Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:36.827514+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.24 | 33.25 | 11.74 | 7.77 | 0.23 |
| 2 | Georgia | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.8 | 26.25 | 10.59 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 3 | UCF | American Athletic | 7-0 | 1 | 25.56 | 31.29 | 8.56 | 6.33 | 0.67 |
| 4 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.51 | 22.12 | 9.73 | 7.32 | 0.68 |
| 5 | Miami | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 25.01 | 13.29 | 9.09 | 5.47 | 1.53 |
| 6 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.83 | 26.5 | 13.98 | 7.45 | -0.45 |
| 7 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.68 | 24.38 | 14.65 | 7.19 | -0.19 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.66 | 28 | 13.91 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 9 | Clemson | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.52 | 19.12 | 14.75 | 7.15 | -0.15 |
| 10 | TCU | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.1 | 22.5 | 10.75 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 11 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.93 | 20.12 | 11.33 | 6.45 | 0.55 |
| 12 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.75 | 17.62 | 10.92 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 13 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.71 | 26.5 | 9.02 | 7.52 | -0.52 |
| 14 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.44 | 23.88 | 7.99 | 7.48 | -0.48 |
| 15 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.37 | 9.12 | 11.6 | 5.12 | 1.88 |
| 16 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.88 | 15.12 | 6.78 | 6.01 | 0.99 |
| 17 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.81 | 19.5 | 4.4 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 18 | USC | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.49 | 7.89 | 15.11 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 19 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.05 | 11.11 | 9.64 | 6.47 | 0.53 |
| 20 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.91 | 16.5 | 12.54 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 21 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.78 | 14.25 | 12.23 | 6.19 | -0.19 |
| 22 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.74 | 6.11 | 11.55 | 5.87 | 1.13 |
| 23 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.73 | 9.25 | 14.17 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 24 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.64 | 13.62 | 11.72 | 6.28 | -0.28 |
| 25 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.59 | 8.38 | 13.65 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| 26 | NC State | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.56 | 8.5 | 12.17 | 5.37 | 0.63 |
| 27 | Auburn | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.49 | 20.62 | 8.48 | 7.04 | -1.04 |
| 28 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.42 | 4.12 | 14.44 | 4.89 | 1.11 |
| 29 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.4 | 14.75 | 9.83 | 5.75 | 0.25 |
| 30 | SMU | American Athletic | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.15 | 10.5 | 9.68 | 5.33 | 0.67 |
| 31 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.08 | 6 | 11.85 | 5.19 | 0.81 |
| 32 | Marshall | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.06 | 10.75 | 7.9 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 33 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.01 | 7.38 | 10.2 | 5.42 | 0.58 |
| 34 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.67 | 7.75 | 8.08 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 35 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.56 | 10.25 | 5.75 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 36 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.55 | 9.88 | 6.17 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 37 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.46 | 15.38 | 3.32 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 38 | Navy | American Athletic | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.3 | 5 | 13.48 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 39 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.88 | 18.14 | 4.8 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 40 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.39 | 0.25 | 9.89 | 4.05 | 1.95 |
| 41 | UTSA | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.36 | 13.71 | 2.56 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 42 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.88 | 6.44 | 7.97 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 43 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.75 | 7.62 | 16.19 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 44 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.41 | 12.75 | 10.74 | 5.73 | -0.73 |
| 45 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.39 | 10 | 11.9 | 5.71 | -0.71 |
| 46 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.35 | 11.12 | 9.7 | 5.37 | -0.37 |
| 47 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.33 | 11.5 | 9.2 | 6.06 | -1.06 |
| 48 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.93 | 8.62 | 8.66 | 5.25 | -0.25 |
| 49 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.92 | 3.38 | 14.3 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 50 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.89 | 3.38 | 13.93 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 51 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.79 | 6.12 | 8.44 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 52 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.65 | 2.5 | 11.8 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 53 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.57 | 6.75 | 6.23 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 54 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.53 | 5.75 | 8.62 | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 55 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.18 | 9.86 | 10.14 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 56 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15 | 4.38 | 5.62 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 57 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.9 | 4.25 | 3.42 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 58 | Florida International | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 14.81 | -3.71 | 8.16 | 2.87 | 2.13 |
| 59 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.68 | 6.33 | 12.31 | 5.53 | -0.53 |
| 60 | Virginia | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.54 | 0.62 | 7.47 | 4.12 | 0.88 |
| 61 | Louisville | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.47 | 5.89 | 9.45 | 5.42 | -0.42 |
| 62 | North Texas | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.08 | -0.5 | 11.66 | 3.94 | 1.06 |
| 63 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14 | 2.78 | 11.15 | 5.06 | -0.06 |
| 64 | Texas | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.67 | 10.25 | 12.77 | 5.76 | -1.76 |
