Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.573342+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.82 | 28.91 | 12.04 | 10.48 | 0.52 |
| 2 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 11-0 | 1 | 24.62 | 26.09 | 6.63 | 9.85 | 1.15 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.99 | 30.82 | 13.24 | 10.42 | -0.42 |
| 4 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.81 | 31.36 | 12.22 | 10.57 | -0.57 |
| 5 | Clemson | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.64 | 20.64 | 13.05 | 9.46 | 0.54 |
| 6 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.98 | 14.73 | 10.85 | 8.46 | 1.54 |
| 7 | Washington | Pac-12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.92 | 26.82 | 8.1 | 9.87 | 0.13 |
| 8 | Louisville | ACC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.52 | 24.27 | 11.67 | 9.41 | -0.41 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.3 | 14.73 | 13.26 | 7.89 | 1.11 |
| 10 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.26 | 14.91 | 12.88 | 9.41 | -0.41 |
| 11 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.2 | 12.09 | 13.45 | 7.99 | 1.01 |
| 12 | Houston | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.99 | 17.18 | 10.73 | 8.92 | 0.08 |
| 13 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.93 | 17 | 10.37 | 9.07 | -0.07 |
| 14 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.69 | 13.18 | 10.03 | 7.9 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.54 | 7.09 | 11.83 | 7.31 | 1.69 |
| 16 | South Florida | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.53 | 12.18 | 9.39 | 7.56 | 1.44 |
| 17 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.48 | 16.64 | 7.75 | 8.66 | 0.34 |
| 18 | Florida | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.34 | 12.2 | 11.01 | 8.28 | -0.28 |
| 19 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.31 | 19.55 | 5.52 | 9.47 | -0.47 |
| 20 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.06 | 7.7 | 10.65 | 6.59 | 1.41 |
| 21 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.05 | 11.7 | 8.68 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 22 | Navy | American Athletic | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.04 | 8.4 | 10.87 | 6.42 | 1.58 |
| 23 | Auburn | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.17 | 19.82 | 11.46 | 9.76 | -1.76 |
| 24 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.96 | 10.09 | 13.54 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 25 | Florida State | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.91 | 10.18 | 13.18 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 26 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.87 | 14 | 11.26 | 8.47 | -0.47 |
| 27 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.86 | 8.64 | 13.63 | 7.2 | 0.8 |
| 28 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.84 | 18.64 | 9.47 | 8.76 | -0.76 |
| 29 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.8 | 16.91 | 9.29 | 8.46 | -0.46 |
| 30 | Temple | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.68 | 13.82 | 10.08 | 8.68 | -0.68 |
| 31 | App State | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.67 | 10.45 | 11.4 | 8.23 | -0.23 |
| 32 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.56 | 11.36 | 10.18 | 8.01 | -0.01 |
| 33 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.49 | 10.55 | 10.13 | 7.34 | 0.66 |
| 34 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.42 | 16 | 7.47 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 35 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.24 | 4.64 | 12.35 | 6.81 | 1.19 |
| 36 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.22 | 9.36 | 8.83 | 7.67 | 0.33 |
| 37 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.17 | 9.55 | 8.42 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 38 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.12 | 4.82 | 11.3 | 6.37 | 1.63 |
| 39 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.05 | 7.27 | 8.23 | 7.19 | 0.81 |
| 40 | Air Force | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.98 | 7.73 | 8.1 | 7.08 | 0.92 |
| 41 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.96 | 7.64 | 8.11 | 7.04 | 0.96 |
| 42 | Miami | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.85 | 15.36 | 11.16 | 8.86 | -1.86 |
| 43 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.51 | 13.27 | 9.47 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 44 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.39 | 9.91 | 10.19 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 45 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.34 | 6 | 12.65 | 6.57 | 0.43 |
| 46 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.12 | 6.91 | 10.06 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 47 | LSU | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.08 | 11.6 | 13.13 | 8.06 | -2.06 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.67 | 3 | 10.71 | 6.24 | 0.76 |
| 49 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.6 | 5.09 | 6.81 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 50 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.58 | 8.5 | 11.85 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 51 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.49 | 4.27 | 7.54 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
| 52 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.47 | 4 | 6.96 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 53 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.24 | 7.6 | 8.79 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 54 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.17 | 0.45 | 13.5 | 5.59 | 1.41 |
| 55 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.68 | 4.1 | 8.79 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 56 | Georgia | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.61 | 0 | 11.24 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| 57 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.27 | 8.09 | 9.95 | 7.46 | -1.46 |
| 58 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.92 | 10.91 | 6.02 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
| 59 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.88 | 3.91 | 11.76 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 60 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.89 | 4.9 | 10.72 | 5.9 | -0.9 |
| 61 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.31 | -0.18 | 10.24 | 5.46 | 0.54 |
| 62 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.31 | -0.36 | 10.04 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 63 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.23 | -5 | 10.29 | 3.99 | 2.01 |
| 64 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.18 | -0.45 | 10.71 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 65 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.62 | -2.55 | 10.68 | 4.71 | 1.29 |
| 66 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.61 | -1.64 | 9.35 | 5 | 1 |
| 67 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.43 | 2.45 | 11.93 | 5.99 | -0.99 |
