Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.826250+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCF | American Athletic | 4-0 | 1 | 27.98 | 31.75 | 15.86 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 2 | Clemson | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 27.73 | 23.67 | 16.23 | 5.61 | 0.39 |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 27.5 | 32.67 | 13.93 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-0 | 1 | 27.22 | 24.8 | 13.71 | 4.37 | 0.63 |
| 5 | Georgia | SEC | 6-0 | 1 | 27 | 25 | 12.42 | 5.71 | 0.29 |
| 6 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-0 | 1 | 26.89 | 26 | 11.99 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.83 | 30.67 | 10.95 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 8 | Miami | ACC | 4-0 | 1 | 26.19 | 19.75 | 9.34 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 9 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.04 | 32.83 | 7 | 5.81 | 0.19 |
| 10 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-0 | 1 | 25.9 | 21.17 | 8.1 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 11 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-0 | 1 | 25.63 | 12.5 | 8.65 | 4.59 | 1.41 |
| 12 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 25.45 | 9.6 | 8.61 | 3.35 | 1.65 |
| 13 | South Florida | American Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 24.92 | 24.8 | 2.59 | 4.36 | 0.64 |
| 14 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 23.46 | 30.17 | 15.38 | 5.56 | -0.56 |
| 15 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.85 | 23.17 | 12.91 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 16 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.82 | 12.33 | 15.46 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 17 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.44 | 13.6 | 14.54 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
| 18 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.17 | 19.67 | 9.7 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 19 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 22.04 | 20.8 | 12.66 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 20 | Auburn | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.93 | 22.83 | 8.02 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 21 | NC State | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.91 | 11.83 | 11.06 | 4.34 | 0.66 |
| 22 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.75 | 21.4 | 8.7 | 4.12 | -0.12 |
| 23 | Houston | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.57 | 11 | 13.55 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 24 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.55 | 6 | 16.5 | 3.38 | 0.62 |
| 25 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.35 | 19 | 9.46 | 3.87 | 0.13 |
| 26 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.3 | 6.17 | 9.81 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 27 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.79 | 13.6 | 5.27 | 3.94 | 0.06 |
| 28 | Virginia | ACC | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.58 | 9.4 | 8.47 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 29 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.57 | 7.2 | 10.27 | 3.04 | 0.96 |
| 30 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.34 | 7.4 | 7.83 | 3.49 | 0.51 |
| 31 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20.17 | 5.4 | 7.74 | 3.23 | 0.77 |
| 32 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-1 | 0.8 | 20 | 6.6 | 6.48 | 3.06 | 0.94 |
| 33 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.26 | 17.5 | 4.03 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 34 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-1 | 0.75 | 19.21 | 17.25 | 1.17 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 35 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.91 | 11.83 | 17.12 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 36 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.86 | 10.17 | 17.43 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 37 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.8 | 15.83 | 12.04 | 4.49 | -0.49 |
| 38 | SMU | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.55 | 12.83 | 11.37 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 39 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.45 | 14 | 10.36 | 4.86 | -0.86 |
| 40 | Louisville | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.23 | 10.5 | 10.11 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 41 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.19 | 5.83 | 16.08 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 42 | Duke | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.16 | 11.5 | 8.9 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 43 | Texas A&M | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.03 | 6.5 | 11.44 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 44 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.03 | 11.17 | 11.37 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 45 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.89 | 11.67 | 10.1 | 4.41 | -0.41 |
| 46 | LSU | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.57 | 6.5 | 10.57 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 47 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.44 | 10 | 4.88 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 48 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.42 | 13 | 6.55 | 4.64 | -0.64 |
| 49 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 17.1 | 8.8 | 19.07 | 3.49 | -0.49 |
| 50 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.99 | 10.8 | 12.34 | 3.8 | -0.8 |
| 51 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.9 | 11.8 | 15.75 | 3.61 | -0.61 |
| 52 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.85 | 17.4 | 9.3 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 53 | Mississippi State | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.82 | 9.6 | 14.3 | 3.53 | -0.53 |
| 54 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.4 | 15.8 | 10.01 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 55 | Boise State | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.2 | 4 | 16.95 | 2.94 | 0.06 |
| 56 | Florida | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.18 | 0.8 | 19.12 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 57 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.13 | 7.2 | 12.61 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 58 | App State | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.05 | 9.2 | 10.43 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 59 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.04 | 7.8 | 11.4 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 60 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.02 | 2.2 | 16.36 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 61 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.99 | 16.8 | 3.09 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 62 | North Texas | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.88 | 4.8 | 11.37 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 63 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.76 | 8.8 | 8.54 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 64 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.67 | 8 | 8.67 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 65 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.58 | 4.6 | 12.44 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 66 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.48 | 4 | 11.49 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 67 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.23 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 3.11 | -0.11 |
