Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.065334+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.84 | 22.86 | 13.42 | 11.8 | 1.2 |
| 2 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.61 | 24.93 | 11.81 | 11.98 | 1.02 |
| 3 | Marshall | Conference USA | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.02 | 24.57 | 8.72 | 12.07 | 0.93 |
| 4 | TCU | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.02 | 27.46 | 9.45 | 11.61 | 0.39 |
| 5 | Florida State | ACC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 22.86 | 8.14 | 12.23 | 9.21 | 3.79 |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.03 | 18.5 | 13.13 | 11.74 | 0.26 |
| 7 | Boise State | Mountain West | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.7 | 12.93 | 12.76 | 10.05 | 1.95 |
| 8 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.5 | 21.46 | 10.71 | 10.89 | 0.11 |
| 9 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.32 | 22.69 | 9.44 | 10.64 | 0.36 |
| 10 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.11 | 12.14 | 13.08 | 10 | 1 |
| 11 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.88 | 13.79 | 11.05 | 10.77 | 0.23 |
| 12 | Georgia | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.86 | 20.62 | 11.92 | 10.89 | -0.89 |
| 13 | Mississippi State | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.58 | 15.23 | 11.54 | 10.13 | -0.13 |
| 14 | Missouri | SEC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.55 | 6.71 | 12.24 | 9.22 | 1.78 |
| 15 | Clemson | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.46 | 14.15 | 11.12 | 10.54 | -0.54 |
| 16 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.35 | 5.38 | 14.88 | 7.83 | 2.17 |
| 17 | Memphis | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.18 | 16.77 | 8.56 | 10.58 | -0.58 |
| 18 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.13 | 9 | 11.13 | 8.58 | 1.42 |
| 19 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 18.88 | 5.86 | 8.44 | 8.67 | 2.33 |
| 20 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.78 | 8.85 | 8.9 | 8.73 | 1.27 |
| 21 | Air Force | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.73 | 7.31 | 9.4 | 8.47 | 1.53 |
| 22 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.51 | 15.67 | 7.36 | 9.25 | -0.25 |
| 23 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 18.07 | 12.31 | 14.8 | 10.33 | -1.33 |
| 24 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.89 | 6.29 | 13.67 | 8.64 | 1.36 |
| 25 | USC | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.7 | 10.69 | 12.86 | 9.08 | -0.08 |
| 26 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.56 | 12.62 | 10.98 | 9.58 | -0.58 |
| 27 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.4 | 11.38 | 10.43 | 9.11 | -0.11 |
| 28 | Utah State | Mountain West | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.36 | 7.21 | 9.19 | 9.48 | 0.52 |
| 29 | Louisville | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.33 | 9.38 | 10.91 | 9.11 | -0.11 |
| 30 | Utah | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.19 | 6.38 | 11.83 | 8.22 | 0.78 |
| 31 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.09 | 6.77 | 10.83 | 8.17 | 0.83 |
| 32 | Duke | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.02 | 10.62 | 8.02 | 9.35 | -0.35 |
| 33 | UCF | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.94 | 8.92 | 8.35 | 9.26 | -0.26 |
| 34 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.78 | 6.15 | 9 | 7.9 | 1.1 |
| 35 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.45 | 3.46 | 9.26 | 7.46 | 1.54 |
| 36 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.38 | 12.64 | 10.61 | 10.18 | -1.18 |
| 37 | Auburn | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.15 | 8.77 | 14.41 | 8.61 | -0.61 |
| 38 | LSU | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.02 | 10.08 | 12.56 | 9.69 | -1.69 |
| 39 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16 | 10.46 | 12.21 | 8.98 | -0.98 |
| 40 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.98 | 10.77 | 11.89 | 9.98 | -1.98 |
| 41 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.77 | 7.15 | 12.49 | 8.21 | -0.21 |
| 42 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.72 | 9.54 | 10.5 | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 43 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.43 | 3.69 | 13.32 | 7.41 | 0.59 |
| 44 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.4 | 8.85 | 8.35 | 8.74 | -0.74 |
| 45 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.39 | 10 | 7.62 | 8.9 | -0.9 |
| 46 | Navy | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.37 | 4.54 | 11.78 | 7.67 | 0.33 |
| 47 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.34 | 9.15 | 7.7 | 9.16 | -1.16 |
| 48 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.32 | 4.23 | 11.71 | 7.73 | 0.27 |
| 49 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.31 | 4.46 | 11.33 | 7.31 | 0.69 |
| 50 | NC State | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.13 | 3.15 | 11.62 | 7.35 | 0.65 |
| 51 | Florida | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15 | 9.17 | 12.19 | 8.42 | -1.42 |
| 52 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.54 | 12.69 | 14.14 | 9.99 | -2.99 |
| 53 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-6 | 0.57 | 14.11 | 5.43 | 9.54 | 8.61 | -0.61 |
| 54 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.08 | 6.17 | 6.7 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 55 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.07 | 8.33 | 4.89 | 7.83 | -0.83 |
| 56 | Rice | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.06 | 0.31 | 10.2 | 6.58 | 1.42 |
| 57 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.73 | 4.69 | 13.07 | 7.84 | -0.84 |
| 58 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.7 | 5.85 | 11.46 | 7.95 | -0.95 |
| 59 | Boston College | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.61 | 4.92 | 11.67 | 8.07 | -1.07 |
| 60 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.53 | 3.92 | 12.28 | 7.85 | -0.85 |
| 61 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.42 | 6.23 | 8.51 | 7.91 | -0.91 |
| 62 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.2 | 5.15 | 7.68 | 8.24 | -1.24 |
| 63 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.18 | 2.23 | 12.19 | 7.04 | -0.04 |
| 64 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.12 | 2 | 12.14 | 7.28 | -0.28 |
| 65 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.95 | 2.62 | 9.08 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 66 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.92 | 1.92 | 10.4 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 67 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.78 | -3.46 | 11.1 | 5.57 | 2.43 |
| 68 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.6 | 1.77 | 7.73 | 7.02 | -0.02 |
| 69 | Temple | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 5.58 | 9.42 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 70 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.22 | 3.25 | 9.47 | 6.73 | -0.73 |
