Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.828723+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.5 | 31.18 | 10.24 | 10.62 | 0.38 |
| 2 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 11-0 | 1 | 25.47 | 22.09 | 11.46 | 10.04 | 0.96 |
| 3 | UCF | American Athletic | 10-0 | 1 | 25.12 | 27.7 | 8.85 | 8.84 | 1.16 |
| 4 | Miami | ACC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.08 | 16 | 10.71 | 8.21 | 1.79 |
| 5 | Georgia | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.5 | 20.91 | 12.22 | 9.83 | 0.17 |
| 6 | Clemson | ACC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.33 | 21.36 | 11.18 | 9.91 | 0.09 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.25 | 18.82 | 11.3 | 8.69 | 1.31 |
| 8 | Memphis | American Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.46 | 12.1 | 10.1 | 6.79 | 2.21 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.76 | 16.36 | 15.41 | 8.82 | 0.18 |
| 10 | South Florida | American Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 21.69 | 18 | 4.26 | 8.22 | 0.78 |
| 11 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.69 | 22.73 | 13.47 | 9.74 | -0.74 |
| 12 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.63 | 25.09 | 12.65 | 9.62 | -0.62 |
| 13 | Auburn | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.28 | 21 | 11.5 | 9.61 | -0.61 |
| 14 | TCU | Big 12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.25 | 18.45 | 11.84 | 9.56 | -0.56 |
| 15 | USC | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.22 | 8.67 | 13.61 | 7.96 | 2.04 |
| 16 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.06 | 12.09 | 12.63 | 8.07 | 0.93 |
| 17 | Washington | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.96 | 22 | 9.33 | 9.89 | -0.89 |
| 18 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.63 | 10.09 | 10.75 | 7.74 | 1.26 |
| 19 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.4 | 10.82 | 9.14 | 8.17 | 0.83 |
| 20 | Toledo | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.4 | 12 | 8.71 | 7.77 | 1.23 |
| 21 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.54 | 9 | 7.33 | 7.27 | 0.73 |
| 22 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.14 | 13.91 | 12.43 | 7.76 | 0.24 |
| 23 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19 | 13 | 12.45 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 24 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.95 | 14.55 | 11.7 | 8.15 | -0.15 |
| 25 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.93 | 11.09 | 12.8 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 26 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.81 | 15.73 | 10.27 | 9.33 | -1.33 |
| 27 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.77 | 9.18 | 12 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 28 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.55 | 7.55 | 12.22 | 7.42 | 0.58 |
| 29 | LSU | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.42 | 8 | 11.04 | 7.71 | 0.29 |
| 30 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.31 | 10.45 | 8.99 | 8.3 | -0.3 |
| 31 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.31 | 15 | 6.59 | 8.26 | -0.26 |
| 32 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.21 | 10.82 | 8.14 | 8.1 | -0.1 |
| 33 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.12 | 9.55 | 7.49 | 7.74 | 0.26 |
| 34 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.1 | 5.73 | 10.35 | 7.12 | 0.88 |
| 35 | North Texas | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.78 | 3.18 | 10.79 | 6.07 | 1.93 |
| 36 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.27 | 0.09 | 15.06 | 5.53 | 2.47 |
| 37 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.61 | 8.73 | 12.52 | 7.32 | -0.32 |
| 38 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 15.56 | 4.33 | 7.07 | -1.07 |
| 39 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.57 | 9.82 | 11.45 | 7.83 | -0.83 |
| 40 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.37 | 9.55 | 9.44 | 7.09 | -0.09 |
| 41 | NC State | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.36 | 5.27 | 12.48 | 6.72 | 0.28 |
| 42 | Louisville | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.33 | 10.55 | 9.44 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 43 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.29 | 7.82 | 9.9 | 7.68 | -0.68 |
| 44 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.27 | 7.64 | 9.79 | 6.98 | 0.02 |
| 45 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16 | 4.82 | 10.98 | 6.55 | 0.45 |
| 46 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.97 | 5.18 | 9.57 | 7.13 | -0.13 |
| 47 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.84 | 8.09 | 7.09 | 7.41 | -0.41 |
| 48 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.3 | 3.82 | 5.75 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 49 | Houston | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.26 | 4.9 | 11.38 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 50 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.21 | 2.55 | 7.94 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 51 | Navy | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.09 | 2.3 | 13.93 | 5.44 | 0.56 |
| 52 | UTSA | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15 | 8.6 | 7.04 | 7.28 | -1.28 |
| 53 | App State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.75 | 6.8 | 6.04 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 54 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.71 | 5.36 | 16.29 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 55 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.53 | 8.55 | 12.75 | 7.6 | -1.6 |
| 56 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.49 | 6.33 | 8.22 | 7.44 | -0.44 |
| 57 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.32 | -0.64 | 10.67 | 5.35 | 1.65 |
| 58 | SMU | American Athletic | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.22 | 4.82 | 12.54 | 6.33 | -0.33 |
| 59 | Missouri | SEC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.18 | 8 | 10.14 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 60 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.12 | 7.82 | 8.86 | 7.05 | -1.05 |
| 61 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.02 | 6.73 | 9.73 | 6.94 | -0.94 |
| 62 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.95 | 3.82 | 12.61 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 63 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.72 | 4.64 | 9.51 | 6.56 | -0.56 |
| 64 | Boston College | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.66 | 1.45 | 15.28 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 65 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-3 | 0.67 | 13.57 | -3.11 | 5.44 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| 66 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 4.8 | 11.45 | 6.01 | -1.01 |
| 67 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.68 | 1.45 | 5.61 | 5.86 | 0.14 |
