Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.059640+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 27.56 | 21.83 | 17.55 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 2 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 27.08 | 23.83 | 14.92 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 25.92 | 18.33 | 10.2 | 4.91 | 1.09 |
| 4 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-0 | 1 | 25.9 | 17.33 | 10.28 | 5.04 | 0.96 |
| 5 | Marshall | Conference USA | 6-0 | 1 | 25.73 | 30.67 | 7.65 | 5.51 | 0.49 |
| 6 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.46 | 32.67 | 6.15 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 7 | Auburn | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 23.64 | 20.5 | 17.88 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 8 | Alabama | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.83 | 17.83 | 15.66 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 9 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.55 | 19 | 13.91 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 10 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.51 | 19 | 13.49 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 11 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.41 | 10.67 | 13.6 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 12 | Georgia | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.08 | 25.17 | 10.21 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 13 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.03 | 23.17 | 10.05 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 14 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.84 | 22.8 | 11.09 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 15 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.8 | 21.17 | 8.78 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 16 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.64 | 8 | 10.68 | 3.95 | 1.05 |
| 17 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.47 | 23.8 | 10.45 | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 18 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.44 | 17.83 | 8.01 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 19 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.39 | 8.33 | 11.03 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 20 | Duke | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.21 | 20.33 | 6.19 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 21 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.14 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 22 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.09 | 10.67 | 8.2 | 4.28 | 0.72 |
| 23 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21 | 17.17 | 5.55 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 24 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.92 | 12.5 | 6.39 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 25 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.84 | 18.2 | 8.07 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 26 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.78 | 19.8 | 7.25 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 27 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.63 | 7.83 | 6.41 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 28 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.53 | 9.8 | 8.92 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 29 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.46 | 7.17 | 6.27 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 30 | Temple | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.73 | 23.8 | 0.81 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 31 | LSU | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.61 | 15.86 | 14.55 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 32 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.59 | 21.29 | 11.32 | 5.8 | -0.8 |
| 33 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 19.5 | 4.8 | 5.64 | 3.04 | 0.96 |
| 34 | Louisville | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.14 | 16.86 | 9.6 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 35 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.8 | 6.5 | 18.35 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 36 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.77 | 20.29 | 7.92 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 37 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.76 | 9.83 | 18.57 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 38 | Clemson | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.53 | 16.33 | 14.37 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 39 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.23 | 16.33 | 11.97 | 5.45 | -1.45 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.11 | 10.67 | 12.85 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 41 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.07 | 8.83 | 11.63 | 4.08 | -0.08 |
| 42 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.92 | 17 | 9.66 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 43 | Virginia | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.8 | 9.17 | 11.36 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 44 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.79 | 6 | 11.92 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 45 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.78 | 4 | 15.63 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 46 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.76 | 9.5 | 11.56 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 47 | Missouri | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.73 | 6 | 11.45 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 48 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.67 | 9.5 | 10.2 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 49 | Boston College | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.52 | 10.33 | 9.72 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 50 | California | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 4 | 11.69 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 51 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 12.67 | 8.29 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 52 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 6.5 | 7.55 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 53 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 6.33 | 9.1 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 54 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 9 | 7.74 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 55 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.03 | 4.5 | 10.89 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 56 | Florida | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.97 | 9.6 | 15.39 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 57 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.57 | 3.67 | 5.45 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 58 | Miami | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.57 | 7 | 15.26 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 59 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 15.44 | -1.57 | 7.56 | 3.32 | 1.68 |
| 60 | UCF | American Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.38 | 3.2 | 13.04 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 61 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.97 | 10.4 | 1.63 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 62 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.88 | 3 | 11.63 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 63 | NC State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.8 | 2.14 | 12.33 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 64 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.78 | 15.5 | 15.14 | 4.6 | -1.6 |
