0.98 |
| 5 | TCU | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.18 | 26.5 | 9.41 | 10.54 | 0.46 |
| 6 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.02 | 24.67 | 8.88 | 10.09 | 0.91 |
| 7 | Marshall | Conference USA | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.83 | 24.23 | 7.88 | 11.2 | 0.8 |
| 8 | Boise State | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.72 | 13.31 | 13.13 | 9.41 | 1.59 |
| 9 | Mississippi State | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.2 | 17.75 | 11.34 | 9.88 | 0.12 |
| 10 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.16 | 23.17 | 9.95 | 10.34 | -0.34 |
| 11 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.44 | 8.54 | 7.5 | 8.78 | 2.22 |
| 12 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.44 | 12.5 | 8.34 | 8.81 | 1.19 |
| 13 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.83 | 11.92 | 12.98 | 9.3 | 0.7 |
| 14 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.78 | 16.58 | 14.33 | 10.39 | -1.39 |
| 15 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.73 | 14.62 | 11.31 | 10.22 | -0.22 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.52 | 7.38 | 13.13 | 8.29 | 1.71 |
| 17 | Georgia | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.51 | 20.42 | 11.53 | 9.98 | -0.98 |
| 18 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.2 | 14.08 | 10.98 | 9.19 | -0.19 |
| 19 | Missouri | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.19 | 6 | 11.9 | 8.35 | 1.65 |
| 20 | Clemson | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.08 | 12.5 | 11.13 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 21 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 5.42 | 15 | 7.26 | 1.74 |
| 22 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.98 | 12.58 | 10.43 | 8.71 | 0.29 |
| 23 | Louisville | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.95 | 12.08 | 10.39 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 | Memphis | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 17.58 | 8.07 | 10.11 | -1.11 |
| 25 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 9.33 | 10.83 | 7.99 | 1.01 |
| 26 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.74 | 8.67 | 10.7 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 27 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.67 | 15.67 | 7.38 | 9.25 | -0.25 |
| 28 | Duke | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.49 | 11.92 | 7.46 | 8.96 | 0.04 |
| 29 | UCF | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.45 | 10.25 | 8.02 | 8.94 | 0.06 |
| 30 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.35 | 6.75 | 9.12 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| 31 | Auburn | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 9.75 | 14.61 | 8.16 | -0.16 |
| 32 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 14.17 | 12.06 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 33 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 11.33 | 12.81 | 8.59 | -0.59 |
| 34 | LSU | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.42 | 11.17 | 12.82 | 9.29 | -1.29 |
| 35 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 10.92 | 10.16 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 36 | Utah State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.01 | 6.62 | 9.25 | 8.56 | 0.44 |
| 37 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 5.92 | 11.52 | 7.56 | 0.44 |
| 38 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.68 | 11.5 | 6.98 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 39 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.68 | 10.75 | 7.61 | 8.49 | -0.49 |
| 40 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.54 | 4 | 11.55 | 7 | 1 |
| 41 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.38 | 5.08 | 9.2 | 7.12 | 0.88 |
| 42 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.14 | 12.31 | 11 | 9.35 | -1.35 |
| 43 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.01 | 2.67 | 9.34 | 6.65 | 1.35 |
| 44 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.48 | 6.46 | 9.67 | 8.27 | -0.27 |
| 45 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.13 | 9.67 | 11.94 | 9.05 | -2.05 |
| 46 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.01 | 7.08 | 12.73 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 47 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.91 | 7 | 12 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 48 | Boston College | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.72 | 5.42 | 11.89 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 49 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.65 | 9.83 | 7.45 | 8.7 | -1.7 |
| 50 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.64 | 3.75 | 13.17 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
| 51 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.59 | 4.75 | 11.5 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 52 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.55 | 8.33 | 7.91 | 7.81 | -0.81 |
| 53 | Florida | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.46 | 9.27 | 12.29 | 7.73 | -1.73 |
| 54 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.3 | 2.83 | 11.74 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 55 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.29 | 4.25 | 9.46 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 56 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.23 | 3.17 | 10.6 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 57 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.22 | 5.67 | 7.36 | 7.72 | -0.72 |
| 58 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.22 | 6.17 | 6.83 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 59 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.21 | 8.33 | 5.07 | 7.83 | -0.83 |
| 60 | Navy | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.94 | 4.64 | 11.97 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 61 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.81 | 11.75 | 15.28 | 8.97 | -2.97 |
| 62 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.61 | 2 | 7.29 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 63 | Maryland | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.3 | 0.17 | 11.19 | 6.04 | 0.96 |
| 64 | Miami | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.17 | 5.58 | 14.3 | 7.44 | -1.44 |
| 65 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.82 | 6.08 | 10.42 | 7.49 | -1.49 |
| 66 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.82 | 3.67 | 13.66 | 7 | -1 |
| 67 | UTEP | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.78 | -0.33 | 9.56 | 5.92 | 1.08 |
| 68 | Temple | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 5.58 | 9.73 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 69 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.59 | 2.92 | 12.77 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 70 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.4 | 2.17 | 12.52 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 71 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.35 | 2.08 | 12.18 | 6.79 | -0.79 |