| 68 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.52 | -0.36 | 13.55 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 69 | Florida International | Conference USA | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.15 | -5.4 | 9.09 | 3.76 | 2.24 |
| 70 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.94 | 4.64 | 14.45 | 6.9 | -1.9 |
| 71 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.7 | 4.18 | 11.53 | 6.5 | -1.5 |
| 72 | Virginia | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.65 | -2.18 | 10.13 | 4.98 | 1.02 |
| 73 | Duke | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.58 | 4.73 | 10.53 | 6.82 | -1.82 |
| 74 | Akron | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.56 | -2.55 | 11.37 | 4.82 | 1.18 |
| 75 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.42 | 2.45 | 11.82 | 5.97 | -0.97 |
| 76 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.23 | 2 | 10.88 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 77 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.22 | 3.36 | 8.99 | 6.32 | -1.32 |
| 78 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.14 | 2.27 | 11.27 | 6.07 | -1.07 |
| 79 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.68 | 1 | 10 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 80 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.29 | 0 | 10.88 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 81 | California | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.08 | -0.45 | 11.37 | 5.39 | -0.39 |
| 82 | Florida State | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.78 | 0.9 | 14.57 | 5.23 | -1.23 |
| 83 | Tulane | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.59 | -1.55 | 12.24 | 5.13 | -0.13 |
| 84 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.48 | -2.18 | 11.74 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 85 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.45 | -3.55 | 15.22 | 4.86 | 0.14 |
| 86 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.36 | 2.73 | 12.85 | 6.24 | -2.24 |
| 87 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.32 | -2.27 | 9.92 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 88 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 9.3 | -8.3 | 6.98 | 3.59 | 1.41 |
| 89 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.04 | -2.55 | 8.24 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 90 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.99 | -5 | 11.83 | 4.25 | 0.75 |
| 91 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.24 | -9.18 | 8.7 | 3.32 | 1.68 |
| 92 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 8.07 | 0.27 | 6.83 | 5.56 | -1.56 |
| 93 | Florida | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.06 | -4.1 | 15.63 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 94 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.05 | -2.3 | 7.9 | 4.58 | -0.58 |
| 95 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.01 | -3.6 | 11.06 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 96 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.72 | -1.36 | 12.25 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 97 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.45 | -2.64 | 13.09 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 98 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.42 | -1.55 | 9.18 | 5.1 | -1.1 |
| 99 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.02 | -3.82 | 10.85 | 4.54 | -0.54 |
| 100 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.76 | -7.82 | 15.12 | 3.88 | 0.12 |
| 101 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.67 | -7.82 | 13.36 | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| 102 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.67 | -8.45 | 14.48 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 103 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.61 | -8.45 | 13.3 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 104 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.57 | -6.82 | 9.09 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 105 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.54 | -9 | 12.59 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 106 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.52 | -8.27 | 10.87 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 107 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.19 | -6.5 | 8.62 | 3.5 | -0.5 |
| 108 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.76 | -4.64 | 12.25 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 109 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.29 | -9.91 | 10.62 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 110 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.22 | -12 | 12.41 | 2.79 | 0.21 |
| 111 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.15 | -11.27 | 8.94 | 3.08 | -0.08 |
| 112 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4 | -15.55 | 11.63 | 2.56 | 0.44 |
| 113 | BYU | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -9.08 | 10.9 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 114 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.82 | -16.73 | 11.17 | 2.59 | 0.41 |
| 115 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.55 | -7 | 14.56 | 4.16 | -2.16 |
| 116 | Nevada | Mountain West | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.52 | -6.91 | 12.26 | 4.12 | -2.12 |
| 117 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.01 | -13.55 | 11.14 | 2.89 | -0.89 |
| 118 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.01 | -14.36 | 13.31 | 2 | 0 |
| 119 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.01 | -13 | 9.36 | 2.38 | -0.38 |
| 120 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.96 | -12.27 | 9.32 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 121 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.61 | -22.91 | 10.6 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 122 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.61 | -23.45 | 12.16 | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| 123 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.13 | -10.55 | 11.94 | 3.3 | -2.3 |
| 124 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.05 | -13.5 | 10.68 | 2.27 | -1.27 |
| 125 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.29 | -18.55 | 10.65 | 1.35 | -0.35 |
| 126 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.32 | -19 | 13.5 | 2.02 | -1.02 |
| 127 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.35 | -19.82 | 12.36 | 1.46 | -0.46 |
| 128 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.47 | -23.27 | 12.86 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 129 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.84 | -28.25 | 10.15 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 130 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-11 | 0 | -2.65 | -25.36 | 13.32 | 0.71 | -0.71 |