Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.315015+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clemson | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 26.09 | 21.56 | 13.5 | 7.86 | 1.14 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.64 | 22.33 | 11.11 | 8.07 | 0.93 |
| 3 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.01 | 16.33 | 9.19 | 7.52 | 1.48 |
| 4 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-0 | 1 | 24.89 | 20.78 | 7.82 | 7.34 | 1.66 |
| 5 | Baylor | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 24.68 | 32.38 | 5.09 | 7.02 | 0.98 |
| 6 | Houston | American Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 24.46 | 25.78 | 4.9 | 7.98 | 1.02 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.68 | 16.78 | 15.68 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 8 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.36 | 14 | 14.63 | 6.79 | 1.21 |
| 9 | LSU | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.14 | 12.5 | 14.31 | 5.87 | 1.13 |
| 10 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.12 | 16.89 | 12.49 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 11 | Florida | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.1 | 14 | 13.1 | 7.48 | 0.52 |
| 12 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.02 | 12.22 | 13.29 | 6.69 | 1.31 |
| 13 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.9 | 9.89 | 12.69 | 6.24 | 1.76 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.86 | 28.22 | 8.92 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 15 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.82 | 16.11 | 10.29 | 6.68 | 1.32 |
| 16 | TCU | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.64 | 19.44 | 8.56 | 7.04 | 0.96 |
| 17 | Navy | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.62 | 16.38 | 11.34 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 18 | Temple | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.32 | 15.56 | 8.36 | 7.29 | 0.71 |
| 19 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.28 | 17.5 | 8.23 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 20 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.25 | 21.56 | 6.8 | 7.75 | 0.25 |
| 21 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.73 | 19 | 13.14 | 8.15 | -1.15 |
| 22 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.49 | 17.44 | 12.07 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 23 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.48 | 16.4 | 9.36 | 8.82 | -0.82 |
| 24 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.4 | 15.3 | 9.26 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 25 | Florida State | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.38 | 13.11 | 11.83 | 7.12 | -0.12 |
| 26 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.25 | 11.56 | 12.55 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 27 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.16 | 17.89 | 10.02 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 28 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20 | 9.67 | 11.81 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 29 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.95 | 19.11 | 7.47 | 7.6 | -0.6 |
| 30 | Marshall | Conference USA | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.86 | 13.9 | 5.72 | 8.03 | -0.03 |
| 31 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.85 | 21.56 | 6.97 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 32 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.54 | 3.11 | 13.84 | 5.34 | 1.66 |
| 33 | Ole Miss | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.71 | 17.7 | 11.72 | 7.95 | -0.95 |
| 34 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.68 | 12.12 | 6.52 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 35 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.4 | 14.89 | 16.48 | 6.92 | -0.92 |
| 36 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.34 | 7.5 | 13.56 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 37 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.91 | 15.2 | 7.98 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 38 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 4.89 | 13.88 | 5.45 | 0.55 |
| 39 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.36 | 11.44 | 10.65 | 6.3 | -0.3 |
| 40 | Duke | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 10.78 | 9.42 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 41 | NC State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 14.89 | 8.39 | 7.13 | -1.13 |
| 42 | Georgia | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 10.67 | 9.97 | 6.72 | -0.72 |
| 43 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 15.11 | 7.55 | 7.21 | -1.21 |
| 44 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 11.44 | 8.37 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 45 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 10.22 | 8.48 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 46 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 5 | 12.55 | 5.17 | 0.83 |
| 47 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 13 | 6.26 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 48 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 5.11 | 10.51 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 49 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.69 | 5.56 | 9.32 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 50 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.62 | 2.22 | 11.77 | 4.96 | 1.04 |
| 51 | Miami | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 1.89 | 11.89 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 52 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.21 | 10.89 | 14.03 | 6.36 | -1.36 |
| 53 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.01 | 10.44 | 11.57 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 54 | California | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.87 | 6.22 | 13.33 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 55 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.65 | 5.33 | 13.79 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 56 | Louisville | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.47 | 4.89 | 12.79 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 57 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.46 | 6.44 | 9.76 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 58 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.42 | 4.67 | 11.92 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 59 | South Florida | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.28 | 5.44 | 10.32 | 5.64 | -0.64 |
| 60 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.24 | 4.11 | 12.03 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 61 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.72 | 2.89 | 8.98 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 62 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.21 | 3.88 | 15.61 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 63 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.13 | 1.78 | 6.01 | 4.85 | 0.15 |
