Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.090835+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 9-0 | 1 | 26.14 | 37.22 | 11.68 | 8.6 | 0.4 |
| 2 | Clemson | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 26.09 | 34.44 | 11.61 | 8.58 | 0.42 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9-0 | 1 | 25.55 | 14.33 | 12.36 | 7.09 | 1.91 |
| 4 | UCF | American Athletic | 8-0 | 1 | 24.67 | 24.5 | 6.12 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.87 | 23.11 | 15.33 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.4 | 21.67 | 13.01 | 7.92 | 0.08 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 23.27 | 21.22 | 12.33 | 7.13 | 0.87 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.55 | 18.44 | 8.96 | 7.16 | 0.84 |
| 9 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.48 | 28.11 | 6.94 | 8.49 | -0.49 |
| 10 | Utah State | Mountain West | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.47 | 28.44 | 6.85 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.35 | 17.88 | 9.35 | 6.41 | 0.59 |
| 12 | UAB | Conference USA | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.32 | 21.78 | 7.14 | 8.28 | -0.28 |
| 13 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.31 | 14.56 | 8.68 | 6.81 | 1.19 |
| 14 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.1 | 21 | 6.05 | 8.08 | -0.08 |
| 15 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.05 | 11.44 | 8.21 | 6.48 | 1.52 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.88 | 10.33 | 15.99 | 6.82 | 0.18 |
| 17 | Army | FBS Independents | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.34 | 11.22 | 13.23 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 18 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.19 | 14.33 | 11.15 | 6.79 | 0.21 |
| 19 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.13 | 9.44 | 11.81 | 6.81 | 0.19 |
| 20 | Syracuse | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.94 | 15.22 | 9.34 | 6.62 | 0.38 |
| 21 | Boston College | ACC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.93 | 13.11 | 9.98 | 6.63 | 0.37 |
| 22 | North Texas | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.76 | 19.11 | 6.98 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 23 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.63 | 16 | 6.24 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 24 | App State | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.61 | 21.38 | 10.05 | 6.99 | -0.99 |
| 25 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.51 | 9.22 | 7.95 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Troy | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.37 | 10.56 | 7.5 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| 27 | NC State | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.28 | 7 | 13.28 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 28 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.64 | 2.22 | 9.2 | 5.06 | 1.94 |
| 29 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 18.34 | 2.44 | 5.74 | 4.91 | 2.09 |
| 30 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.23 | 10.6 | 11.88 | 7.69 | -0.69 |
| 31 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.13 | 16.78 | 13.96 | 7.96 | -1.96 |
| 32 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 18.13 | 12.78 | 14.23 | 6.57 | -0.57 |
| 33 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.72 | 11.89 | 11.74 | 6.87 | -0.87 |
| 34 | Florida | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.68 | 9.44 | 12.61 | 6.35 | -0.35 |
| 35 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.58 | 11.22 | 11.01 | 6.74 | -0.74 |
| 36 | Auburn | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 11 | 11.44 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 37 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.38 | 5.56 | 13.17 | 5.49 | 0.51 |
| 38 | Duke | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.34 | 7.89 | 12.26 | 6.05 | -0.05 |
| 39 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.28 | 4.44 | 15.01 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 40 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.23 | 10.11 | 10.11 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 41 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.13 | 13.33 | 8.22 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 42 | Virginia | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.02 | 7.33 | 9.14 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 43 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.97 | 9.67 | 8.54 | 6.04 | -0.04 |
| 44 | Florida International | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 8.56 | 5.34 | 6 | 0 |
| 45 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.38 | 5.62 | 15.99 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 46 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.13 | 2.56 | 9.02 | 5 | 1 |
| 47 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.93 | 3.12 | 15.44 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 48 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.86 | 0.67 | 9.75 | 4.64 | 1.36 |
| 49 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.39 | 5.38 | 6.88 | 4.97 | 0.03 |
| 50 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.36 | 12 | 13.55 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 51 | Miami | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.28 | 12.67 | 12.45 | 6.91 | -1.91 |
| 52 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.12 | 9.22 | 14.36 | 6.14 | -1.14 |
| 53 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.03 | 7 | 14.03 | 5.91 | -0.91 |
| 54 | Missouri | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.02 | 8.11 | 14.39 | 5.83 | -0.83 |
| 55 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.88 | 7.33 | 13.84 | 5.95 | -0.95 |
| 56 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.81 | 10.44 | 11.03 | 6 | -1 |
| 57 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.71 | 6.78 | 11.56 | 5.76 | -0.76 |
| 58 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.69 | 8.44 | 10.03 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 59 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.63 | 10.56 | 9.35 | 6.12 | -1.12 |
| 60 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 14.52 | -2.44 | 12.02 | 3.87 | 2.13 |
| 61 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.49 | 4 | 12.58 | 5.3 | -0.3 |
| 62 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.44 | 2.44 | 14.9 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 63 | Memphis | American Athletic | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.35 | 12.78 | 5.82 | 6.22 | -1.22 |
| 64 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.13 | 2.89 | 11.27 | 4.91 | 0.09 |
| 65 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.11 | 6.33 | 6.77 | 5.64 | -0.64 |
| 66 | California | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.72 | 2.44 | 8.64 | 5.08 | -0.08 |
| 67 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.52 | 0.22 | 14.32 | 4.55 | 0.45 |