| 68 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.01 | 2.4 | 8.03 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 69 | UAB | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.86 | 3.2 | 6.78 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 70 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.79 | 2.6 | 8.6 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 71 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.48 | 2.6 | 4.45 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 72 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-2 | 0.6 | 14.36 | -2.6 | 15.73 | 2.28 | 0.72 |
| 73 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.83 | 5.67 | 11.13 | 3.78 | -0.78 |
| 74 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.75 | 8.33 | 12.79 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 75 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 13.71 | -1.4 | 11.2 | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| 76 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.37 | 7.67 | 8.62 | 3.94 | -0.94 |
| 77 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.32 | 3.83 | 9.54 | 3.47 | -0.47 |
| 78 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.25 | 1.17 | 14.66 | 3.15 | -0.15 |
| 79 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 2-2 | 0.5 | 12.97 | 8.25 | 6.34 | 2.58 | -0.58 |
| 80 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.74 | 1.5 | 8.97 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 81 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.74 | 1.17 | 9.9 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 82 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.12 | -10 | 5.45 | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| 83 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.89 | 0.67 | 9.7 | 3.1 | -0.1 |
| 84 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.15 | -5.5 | 15.58 | 2.17 | 0.83 |
| 85 | California | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.95 | -5.5 | 12.81 | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| 86 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.68 | 1.2 | 13.06 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 87 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.49 | 0.8 | 12.61 | 2.63 | -0.63 |
| 88 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.3 | -5.5 | 12.1 | 2.16 | 0.84 |
| 89 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.97 | -6.83 | 10.01 | 1.96 | 1.04 |
| 90 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.86 | -6.17 | 7.42 | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| 91 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 9.73 | -0.8 | 14.28 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 92 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-2 | 0.5 | 9.35 | -7.25 | 4.71 | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| 93 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.89 | -2.2 | 10.2 | 2.3 | -0.3 |
| 94 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.87 | -3.8 | 19.41 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 95 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.28 | -2.8 | 5.26 | 2.17 | -0.17 |
| 96 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.08 | -11.8 | 16.36 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| 97 | Ole Miss | SEC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.87 | -10.6 | 11.61 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 98 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 7.3 | -2 | 11.76 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 99 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.17 | -14.8 | 5.13 | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| 100 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 2-3 | 0.4 | 7.1 | -9.2 | 7.27 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 101 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.95 | -2.33 | 7.84 | 2.69 | -0.69 |
| 102 | Air Force | Mountain West | 1-4 | 0.2 | 6.61 | 4.2 | 17.07 | 2.86 | -1.86 |
| 103 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.4 | -6.5 | 12.35 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 104 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.39 | -10.17 | 17.12 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 105 | Boston College | ACC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.32 | -11.67 | 19.49 | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| 106 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.03 | -10 | 8.71 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 107 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.86 | -9.67 | 5.64 | 1.97 | 0.03 |
| 108 | Florida State | ACC | 1-3 | 0.25 | 5.08 | -5 | 24.44 | 1.45 | -0.45 |
| 109 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.58 | -4 | 13.96 | 2.01 | -1.01 |
| 110 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-4 | 0.2 | 3.03 | -7.2 | 9.91 | 1.74 | -0.74 |
| 111 | Missouri | SEC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.75 | -12.8 | 12.95 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 112 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.7 | -10.6 | 3.6 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 113 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.64 | -15.2 | 12.03 | 1.36 | -0.36 |
| 114 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.62 | -15.2 | 10.45 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| 115 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.54 | -7.67 | 18.5 | 2.09 | -1.09 |
| 116 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.28 | -10.17 | 16.45 | 2.1 | -1.1 |
| 117 | BYU | FBS Independents | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.93 | -14.33 | 14.73 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 118 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.66 | -19.17 | 11.96 | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| 119 | Nevada | Mountain West | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -11.67 | 11.81 | 1.63 | -0.63 |
| 120 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.53 | -23.5 | 14.87 | 0.32 | 0.68 |
| 121 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.49 | -25.67 | 17.32 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 122 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.47 | -24.67 | 12.41 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| 123 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.42 | -25.67 | 11.79 | 0.83 | 0.17 |
| 124 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.38 | -14.83 | 8.36 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 125 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.66 | -27 | 13.93 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| 126 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 0-6 | 0 | -1.75 | -7.17 | 10.77 | 2.15 | -2.15 |
| 127 | Baylor | Big 12 | 0-5 | 0 | -2 | -9 | 16.4 | 1.68 | -1.68 |
| 128 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.46 | -18.17 | 10.7 | 0.66 | -0.66 |
| 129 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 0-4 | 0 | -2.64 | -24.25 | 8.39 | 0.38 | -0.38 |
| 130 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.82 | -25.83 | 13.78 | 0.48 | -0.48 |