Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.828323+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.99 | 28.7 | 12.56 | 9.53 | 0.47 |
| 2 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 10-0 | 1 | 25.44 | 22.9 | 10.7 | 9.14 | 0.86 |
| 3 | UCF | American Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 25.33 | 27.89 | 9.34 | 7.95 | 1.05 |
| 4 | Miami | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.25 | 16 | 11.16 | 7.49 | 1.51 |
| 5 | Clemson | ACC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.49 | 17.7 | 13.55 | 8.64 | 0.36 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.43 | 20.1 | 12.17 | 8.87 | 0.13 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.24 | 16.9 | 12.52 | 7.57 | 1.43 |
| 8 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.12 | 11.11 | 9.18 | 6.06 | 1.94 |
| 9 | South Florida | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 21.63 | 19.22 | 4.35 | 7.49 | 0.51 |
| 10 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.52 | 23.8 | 14.56 | 9.14 | -1.14 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.51 | 17.3 | 15.29 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 12 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21.5 | 23.8 | 14.45 | 8.62 | -0.62 |
| 13 | USC | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.19 | 9 | 14.25 | 7.34 | 1.66 |
| 14 | TCU | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 21 | 17.9 | 12.11 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 15 | Auburn | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.89 | 20.3 | 11.64 | 8.66 | -0.66 |
| 16 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.85 | 15.8 | 12.41 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 17 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.74 | 23.9 | 9.24 | 9.22 | -1.22 |
| 18 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.69 | 10.09 | 10.69 | 7.74 | 1.26 |
| 19 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.62 | 10.8 | 12.84 | 7.13 | 0.87 |
| 20 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.43 | 11.5 | 11.36 | 7.79 | 0.21 |
| 21 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.14 | 10 | 10.03 | 7.33 | 0.67 |
| 22 | Toledo | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.09 | 10.3 | 9.07 | 6.89 | 1.11 |
| 23 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.84 | 16.8 | 6.16 | 7.78 | 0.22 |
| 24 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.57 | 10.8 | 6.36 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 25 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.57 | 9 | 7.14 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 26 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.53 | 13.6 | 12.57 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 27 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.43 | 11.9 | 13.33 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 28 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.35 | 16.7 | 10.22 | 8.57 | -1.57 |
| 29 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.16 | 13.2 | 11.01 | 7.25 | -0.25 |
| 30 | NC State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.9 | 6.4 | 12.73 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 31 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.89 | 12.5 | 9.3 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 32 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.82 | 9.8 | 10.07 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 33 | LSU | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.75 | 6.8 | 11.47 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 34 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.66 | 4.4 | 12.93 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 35 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.63 | 10.9 | 8.25 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 36 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.63 | 8.8 | 9.33 | 7.08 | -0.08 |
| 37 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.63 | 11.5 | 8 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 38 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.62 | 4.2 | 12.77 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 39 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.41 | 6.3 | 9.4 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
| 40 | North Texas | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.04 | 3.2 | 10.25 | 5.54 | 1.46 |
| 41 | Houston | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 5.78 | 11.67 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 42 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.98 | 7.1 | 5.79 | 6.44 | 0.56 |
| 43 | Navy | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 3.33 | 13.15 | 5.05 | 0.95 |
| 44 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.74 | 2.2 | 9.54 | 5.49 | 1.51 |
| 45 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.32 | -0.9 | 15.68 | 4.76 | 2.24 |
| 46 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.24 | 6.8 | 16.9 | 6.66 | -0.66 |
| 47 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.99 | 9.8 | 12.81 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 48 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.77 | 15.25 | 4.95 | 6.19 | -1.19 |
| 49 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.75 | 9 | 12.35 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 50 | SMU | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 7.4 | 11.9 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 51 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.25 | 9 | 8.36 | 6.61 | -0.61 |
| 52 | Louisville | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.24 | 7 | 9.73 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 53 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.13 | 4.6 | 11.42 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 54 | App State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.77 | 6.8 | 6.04 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 55 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.72 | 4.4 | 7.91 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 56 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.66 | 7.89 | 11.99 | 5.99 | -0.99 |
| 57 | UTSA | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.18 | 9.33 | 5.8 | 6.58 | -1.58 |
| 58 | Florida International | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.02 | -2.89 | 7.7 | 3.86 | 2.14 |
| 59 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.98 | 0.9 | 8.86 | 5.19 | 0.81 |
| 60 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.83 | 4.36 | 9.16 | 6.41 | -0.41 |
| 61 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 13.56 | -3.11 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| 62 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.38 | 8 | 12.85 | 6.77 | -1.77 |
| 63 | Virginia | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.15 | -0.8 | 8.41 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 64 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 6.9 | 8.68 | 6.4 | -1.4 |
| 65 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.95 | 6.1 | 10.82 | 6.5 | -1.5 |
