Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.315813+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clemson | ACC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 20.36 | 11.5 | 9.47 | 1.53 |
| 2 | Iowa | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 24.51 | 15.64 | 7.92 | 8.91 | 2.09 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.72 | 20.55 | 13.45 | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.49 | 24.09 | 11.64 | 9.49 | 0.51 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.42 | 20.27 | 11.43 | 9.81 | 0.19 |
| 6 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.31 | 13.64 | 12.97 | 8.43 | 1.57 |
| 7 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.04 | 9.91 | 12.86 | 7.81 | 2.19 |
| 8 | Florida | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.9 | 12.91 | 10.93 | 9.01 | 0.99 |
| 9 | Navy | American Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.84 | 19.5 | 10.21 | 8.45 | 0.55 |
| 10 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.76 | 16.45 | 8.74 | 8.35 | 1.65 |
| 11 | Baylor | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.69 | 25.9 | 8.29 | 8.26 | 0.74 |
| 12 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.69 | 16.1 | 10.22 | 8.05 | 0.95 |
| 13 | Houston | American Athletic | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.62 | 20.91 | 7 | 9.28 | 0.72 |
| 14 | North Carolina | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.53 | 21.36 | 6.95 | 9.37 | 0.63 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.23 | 17.27 | 12.02 | 9.47 | -0.47 |
| 16 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.23 | 14.82 | 12.74 | 8.49 | 0.51 |
| 17 | Florida State | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.78 | 15.82 | 9.66 | 9.09 | -0.09 |
| 18 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.78 | 19 | 8.96 | 8.74 | 0.26 |
| 19 | TCU | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.66 | 16.36 | 8.37 | 8.33 | 0.67 |
| 20 | Temple | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.63 | 12.55 | 9.9 | 8.35 | 0.65 |
| 21 | Marshall | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.24 | 17.36 | 6.05 | 9.4 | -0.4 |
| 22 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.23 | 3.73 | 12.62 | 6.79 | 2.21 |
| 23 | App State | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.2 | 19.9 | 7.83 | 8.5 | -0.5 |
| 24 | Ole Miss | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.25 | 18 | 12.59 | 8.82 | -0.82 |
| 25 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.04 | 11.36 | 12.74 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 26 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19 | 14.45 | 11.33 | 7.93 | 0.07 |
| 27 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.99 | 12.09 | 12.75 | 8.17 | -0.17 |
| 28 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.94 | 8.64 | 13.46 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 29 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.84 | 14.36 | 10.32 | 9.48 | -1.48 |
| 30 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.83 | 9.82 | 12.73 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 31 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.66 | 11.36 | 10.92 | 8.07 | -0.07 |
| 32 | Georgia | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.51 | 9.91 | 10.62 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 33 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.51 | 6.09 | 12.99 | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| 34 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.47 | 13.64 | 8.79 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.47 | 8.45 | 11.13 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 36 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.36 | 11.09 | 9.03 | 7.77 | 0.23 |
| 37 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.33 | 17.91 | 6.51 | 8.82 | -0.82 |
| 38 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.32 | 14 | 7.59 | 8.24 | -0.24 |
| 39 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.32 | 15 | 7.36 | 9.01 | -1.01 |
| 40 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.2 | 4.45 | 12.26 | 6.59 | 1.41 |
| 41 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.14 | 6.2 | 14.23 | 6.25 | 0.75 |
| 42 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.09 | 7.09 | 9.39 | 6.97 | 1.03 |
| 43 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.66 | 12.6 | 7.49 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 44 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.56 | 8.4 | 9.33 | 6.42 | 0.58 |
| 45 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 17.19 | 10.64 | 15.02 | 7.68 | -0.68 |
| 46 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.86 | 12.09 | 12.62 | 8.25 | -1.25 |
| 47 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.59 | 16.36 | 8.12 | 8.75 | -1.75 |
| 48 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.54 | 5.73 | 13.4 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 49 | NC State | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.51 | 11.82 | 10.01 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 50 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.45 | 9.82 | 10.75 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 51 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.75 | 9.8 | 12.41 | 6.88 | -0.88 |
| 52 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.25 | 2.36 | 8.55 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 53 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.56 | 5.82 | 14.51 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 54 | California | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.48 | 6.64 | 12.98 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 55 | Miami | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.46 | -0.36 | 12.04 | 5.42 | 1.58 |
| 56 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.42 | 7.36 | 11.78 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 57 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.23 | 6.09 | 11.2 | 6.63 | -0.63 |
| 58 | Duke | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.08 | 6.45 | 9.59 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 59 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.03 | 6.82 | 9.85 | 6.95 | -0.95 |
| 60 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.01 | 4.55 | 11.97 | 6.73 | -0.73 |
| 61 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.96 | 4.09 | 11.74 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 62 | Louisville | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.95 | 3.64 | 11.83 | 6.4 | -0.4 |
| 63 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.95 | 5 | 10.89 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 64 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.54 | 1.64 | 13.4 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 65 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.38 | 3 | 8.65 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 66 | Auburn | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.29 | 1.27 | 12.31 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 67 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.98 | 1.45 | 7.5 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 68 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.84 | 0.91 | 9.42 | 5.75 | 0.25 |
