Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.826655+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.83 | 32.57 | 12.34 | 6.78 | 0.22 |
| 2 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.66 | 30.67 | 11.95 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 3 | UCF | American Athletic | 5-0 | 1 | 26.62 | 33.8 | 10.97 | 4.66 | 0.34 |
| 4 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-0 | 1 | 26.58 | 24 | 12.35 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 5 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-0 | 1 | 26.35 | 23 | 11.42 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.23 | 25 | 10.48 | 6.51 | 0.49 |
| 7 | Miami | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 25.86 | 16 | 10.5 | 4.07 | 0.93 |
| 8 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 24.6 | 25.67 | 2.75 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 9 | Clemson | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.75 | 19.86 | 14.57 | 6.26 | -0.26 |
| 10 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.63 | 31.86 | 13.53 | 6.54 | -0.54 |
| 11 | USC | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.21 | 10.71 | 16.14 | 4.95 | 1.05 |
| 12 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.48 | 23.17 | 12.39 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 13 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.47 | 27.29 | 6.34 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 14 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.37 | 13.29 | 8.84 | 5.32 | 0.68 |
| 15 | NC State | ACC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.29 | 12.71 | 10.23 | 5.19 | 0.81 |
| 16 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.25 | 12.5 | 13.88 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 17 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.11 | 8.29 | 9.32 | 4.81 | 1.19 |
| 18 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.06 | 5.5 | 16.76 | 3.91 | 1.09 |
| 19 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.05 | 18.67 | 11.19 | 4.81 | 0.19 |
| 20 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.03 | 24.5 | 9.71 | 5.03 | -0.03 |
| 21 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.64 | 19.67 | 8.25 | 5.35 | -0.35 |
| 22 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.62 | 7.5 | 10.86 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 23 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.49 | 6.5 | 12.81 | 3.62 | 1.38 |
| 24 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.92 | 11.5 | 6.92 | 4.76 | 0.24 |
| 25 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.9 | 6.17 | 8.96 | 3.88 | 1.12 |
| 26 | Virginia | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.85 | 8.83 | 7.5 | 4.22 | 0.78 |
| 27 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.69 | 8.83 | 6.74 | 3.96 | 1.04 |
| 28 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.84 | 16.14 | 16.34 | 5.51 | -0.51 |
| 29 | Auburn | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.07 | 19 | 8.59 | 6.12 | -1.12 |
| 30 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.8 | 5.86 | 14.45 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 31 | Iowa | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.7 | 10.17 | 17.23 | 4.42 | -0.42 |
| 32 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.49 | 5.86 | 12.24 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 33 | LSU | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.39 | 6.14 | 11.49 | 4.6 | 0.4 |
| 34 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.28 | 6.17 | 18.24 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 35 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.21 | 11.29 | 7.36 | 5.18 | -0.18 |
| 36 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.21 | 10.29 | 7.57 | 4.87 | 0.13 |
| 37 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.19 | 14 | 10.33 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 38 | SMU | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.11 | 12.83 | 11.71 | 4.17 | -0.17 |
| 39 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.04 | 16.33 | 10.8 | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 40 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.97 | 12.17 | 11.86 | 4.55 | -0.55 |
| 41 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.89 | 14 | 9.65 | 4.86 | -0.86 |
| 42 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.87 | 16 | 9.9 | 4.51 | -0.51 |
| 43 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.81 | 14 | 10.34 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 44 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.77 | 11.14 | 4.25 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 45 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.74 | 11.17 | 8.45 | 4.45 | -0.45 |
| 46 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.71 | 13 | 10.17 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 47 | Houston | American Athletic | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.61 | 4.5 | 11.67 | 3.68 | 0.32 |
| 48 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.5 | 10 | 9.73 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 49 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 4.5 | 12.94 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 50 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.23 | 8.17 | 8.78 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 51 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.1 | 7.5 | 8.34 | 4.24 | -0.24 |
| 52 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.7 | 2.67 | 7.67 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 53 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.41 | 2.83 | 7.99 | 3.44 | 0.56 |
| 54 | UAB | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.21 | 3 | 6.28 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 55 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-2 | 0.6 | 16.19 | 13.8 | 7.77 | 3.87 | -0.87 |
| 56 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.16 | 7.33 | 1.93 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 57 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.74 | 13.2 | 4.33 | 3.84 | -0.84 |
| 58 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.57 | 7.57 | 11.84 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 59 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.52 | 9.43 | 10.56 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 60 | Louisville | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.36 | 8.57 | 9.59 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 61 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 15.31 | 13.4 | 4.37 | 3.63 | -0.63 |
| 62 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.14 | 7 | 11.97 | 4.52 | -0.52 |
| 63 | Duke | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.13 | 8.86 | 7.45 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 64 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.77 | 5.29 | 9.93 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 65 | Texas | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.36 | 9 | 15.27 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 66 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.31 | 6 | 17.46 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 67 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.1 | 8.5 | 13.02 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 68 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.78 | 0.71 | 11.21 | 3.63 | 0.37 |
