Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.319064+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 14-1 | 0.93 | 24.05 | 19.93 | 15.11 | 13.2 | 0.8 |
| 2 | Clemson | ACC | 14-1 | 0.93 | 23.47 | 16.8 | 12.44 | 11.94 | 2.06 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.31 | 20.62 | 12.17 | 11.51 | 0.49 |
| 4 | Houston | American Athletic | 13-1 | 0.93 | 22.9 | 19.71 | 8.95 | 11.62 | 1.38 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.96 | 21.54 | 13.42 | 10.85 | 0.15 |
| 6 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.91 | 15.21 | 13.32 | 10.81 | 1.19 |
| 7 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.56 | 8.07 | 13.96 | 9.51 | 2.49 |
| 8 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.56 | 18.36 | 10.43 | 10.93 | 1.07 |
| 9 | Navy | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.13 | 14.92 | 10.11 | 10.07 | 0.93 |
| 10 | TCU | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.06 | 14.85 | 9.77 | 9.58 | 1.42 |
| 11 | Iowa | Big Ten | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.03 | 10.57 | 9.68 | 10.21 | 1.79 |
| 12 | App State | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.96 | 17.62 | 8.42 | 10.72 | 0.28 |
| 13 | Toledo | Mid-American | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.72 | 14.25 | 10.54 | 9.3 | 0.7 |
| 14 | Ole Miss | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.86 | 18.23 | 12.53 | 10.43 | -0.43 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.75 | 15 | 12.71 | 10.71 | -0.71 |
| 16 | North Carolina | ACC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.67 | 16.21 | 9 | 10.77 | 0.23 |
| 17 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.58 | 10.15 | 13.45 | 9.06 | 0.94 |
| 18 | Baylor | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.51 | 19.77 | 9.91 | 10.12 | -0.12 |
| 19 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.49 | 15.71 | 8.03 | 11.63 | -0.63 |
| 20 | Florida State | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.43 | 14.23 | 10.89 | 10.45 | -0.45 |
| 21 | Utah | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.28 | 8.31 | 12.44 | 8.83 | 1.17 |
| 22 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.27 | 13.08 | 10.3 | 10.8 | -0.8 |
| 23 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.08 | 8.58 | 14.05 | 8.07 | 0.93 |
| 24 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.05 | 9.08 | 10.57 | 8.45 | 1.55 |
| 25 | Georgia | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.97 | 9.38 | 9.86 | 9.62 | 0.38 |
| 26 | Marshall | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.79 | 13.54 | 7.01 | 10.31 | -0.31 |
| 27 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.08 | 13.29 | 11.28 | 9.94 | 0.06 |
| 28 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 17.95 | 0.92 | 11.88 | 6.87 | 3.13 |
| 29 | Temple | American Athletic | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.78 | 9.71 | 10.72 | 10.05 | -0.05 |
| 30 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.78 | 15.15 | 11.63 | 10.3 | -1.3 |
| 31 | Mississippi State | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.75 | 11.15 | 12.99 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 32 | Florida | SEC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.65 | 4.93 | 13.12 | 8.93 | 1.07 |
| 33 | Memphis | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.58 | 12.85 | 11.04 | 9.28 | -0.28 |
| 34 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.51 | 18.85 | 8.63 | 10.74 | -1.74 |
| 35 | BYU | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.43 | 10.85 | 10.84 | 9.3 | -0.3 |
| 36 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.29 | 12.92 | 9 | 9.6 | -0.6 |
| 37 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.19 | 5.46 | 12.61 | 7.54 | 1.46 |
| 38 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.16 | 10.69 | 9.01 | 8.95 | 0.05 |
| 39 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.01 | 9.77 | 8.36 | 8.58 | 0.42 |
| 40 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.58 | 3.77 | 9.83 | 7.48 | 1.52 |
| 41 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.22 | 14.36 | 8.69 | 10.39 | -1.39 |
| 42 | Arkansas | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.03 | 8.54 | 13.56 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 43 | California | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.8 | 7.23 | 12.72 | 8.1 | -0.1 |
| 44 | South Florida | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.73 | 10.69 | 9.96 | 9.26 | -1.26 |
| 45 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.73 | 7.69 | 11.79 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 46 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.71 | 9.38 | 10.49 | 8.87 | -0.87 |
| 47 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.65 | 6.23 | 12.3 | 8.12 | -0.12 |
| 48 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.52 | 5.77 | 11.67 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 49 | Louisville | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.32 | 4.62 | 11.22 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 50 | Duke | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.15 | 6.15 | 8.36 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 51 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-6 | 0.57 | 15.08 | 8.21 | 15.54 | 9.22 | -1.22 |
| 52 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.02 | 2.15 | 12.54 | 7.11 | 0.89 |
| 53 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.71 | 2.23 | 9.74 | 7.15 | 0.85 |
| 54 | Akron | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.61 | 2.46 | 8.43 | 7.33 | 0.67 |
| 55 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-6 | 0.57 | 14.47 | 8.29 | 10.23 | 9.25 | -1.25 |
| 56 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.34 | 11.85 | 12.82 | 9.9 | -2.9 |
| 57 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.88 | 3.5 | 9.97 | 7.98 | 0.02 |
| 58 | Miami | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.8 | -0.38 | 12.04 | 6.39 | 1.61 |
| 59 | NC State | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.77 | 7.38 | 10.71 | 8.38 | -1.38 |
| 60 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.6 | 7.38 | 9.15 | 8.33 | -1.33 |
| 61 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.41 | 4.69 | 10.12 | 7.75 | -0.75 |
| 62 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.25 | 3.85 | 9.78 | 7.73 | -0.73 |
| 63 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.18 | 2.69 | 11.13 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 64 | Auburn | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.13 | 1.46 | 13.74 | 6.92 | 0.08 |
| 65 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.08 | 1.31 | 13.74 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 66 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.9 | 1.46 | 11.48 | 6.75 | 0.25 |
| 67 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.87 | 1.62 | 10.73 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 68 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.79 | 2.38 | 8.12 | 7.14 | -0.14 |
