Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.060077+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 27.14 | 21.83 | 16.71 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 2 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.74 | 24.86 | 14.32 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 3 | Florida State | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.88 | 16.29 | 11.84 | 5.54 | 1.46 |
| 4 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-0 | 1 | 25.45 | 30.86 | 7.31 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.46 | 23.71 | 15.33 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 6 | Auburn | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 23.06 | 20.5 | 17.39 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.93 | 19.86 | 13.07 | 5.66 | 0.34 |
| 8 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.81 | 14.29 | 12.58 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 9 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.8 | 23.43 | 11.79 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 10 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.58 | 25.43 | 10.15 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 11 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.33 | 24.5 | 12.82 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 12 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.27 | 26 | 6.96 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.27 | 21.14 | 9.17 | 5.94 | 0.06 |
| 14 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.25 | 26.33 | 12.16 | 5.27 | -0.27 |
| 15 | Duke | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.98 | 18.43 | 8.25 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.91 | 10.67 | 13.73 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 17 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.66 | 9.57 | 9.1 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 18 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.6 | 7.29 | 9.78 | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| 19 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.46 | 16.67 | 9.65 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 20 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.36 | 16.17 | 9.12 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 21 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.16 | 10.83 | 9.74 | 4.11 | 0.89 |
| 22 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.72 | 17.17 | 4.86 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 23 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.39 | 18.62 | 14.01 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 24 | Louisville | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.67 | 16.25 | 10.04 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 25 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.54 | 16.14 | 13.86 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 26 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.44 | 12.43 | 16.19 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 27 | Clemson | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.2 | 14.57 | 13.7 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 28 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.07 | 5.86 | 17.33 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 29 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.78 | 10.14 | 12.92 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 30 | Missouri | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.56 | 9.29 | 11.82 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 31 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.44 | 20.29 | 6.57 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 32 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.41 | 9.86 | 8.74 | 4.95 | 0.05 |
| 33 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.4 | 4.86 | 13.75 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 34 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.4 | 9.14 | 10.72 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 35 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.39 | 6.14 | 10.81 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 36 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.33 | 8 | 9.3 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 37 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.07 | 6 | 8.86 | 4.31 | 0.69 |
| 38 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.75 | 5.14 | 7.5 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 39 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.73 | 17 | 8.9 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 40 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.69 | 6.14 | 7.66 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 41 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 6 | 13.11 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 42 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.19 | 1.14 | 9.12 | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| 43 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 9 | 8.03 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 44 | Temple | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 16.33 | 3.71 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 45 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.08 | 4.57 | 4.86 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 46 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.94 | 11.25 | 12.72 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 47 | UCF | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 3.83 | 10.39 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 48 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 3 | 9.16 | 3.41 | 0.59 |
| 49 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.88 | 1.5 | 7.64 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 50 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.86 | 4.12 | 11.76 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 51 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.78 | 11.71 | 12.78 | 5.81 | -1.81 |
| 52 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.5 | 8.43 | 12.42 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 53 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.48 | 10.57 | 13.13 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 54 | Miami | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.41 | 7 | 14.14 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 55 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.31 | 6.57 | 12.28 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 56 | Boston College | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.31 | 8.29 | 11.21 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 57 | Virginia | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.21 | 6.86 | 11.23 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 58 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.13 | 9.14 | 9.05 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 59 | Houston | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.02 | 10.29 | 9.74 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 60 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.79 | 3.43 | 11.91 | 4.09 | -0.09 |
| 61 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.73 | 3.71 | 13.74 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 62 | California | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.72 | 3.14 | 11.43 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 63 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.71 | 6.43 | 9.62 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 64 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.69 | 5 | 8.88 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 65 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.43 | 2.71 | 12.11 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 66 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.09 | 4.43 | 6.72 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 67 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.02 | 4.57 | 5.86 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 68 | Memphis | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.97 | 12.83 | 12.01 | 4.54 | -1.54 |
| 69 | Florida | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.66 | 3.17 | 16.73 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 70 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.29 | 0.57 | 7.1 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 71 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.21 | -2.88 | 7.82 | 3.61 | 1.39 |
| 72 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.58 | 11.43 | 14.4 | 4.89 | -1.89 |
| 73 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 4.67 | 2.77 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 74 | NC State | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.31 | 0.38 | 13.06 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 75 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.81 | 3.14 | 16.11 | 4.07 | -1.07 |
| 76 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.31 | -0.17 | 10.51 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 77 | Navy | FBS Independents | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.24 | 2.29 | 13.59 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 78 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.98 | -1.67 | 11.96 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 79 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -1 | 6.66 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 80 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.84 | 0.43 | 14.71 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 81 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.65 | 0.29 | 15.78 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 82 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.58 | -2 | 10.35 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 83 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.09 | -4.67 | 10.85 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 84 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.87 | -6.25 | 9.68 | 2.69 | 1.31 |
| 85 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.74 | -9 | 9.94 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 86 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.71 | -0.86 | 14.9 | 3.35 | -0.35 |
| 87 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.69 | -10.5 | 10.53 | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| 88 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.42 | -1.29 | 13.9 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 89 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.02 | -4.71 | 13 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 90 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.99 | 2.67 | 12.2 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 91 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.81 | -4.57 | 15.37 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 92 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.72 | -2 | 4.72 | 3.26 | -0.26 |
| 93 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.44 | -7.29 | 12.3 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 94 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.4 | -6.29 | 10.15 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| 95 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.35 | -6 | 11.41 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 96 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.17 | -1.5 | 8.54 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 97 | South Florida | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.08 | -7.29 | 9.29 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 98 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.05 | -11.86 | 10.28 | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| 99 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.04 | -3 | 14.18 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 100 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.94 | -11.14 | 12.07 | 2.04 | 0.96 |
| 101 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.71 | -13.71 | 10.92 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 102 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.28 | -7.25 | 11.48 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 103 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7 | 0 | 14.68 | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 104 | App State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.94 | 1.86 | 4.38 | 3.73 | -1.73 |
| 105 | North Texas | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.9 | -1.57 | 6.19 | 3.29 | -1.29 |
| 106 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.58 | -1.71 | 6.42 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 107 | UTSA | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.52 | -4.71 | 13.22 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| 108 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.47 | -4.14 | 10.06 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 109 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.3 | -7.43 | 14.99 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 110 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.18 | -7.86 | 14.13 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 111 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.13 | -7.43 | 11.36 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 112 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.9 | -9.43 | 10.35 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 113 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.87 | -10.43 | 10.65 | 1.51 | 0.49 |
| 114 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.8 | -11.43 | 10.9 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 115 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.69 | -9.86 | 4.91 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 116 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.53 | -16.43 | 13.37 | 1.21 | 0.79 |
| 117 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.34 | -18.29 | 10.18 | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| 118 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.26 | -3.88 | 8.17 | 3.43 | -1.43 |
| 119 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.14 | -24.57 | 9.26 | 0.64 | 1.36 |
| 120 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.69 | -11.62 | 5.63 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 121 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.82 | -12.83 | 9.52 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 122 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.17 | -13 | 10.3 | 1.98 | -0.98 |
| 123 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.1 | -10.14 | 11.94 | 2.19 | -1.19 |
| 124 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.02 | -16.29 | 13.64 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 125 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.88 | -10 | 9.79 | 2.48 | -1.48 |
| 126 | Troy | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.78 | -21.14 | 9.7 | 1.05 | -0.05 |
| 127 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.74 | -16.43 | 12.27 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 128 | SMU | American Athletic | 0-6 | 0 | -3.21 | -41.5 | 17.28 | 0.05 | -0.05 |