Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.572137+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.7 | 29 | 14.48 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 2 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 26.36 | 35 | 12.12 | 7.71 | 0.29 |
| 3 | Clemson | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.28 | 19 | 14.11 | 6.8 | 1.2 |
| 4 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 8-0 | 1 | 25.49 | 25.12 | 9.22 | 7.03 | 0.97 |
| 5 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-0 | 1 | 25.11 | 30.38 | 6.74 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.49 | 27.5 | 12.94 | 7.37 | -0.37 |
| 7 | Louisville | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.36 | 27 | 12.33 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 8 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.95 | 18.62 | 11.63 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 9 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.89 | 11.88 | 12.4 | 5.91 | 1.09 |
| 10 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.63 | 13.62 | 10.26 | 6.31 | 0.69 |
| 11 | Florida | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.26 | 17.71 | 10.85 | 6.29 | -0.29 |
| 12 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.02 | 10.57 | 10.31 | 5.09 | 0.91 |
| 13 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.9 | 17.71 | 8.53 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 14 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.64 | 16.38 | 5.12 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 15 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.52 | 22.57 | 4.58 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 16 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.36 | 16.78 | 10.76 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 17 | Auburn | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.31 | 20.25 | 13.92 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 18 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.16 | 9.5 | 16.86 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 19 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.99 | 13.22 | 9.65 | 6.32 | 0.68 |
| 20 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.85 | 6.62 | 16.76 | 5.02 | 0.98 |
| 21 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.76 | 12.88 | 12.77 | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 22 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.65 | 17.25 | 10.28 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 23 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.61 | 16.12 | 10.71 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 24 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.58 | 6.56 | 9.17 | 5.82 | 1.18 |
| 25 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.53 | 14.12 | 10.91 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 26 | App State | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.41 | 8.62 | 12.52 | 5.75 | 0.25 |
| 27 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.24 | 12.88 | 9.31 | 5.73 | 0.27 |
| 28 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.2 | 15.88 | 6.95 | 6.18 | -0.18 |
| 29 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.07 | 10.25 | 9.49 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 30 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.92 | 10 | 8.55 | 5.66 | 0.34 |
| 31 | North Carolina | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.87 | 5.5 | 10.62 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 32 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.83 | 10.62 | 7.73 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 33 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.74 | 3.88 | 11.71 | 4.57 | 1.43 |
| 34 | LSU | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.58 | 14.86 | 10.05 | 5.85 | -0.85 |
| 35 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.38 | 6.57 | 11.6 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| 36 | Temple | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 11.11 | 11.6 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 37 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.48 | 15.44 | 9.16 | 6.75 | -0.75 |
| 38 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 14.11 | 7.07 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 39 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.55 | 6.38 | 15.87 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 40 | Florida State | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.52 | 4.88 | 15.51 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 41 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.24 | 4.33 | 6.57 | 5.36 | 0.64 |
| 42 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.2 | 10.25 | 8.79 | 5.45 | -0.45 |
| 43 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.15 | 9.38 | 9.01 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 44 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.09 | 5.75 | 11.31 | 4.77 | 0.23 |
| 45 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16 | 15 | 6.74 | 6.58 | -1.58 |
| 46 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.94 | 8.75 | 9.13 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 47 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.85 | 4.62 | 11.97 | 4.84 | 0.16 |
| 48 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.82 | 9.25 | 7.43 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 49 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.77 | 7.5 | 8.71 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 50 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.59 | 6.75 | 7.97 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 51 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.47 | 0.12 | 18.13 | 4.02 | 0.98 |
| 52 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.42 | 6.25 | 7.06 | 4.83 | 0.17 |
| 53 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.41 | 2.38 | 10.09 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 54 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.1 | 3.25 | 7.71 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 55 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.8 | 0.12 | 14.68 | 4.03 | 0.97 |
| 56 | Arkansas | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.36 | -0.5 | 13.39 | 3.92 | 1.08 |
| 57 | Miami | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.92 | 14 | 11.11 | 6.31 | -2.31 |
| 58 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.65 | 1.22 | 10.05 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 59 | UCF | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.37 | 6.5 | 11.38 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 60 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.35 | -3.12 | 12.77 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 61 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.22 | 6 | 12.11 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 62 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.06 | 3 | 13.32 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 63 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.05 | 2.5 | 15.13 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 64 | NC State | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13 | 3.38 | 11.74 | 4.63 | -0.63 |
