Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.574956+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.61 | 28.77 | 12.51 | 12.34 | 0.66 |
| 2 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 13-0 | 1 | 24.55 | 24.08 | 7.93 | 11.32 | 1.68 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 24.02 | 28.5 | 13.88 | 11.18 | -0.18 |
| 4 | Clemson | ACC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.58 | 21.77 | 12.59 | 11.24 | 0.76 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.25 | 27.23 | 9.92 | 11.76 | 0.24 |
| 6 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.76 | 28.5 | 12.83 | 11.32 | -1.32 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.68 | 13.31 | 13.08 | 9.67 | 1.33 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.3 | 15 | 12.97 | 8.7 | 1.3 |
| 9 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.96 | 12.92 | 11.63 | 8.93 | 1.07 |
| 10 | South Florida | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.57 | 12.58 | 9.36 | 8.3 | 1.7 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.48 | 9.17 | 10.19 | 8.24 | 1.76 |
| 12 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.87 | 13.15 | 13.29 | 10.54 | -0.54 |
| 13 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.68 | 21 | 9.88 | 10.6 | -0.6 |
| 14 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.6 | 15 | 8.22 | 11.04 | -0.04 |
| 15 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.57 | 12.38 | 11.68 | 9.81 | 0.19 |
| 16 | Temple | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.45 | 15.62 | 9.79 | 10.68 | -0.68 |
| 17 | App State | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.44 | 11.38 | 11.3 | 9.92 | 0.08 |
| 18 | Louisville | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.42 | 22 | 10.87 | 9.94 | -0.94 |
| 19 | Florida State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.17 | 10.83 | 12.64 | 8.46 | 0.54 |
| 20 | USC | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.13 | 10.75 | 12.43 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 21 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.84 | 10.58 | 10.62 | 8.17 | 0.83 |
| 22 | Troy | Sun Belt | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.66 | 12.17 | 8.74 | 8.87 | 0.13 |
| 23 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.62 | 6.25 | 11.61 | 7.86 | 1.14 |
| 24 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.58 | 9.92 | 9.14 | 7.88 | 1.12 |
| 25 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.41 | 7.67 | 9.26 | 7.74 | 1.26 |
| 26 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.33 | 4 | 11.6 | 7.14 | 1.86 |
| 27 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.21 | 8.17 | 7.6 | 7.77 | 1.23 |
| 28 | Houston | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.68 | 12.38 | 10.83 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 29 | Auburn | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.62 | 16.67 | 12.41 | 10.18 | -2.18 |
| 30 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.58 | 12.31 | 10.19 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 31 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.55 | 12.31 | 10.3 | 9.57 | -0.57 |
| 32 | Navy | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.37 | 7.69 | 11.4 | 8.23 | 0.77 |
| 33 | Miami | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.33 | 15.67 | 10.69 | 9.68 | -1.68 |
| 34 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.17 | 13.17 | 10.45 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 11.58 | 10.86 | 8.63 | -0.63 |
| 36 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.09 | 12.5 | 10.1 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 37 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 7 | 13.08 | 7.49 | 0.51 |
| 38 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.98 | 10.33 | 10.31 | 8.58 | -0.58 |
| 39 | Florida | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 5.5 | 13.1 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 40 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.88 | 8.83 | 10.41 | 8.65 | -0.65 |
| 41 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 6.75 | 11.63 | 7.22 | 0.78 |
| 42 | BYU | FBS Independents | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.75 | 10.58 | 8.53 | 8.85 | -0.85 |
| 43 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.7 | 7.42 | 9.95 | 7.92 | 0.08 |
| 44 | LSU | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.7 | 11.91 | 12.57 | 8.64 | -1.64 |
| 45 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.67 | 5.23 | 8.29 | 7.67 | 1.33 |
| 46 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 8.17 | 8.72 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 47 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.51 | 6.25 | 9.42 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.25 | 2.83 | 11.22 | 6.76 | 1.24 |
| 49 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.17 | 5.67 | 7.38 | 7.07 | 0.93 |
| 50 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.75 | 11.31 | 9.01 | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 51 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.18 | 5.85 | 8.3 | 8.31 | -0.31 |
| 52 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.09 | 2.23 | 12.16 | 6.98 | 1.02 |
| 53 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15 | 4.31 | 8.22 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 54 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.75 | 6.25 | 11.52 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 55 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.51 | 10.33 | 6.59 | 8.85 | -1.85 |
| 56 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.23 | -1.5 | 9.18 | 5.63 | 2.37 |
| 57 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.25 | 0.08 | 11.61 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 58 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.16 | 3.31 | 9.34 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 59 | Georgia | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.1 | -0.08 | 11.38 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 60 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.08 | 0.08 | 9.96 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 61 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.04 | -0.17 | 11.36 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 62 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 3.5 | 11.6 | 7.04 | -1.04 |
| 63 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.53 | 4.5 | 9.78 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 64 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.53 | 3.92 | 10.59 | 6.93 | -0.93 |
| 65 | NC State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.41 | 2.58 | 11.89 | 6.75 | -0.75 |
| 66 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.94 | 0.92 | 12.21 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 67 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.71 | 4.15 | 10.7 | 7.69 | -1.69 |
