Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.316208+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clemson | ACC | 12-0 | 1 | 25.13 | 19.08 | 10.71 | 10.08 | 1.92 |
| 2 | Iowa | Big Ten | 12-0 | 1 | 24.43 | 15 | 8.13 | 9.62 | 2.38 |
| 3 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.87 | 25 | 12.72 | 10.4 | 0.6 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.84 | 20.17 | 13.39 | 10.67 | 0.33 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.62 | 21 | 12.1 | 10.77 | 0.23 |
| 6 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.43 | 12.33 | 13.26 | 8.98 | 2.02 |
| 7 | Houston | American Athletic | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.87 | 20.92 | 8.08 | 10.04 | 0.96 |
| 8 | North Carolina | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 22.74 | 20.5 | 7.46 | 10.03 | 0.97 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.47 | 12.33 | 13.49 | 8.86 | 1.14 |
| 10 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.45 | 13.75 | 13.41 | 9.01 | 0.99 |
| 11 | Florida State | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.14 | 16.58 | 10.75 | 10.15 | -0.15 |
| 12 | Navy | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.11 | 15.82 | 11.66 | 8.64 | 0.36 |
| 13 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.05 | 19.17 | 9.59 | 9.53 | 0.47 |
| 14 | Florida | SEC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.03 | 9.75 | 11.91 | 9.13 | 0.87 |
| 15 | Baylor | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.03 | 22.91 | 9.52 | 8.86 | 0.14 |
| 16 | TCU | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.94 | 15.58 | 9.84 | 9.03 | 0.97 |
| 17 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.91 | 12.17 | 10.23 | 8.36 | 1.64 |
| 18 | Temple | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.87 | 13.5 | 10.02 | 9.4 | 0.6 |
| 19 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.81 | 14.18 | 10.27 | 8.49 | 0.51 |
| 20 | App State | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.53 | 20 | 7.63 | 9.45 | -0.45 |
| 21 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.41 | 4.25 | 12.1 | 7.6 | 2.4 |
| 22 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.68 | 17.42 | 12.89 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 23 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.58 | 13.42 | 12.92 | 9.57 | -0.57 |
| 24 | Memphis | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.38 | 15.67 | 11.43 | 8.97 | 0.03 |
| 25 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.28 | 16.42 | 10.51 | 9.01 | -0.01 |
| 26 | BYU | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.17 | 12.33 | 11.26 | 8.92 | 0.08 |
| 27 | Utah | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 8.42 | 12.87 | 8.21 | 0.79 |
| 28 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 14 | 10.23 | 10.18 | -1.18 |
| 29 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.92 | 19.25 | 7.51 | 9.76 | -0.76 |
| 30 | Georgia | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.85 | 9.58 | 10.27 | 8.92 | 0.08 |
| 31 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 6.42 | 12.06 | 7.13 | 1.87 |
| 32 | LSU | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.77 | 6.73 | 14.67 | 7.07 | 0.93 |
| 33 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.76 | 15.17 | 7.58 | 9.88 | -0.88 |
| 34 | Marshall | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.71 | 14.17 | 7.06 | 9.53 | -0.53 |
| 35 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.35 | 14.91 | 7.94 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 36 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.14 | 9.82 | 8.49 | 7.28 | 0.72 |
| 37 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.81 | 11.33 | 15.12 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 38 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 10.17 | 13.3 | 8.46 | -0.46 |
| 39 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.48 | 13.17 | 11.91 | 9.11 | -1.11 |
| 40 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 7.42 | 12.84 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 41 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.18 | 16.42 | 8.6 | 9.53 | -1.53 |
| 42 | South Florida | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 12.42 | 9.8 | 9 | -1 |
| 43 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.09 | 11.5 | 9.27 | 8.69 | -0.69 |
| 44 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 6.75 | 11.68 | 7.87 | 0.13 |
| 45 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 9.75 | 9.11 | 8.24 | -0.24 |
| 46 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.89 | 10 | 8.51 | 8.16 | -0.16 |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.72 | 3.67 | 12.24 | 6.98 | 1.02 |
| 48 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.56 | 11.09 | 11.21 | 7.89 | -0.89 |
| 49 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.37 | 3.58 | 9.64 | 6.83 | 1.17 |
| 50 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.02 | 2.58 | 9.19 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| 51 | Miami | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.44 | 0.08 | 12.17 | 6.02 | 1.98 |
| 52 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.28 | 7.42 | 14.29 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 53 | NC State | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.1 | 9.92 | 10.4 | 8.35 | -1.35 |
| 54 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.05 | 7.17 | 12.58 | 7.58 | -0.58 |
| 55 | California | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.02 | 6.25 | 13.06 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 56 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.78 | 9.17 | 8.91 | 8.12 | -1.12 |
| 57 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.76 | 5.83 | 11.29 | 7.24 | -0.24 |
| 58 | Louisville | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.62 | 4.5 | 11.64 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 59 | Duke | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.57 | 6.42 | 9.15 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 60 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.54 | 4.75 | 10.6 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 61 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.51 | 2 | 14.01 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 62 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.5 | 4 | 11.16 | 6.64 | 0.36 |
| 63 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.99 | 3 | 8.26 | 6.74 | 0.26 |
| 64 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.94 | 2.5 | 8.96 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 65 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.88 | 2.33 | 8.67 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 66 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.58 | 11.75 | 13.04 | 9.23 | -3.23 |
| 67 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.78 | 4.83 | 11.17 | 7.28 | -1.28 |
