Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.827924+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.96 | 31.11 | 11.39 | 8.71 | 0.29 |
| 2 | Georgia | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.73 | 24.89 | 11.17 | 8.44 | 0.56 |
| 3 | UCF | American Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 25.63 | 28.25 | 10.25 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| 4 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 9-0 | 1 | 25.42 | 22.78 | 9.99 | 8.22 | 0.78 |
| 5 | Miami | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.05 | 13.88 | 10.03 | 6.39 | 1.61 |
| 6 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.73 | 22.89 | 14.52 | 7.84 | 0.16 |
| 7 | Clemson | ACC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.66 | 17.78 | 15.26 | 7.77 | 0.23 |
| 8 | TCU | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.12 | 21.89 | 11.36 | 8.14 | -0.14 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.04 | 16.78 | 12.14 | 6.76 | 1.24 |
| 10 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.74 | 27.44 | 8.39 | 8.55 | -0.55 |
| 11 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.32 | 11.11 | 9.76 | 6.06 | 1.94 |
| 12 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.15 | 14.56 | 7.81 | 6.76 | 1.24 |
| 13 | South Florida | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.73 | 19.22 | 4.32 | 7.49 | 0.51 |
| 14 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 21.38 | 23.22 | 15.23 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 15 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 21.14 | 21.44 | 14.11 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 16 | USC | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.84 | 8.5 | 14.64 | 6.58 | 1.42 |
| 17 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.59 | 16.78 | 11.96 | 6.74 | 0.26 |
| 18 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.4 | 15.89 | 11.97 | 7.36 | -0.36 |
| 19 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.37 | 10.3 | 10.9 | 7.08 | 0.92 |
| 20 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.3 | 19.22 | 9.65 | 8.03 | -1.03 |
| 21 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.24 | 10 | 10.27 | 7.33 | 0.67 |
| 22 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.22 | 20 | 9.85 | 7.78 | -0.78 |
| 23 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.18 | 11.22 | 12.21 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 24 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.09 | 10 | 12.22 | 6.74 | 0.26 |
| 25 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.94 | 4 | 15.4 | 5.45 | 1.55 |
| 26 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.19 | 7.22 | 8 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 27 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.18 | 11.44 | 5.95 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 28 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.06 | 15.56 | 3.81 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 29 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.11 | 10.22 | 16.59 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 30 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.83 | 12.33 | 12.35 | 6.72 | -0.72 |
| 31 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.82 | 18.14 | 4.76 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 32 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.74 | 11.67 | 12.04 | 6.82 | -0.82 |
| 33 | NC State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.5 | 6.78 | 13.07 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 34 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.49 | 11.89 | 11.22 | 6.36 | -0.36 |
| 35 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.48 | 11.56 | 10.19 | 6.06 | -0.06 |
| 36 | SMU | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 8.56 | 11.21 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 37 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 10.33 | 10.31 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 38 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.15 | 3.78 | 13.46 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 39 | LSU | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 5 | 11.89 | 5.64 | 0.36 |
| 40 | Houston | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.11 | 5.78 | 12.31 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 41 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 11 | 8.58 | 6.8 | -0.8 |
| 42 | Marshall | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.08 | 9 | 8.59 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 43 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.96 | 3.78 | 13.23 | 5.27 | 0.73 |
| 44 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.89 | 7.67 | 8.14 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 45 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.7 | 5.44 | 9.53 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 46 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.26 | 7.33 | 4.91 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 47 | Florida International | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 15.95 | -2.38 | 8.49 | 3.51 | 2.49 |
| 48 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.81 | 3.38 | 12.54 | 4.52 | 0.48 |
| 49 | Virginia | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.62 | 1 | 8.33 | 4.71 | 1.29 |
| 50 | UTSA | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.52 | 11.12 | 4.17 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 51 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.27 | -0.11 | 9.22 | 4.48 | 1.52 |
| 52 | North Texas | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.27 | -0.33 | 11.83 | 4.45 | 1.55 |
| 53 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.13 | 5.5 | 8.44 | 6.13 | -0.13 |
| 54 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.89 | 7.67 | 12.36 | 5.92 | -0.92 |
| 55 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.38 | 6.89 | 8.57 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 56 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.32 | 6.33 | 10 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 57 | Louisville | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.27 | 5.89 | 9.16 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 58 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.24 | 8.22 | 7.62 | 5.97 | -0.97 |
| 59 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.03 | 3.89 | 8.76 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 60 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.02 | 5.22 | 7.1 | 5.46 | -0.46 |
| 61 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.52 | 0.56 | 12.27 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 62 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.39 | 8.12 | 10.8 | 5.35 | -1.35 |
| 63 | Boston College | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.2 | -0.44 | 16.64 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 64 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.16 | 2.22 | 3.86 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 65 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.71 | 2.2 | 12.38 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 66 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.63 | -1.44 | 16.16 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 67 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 12.44 | -3.88 | 5.83 | 3.19 | 1.81 |
