Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.576976+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 14-1 | 0.93 | 24.03 | 25.8 | 13.71 | 13.95 | 0.05 |
| 2 | Clemson | ACC | 14-1 | 0.93 | 23.9 | 21.2 | 14.06 | 12.95 | 1.05 |
| 3 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 13-1 | 0.93 | 22.88 | 21.79 | 8.43 | 11.94 | 1.06 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 22.19 | 23.92 | 14.24 | 11.72 | -0.72 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.84 | 24.07 | 10.91 | 12.38 | -0.38 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.6 | 15.08 | 12.87 | 9.49 | 1.51 |
| 7 | South Florida | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.77 | 12.15 | 8.89 | 8.89 | 2.11 |
| 8 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.21 | 12.79 | 13.5 | 11.28 | -0.28 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 20.16 | 26.23 | 12.68 | 12.01 | -2.01 |
| 10 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.08 | 12.14 | 12.88 | 10.03 | 0.97 |
| 11 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.01 | 20.93 | 9.97 | 11.36 | -0.36 |
| 12 | Florida State | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.55 | 10.08 | 13.34 | 8.98 | 1.02 |
| 13 | USC | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.47 | 10.15 | 12.78 | 9.05 | 0.95 |
| 14 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.41 | 15 | 7.75 | 11.04 | -0.04 |
| 15 | App State | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.32 | 11.38 | 11.25 | 9.92 | 0.08 |
| 16 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.3 | 10.46 | 11.54 | 9.19 | 0.81 |
| 17 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.3 | 12.08 | 10.83 | 9.21 | 0.79 |
| 18 | Troy | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.02 | 11.62 | 9.21 | 9.51 | 0.49 |
| 19 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.97 | 12.62 | 8.53 | 9.07 | 0.93 |
| 20 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.93 | 7.15 | 10.85 | 8.45 | 1.55 |
| 21 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.92 | 5.92 | 11.59 | 8.41 | 1.59 |
| 22 | Air Force | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.8 | 8.92 | 8.99 | 8.67 | 1.33 |
| 23 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.57 | 7.85 | 8.03 | 8.39 | 1.61 |
| 24 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.92 | 9.36 | 11.88 | 9.81 | 0.19 |
| 25 | Louisville | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.9 | 18.77 | 11.4 | 10.39 | -1.39 |
| 26 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.89 | 12.21 | 10.38 | 10.28 | -0.28 |
| 27 | Temple | American Athletic | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.87 | 13.93 | 9.54 | 11.08 | -1.08 |
| 28 | Miami | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.77 | 15.77 | 11.33 | 10.55 | -1.55 |
| 29 | Houston | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.47 | 12.38 | 10.46 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 30 | Tennessee | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.46 | 7.54 | 12.97 | 8.24 | 0.76 |
| 31 | Florida | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.42 | 7.15 | 12.92 | 9.09 | -0.09 |
| 32 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.38 | 12.31 | 9.83 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 33 | LSU | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.36 | 12.58 | 12.87 | 9.61 | -1.61 |
| 34 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.34 | 9.92 | 10.66 | 9.17 | -0.17 |
| 35 | BYU | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.06 | 10 | 8.64 | 9.45 | -0.45 |
| 36 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.02 | 7.23 | 9.95 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 37 | Utah | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.79 | 5.92 | 9.22 | 8.17 | 0.83 |
| 38 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.75 | 3.77 | 11.12 | 7.59 | 1.41 |
| 39 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.61 | 2.62 | 11.65 | 7.3 | 1.7 |
| 40 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.54 | 5.23 | 7.97 | 7.67 | 1.33 |
| 41 | Auburn | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.33 | 14.15 | 13.02 | 10.49 | -2.49 |
| 42 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.09 | 10.71 | 9.25 | 9.22 | -0.22 |
| 43 | Navy | American Athletic | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.07 | 6.93 | 11.51 | 8.64 | 0.36 |
| 44 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.89 | 11.77 | 10.64 | 9.17 | -1.17 |
| 45 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.85 | 10.31 | 11.11 | 9.06 | -1.06 |
| 46 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.76 | 10 | 10.52 | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.51 | 5.69 | 11.69 | 7.64 | 0.36 |
| 48 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.44 | 7.38 | 9.69 | 8.44 | -0.44 |
| 49 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.42 | 6.08 | 10.6 | 8.58 | -0.58 |
| 50 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.24 | 10.08 | 6.4 | 9.43 | -1.43 |
| 51 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.05 | 5.85 | 7.78 | 8.31 | -0.31 |
| 52 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 14.95 | -0.54 | 9.13 | 6.37 | 2.63 |
| 53 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.73 | 3.92 | 7.24 | 7.3 | 0.7 |
| 54 | Georgia | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.26 | 0.54 | 10.86 | 6.67 | 1.33 |
| 55 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.77 | 1.86 | 12.18 | 7.44 | 0.56 |
| 56 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.74 | 3.64 | 8.5 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 57 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.58 | 4.92 | 11.44 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 58 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.55 | 5.62 | 10.36 | 7.84 | -0.84 |
| 59 | NC State | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.52 | 4.23 | 11.78 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 60 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.4 | 3.77 | 11.35 | 7.69 | -0.69 |
| 61 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.08 | 3.31 | 9.1 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 62 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.88 | -0.23 | 9.93 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 63 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.79 | -0.77 | 11.96 | 6.31 | 0.69 |
| 64 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.56 | 4.15 | 10.33 | 7.69 | -1.69 |
| 65 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.55 | -1.31 | 11.7 | 6.17 | 0.83 |
| 66 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.41 | 3 | 10.77 | 7.28 | -1.28 |
| 67 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.31 | -1.77 | 10.62 | 5.86 | 1.14 |
| 68 | UTSA | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.87 | 1.23 | 9.84 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 69 | Boston College | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.72 | -4.62 | 10.18 | 4.96 | 2.04 |
