Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.060531+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.9 | 20.71 | 16.79 | 5.82 | 1.18 |
| 2 | Florida State | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.52 | 16.29 | 10.95 | 5.54 | 1.46 |
| 3 | Marshall | Conference USA | 8-0 | 1 | 25.15 | 29.38 | 6.98 | 7.35 | 0.65 |
| 4 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.83 | 21.38 | 14.95 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 5 | Alabama | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.61 | 22.5 | 14.52 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 6 | Auburn | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.48 | 18.57 | 17.37 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 7 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.17 | 19.62 | 12.71 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.89 | 23.57 | 13.13 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 9 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.76 | 25.25 | 9.39 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 10 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.7 | 20.75 | 9.96 | 6.73 | 0.27 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.68 | 23.43 | 11.74 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 12 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.67 | 28.86 | 10.95 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 13 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.5 | 14.29 | 12.79 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 14 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.31 | 12.29 | 12.63 | 4.91 | 1.09 |
| 15 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22 | 17.57 | 9.37 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 16 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.98 | 26 | 7.36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.96 | 14.29 | 10.02 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 18 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.9 | 10.12 | 8.41 | 5.65 | 1.35 |
| 19 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.85 | 11.29 | 10.44 | 4.94 | 1.06 |
| 20 | Duke | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.67 | 18.43 | 7.07 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 21 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.18 | 16.14 | 5.1 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 22 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.96 | 16.89 | 14.46 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 23 | Clemson | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.87 | 14 | 13.03 | 6.35 | -0.35 |
| 24 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.74 | 11.88 | 13.11 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 25 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.58 | 5.5 | 15.54 | 4.78 | 1.22 |
| 26 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.57 | 7.38 | 14.38 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| 27 | Louisville | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.46 | 16.25 | 9.32 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 28 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.28 | 16.14 | 14.26 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 29 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.26 | 8.88 | 11.32 | 5.25 | 0.75 |
| 30 | Missouri | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.2 | 9.38 | 10.6 | 5.68 | 0.32 |
| 31 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 22.5 | 6.19 | 6.72 | -0.72 |
| 32 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.91 | 5.88 | 9.59 | 5.08 | 0.92 |
| 33 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.75 | 21 | 9.91 | 6.15 | -1.15 |
| 34 | UCF | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.02 | 6.14 | 11.21 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 35 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.85 | 5.38 | 4.3 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 36 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.5 | 6.14 | 6.97 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 37 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.45 | 5.14 | 7.39 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 38 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.16 | 3.29 | 8.04 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 39 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 17.1 | 10.5 | 15.6 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 40 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.68 | 13.25 | 12.52 | 6.78 | -1.78 |
| 41 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.67 | 11.25 | 12.8 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 42 | Miami | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.65 | 9.12 | 14.53 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 43 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.22 | 6.88 | 11.25 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 44 | Boston College | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.11 | 8 | 10.9 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 45 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.88 | 5.25 | 9.96 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 46 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.77 | 4.12 | 11.41 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 47 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.75 | 7 | 8.95 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 48 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.67 | 4.75 | 10.35 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 49 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.61 | 2.38 | 11.63 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 50 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.55 | 3.38 | 11.29 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 51 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.44 | 6.5 | 7.07 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 52 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.41 | 16.43 | 10.68 | 5.68 | -1.68 |
| 53 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.39 | 2.25 | 10.11 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 54 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.03 | 4.14 | 13.81 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 55 | Houston | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.95 | 10.29 | 9 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 56 | Temple | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.75 | 11.14 | 5.77 | 5.21 | -1.21 |
| 57 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.59 | 1.38 | 7.48 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 58 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.5 | 5.57 | 7.57 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 59 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 14.07 | 13.5 | 14.6 | 5.85 | -1.85 |
| 60 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.97 | 4.57 | 5.39 | 4.39 | -0.39 |
| 61 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.94 | 2.29 | 10.1 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 62 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.9 | -1.25 | 10.73 | 3.79 | 1.21 |