| 66 | Missouri | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.93 | 6 | 10.79 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 67 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 11.31 | 5.84 | -0.84 |
| 68 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.9 | 4.9 | 10.34 | 6.08 | -1.08 |
| 69 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.56 | 2.2 | 12.43 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 70 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.05 | 1.3 | 9.96 | 5.26 | -0.26 |
| 71 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.67 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 5.31 | -0.31 |
| 72 | Boston College | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.64 | -0.7 | 16.68 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 73 | California | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.3 | -0.2 | 10.57 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 74 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.03 | -2 | 15.12 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 75 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.8 | 4.2 | 13.97 | 6.15 | -2.15 |
| 76 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.62 | -1.7 | 11.29 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 77 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.58 | -3.4 | 15.15 | 4.46 | 0.54 |
| 78 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.44 | 0 | 11.17 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 79 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -3.1 | 10.51 | 4.22 | 0.78 |
| 80 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.39 | -2.2 | 9.9 | 4.43 | 0.57 |
| 81 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.29 | -2.9 | 10.56 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 82 | Duke | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.27 | 2.9 | 10.46 | 5.77 | -1.77 |
| 83 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.18 | 1.7 | 12.6 | 5.34 | -1.34 |
| 84 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.88 | 2.1 | 9.32 | 5.48 | -1.48 |
| 85 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.83 | 1 | 11.27 | 5.19 | -1.19 |
| 86 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.5 | -0.89 | 9.76 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 87 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.31 | -1.11 | 8.44 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 88 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.74 | -1 | 11.02 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 89 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.44 | -1.6 | 12.31 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 90 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.3 | -2 | 11.94 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 91 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.29 | -1.4 | 9.37 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 92 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.12 | -2.3 | 10.45 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 8.11 | 2.7 | 13.14 | 5.67 | -2.67 |
| 94 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.97 | -3.6 | 10.19 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 95 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.95 | -3.1 | 8.57 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 96 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 7.92 | -10.67 | 6.43 | 2.86 | 1.14 |
| 97 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.86 | -5 | 11.73 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 98 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.77 | -7.4 | 14.64 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 99 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.67 | -7.1 | 12.63 | 3.49 | 0.51 |
| 100 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.64 | -7.3 | 12.43 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 101 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.63 | -8.3 | 13.87 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 102 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.58 | -7.9 | 12.55 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 103 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.07 | -10.4 | 9.42 | 2.81 | 1.19 |
| 104 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.37 | -0.3 | 7.02 | 4.94 | -1.94 |
| 105 | Florida State | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.3 | -6.89 | 17.49 | 2.86 | 0.14 |
| 106 | Florida | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -7.78 | 15.3 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 107 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -6.56 | 9.23 | 3.22 | -0.22 |
| 108 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.06 | -10.4 | 12.97 | 2.77 | 0.23 |
| 109 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.01 | -8.6 | 8.19 | 3.33 | -0.33 |
| 110 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.98 | -10.6 | 10.83 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 111 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.75 | -14.8 | 11.83 | 2.47 | 0.53 |
| 112 | BYU | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.28 | -9.36 | 11.62 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 113 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.01 | -7 | 14.28 | 3.82 | -1.82 |
| 114 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.98 | -5.7 | 11.85 | 3.96 | -1.96 |
| 115 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.62 | -10.6 | 14.93 | 2.87 | -0.87 |
| 116 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.61 | -12 | 12.93 | 2.14 | -0.14 |
| 117 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.54 | -12 | 10.09 | 2.74 | -0.74 |
| 118 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.49 | -12.5 | 8.95 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 119 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.15 | -21.2 | 11.56 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 120 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.06 | -23.6 | 10.94 | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| 121 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.06 | -23.9 | 11.3 | 0.66 | 1.34 |
| 122 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.35 | -10.6 | 11.58 | 3.06 | -2.06 |
| 123 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.14 | -14.1 | 9.49 | 2.53 | -1.53 |
| 124 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.05 | -15.9 | 10.22 | 1.39 | -0.39 |
| 125 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -19.3 | 13.93 | 1.79 | -0.79 |
| 126 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.18 | -21.5 | 13.32 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 127 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.19 | -21.8 | 11.83 | 1.52 | -0.52 |
| 128 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.61 | -28.27 | 9.59 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 129 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 0-9 | 0 | -2.45 | -20.78 | 10.44 | 1.13 | -1.13 |
| 130 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-10 | 0 | -2.68 | -25.8 | 13.57 | 0.56 | -0.56 |