| 69 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.61 | 1.54 | 8.43 | 6.91 | 0.09 |
| 70 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.99 | 5 | 13.61 | 7.76 | -1.76 |
| 71 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.5 | -0.62 | 8.17 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 72 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.32 | 2.31 | 11.49 | 7.14 | -1.14 |
| 73 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.1 | 1.15 | 12.83 | 6.76 | -0.76 |
| 74 | San José State | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.59 | 0.69 | 9.06 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 75 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.08 | 1.42 | 10.35 | 6.38 | -1.38 |
| 76 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.81 | -1.08 | 11.47 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 77 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.64 | -1.54 | 11.31 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 78 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.59 | -2.69 | 14.62 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 79 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.44 | -1.38 | 8.12 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 80 | UConn | American Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.39 | -2.31 | 10.68 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 81 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.31 | -2.69 | 10.82 | 5.96 | 0.04 |
| 82 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.17 | -0.58 | 12.1 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 83 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.77 | -0.92 | 8.68 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 84 | Missouri | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.5 | -2.58 | 11.73 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 85 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.38 | -3.92 | 13.68 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 86 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.33 | -2.75 | 9.73 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 87 | Florida International | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.92 | -4.33 | 7.7 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 88 | Rice | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.38 | -9.75 | 7.57 | 3.84 | 1.16 |
| 89 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.38 | -12.25 | 10.17 | 3.36 | 1.64 |
| 90 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.34 | -11.5 | 8.78 | 3.42 | 1.58 |
| 91 | UTEP | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.2 | -12.25 | 7.12 | 2.99 | 2.01 |
| 92 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.1 | -0.33 | 9.32 | 5.92 | -1.92 |
| 93 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 6.92 | 3.5 | 13.29 | 6.9 | -3.9 |
| 94 | Boston College | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 6.43 | 1.92 | 10.5 | 6.84 | -3.84 |
| 95 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -3.75 | 11.93 | 5.09 | -1.09 |
| 96 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -5.83 | 13.26 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 97 | Virginia | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -6.42 | 12.38 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 98 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.91 | -2.85 | 10.84 | 5.66 | -1.66 |
| 99 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.84 | -5.42 | 8.36 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 100 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -7.83 | 10.75 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 101 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.36 | -11.75 | 9.25 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 102 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.18 | -5.58 | 12.02 | 4.42 | -1.42 |
| 103 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.18 | -5.08 | 9.94 | 4.85 | -1.85 |
| 104 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -6.25 | 11.25 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 105 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.01 | -7.17 | 11.9 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 106 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4 | -7.67 | 13.13 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 107 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -9.75 | 14.45 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 108 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -9.25 | 10.31 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 109 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.65 | -11.17 | 10.35 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 110 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -12.75 | 11.07 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 111 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -12.25 | 9.63 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -13 | 10.43 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 113 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -14.08 | 9.9 | 2.42 | 0.58 |
| 114 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.42 | -15.83 | 11.16 | 2.62 | 0.38 |
| 115 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -16.42 | 10.36 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 116 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.34 | -16.58 | 9.3 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 117 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-10 | 0.23 | 2.86 | -18 | 10.28 | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| 118 | Army | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.24 | -5.75 | 6.11 | 4.39 | -2.39 |
| 119 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.89 | -11.42 | 13.41 | 3.5 | -1.5 |
| 120 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.66 | -15 | 10.93 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 121 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.55 | -18 | 13.35 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 122 | SMU | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.54 | -17.92 | 12.33 | 2.82 | -0.82 |
| 123 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.47 | -18.75 | 8.73 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 124 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.17 | -15.54 | 9.68 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 125 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.44 | -16.67 | 9.96 | 2.79 | -1.79 |
| 126 | North Texas | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.78 | -26.08 | 11.34 | 1.02 | -0.02 |
| 127 | UCF | American Athletic | 0-12 | 0 | -2.5 | -23.75 | 10.5 | 1.04 | -1.04 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0-12 | 0 | -2.73 | -30.83 | 12.15 | 0.81 | -0.81 |