Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.572947+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 26.46 | 29 | 14.75 | 9.47 | 0.53 |
| 2 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 10-0 | 1 | 24.85 | 24.9 | 7.41 | 8.75 | 1.25 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 24.1 | 33.8 | 14.22 | 9.56 | -0.56 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.87 | 33.5 | 12.4 | 9.65 | -0.65 |
| 5 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.61 | 20.5 | 12.99 | 8.55 | 0.45 |
| 6 | Louisville | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.41 | 29.3 | 11.12 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 7 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.91 | 14.5 | 11.34 | 7.68 | 1.32 |
| 8 | Washington | Pac-12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.86 | 26.9 | 7.92 | 8.98 | 0.02 |
| 9 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.33 | 16.56 | 8.89 | 7.15 | 0.85 |
| 10 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.19 | 11.67 | 9.51 | 6.69 | 1.31 |
| 11 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.98 | 21.6 | 4.65 | 8.9 | 0.1 |
| 12 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.96 | 9.4 | 15.54 | 6.75 | 1.25 |
| 13 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.91 | 13.5 | 13.53 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.71 | 13.4 | 12.41 | 7.02 | 0.98 |
| 15 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.48 | 17.3 | 9.77 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 16 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.41 | 16.3 | 9.59 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 17 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.33 | 20 | 8.28 | 8.06 | -0.06 |
| 18 | South Florida | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.23 | 12.6 | 9.75 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.21 | 12 | 9.75 | 6.93 | 1.07 |
| 20 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.14 | 5.7 | 12.63 | 6.3 | 1.7 |
| 21 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.03 | 16.5 | 7.26 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 22 | Florida | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.97 | 12.89 | 10.82 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 23 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.77 | 8.2 | 8.82 | 6.73 | 1.27 |
| 24 | Navy | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.46 | 5.44 | 11.58 | 5.38 | 1.62 |
| 25 | Auburn | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.88 | 16.3 | 13.95 | 8.44 | -1.44 |
| 26 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.85 | 18.64 | 9.3 | 8.76 | -0.76 |
| 27 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.56 | 16 | 8.12 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 28 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.45 | 14.1 | 11.75 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 29 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.37 | 8.9 | 14.49 | 6.88 | 0.12 |
| 30 | Florida State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.25 | 8.1 | 14.21 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 31 | Tennessee | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.25 | 6.9 | 14.94 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 32 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.11 | 9 | 11.74 | 7.23 | -0.23 |
| 33 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.11 | 12.2 | 10.19 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 34 | Temple | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.1 | 12.1 | 10.75 | 7.51 | -0.51 |
| 35 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.9 | 10.1 | 9.71 | 6.57 | 0.43 |
| 36 | LSU | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.75 | 13.56 | 13 | 7.51 | -1.51 |
| 37 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.69 | 8.6 | 9.06 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 38 | North Carolina | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.69 | 7.1 | 9.98 | 6.37 | 0.63 |
| 39 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.54 | 8.2 | 9.05 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 40 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.51 | 5.2 | 10.19 | 5.84 | 1.16 |
| 41 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.5 | 3.7 | 12.71 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 42 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.33 | 6.6 | 8.71 | 6.22 | 0.78 |
| 43 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17 | 6.2 | 6.56 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 44 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 10.78 | 7.64 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 45 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.97 | 6.3 | 6.04 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 46 | Miami | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.98 | 15.5 | 10.96 | 8.02 | -2.02 |
| 47 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.69 | 11.9 | 9.36 | 7.02 | -1.02 |
| 48 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.57 | 10.4 | 10.06 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 49 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.34 | 6.7 | 10.79 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 50 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.09 | 4.8 | 10.54 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 51 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.98 | 2.4 | 13.23 | 5.39 | 0.61 |
| 52 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.72 | 1.9 | 12.21 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 53 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.72 | 4 | 7.28 | 5.68 | 0.32 |
| 54 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.52 | 7.11 | 10.89 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 55 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.5 | 8.22 | 9.86 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 56 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.85 | 0.3 | 10.28 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 57 | Arkansas | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.66 | -1.1 | 14.15 | 4.78 | 1.22 |
| 58 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.4 | -0.6 | 9.65 | 4.83 | 1.17 |
| 59 | Georgia | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.12 | -1.4 | 11.88 | 4.64 | 1.36 |
| 60 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.08 | 3.9 | 14.82 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 61 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.95 | 1 | 7.67 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 62 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 3 | 13.12 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 63 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.8 | 3.8 | 12.43 | 5.95 | -0.95 |
| 64 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.79 | 6.3 | 7.54 | 6.52 | -1.52 |