| 69 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.52 | 0.36 | 7.45 | 5.59 | 0.41 |
| 70 | UConn | American Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.44 | 0 | 10.18 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 71 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12.31 | 9.64 | 12.98 | 8.03 | -3.03 |
| 72 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.12 | 1.08 | 11.29 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 73 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12.09 | 5.91 | 13.74 | 6.74 | -1.74 |
| 74 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.83 | 5 | 11.63 | 6.69 | -1.69 |
| 75 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.01 | 1.82 | 11.03 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 76 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.72 | 0.27 | 12.92 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 77 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.71 | 1.36 | 8.88 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 78 | Missouri | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.11 | -0.55 | 12.13 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 79 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.95 | -0.55 | 9.78 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 80 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.49 | -2.91 | 15.6 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 81 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.38 | -2.64 | 13.27 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 82 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.37 | -1.73 | 10.33 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 83 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.36 | -10.2 | 8.17 | 3.11 | 1.89 |
| 84 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.16 | -3.91 | 11.84 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 85 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.19 | -12.36 | 9.63 | 2.96 | 2.04 |
| 86 | Florida International | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.14 | -4.33 | 7.56 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 87 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.11 | -3 | 13.06 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 88 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.03 | -2 | 6.57 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 89 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.92 | -5 | 14.04 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 90 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 7.72 | 4.36 | 13.76 | 6.47 | -3.47 |
| 91 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.53 | -4.4 | 7.81 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 92 | Boston College | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 7.23 | 2.36 | 12.05 | 6.45 | -3.45 |
| 93 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.14 | -4.09 | 13.6 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 94 | Virginia | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.68 | -6.73 | 13.47 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| 95 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.57 | -2.58 | 10.62 | 5.32 | -1.32 |
| 96 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.49 | -8.09 | 12.32 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 97 | Rice | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.08 | -12.45 | 8.29 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 98 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.01 | -1.8 | 10.25 | 4.62 | -1.62 |
| 99 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6 | -13.64 | 8.19 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
| 100 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.96 | -4.36 | 13.13 | 4.56 | -1.56 |
| 101 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.83 | -10.2 | 10.04 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 102 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.83 | -4.91 | 11.25 | 4.48 | -1.48 |
| 103 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.76 | -6.18 | 14.14 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 104 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.75 | -5.64 | 12.07 | 3.99 | -0.99 |
| 105 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.59 | -7.27 | 12.57 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 106 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.51 | -16.6 | 11.06 | 2.49 | 0.51 |
| 107 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -10.45 | 10.76 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 108 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -9 | 10.7 | 3.52 | -0.52 |
| 109 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.14 | -12.36 | 10.67 | 2.04 | 0.96 |
| 110 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.06 | -13.45 | 10.06 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 111 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.92 | -17 | 11.46 | 2.21 | 0.79 |
| 112 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.89 | -17.09 | 10.35 | 1.91 | 1.09 |
| 113 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -14.08 | 10.33 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 114 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.52 | -7 | 12.61 | 3.73 | -1.73 |
| 115 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.5 | -5.91 | 5.85 | 4.02 | -2.02 |
| 116 | Maryland | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.25 | -11.09 | 16.48 | 3.09 | -1.09 |
| 117 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.25 | -10.82 | 14.95 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 118 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.2 | -10.55 | 11.51 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 119 | SMU | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.92 | -13.82 | 12.81 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 120 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.8 | -18.73 | 13.22 | 1.61 | 0.39 |
| 121 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.75 | -18.64 | 9.02 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 122 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.51 | -19.67 | 12.07 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 123 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.24 | -17 | 12.17 | 1.84 | -0.84 |
| 124 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -17.55 | 9.84 | 2.44 | -1.44 |
| 125 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.31 | -18.82 | 11.13 | 1.77 | -0.77 |
| 126 | North Texas | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.62 | -28.18 | 11.75 | 0.83 | 0.17 |
| 127 | UCF | American Athletic | 0-11 | 0 | -2.5 | -22.18 | 11.1 | 1.14 | -1.14 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0-11 | 0 | -2.81 | -30.82 | 13.7 | 0.75 | -0.75 |