Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.832292+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCF | American Athletic | 13-0 | 1 | 24.86 | 22.92 | 10.45 | 10.68 | 2.32 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.77 | 25.14 | 12.67 | 13.11 | -0.11 |
| 3 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.57 | 19.86 | 12.52 | 12.47 | 0.53 |
| 4 | Georgia | SEC | 13-2 | 0.87 | 22.35 | 19 | 13.37 | 12.91 | 0.09 |
| 5 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.29 | 22.14 | 13.86 | 12.07 | -0.07 |
| 6 | Clemson | ACC | 12-2 | 0.86 | 22.04 | 19.71 | 12.91 | 12.51 | -0.51 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.99 | 24.62 | 12.98 | 11.66 | -0.66 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.97 | 18.07 | 12.9 | 10.79 | 1.21 |
| 9 | Troy | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.73 | 13.08 | 8.32 | 10.15 | 0.85 |
| 10 | South Florida | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.07 | 14.75 | 6.49 | 9.12 | 0.88 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-3 | 0.77 | 20.06 | 12.77 | 15.5 | 9.77 | 0.23 |
| 12 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.01 | 17.86 | 10.66 | 11.17 | -0.17 |
| 13 | TCU | Big 12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.95 | 14.57 | 11.27 | 11.12 | -0.12 |
| 14 | Boise State | Mountain West | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.87 | 9.64 | 12.62 | 9.76 | 1.24 |
| 15 | USC | Pac-12 | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.67 | 6.43 | 13.18 | 8.78 | 2.22 |
| 16 | Washington | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.6 | 20.15 | 10.34 | 11.35 | -1.35 |
| 17 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.53 | 15.62 | 11.14 | 9.53 | 0.47 |
| 18 | Toledo | Mid-American | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.33 | 10.14 | 8.95 | 9.59 | 1.41 |
| 19 | Miami | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.23 | 8.08 | 12.23 | 8.89 | 1.11 |
| 20 | Memphis | American Athletic | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.22 | 13.08 | 9.94 | 8.98 | 1.02 |
| 21 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.18 | 9.15 | 11.34 | 9.22 | 0.78 |
| 22 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.05 | 4.54 | 13.64 | 8.05 | 1.95 |
| 23 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.95 | 10.54 | 9.2 | 9.49 | 0.51 |
| 24 | Army | FBS Independents | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.85 | 8.69 | 9.42 | 8.94 | 1.06 |
| 25 | Auburn | SEC | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.56 | 15.36 | 13.82 | 11.3 | -1.3 |
| 26 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.71 | 9.21 | 10.52 | 10.19 | -0.19 |
| 27 | Mississippi State | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.59 | 11.08 | 11.92 | 9.52 | -0.52 |
| 28 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.51 | 13.38 | 10.35 | 10.68 | -1.68 |
| 29 | LSU | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.27 | 8.31 | 11.08 | 9.14 | -0.14 |
| 30 | NC State | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.26 | 7 | 11.87 | 8.33 | 0.67 |
| 31 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.24 | 14.85 | 7.9 | 9.83 | -0.83 |
| 32 | App State | Sun Belt | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.18 | 13.23 | 8.04 | 9.97 | -0.97 |
| 33 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.9 | 4.54 | 11.31 | 7.73 | 1.27 |
| 34 | South Carolina | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.73 | 3.54 | 11.26 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| 35 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.59 | 9.64 | 13.67 | 9.77 | -0.77 |
| 36 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.19 | 8.31 | 15.06 | 9.04 | -1.04 |
| 37 | Louisville | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.8 | 10.69 | 10.46 | 8.92 | -0.92 |
| 38 | Wake Forest | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.78 | 7 | 12.71 | 8.16 | -0.16 |
| 39 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.75 | 8.31 | 11.54 | 8.95 | -0.95 |
| 40 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.75 | 6.38 | 13.02 | 8.66 | -0.66 |
| 41 | Marshall | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.48 | 6.77 | 10.52 | 8.67 | -0.67 |
| 42 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.38 | 7.15 | 9.36 | 8.37 | -0.37 |
| 43 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.29 | 6.92 | 8.87 | 8.54 | -0.54 |
| 44 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.19 | 5.92 | 8.85 | 8.66 | -0.66 |
| 45 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.84 | 4.69 | 7.26 | 7.83 | 0.17 |
| 46 | North Texas | Conference USA | 9-5 | 0.64 | 14.75 | 0.5 | 11.36 | 7.12 | 1.88 |
| 47 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.52 | 12.08 | 6.59 | 8.56 | -1.56 |
| 48 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.38 | 4.42 | 11.14 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 49 | UAB | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.31 | 2.15 | 6.49 | 7.12 | 0.88 |
| 50 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.17 | 0.92 | 8.57 | 6.75 | 1.25 |
| 51 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.99 | 8.23 | 12 | 8.9 | -1.9 |
| 52 | Florida State | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.91 | 6.62 | 12.68 | 8.52 | -1.52 |
| 53 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.75 | 7 | 10.82 | 8.13 | -1.13 |
| 54 | Navy | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.7 | 4.15 | 13.55 | 7.62 | -0.62 |
| 55 | Purdue | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.7 | 4.69 | 12.85 | 8.05 | -1.05 |
| 56 | Duke | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.69 | 6.31 | 10.94 | 8.52 | -1.52 |
| 57 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.67 | 6.38 | 10.71 | 8.33 | -1.33 |
| 58 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.55 | 6.92 | 9.05 | 7.89 | -0.89 |
| 59 | Boston College | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.55 | 2.85 | 14.38 | 7.4 | -0.4 |
| 60 | Missouri | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.47 | 5.69 | 9.52 | 7.75 | -0.75 |
| 61 | UTSA | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.47 | 6.55 | 6.71 | 7.52 | -1.52 |
| 62 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.42 | 5.08 | 9.74 | 7.88 | -0.88 |
| 63 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.3 | 5.62 | 8.04 | 7.9 | -0.9 |
| 64 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.23 | 3.08 | 10.9 | 7.22 | -0.22 |
| 65 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 66 | SMU | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.76 | 1.15 | 11.14 | 6.74 | 0.26 |
| 67 | Florida International | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.7 | -2.85 | 9.16 | 5.69 | 2.31 |
| 68 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.52 | 4.92 | 9.9 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 69 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.41 | 0.85 | 8.9 | 6.76 | 0.24 |
