Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.571213+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 27.53 | 39.67 | 14.98 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 27.17 | 36.5 | 13.63 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 27.15 | 30.43 | 14.39 | 6.53 | 0.47 |
| 4 | Clemson | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.85 | 21.29 | 14.16 | 6.21 | 0.79 |
| 5 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.39 | 21 | 11.91 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 6 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 25.74 | 16 | 9.88 | 4.84 | 1.16 |
| 7 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-0 | 1 | 25.72 | 26.71 | 8.01 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
| 8 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 25.68 | 17 | 9.41 | 4.95 | 1.05 |
| 9 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 25.51 | 13.4 | 9.76 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 10 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.47 | 35.33 | 5.56 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 11 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 24.64 | 26.5 | 2.85 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 12 | Houston | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.92 | 23.71 | 10.97 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 13 | Louisville | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.56 | 28 | 12.2 | 5.16 | -0.16 |
| 14 | Florida | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.98 | 18.33 | 10.9 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 15 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.88 | 18.29 | 6.42 | 5.46 | 0.54 |
| 16 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.72 | 19.5 | 9 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 17 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.36 | 20.83 | 6.89 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 18 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.34 | 8.43 | 6.59 | 4.97 | 1.03 |
| 19 | Navy | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.88 | 7.8 | 12.05 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 20 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.86 | 19.67 | 4.26 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 21 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.59 | 10.83 | 5.12 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 22 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.16 | 19 | 10.97 | 5.81 | -0.81 |
| 23 | Florida State | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.03 | 6 | 15.96 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.9 | 7 | 14.17 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 25 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.85 | 10.33 | 16.59 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 26 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.82 | 0.57 | 20.77 | 3.58 | 1.42 |
| 27 | Auburn | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.63 | 16.33 | 14.17 | 5.05 | -1.05 |
| 28 | Miami | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.45 | 22.67 | 9.46 | 5.44 | -1.44 |
| 29 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.38 | 3.86 | 11.51 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 30 | NC State | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.32 | 12.5 | 12.03 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 31 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.24 | 7 | 9.82 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 32 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.24 | 17.5 | 9.17 | 4.99 | -0.99 |
| 33 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.15 | 7.17 | 16.26 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 34 | North Carolina | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.14 | 3.29 | 12.69 | 3.94 | 1.06 |
| 35 | LSU | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.04 | 14.5 | 11.66 | 5.06 | -1.06 |
| 36 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.96 | 2.29 | 10.73 | 3.77 | 1.23 |
| 37 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.96 | 11.67 | 9.63 | 4.43 | -0.43 |
| 38 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.9 | 15.67 | 10.12 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 39 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.88 | 11.71 | 4.96 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 40 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.86 | 12 | 10.47 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 41 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.82 | 4 | 9.43 | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| 42 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.62 | 3.29 | 9.03 | 3.95 | 1.05 |
| 43 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 4.5 | 14.9 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 44 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.57 | 9.5 | 7.91 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 45 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.56 | 9.17 | 10.73 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 46 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.54 | 2 | 17.07 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 47 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.42 | 12 | 5.93 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 48 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 5 | 8.39 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 49 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 21.5 | 3.03 | 5.4 | -1.4 |
| 50 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.14 | 8.5 | 7.32 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 51 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 10.17 | 6.11 | 4 | 0 |
| 52 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 3.5 | 11.07 | 3.39 | 0.61 |
| 53 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.25 | 4.29 | 16.61 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 54 | Temple | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.18 | 9 | 10.38 | 4.8 | -0.8 |
| 55 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 15.17 | -3 | 15.91 | 2.48 | 1.52 |
| 56 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.06 | 4.86 | 13.02 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 57 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.96 | 8.86 | 8.95 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 58 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.95 | 3 | 15.14 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 59 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.79 | 6.29 | 6.78 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 60 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.73 | 7.86 | 7.56 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 61 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.38 | 4.29 | 5.7 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 62 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.36 | 9.33 | 15.02 | 3.92 | -0.92 |
| 63 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14 | 4.43 | 4.63 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 64 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.97 | 10.33 | 10.67 | 4.32 | -1.32 |
| 65 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.95 | 8.67 | 11.6 | 3.68 | -0.68 |