| 65 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.9 | 3.25 | 13.13 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 66 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.85 | 4.25 | 9.04 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 67 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.74 | -0.44 | 9.94 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 68 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.63 | -0.89 | 10.72 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 69 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.54 | 2.5 | 9.09 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 70 | UTSA | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.23 | 2.62 | 7.92 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 71 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.06 | 2.62 | 5.13 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 72 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.82 | -0.12 | 15.51 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 73 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.8 | -3 | 8.9 | 4.01 | 0.99 |
| 74 | California | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.65 | -0.5 | 13.21 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 75 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.27 | -0.62 | 11.72 | 3.86 | 0.14 |
| 76 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.13 | -1.12 | 12.53 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| 77 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.72 | -1.75 | 8.76 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 78 | Georgia | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.64 | -2.88 | 11.17 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 79 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -1.75 | 9.16 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 80 | Boston College | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.51 | -2 | 9.66 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 81 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.47 | -2.88 | 8.85 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 82 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.46 | 3.5 | 15.04 | 4.48 | -1.48 |
| 83 | SMU | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.42 | -3.88 | 13.4 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 84 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.3 | -3.5 | 11.11 | 3.16 | 0.84 |
| 85 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.22 | -5 | 11.69 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 86 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.91 | 1.62 | 14.83 | 4.28 | -1.28 |
| 87 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.75 | 2.62 | 11.06 | 4.43 | -1.43 |
| 88 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.61 | -11.62 | 11.47 | 2.27 | 1.73 |
| 89 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.33 | 0.75 | 10.47 | 4.13 | -1.13 |
| 90 | Duke | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.3 | 0.62 | 11.1 | 4.12 | -1.12 |
| 91 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.77 | 0.38 | 8.99 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 92 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.55 | -6.56 | 9.44 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 93 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.52 | -3.57 | 9.98 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 94 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.5 | -4.29 | 8.97 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 95 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.45 | -0.25 | 10.89 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 96 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.07 | -1.75 | 14.3 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 97 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.95 | -2.38 | 10.53 | 3.55 | -0.55 |
| 98 | Missouri | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 7.13 | 2.75 | 14.18 | 4.41 | -2.41 |
| 99 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.02 | -5 | 4.88 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 100 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.91 | -11.5 | 11.73 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 101 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.86 | -1.44 | 7.98 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 102 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.64 | -12.12 | 9.05 | 2.24 | 0.76 |
| 103 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.12 | -4 | 8.3 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 104 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -4.78 | 9.29 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 105 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -9.22 | 11.03 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 106 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.63 | -11.67 | 10.01 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 107 | San José State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.45 | -12 | 10.24 | 2.44 | 0.56 |
| 108 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.56 | -4 | 11.29 | 3.14 | -1.14 |
| 109 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.54 | -4.12 | 12.81 | 3.38 | -1.38 |
| 110 | Marshall | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.45 | -4.5 | 10.04 | 3.35 | -1.35 |
| 111 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.32 | -16.71 | 8.29 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 112 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.31 | -7.12 | 14.64 | 2.75 | -0.75 |
| 113 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.3 | -7.75 | 16.71 | 2.76 | -0.76 |
| 114 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.25 | -6.88 | 12.54 | 2.8 | -0.8 |
| 115 | Virginia | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.24 | -6.5 | 11.21 | 2.97 | -0.97 |
| 116 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.05 | -9 | 12.29 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 117 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.52 | -19 | 13.54 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 118 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -18.75 | 14.94 | 1.28 | 0.72 |
| 119 | UTEP | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -17.38 | 11.58 | 1.54 | 0.46 |
| 120 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.39 | -19.75 | 9.69 | 1.47 | 0.53 |
| 121 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.38 | -13.62 | 6.96 | 1.68 | 0.32 |
| 122 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.1 | -8.56 | 9.21 | 2.84 | -0.84 |
| 123 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.01 | -8.38 | 11.72 | 2.64 | -1.64 |
| 124 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.55 | -15.62 | 12.4 | 1.89 | -0.89 |
| 125 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.45 | -17.75 | 8.53 | 1.45 | -0.45 |
| 126 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.43 | -13.22 | 13.01 | 2.12 | -1.12 |
| 127 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.39 | -19.88 | 14.02 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 128 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.2 | -23.75 | 13.25 | 1.16 | -0.16 |