| 69 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.77 | 8.33 | 12.19 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 70 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 13.65 | -6.17 | 7.15 | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| 71 | California | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.62 | 0.14 | 13.42 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 72 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.55 | 10.67 | 6.8 | 4.35 | -1.35 |
| 73 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.18 | 2.17 | 13.45 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 74 | Florida | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 0.33 | 17.37 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 75 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.87 | 1.67 | 11.5 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 76 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.86 | 2 | 14.87 | 3.27 | -0.27 |
| 77 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.44 | 1.5 | 9.56 | 3.2 | -0.2 |
| 78 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.2 | 0.5 | 9.58 | 3.05 | -0.05 |
| 79 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 3-2 | 0.6 | 12.19 | -3.8 | 6.37 | 2.04 | 0.96 |
| 80 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.96 | -1 | 15.6 | 2.91 | 0.09 |
| 81 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.42 | -2.17 | 19.67 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 82 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.42 | 3.14 | 10.5 | 3.98 | -0.98 |
| 83 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.1 | -2.17 | 11.48 | 2.66 | 0.34 |
| 84 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.97 | -1.5 | 6.34 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 85 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.89 | -4.83 | 14.18 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| 86 | Utah State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.46 | 0.29 | 10.12 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 87 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.12 | -5.17 | 10.76 | 2.47 | 0.53 |
| 88 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 9.73 | -4.83 | 5.84 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 89 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.49 | -0.57 | 9.36 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 90 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.31 | -5 | 15.65 | 2.78 | 0.22 |
| 91 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.2 | 4.17 | 14.61 | 3.43 | -1.43 |
| 92 | Florida State | ACC | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.87 | -2.6 | 22.44 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 93 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.86 | -5 | 11.95 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 94 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.72 | -7.86 | 13.55 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 95 | Boston College | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.59 | -9.57 | 19.29 | 2.01 | 0.99 |
| 96 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.47 | -6.43 | 8.8 | 2.38 | 0.62 |
| 97 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.41 | 0.5 | 12.88 | 3.09 | -1.09 |
| 98 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.27 | -8.14 | 8.1 | 2.23 | 0.77 |
| 99 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.95 | -6.71 | 5.63 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 100 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.9 | -4.33 | 14.71 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 101 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.84 | -1.5 | 11.89 | 2.78 | -0.78 |
| 102 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.82 | -2.5 | 9.11 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 103 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.61 | -2.83 | 7.18 | 2.59 | -0.59 |
| 104 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.16 | -4.17 | 10.18 | 2.41 | -0.41 |
| 105 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.98 | -11.67 | 13.52 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| 106 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.78 | -10 | 9.56 | 1.71 | 0.29 |
| 107 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.76 | -2.43 | 7.48 | 3.1 | -1.1 |
| 108 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.48 | -4.71 | 18.14 | 2.99 | -0.99 |
| 109 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.43 | -12 | 10.18 | 1.81 | 0.19 |
| 110 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.39 | -17.67 | 7.84 | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| 111 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.22 | -8.14 | 13.55 | 2.31 | -0.31 |
| 112 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.01 | -13 | 16.87 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 113 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.23 | -19.71 | 13.19 | 0.56 | 1.44 |
| 114 | Missouri | SEC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.88 | -14.83 | 15.92 | 1.58 | -0.58 |
| 115 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -14.5 | 6.7 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| 116 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.69 | -7.43 | 16.74 | 2.41 | -1.41 |
| 117 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.6 | -20.17 | 11.92 | 1.17 | -0.17 |
| 118 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.37 | -24.67 | 12.27 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| 119 | Nevada | Mountain West | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.35 | -10.29 | 12.15 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 120 | BYU | FBS Independents | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.08 | -15.86 | 14.43 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 121 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.03 | -15.29 | 9.69 | 1.5 | -0.5 |
| 122 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.91 | -18.86 | 10.86 | 0.78 | 0.22 |
| 123 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.8 | -22.43 | 16.21 | 1.08 | -0.08 |
| 124 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.62 | -28 | 13.5 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 125 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.2 | -25 | 11.97 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 126 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 0-6 | 0 | -1.71 | -7.17 | 9.47 | 2.15 | -2.15 |
| 127 | Baylor | Big 12 | 0-6 | 0 | -2.3 | -14.67 | 14.53 | 1.52 | -1.52 |
| 128 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 0-7 | 0 | -2.48 | -20 | 10.4 | 0.69 | -0.69 |
| 129 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 0-5 | 0 | -2.52 | -21 | 9.54 | 0.67 | -0.67 |
| 130 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-7 | 0 | -2.75 | -25.57 | 13.56 | 0.45 | -0.45 |