| 63 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.78 | 4.57 | 4.51 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 64 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.71 | 1.43 | 10.27 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 65 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.36 | 5.75 | 11.88 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 66 | Virginia | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 5.88 | 11.38 | 5.06 | -1.06 |
| 67 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 4.38 | 13.14 | 4.87 | -0.87 |
| 68 | Florida | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.3 | 3.17 | 16.13 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 69 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.03 | 2.38 | 14.38 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 70 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.01 | 2.62 | 13.27 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 71 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.98 | -2.88 | 7.83 | 3.61 | 1.39 |
| 72 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.88 | -0.86 | 10.2 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 73 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 4.5 | 8.68 | 4.65 | -0.65 |
| 74 | Navy | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.79 | 3.25 | 12.03 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 75 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.53 | 2.62 | 8.62 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 76 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.38 | -0.22 | 7.42 | 4.45 | 0.55 |
| 77 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.31 | -1.86 | 11.51 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 78 | California | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.17 | 0.5 | 11.92 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 79 | NC State | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.08 | 0.38 | 13.12 | 4.06 | -0.06 |
| 80 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.88 | -2.86 | 9.61 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 81 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.25 | 4.43 | 11.46 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 82 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.57 | 0.43 | 14.42 | 3.59 | -0.59 |
| 83 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.52 | -3.88 | 14.48 | 3.53 | 0.47 |
| 84 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.07 | -5.88 | 12.42 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 85 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.87 | 1 | 16.01 | 4.2 | -1.2 |
| 86 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.89 | -3.14 | 10.39 | 2.98 | 0.02 |
| 87 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.69 | -4.71 | 12.34 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 88 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.53 | 0.25 | 6.92 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 89 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.46 | -7.89 | 9.84 | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| 90 | Michigan | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.23 | -2.75 | 16.36 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 91 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.15 | -9.57 | 10.73 | 1.84 | 1.16 |
| 92 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.1 | -2.38 | 13.96 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 93 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.94 | -1.5 | 8.65 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 94 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.89 | -3.62 | 14.19 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 95 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.87 | -3 | 13.52 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 96 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.48 | -2.5 | 4.51 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 97 | App State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.19 | 1.86 | 4.78 | 3.73 | -1.73 |
| 98 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.18 | -7.25 | 11.87 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 99 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.11 | -7.38 | 9.68 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 100 | South Florida | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.97 | -8.5 | 9.16 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 101 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -12.12 | 12.87 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 102 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.9 | -12.12 | 12.22 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 103 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.89 | -12.12 | 12.36 | 1.97 | 1.03 |
| 104 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.77 | -13.38 | 11.87 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 105 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.07 | -7.86 | 13.22 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 106 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.03 | -7.43 | 11.3 | 2.45 | -0.45 |
| 107 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 5 | -2.75 | 14.79 | 3.64 | -1.64 |
| 108 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.79 | -9.43 | 9.6 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 109 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.71 | -11.43 | 11.11 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 110 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.59 | -9.86 | 5.24 | 2.23 | -0.23 |
| 111 | North Texas | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.46 | -3.88 | 6.76 | 3.41 | -1.41 |
| 112 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.43 | -4.62 | 9.73 | 3.06 | -1.06 |
| 113 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.34 | -6.88 | 15.31 | 3.09 | -1.09 |
| 114 | UTSA | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.13 | -8.38 | 12.59 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 115 | Wake Forest | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -9.88 | 11.18 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
| 116 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.73 | -4.22 | 8.33 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 117 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -15.62 | 14.08 | 1.42 | 0.58 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -11.62 | 5.84 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 119 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -17.75 | 11.33 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 120 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.27 | -22.88 | 9.92 | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| 121 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.14 | -8.11 | 9.21 | 2.97 | -0.97 |
| 122 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.3 | -10.14 | 12.01 | 2.19 | -1.19 |
| 123 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.19 | -12.43 | 10.65 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 124 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.97 | -16.29 | 13.09 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 125 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.55 | -15.25 | 11.27 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 126 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.53 | -16.12 | 11.41 | 2.01 | -1.01 |
| 127 | Troy | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.35 | -20.25 | 10.76 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 128 | SMU | American Athletic | 0-7 | 0 | -3.14 | -41 | 16.21 | 0.07 | -0.07 |