Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.570303+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 28.51 | 32 | 16.16 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 4-0 | 1 | 28 | 47.75 | 12.11 | 3.95 | 0.05 |
| 3 | Clemson | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 27.87 | 19.2 | 15.31 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 4 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 27.86 | 10 | 17.52 | 3.51 | 1.49 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-0 | 1 | 27.38 | 32.6 | 11.1 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 6 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 27.19 | 23.8 | 10.9 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 5-0 | 1 | 27.17 | 31 | 9.81 | 4.74 | 0.26 |
| 8 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-0 | 1 | 26.9 | 26.2 | 9.54 | 4.45 | 0.55 |
| 9 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-0 | 1 | 26.9 | 15.75 | 11.23 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 10 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 26.8 | 33 | 7.91 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 11 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 26.74 | 19.4 | 9.3 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 12 | Miami | ACC | 4-0 | 1 | 26.52 | 36 | 6.85 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 13 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-0 | 1 | 25.91 | 17.75 | 6.82 | 3.37 | 0.63 |
| 14 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-0 | 1 | 25.8 | 28.75 | 4.6 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 15 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-0 | 1 | 25.64 | 9 | 7.67 | 2.83 | 1.17 |
| 16 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 25.63 | 23.4 | 3.62 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 17 | Louisville | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 23.73 | 31.6 | 14.9 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 18 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.98 | 13.8 | 14.33 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 19 | Florida | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.32 | 16.8 | 13.23 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 20 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.19 | 22.6 | 11.3 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 21 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.97 | 21.4 | 10.44 | 4.27 | -0.27 |
| 22 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.77 | 12.8 | 10.77 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| 23 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.52 | 3.8 | 11.55 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 24 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.46 | 19.4 | 7.94 | 3.93 | 0.07 |
| 25 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.35 | 9.4 | 10.58 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 26 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.32 | 7.4 | 7.15 | 3.05 | 0.95 |
| 27 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 21.01 | 22 | 11.22 | 3.45 | -0.45 |
| 28 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.94 | 20.4 | 4.71 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 29 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.81 | 8.2 | 4.37 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 30 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.74 | 8.25 | 10.55 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 31 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.72 | 7.25 | 15.37 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 32 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.64 | 14.6 | 4.77 | 3.81 | 0.19 |
| 33 | Memphis | American Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.57 | 27 | 4.03 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 34 | NC State | ACC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.55 | 18.75 | 10.65 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 35 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.36 | 22.25 | 8.31 | 3.01 | -0.01 |
| 36 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.28 | 13.25 | 8.64 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 37 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.21 | 10.25 | 6.22 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 38 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.16 | 0.25 | 16.64 | 2.03 | 0.97 |
| 39 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.09 | 6.2 | 5.01 | 3.07 | 0.93 |
| 40 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-1 | 0.75 | 20.02 | 20.25 | 5.18 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 41 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.72 | 24 | -0.37 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 42 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.63 | 8 | 3.47 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 43 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.6 | 8.5 | 6.96 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 44 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.29 | 12 | 16.84 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 45 | Florida State | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.25 | 6 | 15.16 | 2.96 | 0.04 |
| 46 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.21 | 13 | 14.58 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 47 | Auburn | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.2 | 14.8 | 14.97 | 4.11 | -1.11 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17 | 5.2 | 13.69 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 49 | California | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.93 | 3.4 | 20.55 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 50 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.81 | 5.8 | 16.91 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 51 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.78 | 12 | 7.67 | 3.41 | -0.41 |
| 52 | LSU | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.64 | 10.4 | 12.51 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 53 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.44 | 8.6 | 11.84 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 54 | UCF | American Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.42 | 10.4 | 11.19 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 55 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.26 | 13.8 | 7.92 | 3.86 | -0.86 |
| 56 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.24 | 3.8 | 8.93 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 57 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.05 | 6.4 | 9.96 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 58 | Iowa | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.03 | 12.2 | 2.29 | 3.85 | -0.85 |
| 59 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.76 | 11.4 | 5.03 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 60 | Boston College | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.54 | 6.2 | 8.49 | 3.37 | -0.37 |
| 61 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.48 | 6.2 | 6.23 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 62 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.4 | 4.8 | 1.85 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 63 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 15.22 | 19.25 | 11.99 | 3.6 | -1.6 |