| 65 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.56 | 1.2 | 8.96 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 66 | Memphis | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.44 | 12.83 | 13.36 | 4.54 | -1.54 |
| 67 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.02 | 11.5 | 12.04 | 4.53 | -1.53 |
| 68 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.86 | 8.83 | 14.13 | 4.26 | -1.26 |
| 69 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.72 | 4 | 14.9 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 70 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.62 | 0.57 | 7.1 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 71 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.44 | 6.33 | 11.04 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 72 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.16 | 8.5 | 7.79 | 4.23 | -1.23 |
| 73 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.04 | 2 | 12.16 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 74 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.72 | 1 | 12.32 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 75 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.65 | -0.71 | 9.19 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 76 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.42 | 3.67 | 6.22 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 77 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 3.17 | 6.26 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 78 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.98 | -0.83 | 18.05 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 79 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.11 | 2.29 | 14.18 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 80 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.06 | 4.6 | 13.04 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 81 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.92 | -1.67 | 12.71 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 82 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.92 | 2.86 | 5.9 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 83 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.62 | 0.29 | 16.58 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 84 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.9 | -10.5 | 9.43 | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| 85 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -12.67 | 10.64 | 1.34 | 1.66 |
| 86 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -9 | 11.11 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 87 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.23 | -3.29 | 12.81 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 88 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.92 | -2 | 4.37 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 89 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.67 | -7.29 | 12.53 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 90 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.6 | -6.29 | 9.86 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 91 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.52 | -6.86 | 10.11 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 92 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.33 | -7.57 | 7.98 | 2.13 | 0.87 |
| 93 | San José State | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.16 | -3.8 | 11.17 | 2.01 | -0.01 |
| 94 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.11 | -7.8 | 14.33 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 95 | North Texas | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.66 | -0.17 | 6.89 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 96 | Texas | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.65 | -1.5 | 18.53 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 97 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.39 | -10.4 | 10.29 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 98 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.27 | 0 | 15.52 | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 99 | Syracuse | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -5.33 | 15.59 | 2.22 | -0.22 |
| 100 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.64 | -4 | 13.92 | 2.58 | -0.58 |
| 101 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.46 | -6.17 | 13.86 | 2.46 | -0.46 |
| 102 | UTSA | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.36 | -4.33 | 14.14 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 103 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.31 | -3.17 | 9.62 | 2.54 | -0.54 |
| 104 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -9.17 | 12.35 | 2.09 | -0.09 |
| 105 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -8 | 9.77 | 2.02 | -0.02 |
| 106 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.04 | -8.33 | 12.27 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 107 | South Florida | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.97 | -9.83 | 11.09 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 108 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -8.67 | 15.62 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 109 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -7.83 | 6.04 | 2.13 | -0.13 |
| 110 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -11.17 | 11.42 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 111 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.66 | -14.17 | 12.7 | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| 112 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -9.83 | 10.37 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 113 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -17.67 | 11.64 | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| 114 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 4.92 | -25 | 11.69 | 0.54 | 1.46 |
| 115 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.68 | -11.57 | 6.17 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 116 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.36 | -16.43 | 12.7 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 117 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.21 | -18.29 | 10.94 | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| 118 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.92 | -2.5 | 5.73 | 2.66 | -1.66 |
| 119 | App State | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.59 | -4.33 | 4.42 | 2.53 | -1.53 |
| 120 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.9 | -12.83 | 9.87 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 121 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.82 | -14.67 | 9.84 | 1.58 | -0.58 |
| 122 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.71 | -17.67 | 14.35 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 123 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.34 | -10 | 8.5 | 2.07 | -1.07 |
| 124 | Troy | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.28 | -18.17 | 11.04 | 1.09 | -0.09 |
| 125 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.25 | -7.57 | 8.38 | 2.57 | -1.57 |
| 126 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 0-6 | 0 | -2.25 | -13.83 | 13.58 | 1.58 | -1.58 |
| 127 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-6 | 0 | -2.66 | -22.83 | 13.74 | 0.44 | -0.44 |
| 128 | SMU | American Athletic | 0-5 | 0 | -3.35 | -42.2 | 21.18 | 0.05 | -0.05 |