| 72 | Rice | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.34 | -1.67 | 10.51 | 5.6 | 1.4 |
| 73 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 3.25 | 9.58 | 6.73 | -0.73 |
| 74 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.75 | -5.33 | 11.51 | 4.68 | 2.32 |
| 75 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.38 | 0.08 | 10.76 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 76 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.17 | -0.67 | 13.61 | 5.79 | 0.21 |
| 77 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.91 | -4.15 | 9.94 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| 78 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.52 | 1.75 | 13.39 | 6.5 | -1.5 |
| 79 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.17 | 0.73 | 5.54 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 80 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.16 | -4.67 | 13.28 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 81 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.1 | -3.75 | 10.87 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 82 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.02 | -4.58 | 11.97 | 4.91 | 1.09 |
| 83 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.86 | -4.33 | 8.93 | 4.66 | 1.34 |
| 84 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.82 | -7.33 | 12.89 | 4.31 | 1.69 |
| 85 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.75 | -5.33 | 9.23 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 86 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.59 | 0.5 | 7.8 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 87 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.08 | -4.54 | 10.46 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 88 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.98 | -1.5 | 13.47 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 89 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.95 | -0.5 | 7.45 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 90 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.87 | -1.5 | 11.84 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 91 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.73 | -2.08 | 12.29 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 92 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.67 | -2.17 | 11.71 | 5.36 | -0.36 |
| 93 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8 | -5.92 | 11 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 94 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.51 | -1.83 | 8.04 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 95 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -2.67 | 6.54 | 5.34 | -1.34 |
| 96 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.18 | -8.09 | 6.18 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 97 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -6.17 | 10.68 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 98 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -7.75 | 11.59 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -8.25 | 12.28 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 100 | UTSA | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.67 | -8.83 | 10.72 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 101 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -9.83 | 10.73 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 102 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.59 | -10.75 | 11.92 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 103 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -11.75 | 11.73 | 3.11 | 0.89 |
| 104 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.41 | -5.92 | 8.82 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 105 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.14 | -6.75 | 13.44 | 4.66 | -1.66 |
| 106 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -7.25 | 13.24 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 107 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.07 | -5.67 | 7.94 | 4.68 | -1.68 |
| 108 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.01 | -7.83 | 12.7 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 109 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.77 | -10.42 | 11.62 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 110 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.76 | -10.08 | 10.57 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 111 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.71 | -11.58 | 12.2 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 112 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -12.42 | 12.16 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 113 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -15.42 | 12.55 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 114 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -16.08 | 12.16 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 115 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.46 | -16.42 | 12.52 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 116 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.46 | -14.33 | 8.9 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 117 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.03 | -12.64 | 11.26 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 118 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.99 | -10.5 | 14.95 | 3.87 | -1.87 |
| 119 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.99 | -9.5 | 10.45 | 3.62 | -1.62 |
| 120 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.71 | -14.58 | 12.24 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 121 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.71 | -14.33 | 10.53 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 122 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.67 | -15.67 | 12.56 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 123 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.65 | -14.58 | 8.2 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 124 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.27 | -25.75 | 11.24 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 125 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.15 | -16.54 | 11.75 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 126 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0 | -12.27 | 11.26 | 3.08 | -2.08 |
| 127 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.61 | -20.67 | 11.34 | 2.13 | -1.13 |
| 128 | SMU | American Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.98 | -30.25 | 13.81 | 0.51 | 0.49 |