| 64 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.2 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 65 | App State | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.17 | 0.6 | 15.37 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 66 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.11 | 2.4 | 9.54 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 67 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.79 | -0.6 | 10.86 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 68 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.6 | 0.6 | 8.93 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 69 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.39 | 0 | 12.54 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 70 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.27 | 4.25 | 21 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 71 | Penn State | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.15 | -2.4 | 17.73 | 2.27 | 0.73 |
| 72 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14.08 | 15.5 | 10.59 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 73 | Texas | Big 12 | 2-2 | 0.5 | 14 | 3 | 11.13 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 74 | Georgia | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.97 | -4.4 | 13.98 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 75 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-2 | 0.5 | 13.69 | 5.25 | 10.42 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 76 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.62 | 6 | 3.07 | 2.39 | -0.39 |
| 77 | Missouri | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 12.59 | 13.6 | 13.63 | 3.74 | -1.74 |
| 78 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.28 | -1 | 11.92 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 79 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.48 | 3.8 | 10.89 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 80 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.46 | 6.4 | 14.66 | 3.01 | -1.01 |
| 81 | Purdue | Big Ten | 2-2 | 0.5 | 11.13 | -7.5 | 11.67 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 82 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 11.09 | 6.2 | 11.2 | 3.05 | -1.05 |
| 83 | Duke | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.74 | 2.2 | 7.14 | 2.75 | -0.75 |
| 84 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.7 | 5.6 | 8.04 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 85 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.2 | 0.8 | 15.85 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 86 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.89 | -0.2 | 8.58 | 2.48 | -0.48 |
| 87 | BYU | FBS Independents | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.77 | -0.6 | 21.34 | 2.44 | -0.44 |
| 88 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-2 | 0.5 | 9.63 | -16.75 | 13.61 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| 89 | Utah State | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.63 | -0.6 | 9.21 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 90 | USC | Pac-12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.45 | -1.6 | 24.64 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 91 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.3 | -2.4 | 11.28 | 2.27 | -0.27 |
| 92 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.25 | -3.4 | 17.95 | 2.04 | -0.04 |
| 93 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.96 | -4.6 | 15.88 | 1.69 | 0.31 |
| 94 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.53 | -10.6 | 15.16 | 1.41 | 0.59 |
| 95 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.51 | -6 | 11.12 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 96 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.48 | -6.6 | 11.85 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 97 | Kentucky | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.42 | -9.6 | 17.5 | 1.59 | 0.41 |
| 98 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.32 | -6 | 9.43 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 99 | Virginia | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.28 | -2 | 10.46 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 100 | Syracuse | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.2 | -8.6 | 12.15 | 1.75 | 0.25 |
| 101 | SMU | American Athletic | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.12 | -10.8 | 12.47 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 102 | North Texas | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.08 | -6.8 | 8.15 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 103 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8 | -6.6 | 4.99 | 1.74 | 0.26 |
| 104 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.33 | -22 | 11.33 | 0.62 | 1.38 |
| 105 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.1 | -14.6 | 12.05 | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 106 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.08 | -15 | 11.47 | 1.32 | 0.68 |
| 107 | Marshall | Conference USA | 1-3 | 0.25 | 5.45 | -3 | 11.77 | 1.82 | -0.82 |
| 108 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-3 | 0.25 | 5.35 | -3.75 | 16.7 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 109 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.98 | -8 | 16.49 | 1.31 | -0.31 |
| 110 | UTSA | Conference USA | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.86 | -3.5 | 10.18 | 1.65 | -0.65 |
| 111 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-3 | 0.25 | 4.49 | -9.75 | 12.36 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| 112 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.84 | -14.75 | 8.55 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 113 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-3 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -19.5 | 9.22 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 114 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.19 | -6.8 | 12.32 | 1.82 | -0.82 |
| 115 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.05 | -9.4 | 11.92 | 1.38 | -0.38 |
| 116 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.82 | -14.4 | 14.29 | 1.23 | -0.23 |
| 117 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.82 | -11 | 6.84 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 118 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.82 | -12.4 | 9.86 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 119 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.61 | -16.4 | 10.38 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 120 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.48 | -20.8 | 12.81 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 121 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.42 | -23.6 | 14.71 | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| 122 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.38 | -9.8 | 13.72 | 1.61 | -0.61 |
| 123 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.14 | -32.6 | 16.96 | 0.37 | 0.63 |
| 124 | Florida International | Conference USA | 1-4 | 0.2 | 1.87 | -18.6 | 13.61 | 0.76 | 0.24 |
| 125 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-5 | 0 | -2.08 | -10.4 | 11.48 | 1.26 | -1.26 |
| 126 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 0-4 | 0 | -2.56 | -19.25 | 10.86 | 0.56 | -0.56 |
| 127 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 0-4 | 0 | -2.62 | -16 | 21.44 | 0.55 | -0.55 |
| 128 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-5 | 0 | -2.76 | -20 | 18.66 | 0.82 | -0.82 |