| 71 | Miami | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.95 | 4.92 | 13.34 | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 72 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.74 | 5.54 | 10.28 | 7.95 | -1.95 |
| 73 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 11.52 | -3.5 | 9.68 | 6.09 | 1.91 |
| 74 | Maryland | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.41 | -1.69 | 11.42 | 6.06 | 0.94 |
| 75 | UTEP | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.35 | -1.46 | 10 | 6.09 | 0.91 |
| 76 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.26 | 0.08 | 10.47 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 77 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.96 | -3.62 | 11.16 | 5.56 | 1.44 |
| 78 | Virginia | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.37 | 1.75 | 12.59 | 6.5 | -1.5 |
| 79 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.06 | 0.73 | 5.18 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 80 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.74 | -4.33 | 8.59 | 4.66 | 1.34 |
| 81 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.67 | -5.33 | 9.3 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 82 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.53 | -2.46 | 13.06 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 83 | Ball State | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.48 | 0.5 | 7.33 | 6.13 | -1.13 |
| 84 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.1 | -3.85 | 10.87 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 85 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.98 | -5.77 | 12.81 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 86 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.9 | -1.5 | 13.44 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 87 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.86 | -0.5 | 7.34 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 88 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.76 | -1.5 | 11.44 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 89 | Illinois | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.74 | -8.08 | 12.73 | 4.48 | 1.52 |
| 90 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.63 | -2.08 | 11.97 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 91 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.55 | -2.17 | 11.15 | 5.36 | -0.36 |
| 92 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-8 | 0.43 | 8.13 | -5.93 | 10.54 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 93 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.93 | -5.92 | 10.94 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 94 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.44 | -1.83 | 7.92 | 5.46 | -1.46 |
| 95 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.17 | -2.67 | 6.48 | 5.34 | -1.34 |
| 96 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -6.17 | 10.5 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 97 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.74 | -7.75 | 11.34 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 98 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.72 | -8.25 | 11.87 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 99 | UTSA | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.62 | -8.83 | 10.59 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 100 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -8 | 7.2 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 101 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -9.83 | 10.26 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 102 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -10.75 | 11.15 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 103 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.46 | -11.75 | 11.55 | 3.11 | 0.89 |
| 104 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.35 | -5.92 | 8.38 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 105 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -6.75 | 13.19 | 4.66 | -1.66 |
| 106 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -5.67 | 7.85 | 4.68 | -1.68 |
| 107 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -7.25 | 12.56 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 108 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.95 | -7.83 | 12 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 109 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -10.42 | 11.38 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 110 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.71 | -10.08 | 9.96 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 111 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -11.58 | 11.84 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 112 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -12.42 | 11.67 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 113 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.45 | -15.42 | 11.63 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 114 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -16.08 | 12.01 | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| 115 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.42 | -16.42 | 12.18 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 116 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.42 | -14.33 | 8.69 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 117 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.01 | -12.64 | 10.99 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 118 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.97 | -10.5 | 14.52 | 3.87 | -1.87 |
| 119 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.97 | -9.5 | 10.07 | 3.62 | -1.62 |
| 120 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.69 | -14.58 | 11.71 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 121 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.68 | -14.33 | 10.22 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 122 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.64 | -15.67 | 11.8 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 123 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.64 | -14.58 | 7.87 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 124 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.26 | -25.75 | 11.04 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| 125 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.14 | -16.54 | 11.01 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 126 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0 | -12.27 | 10.79 | 3.08 | -2.08 |
| 127 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.6 | -20.67 | 11.11 | 2.13 | -1.13 |
| 128 | SMU | American Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.91 | -30.25 | 13.3 | 0.51 | 0.49 |