| 65 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.42 | 5.5 | 12.78 | 4.72 | -0.72 |
| 66 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.31 | 5.12 | 13.18 | 4.88 | -0.88 |
| 67 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.24 | 6.38 | 10.22 | 5.33 | -1.33 |
| 68 | Boston College | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.17 | -0.44 | 17.02 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| 69 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 5.62 | 10.14 | 4.75 | -0.75 |
| 70 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.94 | 8.38 | 7.24 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 71 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.76 | 3.25 | 9.55 | 4.6 | -0.6 |
| 72 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.36 | 2 | 10.77 | 4.33 | -0.33 |
| 73 | Akron | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.03 | -2.33 | 11.76 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 74 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.63 | -1.25 | 16.76 | 3.84 | 0.16 |
| 75 | Duke | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.41 | 3.78 | 9.21 | 5.39 | -1.39 |
| 76 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.39 | -5 | 7.79 | 2.61 | 1.39 |
| 77 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.16 | -3 | 16.75 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 78 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.72 | -1.25 | 8.45 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 79 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.54 | -4.25 | 15.45 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 80 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.53 | 4.12 | 14.73 | 4.87 | -1.87 |
| 81 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.21 | -6.38 | 14.82 | 3.12 | 0.88 |
| 82 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.18 | -0.11 | 9.88 | 4.48 | -0.48 |
| 83 | California | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.61 | -1.78 | 12.04 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 84 | Indiana | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.25 | 0.25 | 13.14 | 4.04 | -1.04 |
| 85 | Florida | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.15 | -4.71 | 16.54 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 86 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.06 | -3.67 | 13.76 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 87 | Missouri | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.5 | -0.25 | 11.91 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 88 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.36 | 1.22 | 10.62 | 4.76 | -1.76 |
| 89 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.1 | -0.88 | 7.86 | 3.83 | -0.83 |
| 90 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.02 | -3.25 | 14.28 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 91 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.95 | -1.88 | 9.2 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 92 | New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.82 | -2.5 | 9.56 | 3.62 | -0.62 |
| 93 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.74 | -10.43 | 6.44 | 2.32 | 0.68 |
| 94 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.7 | -3.5 | 10.93 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 95 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.69 | -2.88 | 9.22 | 3.44 | -0.44 |
| 96 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.4 | -6.75 | 13.72 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 97 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.4 | -3.62 | 9.98 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 98 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.34 | -6 | 11.22 | 3.19 | -0.19 |
| 99 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.31 | -6.38 | 10.71 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 100 | Temple | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.23 | -6 | 10.58 | 2.84 | 0.16 |
| 101 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.23 | -7.75 | 12.63 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 102 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.22 | -7.12 | 14.61 | 2.97 | 0.03 |
| 103 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.17 | -7.88 | 12.71 | 2.45 | 0.55 |
| 104 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.88 | -8.5 | 7.48 | 2.71 | 0.29 |
| 105 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.83 | -7 | 7.6 | 2.81 | 0.19 |
| 106 | UConn | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.62 | -13.25 | 8.52 | 2.15 | 0.85 |
| 107 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 5.79 | -0.38 | 14.89 | 3.92 | -1.92 |
| 108 | Florida State | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.48 | -6.86 | 18.54 | 2.19 | -0.19 |
| 109 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 5.11 | -0.62 | 7.92 | 3.9 | -1.9 |
| 110 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.96 | -11.38 | 15.12 | 1.87 | 0.13 |
| 111 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.9 | -11.75 | 15.83 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 112 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.85 | -4.78 | 14.67 | 3.78 | -1.78 |
| 113 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.62 | -14.62 | 10.24 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 114 | Ball State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.46 | -18.5 | 10.61 | 1.34 | 0.66 |
| 115 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.4 | -14 | 8.69 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 116 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.3 | -22.88 | 13.12 | 0.45 | 1.55 |
| 117 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.28 | -22.5 | 12.11 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 118 | BYU | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.93 | -11.78 | 11.54 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 119 | Nevada | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.92 | -9.38 | 13.2 | 2.66 | -1.66 |
| 120 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.6 | -14.38 | 7.66 | 1.95 | -0.95 |
| 121 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.51 | -12.11 | 16.82 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 122 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.45 | -17.25 | 11.22 | 1.52 | -0.52 |
| 123 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.43 | -17.38 | 10.55 | 1.07 | -0.07 |
| 124 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.37 | -19.75 | 15.08 | 1.34 | -0.34 |
| 125 | Kansas | Big 12 | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.3 | -21.75 | 13.68 | 1.25 | -0.25 |
| 126 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.29 | -21.88 | 12.32 | 0.71 | 0.29 |
| 127 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.05 | -24.56 | 9.64 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 128 | Baylor | Big 12 | 0-8 | 0 | -2.28 | -15.12 | 13.42 | 1.93 | -1.93 |
| 129 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 0-7 | 0 | -2.54 | -23.14 | 9.6 | 0.85 | -0.85 |
| 130 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.7 | -24.5 | 15.23 | 0.57 | -0.57 |