Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.572547+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 26.58 | 26.89 | 15.04 | 8.39 | 0.61 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 26.26 | 37.33 | 12.2 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 3 | Clemson | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 26.15 | 22.89 | 13.52 | 8.05 | 0.95 |
| 4 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 9-0 | 1 | 25.18 | 25.89 | 8.3 | 7.94 | 1.06 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-12 | 9-0 | 1 | 25.1 | 31.33 | 7.29 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.94 | 31 | 14.45 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 7 | Louisville | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.31 | 29 | 11.24 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 8 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.71 | 12.11 | 11.53 | 6.61 | 1.39 |
| 9 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.1 | 18.12 | 7.9 | 6.49 | 0.51 |
| 10 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.05 | 12.62 | 9.01 | 6.05 | 0.95 |
| 11 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.91 | 20.67 | 5.11 | 7.97 | 0.03 |
| 12 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.83 | 18.78 | 13.84 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 13 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.65 | 8.89 | 16.38 | 6.03 | 0.97 |
| 14 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.63 | 10 | 15.62 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 15 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.4 | 15.78 | 11.04 | 7.08 | -0.08 |
| 16 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.19 | 16.78 | 10.19 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 17 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.17 | 16.44 | 10.42 | 7.47 | -0.47 |
| 18 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.15 | 12.56 | 11.51 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.07 | 14.67 | 10.31 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 20 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.01 | 13.22 | 10.39 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 21 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.93 | 18.33 | 8.47 | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 22 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.88 | 10.44 | 10.65 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 23 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.84 | 13.22 | 9.12 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 24 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.8 | 5.56 | 11.89 | 5.62 | 1.38 |
| 25 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.73 | 17.56 | 7.4 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 26 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.72 | 11.44 | 9.35 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 27 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.59 | 8 | 10.13 | 5.87 | 1.13 |
| 28 | Florida | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.52 | 12.88 | 10.76 | 6.58 | -0.58 |
| 29 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.46 | 6.11 | 10.52 | 5.48 | 1.52 |
| 30 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.44 | 10.33 | 8 | 6.35 | 0.65 |
| 31 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.31 | 6.56 | 8.9 | 5.82 | 1.18 |
| 32 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.87 | 14.75 | 5.96 | 6 | 0 |
| 33 | Navy | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.82 | 5.88 | 10.91 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 34 | Temple | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.17 | 12.1 | 10.88 | 7.51 | -0.51 |
| 35 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.15 | 16.7 | 9.17 | 7.67 | -0.67 |
| 36 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.85 | 14.8 | 7.74 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 37 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.61 | 8.44 | 13.9 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 38 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.53 | 6.22 | 15.35 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 39 | Florida State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.31 | 4.78 | 14.59 | 5.31 | 0.69 |
| 40 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.22 | 14 | 8.43 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 41 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.97 | 6.3 | 5.79 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 42 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 8.78 | 8.89 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 43 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.84 | 7.22 | 7.98 | 5.58 | 0.42 |
| 44 | LSU | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.63 | 11.75 | 12.39 | 6.44 | -1.44 |
| 45 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 1.89 | 14.11 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 46 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.46 | 5.56 | 7.76 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 47 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.44 | 6.56 | 6.68 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 48 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.42 | 1.33 | 13.83 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 49 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.24 | 2.89 | 8.94 | 5.27 | 0.73 |
| 50 | Miami | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.18 | 15 | 11.84 | 7.12 | -2.12 |
| 51 | UCF | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.73 | 9.22 | 11.08 | 6.23 | -1.23 |
| 52 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.6 | 7.11 | 10.41 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 53 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.57 | 11.22 | 7.36 | 6.82 | -1.82 |
| 54 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.53 | 8.22 | 10.3 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 55 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.44 | 4.11 | 13.46 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 56 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.32 | 3.78 | 12.88 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 57 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.22 | 5.22 | 8.83 | 5.64 | -0.64 |
| 58 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.13 | 2.56 | 11.81 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 59 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.06 | 4.78 | 7.91 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 60 | UTSA | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.94 | 4.56 | 8.67 | 5.33 | -0.33 |
| 61 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.93 | 2.11 | 10.79 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 62 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.9 | 3.11 | 10.85 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 63 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.71 | 1 | 12.09 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 64 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.4 | 0.56 | 12.91 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 65 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.54 | -0.44 | 9.96 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 66 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.44 | -0.89 | 11.17 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 67 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.04 | -3.11 | 12.91 | 3.93 | 1.07 |