| 70 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.24 | 3.67 | 8.91 | 6.97 | -0.97 |
| 71 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.82 | -1 | 13.34 | 6.26 | 0.74 |
| 72 | Temple | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.68 | -0.69 | 10.44 | 6.29 | 0.71 |
| 73 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.61 | -0.38 | 8.07 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 74 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.34 | -4.42 | 6.95 | 4.63 | 2.37 |
| 75 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.31 | 2.08 | 11.96 | 6.98 | -0.98 |
| 76 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.31 | 3.23 | 9.23 | 7.37 | -1.37 |
| 77 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.19 | -2.69 | 11.75 | 5.73 | 1.27 |
| 78 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.91 | 1.55 | 11.75 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 79 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.44 | 2.75 | 10.53 | 6.79 | -1.79 |
| 80 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.42 | -1.75 | 10.59 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 81 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.15 | 1.5 | 10.84 | 6.41 | -1.41 |
| 82 | Akron | Mid-American | 7-7 | 0.5 | 9.79 | -5.86 | 11.67 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 83 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.46 | 0.33 | 8.3 | 6.1 | -1.1 |
| 84 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.35 | -1.38 | 6.97 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 85 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.26 | -4.15 | 13.67 | 5.58 | 0.42 |
| 86 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.08 | -0.75 | 12.04 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 87 | California | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.99 | -0.67 | 10.17 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 88 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.91 | -1 | 11.09 | 5.78 | -0.78 |
| 89 | Virginia | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 8.83 | -5.85 | 10.83 | 4.77 | 1.23 |
| 90 | Tulane | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.69 | -1.67 | 11.23 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 91 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.57 | -1.75 | 9.82 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 92 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.41 | -2.67 | 10.76 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 93 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.16 | -2.92 | 7.73 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 94 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.88 | -6.75 | 11.57 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 95 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.35 | -11 | 8.51 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 96 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.19 | -11.83 | 6.66 | 3.64 | 1.36 |
| 97 | Florida | SEC | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.83 | -5.18 | 13.92 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 98 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.61 | -1.25 | 7.82 | 5.72 | -1.72 |
| 99 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.17 | -4.75 | 13.35 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 100 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.94 | -4.83 | 8.96 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 101 | Arkansas | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.85 | -7.42 | 13.02 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -7.08 | 11.16 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 103 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.75 | -6.67 | 9.38 | 4.02 | -0.02 |
| 104 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.67 | -10.67 | 14.76 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| 105 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -9.25 | 11.93 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 106 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -10.33 | 11.34 | 3.05 | 0.95 |
| 107 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.52 | -13 | 14.65 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 108 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.48 | -10.92 | 10.78 | 3.24 | 0.76 |
| 109 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-9 | 0.31 | 5.26 | -7.62 | 10.29 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 110 | North Carolina | ACC | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.21 | -5.25 | 11.53 | 4.71 | -1.71 |
| 111 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.14 | -5.75 | 11.41 | 4.7 | -1.7 |
| 112 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.67 | -11.17 | 10.87 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 113 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.64 | -10.33 | 7.99 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 114 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.59 | -11.17 | 8.41 | 3.36 | -0.36 |
| 115 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -14.33 | 10.46 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 116 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.24 | -20.08 | 11.17 | 2.37 | 0.63 |
| 117 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-10 | 0.17 | 2.12 | -8.17 | 12.83 | 4.3 | -2.3 |
| 118 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.84 | -11.33 | 9.79 | 3.16 | -1.16 |
| 119 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -12.67 | 11.34 | 3.32 | -1.32 |
| 120 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.63 | -16.08 | 13.03 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 121 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.58 | -16.33 | 9.95 | 2.05 | -0.05 |
| 122 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.37 | -22.33 | 11.34 | 1 | 1 |
| 123 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.34 | -22.75 | 9.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 124 | San José State | Mountain West | 2-11 | 0.15 | 0.8 | -25.85 | 10.43 | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| 125 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.18 | -11.58 | 12.32 | 3.41 | -2.41 |
| 126 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.53 | -18.58 | 11.16 | 1.45 | -0.45 |
| 127 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.57 | -19.5 | 12.23 | 1.6 | -0.6 |
| 128 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.67 | -22.33 | 11.84 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
| 129 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.75 | -24.75 | 12.73 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 130 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-12 | 0 | -2.59 | -25 | 13.19 | 0.75 | -0.75 |