| 66 | UCF | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.84 | 8.5 | 10.9 | 4 | -1 |
| 67 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.49 | 5.5 | 10.64 | 3.76 | -0.76 |
| 68 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.4 | 6.83 | 8.11 | 3.88 | -0.88 |
| 69 | California | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.25 | 2.33 | 15.17 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 70 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.99 | 3 | 13.42 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 71 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.98 | 4.67 | 10.27 | 3.45 | -0.45 |
| 72 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 0.5 | 16.98 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 73 | Georgia | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.92 | -1.29 | 10.48 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 74 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.55 | -2.29 | 8.62 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 75 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.23 | 1.67 | 8.94 | 3.24 | -0.24 |
| 76 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.84 | 2.86 | 15.45 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 77 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.53 | 0.17 | 8.69 | 3.02 | -0.02 |
| 78 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.24 | -10.71 | 10.43 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 79 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.97 | -1.67 | 7.7 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 80 | Duke | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.94 | 1.14 | 11.21 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 81 | Boston College | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.7 | -2.5 | 9.63 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 82 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.7 | -2.33 | 9.2 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 83 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.64 | 1.71 | 8.97 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 84 | Kentucky | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.41 | -6.83 | 14.52 | 2.15 | 0.85 |
| 85 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.32 | -2.83 | 6.47 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 86 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.12 | -6.83 | 8.86 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 87 | Missouri | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.91 | 7 | 14.23 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 88 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.05 | -3.29 | 14.54 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 89 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.02 | -4 | 12.15 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 90 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.82 | -5.29 | 11.62 | 2.58 | 0.42 |
| 91 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.48 | -6.86 | 13.94 | 2.57 | 0.43 |
| 92 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.37 | -4.57 | 4 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 93 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.25 | -8.43 | 8.46 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 94 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 8.06 | 2.57 | 11.89 | 3.87 | -1.87 |
| 95 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.81 | -11.14 | 9.22 | 1.89 | 1.11 |
| 96 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.5 | -0.17 | 12.94 | 2.98 | -0.98 |
| 97 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.22 | -1.67 | 11.92 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 98 | Utah State | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.97 | -1.67 | 10.3 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 99 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.53 | -5 | 14.31 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 100 | Virginia | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.52 | -4 | 9.19 | 2.53 | -0.53 |
| 101 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.51 | -5.67 | 14.2 | 2.29 | -0.29 |
| 102 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.49 | -4.67 | 12.97 | 2.46 | -0.46 |
| 103 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.34 | -5.83 | 10.21 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
| 104 | South Carolina | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.29 | -6.17 | 12.73 | 1.78 | 0.22 |
| 105 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.22 | -3.83 | 9.75 | 2.62 | -0.62 |
| 106 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.07 | -9 | 11.51 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 107 | SMU | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -9.5 | 12.79 | 1.84 | 0.16 |
| 108 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.53 | -15.5 | 8.84 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 109 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.5 | -11 | 11.15 | 1.49 | 0.51 |
| 110 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.48 | -17.83 | 10.03 | 1.39 | 0.61 |
| 111 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.38 | -12.5 | 9.67 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 112 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.35 | -6.86 | 12.37 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 113 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.21 | -5 | 5.93 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 114 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.61 | -14.29 | 9.64 | 1.76 | 0.24 |
| 115 | San José State | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.54 | -10.71 | 8.86 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 116 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.53 | -21.14 | 14.55 | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| 117 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.25 | -9 | 16.68 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 118 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.95 | -13.67 | 14.45 | 1.45 | -0.45 |
| 119 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.73 | -15.5 | 7.68 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 120 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.5 | -8.86 | 11.46 | 2.24 | -1.24 |
| 121 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.46 | -22 | 11.77 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 122 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.43 | -10 | 15.03 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 123 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.22 | -13 | 13.64 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 124 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.2 | -13.57 | 13.48 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 125 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.15 | -13.29 | 7.92 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 126 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.08 | -10 | 10.13 | 1.76 | -0.76 |
| 127 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.71 | -25.14 | 16.11 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 128 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.46 | -16.83 | 15.43 | 1.09 | -1.09 |