| 68 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.39 | 1.91 | 13.13 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 69 | NC State | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.37 | 2.18 | 12.09 | 6.08 | -1.08 |
| 70 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.37 | 1.64 | 13.64 | 5.82 | -0.82 |
| 71 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.21 | 0.3 | 7.33 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 72 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.01 | 1.91 | 8.86 | 5.89 | -0.89 |
| 73 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.3 | 0 | 12 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 74 | UTSA | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.29 | 0 | 9.93 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 75 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.81 | 5 | 12.5 | 6.62 | -2.62 |
| 76 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.74 | -1.73 | 13.38 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 77 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.5 | -1.09 | 8.35 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 78 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.02 | -5.18 | 12.53 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 79 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.98 | -5.55 | 12.67 | 4.21 | 0.79 |
| 80 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.95 | -5.36 | 12.06 | 4.35 | 0.65 |
| 81 | North Texas | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.67 | -6.09 | 10.67 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 82 | Boston College | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.65 | -6.27 | 10.75 | 3.73 | 1.27 |
| 83 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.64 | -6.18 | 9.73 | 4.29 | 0.71 |
| 84 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.21 | -0.45 | 14.04 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 85 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8 | -0.27 | 9.46 | 5.43 | -1.43 |
| 86 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.8 | -0.73 | 12 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 87 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.66 | -4.7 | 8.58 | 3.92 | 0.08 |
| 88 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.65 | -1.55 | 11.53 | 5.27 | -1.27 |
| 89 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.44 | -12.42 | 10.15 | 3.32 | 1.68 |
| 90 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.24 | -2.45 | 9.93 | 5.04 | -1.04 |
| 91 | Duke | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.18 | -3.55 | 11.95 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 92 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7 | -3.27 | 8.71 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 93 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.94 | -4.91 | 12.11 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 94 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.82 | -5.64 | 13.69 | 4.57 | -0.57 |
| 95 | California | Pac-12 | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.68 | -8.36 | 14.43 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 96 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.53 | -8 | 10.92 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 97 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.41 | -8.55 | 9.73 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 98 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.33 | -7.09 | 7.37 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 99 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.3 | -12.73 | 12.98 | 2.82 | 1.18 |
| 100 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.2 | -10.55 | 10.4 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 101 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.05 | -14.73 | 10.36 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 102 | Missouri | SEC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 6.03 | -0.45 | 12.65 | 5.41 | -2.41 |
| 103 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.67 | -1 | 11.52 | 5.25 | -2.25 |
| 104 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 5.41 | -1.27 | 10.93 | 5.22 | -2.22 |
| 105 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.94 | -4.27 | 12.36 | 4.49 | -1.49 |
| 106 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.77 | -4.73 | 9.61 | 4.5 | -1.5 |
| 107 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.71 | -13.1 | 11.89 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 108 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.7 | -5.64 | 13.8 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 109 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.69 | -6.18 | 11.99 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 110 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.67 | -5 | 10.72 | 4.12 | -1.12 |
| 111 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.54 | -7.45 | 11.56 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.42 | -7.91 | 9.34 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 113 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.28 | -11.45 | 13.04 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 114 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.23 | -11.36 | 11.78 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 115 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.14 | -12.18 | 10.42 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 116 | UTEP | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.09 | -11.91 | 8.23 | 3.06 | -0.06 |
| 117 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.08 | -11 | 9.63 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 118 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -12.64 | 8.15 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 119 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.03 | -14.73 | 11.44 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 120 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.88 | -15.45 | 11.38 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 121 | Virginia | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.35 | -8.45 | 10.99 | 3.59 | -1.59 |
| 122 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.1 | -21.5 | 9.27 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 123 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.06 | -12.73 | 10.91 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 124 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.89 | -16.73 | 13.08 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 125 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.83 | -16.55 | 8.65 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 126 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.76 | -17.27 | 13.05 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 127 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.68 | -22.18 | 14.01 | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| 128 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.1 | -14.27 | 11.41 | 2.2 | -1.2 |