| 68 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.52 | 2.67 | 11.32 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 69 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.33 | 1.33 | 13.21 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 70 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.01 | 1.08 | 11.27 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 71 | Auburn | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.56 | -0.17 | 13.31 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 72 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.32 | 4.75 | 14.7 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 73 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.91 | -0.92 | 11.94 | 5.82 | 0.18 |
| 74 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.64 | -1.08 | 8.04 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 75 | UConn | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.59 | -2 | 10.87 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 76 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.35 | 1.42 | 11.55 | 6.38 | -1.38 |
| 77 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.32 | -2.67 | 10.98 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 78 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.28 | 0.09 | 11.46 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 79 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.42 | -0.58 | 13.17 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 80 | San José State | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.39 | -0.17 | 9.41 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 81 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.97 | -0.92 | 9.24 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 82 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.85 | -3.09 | 7.73 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 83 | Missouri | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.73 | -2.58 | 12.65 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 84 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.72 | -3.5 | 15.56 | 4.99 | 0.01 |
| 85 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.53 | -2.75 | 10.52 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 86 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.13 | -12.73 | 9.33 | 3 | 2 |
| 87 | Florida International | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.03 | -4.33 | 7.58 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 88 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.49 | -11.5 | 9.04 | 3.42 | 1.58 |
| 89 | Rice | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.45 | -9.75 | 7.87 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 90 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.26 | -12.25 | 7.35 | 2.99 | 2.01 |
| 91 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 7.09 | 3.5 | 14.14 | 6.9 | -3.9 |
| 92 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7 | -4.82 | 13.69 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 93 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.89 | -3.73 | 8.56 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 94 | Boston College | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 6.58 | 1.92 | 11.15 | 6.84 | -3.84 |
| 95 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.32 | -3.75 | 12.66 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 96 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.18 | -5.83 | 13.97 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 97 | Virginia | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.06 | -6.42 | 13.04 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 98 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-9 | 0.31 | 6.04 | -2.85 | 11.33 | 5.66 | -1.66 |
| 99 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.83 | -7.83 | 11.21 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 100 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.39 | -11.75 | 9.63 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 101 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.14 | -2.55 | 9.76 | 4.91 | -1.91 |
| 102 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.3 | -5.58 | 13.08 | 4.42 | -1.42 |
| 103 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.27 | -5.08 | 10.43 | 4.85 | -1.85 |
| 104 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.23 | -9.91 | 9.32 | 3.6 | -0.6 |
| 105 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.12 | -7.67 | 14.14 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 106 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.11 | -7.17 | 12.55 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 107 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -6.25 | 11.81 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.9 | -17.27 | 11.53 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 109 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -9.75 | 15.39 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 110 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -9.25 | 11.23 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 111 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -11.17 | 10.7 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 112 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -12.75 | 11.83 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 113 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -13 | 10.82 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 114 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.52 | -14.08 | 10.06 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 115 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -15.83 | 11.71 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 116 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.42 | -16.58 | 10.04 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 117 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-10 | 0.23 | 2.85 | -18 | 10.53 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 118 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.47 | -5.91 | 5.67 | 4.02 | -2.02 |
| 119 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.94 | -11.42 | 14.11 | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 120 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.61 | -15 | 11.59 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 121 | SMU | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.59 | -17.92 | 13.2 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 122 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.58 | -18 | 13.59 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 123 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.5 | -18.75 | 9.11 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 124 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.44 | -16.67 | 10.07 | 2.79 | -1.79 |
| 125 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.47 | -17.42 | 10.1 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 126 | North Texas | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.79 | -26.08 | 11.78 | 1.02 | -0.02 |
| 127 | UCF | American Athletic | 0-12 | 0 | -2.54 | -23.75 | 11.21 | 1.04 | -1.04 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0-12 | 0 | -2.79 | -30.83 | 12.97 | 0.81 | -0.81 |