| 68 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.16 | 0.25 | 7.34 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 69 | UTSA | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.99 | 1.23 | 10.09 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 70 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -0.58 | 9.9 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 71 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.68 | -1.42 | 11.69 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 72 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.55 | -0.92 | 8.04 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 73 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.23 | -2.58 | 9.97 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 74 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.11 | -3.58 | 10.94 | 5.07 | 0.93 |
| 75 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.84 | 0.42 | 11.76 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 76 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.79 | -5.58 | 10.43 | 4.24 | 1.76 |
| 77 | Boston College | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -5.5 | 10.11 | 4.25 | 1.75 |
| 78 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.63 | 0.17 | 11.05 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 79 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.61 | 0.17 | 10.79 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 80 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.53 | -1.69 | 9.31 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 81 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.53 | 0.08 | 10.53 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 82 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.98 | -1.42 | 13.37 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 83 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.82 | -1.58 | 11.85 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 84 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 8.69 | 3.08 | 12.61 | 6.74 | -2.74 |
| 85 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.34 | -11 | 9.19 | 3.96 | 2.04 |
| 86 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.18 | -5.5 | 13.25 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 87 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.01 | -3.58 | 6.52 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 88 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.92 | -6.5 | 10.99 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 89 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.89 | -6.17 | 9.92 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 90 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.8 | -8.58 | 12.12 | 4.14 | 0.86 |
| 91 | North Texas | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.71 | -7.92 | 9.86 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 92 | Missouri | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.5 | -0.08 | 12.67 | 5.98 | -1.98 |
| 93 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.57 | -2.58 | 13.1 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 94 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.26 | -3.58 | 10.72 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 95 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.25 | -3.08 | 8.79 | 5.24 | -1.24 |
| 96 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.22 | -4.33 | 12.29 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 97 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.12 | -4.83 | 11.85 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 98 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6 | -6 | 12.27 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 99 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -5.17 | 9.45 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 100 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.79 | -7.58 | 11.35 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 101 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.57 | -9.42 | 9.77 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 102 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -8.58 | 8.05 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 103 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -10.25 | 10.55 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 104 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -10.83 | 10.33 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 105 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.47 | -12.92 | 12.68 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 106 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.35 | -13.5 | 10.67 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 107 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.24 | -15.75 | 10.78 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 108 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.48 | -3.67 | 11.8 | 5 | -2 |
| 109 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.46 | -3.67 | 11.38 | 5.12 | -2.12 |
| 110 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.25 | -5.42 | 12.72 | 4.58 | -1.58 |
| 111 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.05 | -6.67 | 10.68 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -8.08 | 9.42 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 113 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -9.08 | 11.34 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 114 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.84 | -8.83 | 10.26 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 115 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.66 | -12.25 | 12.26 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 116 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.6 | -12.08 | 9.83 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 117 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -13.58 | 12.54 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -14 | 12.57 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 119 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -13.67 | 11.22 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 120 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.52 | -13.25 | 9.39 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 121 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -13.33 | 9.08 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 122 | Virginia | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.88 | -11.25 | 10.93 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 123 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.81 | -12.17 | 10.42 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 124 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -15.83 | 8.8 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 125 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.59 | -17.08 | 12.43 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 126 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.41 | -21.83 | 13.32 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 127 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.36 | -22.5 | 10.59 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 128 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.28 | -13.25 | 10.87 | 2.52 | -1.52 |