| 68 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.45 | 0.89 | 11.19 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 69 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.41 | 0.44 | 13.88 | 4.58 | 0.42 |
| 70 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.31 | -0.8 | 8.81 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 71 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.78 | 3.8 | 11.38 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 72 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.67 | 5 | 8.78 | 5.01 | -1.01 |
| 73 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.52 | 2.38 | 9.97 | 4.38 | -0.38 |
| 74 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 2.7 | 10.94 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 75 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.32 | -0.44 | 8.9 | 4.42 | 0.58 |
| 76 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.05 | -3 | 14.49 | 3.95 | 1.05 |
| 77 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.94 | -2.56 | 10.44 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 78 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.9 | -2.78 | 12.11 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 79 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.29 | 2.89 | 12.15 | 5.11 | -1.11 |
| 80 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.2 | -4.64 | 8.78 | 4.62 | 1.38 |
| 81 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 11.04 | -8.11 | 10.63 | 3.11 | 1.89 |
| 82 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.72 | -1.38 | 8.49 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 83 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.71 | 0.44 | 14.15 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 84 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.45 | -2.25 | 8.29 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 85 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.34 | -0.11 | 13.18 | 4.47 | -0.47 |
| 86 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.96 | -0.22 | 12.15 | 4.46 | -0.46 |
| 87 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.35 | -2.89 | 14.86 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 88 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.29 | -2.22 | 13.39 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 89 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.28 | -2.33 | 13.38 | 4.01 | -0.01 |
| 90 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.08 | -4 | 12.69 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| 91 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.05 | -3.44 | 11.27 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 92 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.96 | 3.89 | 10.99 | 5.25 | -2.25 |
| 93 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.84 | -4.89 | 11.41 | 3.76 | 0.24 |
| 94 | Florida State | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.72 | -6.67 | 12.57 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
| 95 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.71 | -4.22 | 8.24 | 3.52 | 0.48 |
| 96 | SMU | American Athletic | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.67 | -6.33 | 13.78 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 97 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.26 | -7.89 | 10.02 | 3.25 | 0.75 |
| 98 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.02 | 0.22 | 13.55 | 4.54 | -1.54 |
| 99 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.69 | -5.2 | 11.18 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 100 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.63 | -6.3 | 12.31 | 4.03 | -0.03 |
| 101 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.33 | -4.22 | 10.45 | 3.82 | -0.82 |
| 102 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.26 | -5.56 | 12.83 | 3.29 | -0.29 |
| 103 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.11 | -5.33 | 9.1 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 104 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.01 | -3.56 | 5.46 | 3.77 | -0.77 |
| 105 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.41 | -12.78 | 8.43 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 106 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.37 | -15.56 | 9.49 | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| 107 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.11 | -7.9 | 8.14 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 108 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.5 | -15.1 | 8.36 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 109 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.95 | -3.78 | 14.14 | 3.87 | -1.87 |
| 110 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.76 | -12.25 | 11.44 | 2.18 | -0.18 |
| 111 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.64 | -3.89 | 10.04 | 3.69 | -1.69 |
| 112 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.39 | -7.33 | 11.35 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 113 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.19 | -11.11 | 13.27 | 2.66 | -0.66 |
| 114 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.17 | -13.11 | 18.09 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 115 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.1 | -11.11 | 10.49 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| 116 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.04 | -11.44 | 8.07 | 2.79 | -0.79 |
| 117 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.99 | -12.56 | 11.17 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 118 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.98 | -9.89 | 8.5 | 2.77 | -0.77 |
| 119 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.9 | -15.56 | 12.44 | 2.07 | -0.07 |
| 120 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.87 | -16.11 | 12.73 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 121 | Louisville | ACC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.76 | -19.22 | 12.92 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| 122 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.81 | -11.12 | 14.22 | 2.29 | -1.29 |
| 123 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.54 | -11.22 | 8.9 | 2.22 | -1.22 |
| 124 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.41 | -13.22 | 10.52 | 2.28 | -1.28 |
| 125 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.41 | -9.9 | 11.74 | 2.36 | -1.36 |
| 126 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.33 | -12.11 | 7.98 | 2 | -1 |
| 127 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.19 | -18.11 | 13.37 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| 128 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.09 | -20.44 | 10.2 | 1.81 | -0.81 |
| 129 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.08 | -18.9 | 11.16 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 130 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.12 | -27 | 12.99 | 1.11 | -0.11 |