Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.571702+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 27.09 | 29 | 15.51 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.81 | 38.71 | 12.81 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 3 | Clemson | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.52 | 21.29 | 13.86 | 6.21 | 0.79 |
| 4 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-0 | 1 | 25.66 | 25.12 | 9.16 | 7.03 | 0.97 |
| 5 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-0 | 1 | 25.48 | 13.86 | 10.42 | 5.41 | 1.59 |
| 6 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 25.47 | 16.43 | 9.77 | 5.78 | 1.22 |
| 7 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.44 | 15.17 | 9.98 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 8 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-0 | 1 | 25.16 | 33.71 | 5.62 | 6.61 | 0.39 |
| 9 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 24.32 | 26.5 | 2.47 | 5.41 | 0.59 |
| 10 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.51 | 30.86 | 12.84 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 11 | Louisville | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.3 | 29.86 | 13.49 | 6.16 | -0.16 |
| 12 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.98 | 15.29 | 13.09 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 13 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.07 | 17.71 | 8.8 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 14 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.77 | 8.25 | 7.71 | 5.46 | 1.54 |
| 15 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.73 | 18.86 | 6.83 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 16 | Florida | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.66 | 18.33 | 9.95 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 17 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.46 | 8.83 | 12.36 | 4.03 | 0.97 |
| 18 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.17 | 14.86 | 4.58 | 5.67 | 0.33 |
| 19 | Houston | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.92 | 18 | 9.65 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 20 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.85 | 17.25 | 11 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 21 | Auburn | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.74 | 21.57 | 15.47 | 6.3 | -1.3 |
| 22 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.36 | 14 | 7.52 | 5.77 | 0.23 |
| 23 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.26 | 10 | 15.97 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 24 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.05 | 5.5 | 11.36 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 25 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.01 | 7.14 | 16.21 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 26 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.83 | 18 | 10.15 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 27 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.78 | 14.14 | 11.21 | 5.15 | -0.15 |
| 28 | Florida State | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.76 | 6 | 14.82 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 29 | LSU | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.73 | 14.86 | 10.54 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 30 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.64 | 15.86 | 8.08 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 31 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.53 | 13.71 | 9.59 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 32 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.51 | 2.14 | 18.41 | 3.81 | 1.19 |
| 33 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.38 | 6.43 | 12.36 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 34 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.34 | 11.57 | 9.03 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 35 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.21 | 0.57 | 19.81 | 3.58 | 1.42 |
| 36 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.18 | 7 | 10.19 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 37 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.08 | 8.14 | 9.06 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 38 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.05 | 7.57 | 9.33 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 39 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.01 | 11.14 | 7.1 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 40 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.85 | 3.86 | 10.46 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 41 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.74 | 4.14 | 9.96 | 4.03 | 0.97 |
| 42 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.43 | 9.88 | 11.54 | 5.55 | -0.55 |
| 43 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.21 | 11.25 | 9.29 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 44 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.02 | 10.25 | 8.18 | 5.28 | -0.28 |
| 45 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16 | 9.25 | 7.08 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 46 | Miami | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.86 | 16.43 | 11.31 | 5.81 | -1.81 |
| 47 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.46 | 1.75 | 10.88 | 4.28 | 0.72 |
| 48 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.45 | 1.38 | 11.7 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 49 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.29 | 4.29 | 16.16 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 50 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.2 | 1.12 | 10.41 | 4.17 | 0.83 |
| 51 | NC State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.19 | 4.86 | 12.78 | 4.26 | -0.26 |
| 52 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.14 | 9.29 | 10.99 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 53 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.06 | 4.25 | 5.12 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 54 | UCF | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.02 | 8.43 | 10.54 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 55 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.94 | 4.86 | 12.38 | 4.32 | -0.32 |
| 56 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.89 | 16 | 3.88 | 5.8 | -1.8 |
| 57 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.87 | 7.14 | 8.14 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 58 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.81 | -0.5 | 14.27 | 3.92 | 1.08 |
| 59 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.73 | 4 | 12.79 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 60 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.73 | 5.29 | 8.85 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 61 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.55 | 6.29 | 8.3 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 62 | California | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.53 | 2.43 | 13.45 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 63 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.52 | 6.29 | 7.34 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 64 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.34 | 6.14 | 7.61 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 65 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.19 | 2.29 | 8.38 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 66 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.83 | -0.75 | 9.83 | 3.89 | 1.11 |
