Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.573747+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 12-0 | 1 | 25.79 | 28 | 12.57 | 11.4 | 0.6 |
| 2 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 12-0 | 1 | 24.66 | 25.58 | 7.37 | 10.58 | 1.42 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 24.21 | 28.5 | 13.99 | 11.18 | -0.18 |
| 4 | Clemson | ACC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.79 | 23 | 12.6 | 10.6 | 0.4 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-12 | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.21 | 26.92 | 8.92 | 10.78 | 0.22 |
| 6 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 22.02 | 28.5 | 12.96 | 11.32 | -1.32 |
| 7 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.46 | 14.83 | 13.12 | 10.21 | -0.21 |
| 8 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.33 | 13.83 | 12.64 | 9.06 | 0.94 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.19 | 14.73 | 12.82 | 7.89 | 1.11 |
| 10 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.17 | 16 | 11.03 | 9.74 | 0.26 |
| 11 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.15 | 12.92 | 11.4 | 8.93 | 1.07 |
| 12 | South Florida | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.77 | 12.58 | 9.72 | 8.3 | 1.7 |
| 13 | Navy | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.62 | 11.64 | 10.6 | 7.53 | 1.47 |
| 14 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.62 | 13.18 | 9.88 | 7.9 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Troy | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.41 | 13.64 | 8.63 | 8.39 | 0.61 |
| 16 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.39 | 9.73 | 9.92 | 7.63 | 1.37 |
| 17 | Louisville | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.69 | 22 | 11.2 | 9.94 | -0.94 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.4 | 10.83 | 13.36 | 8.46 | 0.54 |
| 19 | Houston | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.34 | 15.42 | 10.71 | 9.29 | -0.29 |
| 20 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.33 | 21.58 | 9.6 | 9.98 | -0.98 |
| 21 | USC | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.31 | 10.75 | 12.78 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 22 | App State | Sun Belt | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 12.08 | 10.65 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 23 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.04 | 13.58 | 9.43 | 8.82 | 0.18 |
| 24 | Temple | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.02 | 14.92 | 9.31 | 9.7 | -0.7 |
| 25 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19 | 13.92 | 9.56 | 9.23 | -0.23 |
| 26 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.76 | 9.92 | 9.55 | 7.88 | 1.12 |
| 27 | Florida | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.75 | 9.45 | 12.23 | 8.42 | -0.42 |
| 28 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.74 | 6.25 | 11.62 | 7.86 | 1.14 |
| 29 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.68 | 15.25 | 6.48 | 9.44 | -0.44 |
| 30 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.59 | 4 | 11.9 | 7.14 | 1.86 |
| 31 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.58 | 7.67 | 9.63 | 7.74 | 1.26 |
| 32 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.29 | 8.17 | 7.31 | 7.77 | 1.23 |
| 33 | Auburn | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.86 | 16.67 | 12.79 | 10.18 | -2.18 |
| 34 | Miami | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 15.67 | 10.92 | 9.68 | -1.68 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.41 | 11.58 | 11.52 | 8.63 | -0.63 |
| 36 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.35 | 13.17 | 10.38 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 37 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 7 | 13.55 | 7.49 | 0.51 |
| 38 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 12.5 | 10.49 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 39 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 8.83 | 10.94 | 8.65 | -0.65 |
| 40 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.02 | 6.75 | 12.12 | 7.22 | 0.78 |
| 41 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17 | 13.42 | 7.8 | 8.44 | -0.44 |
| 42 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 10.58 | 8.98 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 43 | LSU | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.89 | 11.91 | 13.27 | 8.64 | -1.64 |
| 44 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 7.42 | 9.84 | 7.92 | 0.08 |
| 45 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 8.17 | 8.84 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 46 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.66 | 6.25 | 9.23 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 47 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.46 | 2.67 | 11.65 | 6.51 | 1.49 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.34 | 2.83 | 11.22 | 6.76 | 1.24 |
| 49 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.34 | 5.42 | 8.2 | 7.09 | 0.91 |
| 50 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.33 | 9.09 | 10.53 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 51 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.26 | 5.67 | 7.32 | 7.07 | 0.93 |
| 52 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.18 | 5.17 | 7.17 | 7.49 | 0.51 |
| 53 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.9 | 6.25 | 12.2 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 54 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.05 | 6.45 | 10.7 | 6.84 | -0.84 |
| 55 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.9 | 10.91 | 5.81 | 8.19 | -2.19 |
| 56 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.83 | 5.18 | 9.07 | 6.5 | -0.5 |
| 57 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.5 | 0.08 | 12.34 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 58 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.5 | 3.27 | 8.81 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 59 | Georgia | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.3 | -0.08 | 11.78 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 60 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 13.18 | -3.91 | 9.95 | 4.64 | 2.36 |
| 61 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.16 | 0.08 | 10.15 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 62 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.15 | -0.17 | 11.81 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 63 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 6 | 10.63 | 7.55 | -1.55 |
| 64 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.66 | 3.5 | 12.14 | 7.04 | -1.04 |
| 65 | NC State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 2.58 | 12.33 | 6.75 | -0.75 |
| 66 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.29 | 3 | 9.42 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 67 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.02 | 0.92 | 12.85 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 68 | UTSA | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.97 | 1.58 | 9.83 | 6.39 | -0.39 |