| 68 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.98 | -2 | 11.24 | 3.97 | 1.03 |
| 69 | Georgia | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.92 | -2.22 | 11.01 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 70 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.69 | 4.22 | 13.98 | 5.16 | -1.16 |
| 71 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.64 | 4.44 | 11.51 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 72 | NC State | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.42 | 2.56 | 12.82 | 5.05 | -1.05 |
| 73 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.09 | 1.11 | 13.66 | 4.76 | -0.76 |
| 74 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.02 | -0.9 | 9.41 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 75 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 10.98 | -9.22 | 10.88 | 2.85 | 2.15 |
| 76 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.74 | 1.11 | 9.69 | 4.73 | -0.73 |
| 77 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.68 | 1.11 | 11.35 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 78 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.57 | -1.25 | 8.56 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 79 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.06 | -5.8 | 10.63 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 80 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.72 | -1.33 | 13.22 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 81 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.37 | -1.22 | 7.3 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 82 | California | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.12 | -4.78 | 14.37 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 83 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.11 | -2.33 | 8.87 | 4 | 0 |
| 84 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.92 | -3.89 | 10.21 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 85 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.8 | -4.44 | 9.81 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 86 | Boston College | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.65 | -6.78 | 11.64 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| 87 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.65 | 2.22 | 11.53 | 4.91 | -1.91 |
| 88 | SMU | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.6 | -8.33 | 13.07 | 2.99 | 1.01 |
| 89 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.45 | -10.44 | 13.42 | 2.66 | 1.34 |
| 90 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.17 | 0.33 | 14.76 | 4.57 | -1.57 |
| 91 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.09 | -9.56 | 9.43 | 2.91 | 1.09 |
| 92 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.06 | -2.3 | 9.45 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 93 | Duke | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.91 | 0.22 | 11.92 | 4.55 | -1.55 |
| 94 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.26 | -5 | 8.7 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 95 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.25 | -11.4 | 10.42 | 3.02 | 0.98 |
| 96 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.01 | -0.89 | 11.68 | 4.35 | -1.35 |
| 97 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.73 | -1.44 | 7.82 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 98 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.71 | -2.56 | 11.3 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 99 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.66 | -2.78 | 10.49 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 100 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.48 | -4.33 | 13.52 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 101 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.33 | -4.78 | 11.74 | 3.56 | -0.56 |
| 102 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.2 | -4 | 8.63 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 103 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -5.89 | 12.99 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 104 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -5.44 | 6.51 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 105 | Missouri | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 5.92 | 1.33 | 13.19 | 4.73 | -2.73 |
| 106 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -11.67 | 11.69 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 107 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.41 | -11.89 | 9.79 | 2.46 | 0.54 |
| 108 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.18 | -16.78 | 10.11 | 2.04 | 0.96 |
| 109 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.03 | -10.4 | 11.31 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 110 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.89 | -12.2 | 11.2 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 111 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.83 | -13.3 | 10.85 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 112 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.67 | -5.22 | 11.41 | 3.26 | -1.26 |
| 113 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.51 | -6.56 | 11.63 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 114 | Virginia | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.5 | -6.56 | 11.18 | 3.31 | -1.31 |
| 115 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.47 | -6.67 | 9.97 | 3.4 | -1.4 |
| 116 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.47 | -8.11 | 15.76 | 3 | -1 |
| 117 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.44 | -19 | 13.47 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 118 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -17.75 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 119 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.96 | -14.89 | 12.98 | 2.06 | -0.06 |
| 120 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.86 | -17.33 | 14.58 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 121 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.83 | -14.78 | 8.25 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 122 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.73 | -9.8 | 11.09 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 123 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.71 | -13.89 | 7.41 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 124 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.75 | -8.56 | 12.64 | 2.94 | -1.94 |
| 125 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.29 | -15.78 | 11.23 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 126 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.09 | -20.67 | 14.59 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 127 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.07 | -15.6 | 12.13 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 128 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.03 | -23.89 | 11.92 | 1.29 | -0.29 |