| 64 | Auburn | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.02 | -0.11 | 13.79 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 65 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 3 | 12.37 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 66 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.71 | 0.56 | 6.61 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 67 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 10.61 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 68 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.37 | 7.89 | 15.09 | 6.27 | -2.27 |
| 69 | Florida International | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.33 | 5.6 | 4.65 | 6.2 | -1.2 |
| 70 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.26 | -1 | 10.77 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 71 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.05 | -2 | 9.44 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 72 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.84 | 6.22 | 12.07 | 5.69 | -1.69 |
| 73 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.43 | 3.78 | 11.94 | 5.13 | -1.13 |
| 74 | UConn | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.06 | -0.3 | 8.85 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 75 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.91 | 4.8 | 15.13 | 5.89 | -1.89 |
| 76 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.56 | 1.33 | 9.14 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 77 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.4 | -1.25 | 6.34 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 78 | Missouri | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.37 | 0.11 | 11.15 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 79 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.04 | -0.78 | 13.8 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 80 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.95 | -0.11 | 8.66 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 81 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 9.61 | 7.44 | 14.75 | 5.8 | -2.8 |
| 82 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.23 | -4 | 14.88 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 83 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.19 | -11.88 | 8.07 | 2.36 | 1.64 |
| 84 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.14 | -3.56 | 15.15 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 85 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.11 | -4.56 | 14.67 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 86 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.08 | -2.22 | 10.01 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 87 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.94 | -0.4 | 9.09 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 88 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.61 | -7 | 11.49 | 3.07 | 0.93 |
| 89 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.59 | -1.7 | 12.31 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 90 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.28 | -8 | 8.26 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 91 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.18 | 1.89 | 9.32 | 4.86 | -1.86 |
| 92 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.09 | -2.25 | 14.11 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 93 | Boston College | ACC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 8.08 | 2.9 | 11.16 | 6.07 | -3.07 |
| 94 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.86 | -13.44 | 9.55 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 95 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.57 | -15.33 | 6.7 | 1.95 | 2.05 |
| 96 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.3 | -0.22 | 10.45 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 97 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.79 | -2.67 | 13.9 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 98 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.74 | -2.78 | 12.39 | 4 | -1 |
| 99 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.31 | -5.67 | 14.05 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 100 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.27 | -4.33 | 10.76 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 101 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.22 | -6.78 | 14.65 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 102 | Virginia | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -8.33 | 14.17 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 103 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -9.11 | 13.97 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 104 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.67 | -10.67 | 10.23 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 105 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -11 | 7.75 | 2.92 | 0.08 |
| 106 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.04 | -9.8 | 10.5 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 107 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.79 | -10 | 7.71 | 2.51 | -0.51 |
| 108 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.79 | -11.62 | 11.17 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 109 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.47 | -5.78 | 6.85 | 3.28 | -1.28 |
| 110 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.47 | -7.11 | 12.28 | 3.1 | -1.1 |
| 111 | Maryland | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.36 | -9.56 | 16.27 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 112 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.24 | -10.22 | 13.5 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 113 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3 | -14.56 | 14.27 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 114 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.8 | -18.11 | 13.38 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 115 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.77 | -17.11 | 9.76 | 1.57 | 0.43 |
| 116 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.73 | -19.22 | 12.19 | 1.55 | 0.45 |
| 117 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.56 | -18.78 | 11.28 | 2 | 0 |
| 118 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.28 | -18.9 | 12.82 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 119 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.21 | -16.7 | 11.32 | 1.62 | 0.38 |
| 120 | UTSA | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.47 | -12.44 | 11.53 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 121 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.43 | -13.33 | 14.74 | 2.18 | -1.18 |
| 122 | SMU | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.31 | -15.44 | 13.38 | 2.45 | -1.45 |
| 123 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.23 | -17.33 | 11.26 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 124 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.09 | -15.2 | 11.11 | 1.99 | -0.99 |
| 125 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.05 | -18.2 | 10.79 | 2.21 | -1.21 |
| 126 | North Texas | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.16 | -28 | 11.37 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 127 | UCF | American Athletic | 0-10 | 0 | -2.49 | -20.7 | 11.85 | 1.2 | -1.2 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0-9 | 0 | -2.86 | -31.56 | 13.88 | 0.68 | -0.68 |