Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.575371+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.55 | 28.77 | 12.48 | 12.34 | 0.66 |
| 2 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 13-0 | 1 | 24.48 | 24.08 | 7.81 | 11.32 | 1.68 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.97 | 28.5 | 13.84 | 11.18 | -0.18 |
| 4 | Clemson | ACC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.52 | 21.77 | 12.55 | 11.24 | 0.76 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.2 | 27.23 | 9.89 | 11.76 | 0.24 |
| 6 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.7 | 28.5 | 12.7 | 11.32 | -1.32 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.64 | 13.31 | 13.05 | 9.67 | 1.33 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.23 | 15 | 12.82 | 8.7 | 1.3 |
| 9 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.91 | 12.92 | 11.56 | 8.93 | 1.07 |
| 10 | South Florida | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.51 | 12.58 | 9.24 | 8.3 | 1.7 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.43 | 9.17 | 10.16 | 8.24 | 1.76 |
| 12 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.15 | 20.93 | 10.37 | 11.36 | -0.36 |
| 13 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.82 | 13.15 | 13.25 | 10.54 | -0.54 |
| 14 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.56 | 15 | 8.1 | 11.04 | -0.04 |
| 15 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.53 | 12.38 | 11.65 | 9.81 | 0.19 |
| 16 | App State | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.39 | 11.38 | 11.1 | 9.92 | 0.08 |
| 17 | Temple | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.39 | 15.62 | 9.67 | 10.68 | -0.68 |
| 18 | Louisville | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.36 | 22 | 10.73 | 9.94 | -0.94 |
| 19 | Troy | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.12 | 11.62 | 9.39 | 9.51 | 0.49 |
| 20 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.12 | 12.62 | 9.05 | 9.07 | 0.93 |
| 21 | Florida State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.12 | 10.83 | 12.61 | 8.46 | 0.54 |
| 22 | USC | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.09 | 10.75 | 12.4 | 8.62 | 0.38 |
| 23 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.8 | 10.58 | 10.59 | 8.17 | 0.83 |
| 24 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.64 | 7.85 | 8.04 | 8.39 | 1.61 |
| 25 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.58 | 6.25 | 11.58 | 7.86 | 1.14 |
| 26 | Air Force | Mountain West | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.38 | 7.67 | 9.27 | 7.74 | 1.26 |
| 27 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.29 | 4 | 11.57 | 7.14 | 1.86 |
| 28 | Houston | American Athletic | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.59 | 12.38 | 10.75 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 29 | Auburn | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.59 | 16.67 | 12.46 | 10.18 | -2.18 |
| 30 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.52 | 12.31 | 10.28 | 9.32 | -0.32 |
| 31 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.52 | 12.31 | 10.27 | 9.57 | -0.57 |
| 32 | Miami | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 15.67 | 10.71 | 9.68 | -1.68 |
| 33 | BYU | FBS Independents | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.17 | 10 | 8.92 | 9.45 | -0.45 |
| 34 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 13.17 | 10.43 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.09 | 11.58 | 10.75 | 8.63 | -0.63 |
| 36 | Tennessee | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.05 | 7 | 13.09 | 7.49 | 0.51 |
| 37 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.94 | 10.33 | 10.28 | 8.58 | -0.58 |
| 38 | Florida | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.88 | 5.5 | 13.06 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 39 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.85 | 8.83 | 10.38 | 8.65 | -0.65 |
| 40 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.82 | 6.75 | 11.59 | 7.22 | 0.78 |
| 41 | LSU | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.68 | 11.91 | 12.62 | 8.64 | -1.64 |
| 42 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.66 | 7.42 | 9.92 | 7.92 | 0.08 |
| 43 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.64 | 5.23 | 8.2 | 7.67 | 1.33 |
| 44 | North Carolina | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.56 | 8.17 | 8.69 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 45 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.48 | 6.25 | 9.39 | 7.61 | 0.39 |
| 46 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.21 | 2.83 | 11.19 | 6.76 | 1.24 |
| 47 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.19 | 10.71 | 9.58 | 9.22 | -0.22 |
| 48 | Navy | American Athletic | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.19 | 6.93 | 11.58 | 8.64 | 0.36 |
| 49 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.89 | 10 | 10.7 | 8.7 | -0.7 |
| 50 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.15 | 5.85 | 8.02 | 8.31 | -0.31 |
| 51 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 15.05 | -0.54 | 9.55 | 6.37 | 2.63 |
| 52 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.85 | 3.92 | 7.36 | 7.3 | 0.7 |
| 53 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.48 | 10.33 | 6.56 | 8.85 | -1.85 |
| 54 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.91 | 1.86 | 12.57 | 7.44 | 0.56 |
| 55 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.87 | 3.64 | 8.86 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 56 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.7 | 4.92 | 11.7 | 7.64 | -0.64 |
| 57 | Arkansas | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.23 | 0.08 | 11.58 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 58 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.15 | 3.31 | 9.17 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 59 | Georgia | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.07 | -0.08 | 11.27 | 5.98 | 1.02 |
| 60 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.02 | -0.17 | 11.41 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 61 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.53 | 3.5 | 11.57 | 7.04 | -1.04 |
| 62 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.51 | 4.5 | 9.75 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 63 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 3.92 | 10.56 | 6.93 | -0.93 |
| 64 | NC State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.38 | 2.58 | 11.86 | 6.75 | -0.75 |
| 65 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.02 | -0.23 | 10.47 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 66 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.92 | 0.92 | 12.18 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 67 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.65 | 4.15 | 10.63 | 7.69 | -1.69 |
