Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.830566+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCF | American Athletic | 12-0 | 1 | 24.99 | 24.25 | 10.08 | 9.98 | 2.02 |
| 2 | Clemson | ACC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.58 | 22.62 | 12.44 | 11.93 | 0.07 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 11-1 | 0.92 | 23.51 | 27.58 | 11.26 | 11.37 | -0.37 |
| 4 | Georgia | SEC | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.5 | 21.69 | 12.22 | 11.82 | 0.18 |
| 5 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.43 | 20.62 | 12.02 | 11.74 | 0.26 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.39 | 19.92 | 11.97 | 10.41 | 1.59 |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 22.15 | 22.54 | 13.46 | 11.15 | -0.15 |
| 8 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.63 | 26.08 | 12.46 | 10.94 | -0.94 |
| 9 | USC | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.33 | 8.23 | 13.04 | 8.53 | 2.47 |
| 10 | Washington | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.08 | 22.42 | 9.92 | 10.82 | -0.82 |
| 11 | Toledo | Mid-American | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.98 | 13.54 | 8.89 | 9.52 | 1.48 |
| 12 | Troy | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.9 | 13.08 | 8.63 | 10.15 | 0.85 |
| 13 | Miami | ACC | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.74 | 9.58 | 11.63 | 8.61 | 1.39 |
| 14 | Memphis | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.72 | 14.25 | 9.76 | 8.39 | 1.61 |
| 15 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.43 | 12 | 8.78 | 9.2 | 0.8 |
| 16 | Auburn | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 20.07 | 17.08 | 13.34 | 10.86 | -0.86 |
| 17 | Boise State | Mountain West | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.05 | 9.64 | 13.05 | 9.76 | 1.24 |
| 18 | South Florida | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 19.96 | 15.73 | 6.09 | 8.56 | 0.44 |
| 19 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.75 | 13.5 | 15.43 | 9.09 | -0.09 |
| 20 | TCU | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.66 | 15.54 | 11.17 | 10.63 | -0.63 |
| 21 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.62 | 15.62 | 10.87 | 9.94 | 0.06 |
| 22 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.16 | 16.17 | 10.69 | 8.82 | 0.18 |
| 23 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.03 | 15.25 | 10.11 | 10.29 | -1.29 |
| 24 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 9.83 | 11.06 | 8.66 | 0.34 |
| 25 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.74 | 9.33 | 10.51 | 8.67 | 0.33 |
| 26 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.63 | 7 | 11.16 | 7.74 | 1.26 |
| 27 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.39 | 8.83 | 8.46 | 8.37 | 0.63 |
| 28 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.37 | 2.83 | 13.35 | 6.92 | 2.08 |
| 29 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.97 | 10.54 | 14.07 | 9.37 | -0.37 |
| 30 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.37 | 9.46 | 10.35 | 9.6 | -0.6 |
| 31 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.29 | 11.67 | 11.91 | 8.94 | -0.94 |
| 32 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.06 | 7.5 | 12.56 | 8.32 | -0.32 |
| 33 | Louisville | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.04 | 11.92 | 10.04 | 8.44 | -0.44 |
| 34 | NC State | ACC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 5.83 | 11.95 | 7.47 | 0.53 |
| 35 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.8 | 13.17 | 7.73 | 8.72 | -0.72 |
| 36 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.73 | 9.33 | 9.01 | 8.48 | -0.48 |
| 37 | App State | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.59 | 11.5 | 6.89 | 8.77 | -0.77 |
| 38 | South Carolina | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.32 | 3.25 | 11.13 | 7.02 | 0.98 |
| 39 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.3 | 7.5 | 6.91 | 7.94 | 0.06 |
| 40 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.91 | 5.36 | 10.78 | 6.84 | 0.16 |
| 41 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.9 | 2.92 | 8.38 | 6.73 | 1.27 |
| 42 | UAB | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 15.9 | 5.25 | 5.69 | 7.36 | 0.64 |
| 43 | Marshall | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.59 | 6.77 | 10.81 | 8.67 | -0.67 |
| 44 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.37 | 8.42 | 14.99 | 8.37 | -1.37 |
| 45 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.01 | 7.33 | 12.85 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 46 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.94 | 8.92 | 11.06 | 8.38 | -1.38 |
| 47 | North Texas | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 14.91 | 0.5 | 11.46 | 7.12 | 1.88 |
| 48 | Boston College | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.77 | 3.67 | 14.77 | 7.06 | -0.06 |
| 49 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.65 | 12.08 | 6.56 | 8.56 | -1.56 |
| 50 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.64 | 7.75 | 9.39 | 7.43 | -0.43 |
| 51 | Missouri | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.61 | 7.58 | 9.26 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 52 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.53 | 4.67 | 11.36 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 53 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.51 | 6.25 | 9.49 | 7.51 | -0.51 |
| 54 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.46 | 4.67 | 10.74 | 6.97 | 0.03 |
| 55 | Florida International | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 14.38 | -1 | 8.91 | 5.75 | 2.25 |
| 56 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.19 | 4.5 | 8.57 | 7.56 | -0.56 |
| 57 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.08 | 2.42 | 10.92 | 6.57 | 0.43 |
| 58 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.93 | 7 | 11.37 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 59 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.83 | 0.67 | 13.75 | 6.15 | 0.85 |
| 60 | UTSA | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.6 | 6.55 | 7.12 | 7.52 | -1.52 |
| 61 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.41 | 5.62 | 8 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 62 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.12 | 7.5 | 12.13 | 8.03 | -2.03 |
| 63 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 4.83 | 12.99 | 7.55 | -1.55 |
| 64 | Florida State | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 4.75 | 12.8 | 7.37 | -1.37 |
| 65 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.85 | 5.58 | 11.5 | 7.46 | -1.46 |
| 66 | Duke | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.7 | 5 | 10.76 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 67 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.67 | 4.92 | 10.54 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 68 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.5 | 0.85 | 9.29 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 69 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.38 | 4 | 8.95 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 70 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.37 | 2.58 | 11.54 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 71 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.34 | 3.67 | 9.08 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 72 | Navy | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.16 | 1 | 14.17 | 6.25 | -0.25 |