| 68 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.44 | -0.33 | 9.4 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 69 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.28 | 1.4 | 10.52 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 70 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 12.24 | 7.22 | 14.41 | 6 | -2 |
| 71 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.03 | 1.3 | 10.16 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 72 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.99 | -2.33 | 11.36 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 73 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.86 | 5.78 | 13.55 | 5.88 | -1.88 |
| 74 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.69 | 4.11 | 12.44 | 5.1 | -1.1 |
| 75 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.67 | 4.22 | 12.17 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 76 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.36 | 3.11 | 10.71 | 5.25 | -1.25 |
| 77 | California | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.3 | -0.2 | 10.96 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 78 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.28 | 2.67 | 10.97 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 79 | Duke | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.23 | 3.78 | 8.96 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 80 | Missouri | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.18 | 3 | 11.65 | 4.96 | -0.96 |
| 81 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.99 | 1.67 | 10.75 | 4.82 | -0.82 |
| 82 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.5 | -0.89 | 10.15 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 83 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.31 | -8.5 | 6.66 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 84 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.29 | -4.56 | 16.47 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 85 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.28 | -1.11 | 8.44 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 86 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.16 | -4.56 | 15.38 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 87 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.1 | -2.33 | 10.78 | 3.98 | 0.02 |
| 88 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.02 | -3.67 | 12.34 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 89 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9 | -2.33 | 9.61 | 4.1 | -0.1 |
| 90 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.98 | 4.33 | 13.6 | 5.51 | -2.51 |
| 91 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.91 | -4.44 | 13.75 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 92 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.81 | -6.44 | 13.83 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 93 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.76 | -4 | 10.76 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 94 | Temple | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.75 | -4.44 | 11.47 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 95 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.7 | -5.33 | 12.51 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 96 | Ole Miss | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.68 | -5 | 11.54 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 97 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.58 | -6.22 | 12.15 | 3.51 | 0.49 |
| 98 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.24 | 1.22 | 10.68 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 99 | Florida State | ACC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.52 | -5.62 | 17.45 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 100 | Florida | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.35 | -7.75 | 15.07 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 101 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.8 | -2.89 | 13.8 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 102 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.68 | -3 | 12.93 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 103 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.53 | -2.67 | 8.66 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 104 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.47 | -3.11 | 9.47 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 105 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.97 | -7.22 | 10.36 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 106 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -6.56 | 8.83 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 107 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -10.33 | 14.4 | 2.48 | 0.52 |
| 108 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -8.44 | 7.46 | 3.04 | -0.04 |
| 109 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.48 | -13.67 | 10.08 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 110 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.37 | -12.33 | 9.22 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 111 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 4.22 | -1.78 | 8.57 | 4.18 | -2.18 |
| 112 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.12 | -12.22 | 13.83 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| 113 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.08 | -7 | 15.02 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 114 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.9 | -13.56 | 8.51 | 1.82 | 0.18 |
| 115 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.86 | -12.22 | 10.33 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 116 | BYU | FBS Independents | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.63 | -11.3 | 11.67 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 117 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.62 | -21.11 | 10.02 | 1.28 | 0.72 |
| 118 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.59 | -22.78 | 12.09 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 119 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.56 | -23.44 | 11.22 | 0.54 | 1.46 |
| 120 | Nevada | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.55 | -11.33 | 13.4 | 2.68 | -1.68 |
| 121 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.49 | -12.11 | 15.55 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 122 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.46 | -10.22 | 11.97 | 2.81 | -1.81 |
| 123 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.43 | -12.89 | 8.17 | 2.45 | -1.45 |
| 124 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.27 | -16.11 | 9.72 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 125 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.15 | -19.11 | 14.08 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 126 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.02 | -22.56 | 11.37 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 127 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.01 | -22.89 | 13.35 | 0.82 | 0.18 |
| 128 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.34 | -26.6 | 10.17 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 129 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 0-8 | 0 | -2.45 | -20.75 | 9.95 | 1.09 | -1.09 |
| 130 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-9 | 0 | -2.67 | -24.78 | 13.78 | 0.55 | -0.55 |