| 69 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.02 | -0.58 | 10.17 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 70 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.76 | -1.42 | 12.18 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 71 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.59 | -0.92 | 8.12 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 72 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.35 | -2.58 | 9.86 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 73 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.2 | -3.58 | 11.61 | 5.07 | 0.93 |
| 74 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.97 | 0.42 | 11.76 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 75 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.95 | -5.58 | 10.7 | 4.24 | 1.76 |
| 76 | Boston College | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -5.5 | 10.47 | 4.25 | 1.75 |
| 77 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.78 | -0.36 | 7.33 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 78 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.68 | 0.17 | 11.82 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 79 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.65 | 0.17 | 11.32 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 80 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.13 | -1.42 | 13.37 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 81 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.85 | -3.82 | 9.44 | 4.52 | 0.48 |
| 82 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.85 | -1.58 | 12.49 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 83 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 8.81 | 3.08 | 12.9 | 6.74 | -2.74 |
| 84 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.36 | -11 | 9.14 | 3.96 | 2.04 |
| 85 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.21 | -5.5 | 13.74 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 86 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.03 | -3.58 | 6.94 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 87 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.02 | -6.5 | 10.93 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 88 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.99 | -6.17 | 10.17 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 89 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.95 | -0.27 | 9.94 | 5.43 | -1.43 |
| 90 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.93 | -8.58 | 12.61 | 4.14 | 0.86 |
| 91 | North Texas | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.82 | -7.92 | 10.02 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 92 | Missouri | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.53 | -0.08 | 13.08 | 5.98 | -1.98 |
| 93 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.69 | -2.58 | 13.31 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 94 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.33 | -3.08 | 8.83 | 5.24 | -1.24 |
| 95 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.26 | -3.58 | 11.12 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 96 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -4.33 | 12.81 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 97 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.22 | -4.83 | 12.18 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 98 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.09 | -6 | 12.6 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 99 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -5.17 | 9.66 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 100 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.01 | -14.73 | 10.68 | 2.77 | 1.23 |
| 101 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.87 | -7.58 | 11.51 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 102 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -9.42 | 9.7 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 103 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -10.83 | 10.42 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 104 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -8.58 | 8.39 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 105 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -10.25 | 10.8 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 106 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -12.92 | 12.92 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 107 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.33 | -13.5 | 10.55 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 108 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.72 | -5 | 10.64 | 4.12 | -1.12 |
| 109 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.56 | -3.67 | 11.88 | 5 | -2 |
| 110 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.53 | -3.67 | 11.41 | 5.12 | -2.12 |
| 111 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.32 | -5.42 | 12.92 | 4.58 | -1.58 |
| 112 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.04 | -14.64 | 12.18 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 113 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -9.08 | 11.93 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 114 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.92 | -8.08 | 9.27 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 115 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.91 | -8.83 | 10.43 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 116 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.73 | -12.25 | 12.96 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 117 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.65 | -12.08 | 9.93 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 118 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -13.67 | 11.22 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 119 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.58 | -13.25 | 9.8 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 120 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.56 | -13.58 | 12.8 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 121 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -13.33 | 8.94 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 122 | Virginia | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.92 | -11.25 | 11.6 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 123 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.84 | -12.17 | 10.72 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 124 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.62 | -22.55 | 10.53 | 1.49 | 0.51 |
| 125 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.61 | -15.83 | 8.36 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 126 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.61 | -17.08 | 12.7 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 127 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.43 | -21.83 | 13.37 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 128 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.27 | -13.25 | 10.99 | 2.52 | -1.52 |