| 67 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.28 | 2.5 | 15.53 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 68 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.85 | 0 | 8.04 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 69 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.79 | -3.29 | 15.95 | 2.78 | 1.22 |
| 70 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.75 | -0.29 | 8.76 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 71 | Georgia | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.53 | -1.29 | 9.51 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 72 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.25 | 2.62 | 4.99 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 73 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.14 | 5.57 | 15.34 | 4.17 | -1.17 |
| 74 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.9 | -5.57 | 13.14 | 2.73 | 1.27 |
| 75 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.9 | 6.43 | 11.79 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 76 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.36 | 3.57 | 10.61 | 3.93 | -0.93 |
| 77 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.17 | -0.62 | 11.1 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 78 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.07 | -1.12 | 12.42 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 79 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.92 | 1.43 | 10.72 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 80 | Duke | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.68 | 1.14 | 10.81 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 81 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.39 | 1 | 6.84 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 82 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.3 | 1.14 | 9.19 | 3.69 | -0.69 |
| 83 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.23 | -5 | 12.33 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 84 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.18 | 1.62 | 16.21 | 4.28 | -1.28 |
| 85 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.07 | -1 | 16.05 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 86 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.84 | -6.5 | 9.66 | 3.11 | 0.89 |
| 87 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.79 | -11.62 | 11.77 | 2.27 | 1.73 |
| 88 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.05 | -2.43 | 9.21 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 89 | Boston College | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.84 | -3.29 | 8.79 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 90 | SMU | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.62 | -5 | 13.9 | 2.76 | 0.24 |
| 91 | Missouri | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 8.59 | 5.14 | 14.78 | 4.15 | -2.15 |
| 92 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.5 | -4.43 | 10.53 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 93 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.46 | -4.29 | 9.83 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 94 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.42 | -7.71 | 11.16 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 95 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.38 | -0.88 | 8.75 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 96 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 7.86 | 2.57 | 11.51 | 3.87 | -1.87 |
| 97 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.49 | -5.62 | 11.9 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 98 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.16 | -5 | 5.12 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 99 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.73 | -12.25 | 8.52 | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| 100 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.59 | -12.12 | 9.71 | 2.24 | 0.76 |
| 101 | Mississippi State | SEC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 6.07 | -1.71 | 11.5 | 3.24 | -1.24 |
| 102 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -11 | 10.14 | 1.49 | 0.51 |
| 103 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.62 | -4.86 | 14.53 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 104 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.56 | -4.71 | 14 | 3.02 | -1.02 |
| 105 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.46 | -3.71 | 8.49 | 3.05 | -1.05 |
| 106 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.33 | -5.71 | 11.32 | 2.71 | -0.71 |
| 107 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.3 | -4.14 | 12.18 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 108 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.26 | -8.29 | 16.07 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 109 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.21 | -6.57 | 10.82 | 2.49 | -0.49 |
| 110 | Virginia | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.2 | -6.43 | 10.07 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 111 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.18 | -6.86 | 12.44 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 112 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.55 | -15.71 | 10.83 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 113 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.46 | -16.71 | 9.78 | 1.58 | 0.42 |
| 114 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.43 | -16.71 | 8.56 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 115 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.41 | -4.12 | 13.6 | 3.38 | -1.38 |
| 116 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.32 | -4.88 | 6.8 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 117 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.23 | -18.43 | 12.2 | 1.28 | 0.72 |
| 118 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -7 | 8.27 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 119 | San José State | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.66 | -14.25 | 9.84 | 1.89 | 0.11 |
| 120 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -18.75 | 15.58 | 1.28 | 0.72 |
| 121 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.43 | -8.86 | 12.15 | 2.24 | -1.24 |
| 122 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.1 | -15.14 | 14.19 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 123 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.09 | -13.29 | 7.87 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 124 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.01 | -11.43 | 11.98 | 2.06 | -1.06 |
| 125 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.88 | -18.57 | 6.69 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 126 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.72 | -12.62 | 12.45 | 1.96 | -0.96 |
| 127 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.67 | -13.62 | 12.53 | 1.84 | -0.84 |
| 128 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.24 | -23.75 | 13.74 | 1.16 | -0.16 |