Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.091255+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 10-0 | 1 | 26.06 | 35.9 | 12 | 9.6 | 0.4 |
| 2 | Clemson | ACC | 10-0 | 1 | 25.97 | 33 | 11.86 | 9.54 | 0.46 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 10-0 | 1 | 25.29 | 15.8 | 11.3 | 8.1 | 1.9 |
| 4 | UCF | American Athletic | 9-0 | 1 | 24.54 | 23 | 6.21 | 7.66 | 1.34 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.67 | 24.3 | 13.23 | 9.25 | -0.25 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.57 | 21.2 | 13.32 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 23.36 | 19.2 | 12.61 | 7.65 | 1.35 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.8 | 18.6 | 9.72 | 8.1 | 0.9 |
| 9 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.56 | 20 | 9.33 | 7.48 | 0.52 |
| 10 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.55 | 15.5 | 9.12 | 7.79 | 1.21 |
| 11 | Utah State | Mountain West | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.46 | 29.4 | 5.97 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 12 | UAB | Conference USA | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.44 | 19.9 | 7.45 | 8.98 | 0.02 |
| 13 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.41 | 20.1 | 7.31 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 14 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 9-1 | 0.9 | 22.17 | 13.7 | 7.47 | 7.55 | 1.45 |
| 15 | LSU | SEC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.8 | 10 | 14.15 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 16 | Boise State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.67 | 13.6 | 12.09 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 17 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.54 | 24.6 | 7.9 | 9.21 | -1.21 |
| 18 | Army | FBS Independents | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.33 | 11.9 | 10.47 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 19 | Syracuse | ACC | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.19 | 16.8 | 8.17 | 7.55 | 0.45 |
| 20 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.04 | 22.44 | 8.73 | 8.02 | -1.02 |
| 21 | Troy | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 19.88 | 10.9 | 8.24 | 7.18 | 0.82 |
| 22 | Penn State | Big Ten | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.73 | 12.7 | 15.09 | 7.39 | -0.39 |
| 23 | Utah | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.17 | 10.8 | 12.04 | 7.38 | -0.38 |
| 24 | Florida | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.15 | 8.9 | 12.89 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 25 | Boston College | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.1 | 9.8 | 11.22 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 26 | Washington | Pac-12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 18.08 | 10.6 | 11.27 | 7.69 | -0.69 |
| 27 | Texas | Big 12 | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.94 | 5.7 | 13.67 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| 28 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.9 | 6.8 | 11.56 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 29 | North Texas | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.84 | 16.9 | 6.69 | 8.08 | -1.08 |
| 30 | Duke | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.77 | 7.8 | 10.81 | 6.64 | 0.36 |
| 31 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.72 | 13.4 | 7.01 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 32 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.67 | 6.9 | 9.95 | 6.52 | 0.48 |
| 33 | Virginia | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.64 | 8.7 | 9.47 | 7.04 | -0.04 |
| 34 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.47 | 6.56 | 14.79 | 5.93 | 0.07 |
| 35 | Florida International | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.29 | 11.5 | 5.65 | 7.21 | -0.21 |
| 36 | NC State | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.17 | 5.78 | 12.11 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 37 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.87 | 3.9 | 7.8 | 5.81 | 1.19 |
| 38 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.66 | 2.1 | 8.89 | 5.51 | 1.49 |
| 39 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.62 | 1.7 | 8.45 | 5.47 | 1.53 |
| 40 | Marshall | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.49 | 6.67 | 7.51 | 5.87 | 0.13 |
| 41 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.32 | 1 | 7.95 | 5.19 | 1.81 |
| 42 | Mississippi State | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 16.32 | 12.7 | 13.85 | 8.28 | -2.28 |
| 43 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-3 | 0.7 | 16.14 | 0.1 | 11.5 | 5.03 | 1.97 |
| 44 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.9 | 10.3 | 11.78 | 7.44 | -1.44 |
| 45 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.87 | 7.7 | 14.24 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 46 | Missouri | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.86 | 7.8 | 14.12 | 6.43 | -0.43 |
| 47 | Auburn | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.82 | 8.2 | 12.51 | 7.06 | -1.06 |
| 48 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.58 | 6.9 | 12.51 | 6.51 | -0.51 |
| 49 | Temple | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.58 | 7.1 | 12.35 | 6.34 | -0.34 |
| 50 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.57 | 5.3 | 14.04 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 51 | Ohio | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.52 | 11.8 | 8.08 | 7 | -1 |
| 52 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.52 | 7.9 | 10.29 | 6.81 | -0.81 |
| 53 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.48 | 10.1 | 9.53 | 6.77 | -0.77 |
| 54 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.39 | 8 | 9.25 | 6.45 | -0.45 |
| 55 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.28 | 2 | 15.48 | 5.57 | 0.43 |
| 56 | Memphis | American Athletic | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.22 | 14.1 | 5.61 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 57 | Nevada | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.04 | 4.7 | 10.53 | 5.88 | 0.12 |
| 58 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.54 | 0.6 | 14.87 | 5.15 | 0.85 |
| 59 | California | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.47 | 2.3 | 9.06 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 60 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.41 | 2.4 | 8.89 | 5.47 | 0.53 |
| 61 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.37 | 2.33 | 15.26 | 4.92 | 0.08 |
| 62 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.23 | 0.3 | 14.06 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 63 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.07 | 5.27 | 11.34 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 64 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.75 | 10.1 | 13.52 | 6.58 | -1.58 |
| 65 | Miami | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.65 | 10.8 | 12.07 | 7.35 | -2.35 |
| 66 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.34 | 5.2 | 14.01 | 6.07 | -1.07 |