| 70 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.89 | -1 | 12.12 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 71 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.77 | 0.42 | 11.68 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 72 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.69 | -1.46 | 11.61 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 73 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.67 | -1.38 | 11.1 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 74 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.58 | -0.92 | 7.73 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 75 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.57 | 0.17 | 11 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 76 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.5 | 0.17 | 10.19 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 77 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.46 | 0.08 | 10.31 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 78 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.44 | -1.69 | 9.33 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 79 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.39 | -1.62 | 8.37 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 80 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 7-7 | 0.5 | 9.32 | -9 | 9.41 | 4.79 | 2.21 |
| 81 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.07 | -3.77 | 10.24 | 5.46 | 0.54 |
| 82 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.02 | -4 | 10.1 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 83 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.89 | -1.42 | 12.98 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 84 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.86 | -5.69 | 11.08 | 4.68 | 1.32 |
| 85 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 8.64 | 3.08 | 12.73 | 6.74 | -2.74 |
| 86 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.12 | -5.5 | 13.17 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 87 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.96 | -3.58 | 6.52 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 88 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.84 | -6.5 | 10.56 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 89 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.81 | -6.17 | 9.51 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 90 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.71 | -8.58 | 11.58 | 4.14 | 0.86 |
| 91 | Missouri | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.42 | -0.08 | 12.03 | 5.98 | -1.98 |
| 92 | North Texas | Conference USA | 5-8 | 0.38 | 6.8 | -7.85 | 10.27 | 4.45 | 0.55 |
| 93 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.52 | -2.58 | 12.81 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 94 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.19 | -3.58 | 10.14 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 95 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.18 | -3.08 | 8.09 | 5.24 | -1.24 |
| 96 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.15 | -4.33 | 11.84 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 97 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.08 | -4.83 | 11.83 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 98 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -6 | 11.8 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 99 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -5.17 | 9.11 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 100 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -7.58 | 10.84 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 101 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -8.58 | 8.05 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 102 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -9.42 | 9.29 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 103 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -10.25 | 10.61 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 104 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -10.83 | 10 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 105 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.44 | -12.92 | 12.78 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 106 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.28 | -13.5 | 9.86 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 107 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.2 | -15.75 | 10.64 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 108 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.43 | -3.67 | 11.33 | 5 | -2 |
| 109 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.42 | -3.67 | 11.19 | 5.12 | -2.12 |
| 110 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.22 | -5.42 | 12.58 | 4.58 | -1.58 |
| 111 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.02 | -6.67 | 10.77 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.83 | -8.08 | 8.78 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 113 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.82 | -9.08 | 11.06 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 114 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -8.83 | 9.92 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 115 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.62 | -12.25 | 11.74 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 116 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -12.08 | 9.94 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 117 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -13.58 | 12.33 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -14 | 12.31 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 119 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.52 | -13.67 | 10.77 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 120 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -13.33 | 9.05 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 121 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -13.25 | 8.97 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 122 | Virginia | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.86 | -11.25 | 10.61 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 123 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -12.17 | 10.72 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 124 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.59 | -15.83 | 8.58 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 125 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.58 | -17.08 | 12.13 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 126 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.4 | -21.83 | 12.54 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 127 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.35 | -22.5 | 10.31 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 128 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.28 | -13.25 | 10.66 | 2.52 | -1.52 |