| 73 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.11 | -2.83 | 11.42 | 5.26 | 1.74 |
| 74 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.1 | 2.08 | 9.91 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 75 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.39 | -4.42 | 6.96 | 4.63 | 2.37 |
| 76 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.21 | -2.69 | 11.16 | 5.67 | 1.33 |
| 77 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.02 | 1.55 | 12.15 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 78 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.55 | -0.92 | 8.03 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 79 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.54 | 2.75 | 10.97 | 6.79 | -1.79 |
| 80 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.52 | -1.75 | 11.01 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 81 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.51 | -3 | 14.44 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 82 | Virginia | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.26 | -2.83 | 10.98 | 5.21 | 0.79 |
| 83 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.22 | 1.5 | 10.9 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 84 | Temple | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.2 | -2.83 | 10.22 | 5.24 | 0.76 |
| 85 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.54 | 0.33 | 8.47 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 86 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.44 | -1.38 | 6.79 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 87 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.13 | -0.75 | 11.86 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 88 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.11 | -0.67 | 11.01 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 89 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.98 | -1 | 11.25 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 90 | Tulane | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.79 | -1.67 | 11.74 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 91 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.68 | -1.75 | 10.62 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 92 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.48 | -2.67 | 10.97 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 93 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.23 | -2.92 | 7.93 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 94 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.94 | -6.75 | 11.67 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 95 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.42 | -11 | 8.85 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 96 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.25 | -11.83 | 6.76 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 97 | Florida | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.9 | -5.18 | 14.48 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 98 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.65 | -1.25 | 7.76 | 5.72 | -1.72 |
| 99 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -4.75 | 13.82 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 100 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -4.83 | 8.86 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 101 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.9 | -7.42 | 13.29 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -7.08 | 11.47 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 103 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -6.67 | 9.2 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 104 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.71 | -10.67 | 14.89 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 105 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -9.25 | 12.34 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 106 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -10.33 | 11.44 | 3.05 | 0.95 |
| 107 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.55 | -13 | 14.58 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 108 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.51 | -10.92 | 10.76 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 109 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.3 | -7.62 | 10.35 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 110 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.25 | -5.25 | 11.9 | 4.71 | -1.71 |
| 111 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.19 | -5.75 | 11.85 | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 112 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.69 | -11.17 | 11.05 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 113 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.66 | -10.33 | 8.12 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 114 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.63 | -11.17 | 8.72 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 115 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -14.33 | 10.95 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 116 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.28 | -20.08 | 11.57 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 117 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.14 | -8.17 | 13.11 | 4.3 | -2.3 |
| 118 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.85 | -11.33 | 9.83 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 119 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -12.67 | 11.54 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 120 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.64 | -16.08 | 12.96 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 121 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.59 | -16.33 | 9.79 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 122 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.38 | -22.33 | 11.89 | 1 | 1 |
| 123 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.35 | -22.75 | 10.69 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 124 | San José State | Mountain West | 2-11 | 0.15 | 0.8 | -25.85 | 10.48 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 125 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.18 | -11.58 | 12.3 | 3.41 | -2.41 |
| 126 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.53 | -18.58 | 11.35 | 1.45 | -0.45 |
| 127 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.57 | -19.5 | 12.89 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 128 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.68 | -22.33 | 12.83 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 129 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.76 | -24.75 | 12.88 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 130 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-12 | 0 | -2.61 | -25 | 13.59 | 0.75 | -0.75 |