| 67 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.26 | 7.5 | 10.97 | 6.23 | -1.23 |
| 68 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-5 | 0.5 | 13.22 | 7.1 | 10.91 | 6.18 | -1.18 |
| 69 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.11 | -0.8 | 9.02 | 4.86 | 1.14 |
| 70 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 3.4 | 11.79 | 5.74 | -0.74 |
| 71 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.49 | 3.3 | 8.67 | 5.69 | -0.69 |
| 72 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.45 | 2.7 | 10.18 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 73 | BYU | FBS Independents | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.38 | 1.8 | 12.77 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 74 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.28 | 1.2 | 11.82 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 75 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-4 | 0.6 | 12.21 | -4.5 | 9.47 | 4.11 | 1.89 |
| 76 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.97 | 0.3 | 13.28 | 5.07 | -0.07 |
| 77 | Tulane | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.71 | 0.4 | 11.46 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 78 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.4 | -0.4 | 14.21 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 79 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.38 | 4.11 | 10 | 5.43 | -1.43 |
| 80 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.35 | -0.1 | 11.44 | 4.98 | 0.02 |
| 81 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 11.21 | -0.5 | 12.64 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 82 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.05 | -4.64 | 8.7 | 4.62 | 1.38 |
| 83 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.68 | -2.4 | 13.82 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 84 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.63 | -1.7 | 11.11 | 4.7 | 0.3 |
| 85 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 10.55 | 5.3 | 10.69 | 6.1 | -2.1 |
| 86 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.36 | -3.9 | 11.92 | 4.27 | 0.73 |
| 87 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.23 | -4 | 12.21 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 88 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.17 | -4.5 | 12.44 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 89 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-5 | 0.5 | 10.13 | -5.1 | 11.04 | 4.01 | 0.99 |
| 90 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.56 | 0.4 | 13.29 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 91 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.55 | -1.22 | 10.22 | 4.29 | -0.29 |
| 92 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 9.4 | -0.1 | 14.07 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 93 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.9 | -3.56 | 9.77 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 94 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.84 | -1.1 | 12.83 | 4.74 | -0.74 |
| 95 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.73 | -4.22 | 8.96 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 96 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.8 | -4.6 | 12.05 | 3.85 | 0.15 |
| 97 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.75 | -5.2 | 11.4 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 98 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.66 | -5.5 | 9.66 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 99 | Florida State | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.56 | -8.9 | 13.48 | 3.13 | 0.87 |
| 100 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.28 | -9 | 8.95 | 3.48 | 0.52 |
| 101 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.62 | -7.45 | 11.19 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 102 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 3-7 | 0.3 | 6.17 | -1.5 | 13.31 | 4.73 | -1.73 |
| 103 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.4 | -5.6 | 10.35 | 4.01 | -1.01 |
| 104 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.38 | -5.2 | 8.88 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 105 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.16 | -6.3 | 6.53 | 3.57 | -0.57 |
| 106 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.06 | -7.9 | 8.81 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 107 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.83 | -11 | 11.34 | 3.13 | -0.13 |
| 108 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.83 | -10 | 9.54 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 109 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.6 | -15.4 | 8.45 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 110 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.58 | -17.8 | 10.68 | 1.34 | 1.66 |
| 111 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 3-7 | 0.3 | 4.56 | -15.1 | 8.12 | 2.6 | 0.4 |
| 112 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.06 | -11.56 | 10.61 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
| 113 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 3.03 | -6.1 | 10 | 3.66 | -1.66 |
| 114 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.96 | -7.3 | 12.32 | 3.55 | -1.55 |
| 115 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.7 | -12.1 | 17.58 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 116 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.69 | -11.1 | 13.98 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 117 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.6 | -11.4 | 10.67 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 118 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.52 | -12.3 | 9.34 | 2.68 | -0.68 |
| 119 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.35 | -16.8 | 12.28 | 2.08 | -0.08 |
| 120 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.33 | -17.6 | 13.14 | 2.36 | -0.36 |
| 121 | Louisville | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.21 | -20.4 | 13.18 | 1.72 | 0.28 |
| 122 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.14 | -17.3 | 9.28 | 2.28 | -0.28 |
| 123 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.59 | -10.67 | 14.03 | 2.7 | -1.7 |
| 124 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.26 | -12 | 8.42 | 2.32 | -1.32 |
| 125 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.22 | -12.5 | 8.62 | 2.31 | -1.31 |
| 126 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.16 | -10 | 10.17 | 2.55 | -1.55 |
| 127 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-9 | 0.1 | 0.07 | -15.7 | 11.81 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 128 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.11 | -19.8 | 14.34 | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| 129 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.3 | -18.55 | 11.14 | 1.83 | -0.83 |
| 130 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-9 | 0.1 | -0.31 | -25.5 | 12.95 | 1.51 | -0.51 |