| 68 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.14 | 0.25 | 7.37 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 69 | UTSA | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.95 | 1.23 | 10.17 | 6.83 | -0.83 |
| 70 | Indiana | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.66 | -1.42 | 11.66 | 5.62 | 0.38 |
| 71 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.53 | -0.92 | 8.02 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 72 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.21 | -2.58 | 9.94 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 73 | Maryland | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.09 | -3.58 | 10.82 | 5.07 | 0.93 |
| 74 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.82 | 0.42 | 11.73 | 6.09 | -1.09 |
| 75 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.77 | -5.58 | 10.4 | 4.24 | 1.76 |
| 76 | Boston College | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.75 | -5.5 | 10.08 | 4.25 | 1.75 |
| 77 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.61 | 0.17 | 11.02 | 6.03 | -1.03 |
| 78 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.59 | 0.17 | 10.7 | 6.04 | -1.04 |
| 79 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.52 | 0.08 | 10.55 | 6.02 | -1.02 |
| 80 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.5 | -1.69 | 9.48 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 81 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 7-7 | 0.5 | 9.36 | -9 | 9.74 | 4.79 | 2.21 |
| 82 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.14 | -4 | 10.44 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 83 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.96 | -1.42 | 13.33 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 84 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.8 | -1.58 | 11.82 | 5.65 | -0.65 |
| 85 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 8.67 | 3.08 | 12.57 | 6.74 | -2.74 |
| 86 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.16 | -5.5 | 13.26 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 87 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8 | -3.58 | 6.58 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 88 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.9 | -6.5 | 10.88 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 89 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.87 | -6.17 | 9.83 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 90 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.77 | -8.58 | 11.97 | 4.14 | 0.86 |
| 91 | North Texas | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.7 | -7.92 | 9.83 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 92 | Missouri | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 7.49 | -0.08 | 12.63 | 5.98 | -1.98 |
| 93 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.56 | -2.58 | 13.06 | 5.3 | -1.3 |
| 94 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -3.08 | 8.66 | 5.24 | -1.24 |
| 95 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -3.58 | 10.4 | 5.02 | -1.02 |
| 96 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.2 | -4.33 | 12.26 | 4.92 | -0.92 |
| 97 | Duke | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -4.83 | 11.82 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 98 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -6 | 12.23 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 99 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.95 | -5.17 | 9.47 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 100 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.77 | -7.58 | 11.11 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 101 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -9.42 | 9.74 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 102 | UTEP | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -8.58 | 8.03 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 103 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -10.25 | 10.6 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 104 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.48 | -10.83 | 10.22 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 105 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.46 | -12.92 | 12.65 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 106 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.34 | -13.5 | 10.54 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 107 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.24 | -15.75 | 10.84 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 108 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.47 | -3.67 | 11.77 | 5 | -2 |
| 109 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.45 | -3.67 | 11.35 | 5.12 | -2.12 |
| 110 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.25 | -5.42 | 12.86 | 4.58 | -1.58 |
| 111 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -6.67 | 10.78 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 112 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.87 | -8.08 | 9.39 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 113 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.84 | -9.08 | 11.21 | 4.02 | -1.02 |
| 114 | Marshall | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.83 | -8.83 | 10.31 | 4.03 | -1.03 |
| 115 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.65 | -12.25 | 12.22 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 116 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -13.58 | 12.5 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 117 | Rice | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -12.08 | 9.8 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.57 | -14 | 12.62 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 119 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -13.67 | 11.19 | 3.12 | -0.12 |
| 120 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -13.25 | 9.15 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 121 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -13.33 | 9.06 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 122 | Virginia | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.87 | -11.25 | 10.9 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 123 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.81 | -12.17 | 10.4 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 124 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -15.83 | 8.78 | 2.03 | -0.03 |
| 125 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.59 | -17.08 | 12.39 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 126 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.41 | -21.83 | 13.32 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 127 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.36 | -22.5 | 10.49 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 128 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.28 | -13.25 | 10.78 | 2.52 | -1.52 |