| 65 | NC State | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.79 | 3.8 | 12.19 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 66 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.6 | 2.5 | 11.58 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 67 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.39 | 2.7 | 8.84 | 5.49 | -0.49 |
| 68 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.22 | -5 | 10.3 | 3.99 | 2.01 |
| 69 | UTSA | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.1 | 1.3 | 9.62 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 70 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.22 | -0.9 | 12.62 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 71 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -0.9 | 9.58 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 72 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.68 | 5.8 | 11.66 | 6.19 | -2.19 |
| 73 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.64 | 3.9 | 12.6 | 5.52 | -1.52 |
| 74 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.5 | -3.1 | 11.64 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 75 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.49 | -3.1 | 11.72 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 76 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.47 | -4 | 12.24 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 77 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.43 | -4.1 | 13.13 | 4.2 | 0.8 |
| 78 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.1 | 1.7 | 13.63 | 5.38 | -1.38 |
| 79 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.06 | -5.1 | 12.1 | 4 | 1 |
| 80 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.47 | -1.09 | 8.25 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 81 | Duke | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.41 | 0.3 | 12.07 | 5.07 | -1.07 |
| 82 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.36 | 0.3 | 9.6 | 5.07 | -1.07 |
| 83 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.01 | -2.33 | 9.12 | 4 | 0 |
| 84 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.73 | -6.18 | 9.57 | 4.29 | 0.71 |
| 85 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.64 | -3.67 | 8.55 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 86 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.42 | -2.1 | 12.09 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 87 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.4 | -1 | 8.77 | 4.83 | -0.83 |
| 88 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.21 | -1.8 | 7.84 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 89 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.15 | -3.8 | 12.47 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 90 | Missouri | SEC | 3-7 | 0.3 | 7.79 | 2.1 | 12.32 | 5.41 | -2.41 |
| 91 | California | Pac-12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.74 | -7.8 | 14.78 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 92 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.64 | -6.1 | 10.29 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 93 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.52 | -7.3 | 10.32 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 94 | Boston College | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.38 | -9.9 | 11.6 | 2.63 | 1.37 |
| 95 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.37 | -10.9 | 12.94 | 2.87 | 1.13 |
| 96 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.27 | -8.7 | 8.58 | 3.34 | 0.66 |
| 97 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 6.88 | -13.7 | 9.59 | 2.68 | 1.32 |
| 98 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.24 | -1.5 | 11.93 | 4.71 | -1.71 |
| 99 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.2 | -1 | 10.73 | 4.78 | -1.78 |
| 100 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.19 | -13.64 | 11.27 | 2.95 | 1.05 |
| 101 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.72 | -3.7 | 11.55 | 4.19 | -1.19 |
| 102 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.64 | -4.6 | 12.96 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 103 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.57 | -3.5 | 10.46 | 4.34 | -1.34 |
| 104 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.56 | -4.7 | 11.02 | 4.1 | -1.1 |
| 105 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.44 | -6.4 | 13.41 | 4.07 | -1.07 |
| 106 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.43 | -5.2 | 10.13 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 107 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.13 | -9.8 | 13.29 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 108 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.05 | -7.9 | 7.72 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 109 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.95 | -10.4 | 10.92 | 2.39 | 0.61 |
| 110 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.86 | -11.1 | 9.22 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 111 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.84 | -12.2 | 11.08 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 112 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.81 | -13.3 | 11 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 113 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.78 | -13.3 | 11.38 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 114 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.59 | -12.1 | 6.94 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 115 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.05 | -6.1 | 10.72 | 3.45 | -1.45 |
| 116 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.9 | -8.7 | 15.04 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 117 | Virginia | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.88 | -7.9 | 10.89 | 3.39 | -1.39 |
| 118 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.84 | -7 | 11.17 | 3.56 | -1.56 |
| 119 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.74 | -19 | 12.88 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 120 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -9.8 | 10.87 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 121 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.66 | -19.44 | 10.08 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 122 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.42 | -15.9 | 13.84 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 123 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.37 | -14.4 | 7.68 | 1.98 | 0.02 |
| 124 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.33 | -14.1 | 10.72 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 125 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.22 | -20.5 | 13.84 | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| 126 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.07 | -20.5 | 12.24 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 127 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.06 | -15.6 | 12.1 | 1.9 | -0.9 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -19.3 | 13.22 | 1.68 | -0.68 |