Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.091678+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clemson | ACC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.88 | 32.64 | 12.02 | 10.53 | 0.47 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 11-0 | 1 | 25.61 | 35.64 | 10.25 | 10.53 | 0.47 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 11-0 | 1 | 25.4 | 17.36 | 12.06 | 9.23 | 1.77 |
| 4 | UCF | American Athletic | 10-0 | 1 | 24.88 | 23.2 | 8.44 | 8.58 | 1.42 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.71 | 23.09 | 12.93 | 10.05 | -0.05 |
| 6 | Georgia | SEC | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.61 | 22.82 | 12.47 | 9.73 | 0.27 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 23.33 | 18.82 | 11.74 | 8.32 | 1.68 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.94 | 17 | 10.09 | 8.54 | 1.46 |
| 9 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.8 | 17.82 | 9.15 | 8.78 | 1.22 |
| 10 | Utah State | Mountain West | 10-1 | 0.91 | 22.54 | 27.18 | 6.04 | 9.57 | 0.43 |
| 11 | Boise State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21.03 | 15.18 | 11.43 | 8.52 | 0.48 |
| 12 | LSU | SEC | 9-2 | 0.82 | 21 | 12 | 12.29 | 8.68 | 0.32 |
| 13 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.93 | 23.18 | 8.95 | 10.05 | -1.05 |
| 14 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.74 | 16 | 8.95 | 9.11 | -0.11 |
| 15 | UAB | Conference USA | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.56 | 16.18 | 7.8 | 9.27 | -0.27 |
| 16 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.49 | 17.6 | 9.62 | 7.91 | 0.09 |
| 17 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.44 | 12.09 | 8.86 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 18 | App State | Sun Belt | 8-2 | 0.8 | 20.31 | 23 | 7.93 | 8.93 | -0.93 |
| 19 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.23 | 9.27 | 8.14 | 7.45 | 1.55 |
| 20 | Troy | Sun Belt | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.16 | 10.36 | 7.86 | 7.92 | 1.08 |
| 21 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-3 | 0.73 | 19.13 | 12.73 | 13.44 | 8.25 | -0.25 |
| 22 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.87 | 11.91 | 12.08 | 8.41 | -0.41 |
| 23 | Florida | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.68 | 12.91 | 10.38 | 8.33 | -0.33 |
| 24 | Syracuse | ACC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.62 | 12.27 | 9.64 | 7.71 | 0.29 |
| 25 | Washington | Pac-12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.6 | 11.36 | 10.45 | 8.52 | -0.52 |
| 26 | Texas | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.59 | 6.45 | 13.2 | 6.92 | 1.08 |
| 27 | Kentucky | SEC | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.49 | 7.18 | 12 | 7.69 | 0.31 |
| 28 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.33 | 8.45 | 10.12 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| 29 | North Texas | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.33 | 15.64 | 7.15 | 8.6 | -0.6 |
| 30 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.3 | 15 | 7.13 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 31 | Florida International | Conference USA | 8-3 | 0.73 | 17.91 | 11.09 | 6.02 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| 32 | NC State | ACC | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.86 | 9.4 | 11.1 | 6.86 | 0.14 |
| 33 | Marshall | Conference USA | 7-3 | 0.7 | 17.24 | 8.3 | 7.37 | 6.96 | 0.04 |
| 34 | Mississippi State | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 17.11 | 15.73 | 12.97 | 9.57 | -2.57 |
| 35 | Iowa | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.89 | 15.09 | 11.61 | 9.06 | -2.06 |
| 36 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.84 | 8.91 | 14.21 | 7.59 | -0.59 |
| 37 | Missouri | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.83 | 10.09 | 13.38 | 7.49 | -0.49 |
| 38 | Auburn | SEC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.78 | 12.27 | 11.96 | 8.66 | -1.66 |
| 39 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.58 | 13.91 | 9.76 | 8.04 | -1.04 |
| 40 | Temple | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.43 | 7.36 | 12.08 | 7.07 | -0.07 |
| 41 | Boston College | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.42 | 8.82 | 10.17 | 7.44 | -0.44 |
| 42 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.34 | 9.45 | 10.01 | 7.35 | -0.35 |
| 43 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.27 | 7.45 | 10.69 | 7.26 | -0.26 |
| 44 | Virginia | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.24 | 7.64 | 9.65 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 45 | Duke | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.19 | 4.45 | 12.03 | 6.57 | 0.43 |
| 46 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.19 | 7.45 | 10.16 | 7 | 0 |
| 47 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 16.07 | 13.73 | 5.97 | 7.84 | -0.84 |
| 48 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.82 | 2.18 | 13.64 | 5.99 | 1.01 |
| 49 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.79 | 5.09 | 9 | 6.59 | 0.41 |
| 50 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.66 | 1.45 | 13.89 | 5.91 | 1.09 |
| 51 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.53 | 3.45 | 9.05 | 6.25 | 0.75 |
| 52 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.53 | 4.5 | 14.01 | 6.14 | -0.14 |
| 53 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.51 | 5.3 | 13.6 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 54 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.46 | 2.55 | 9 | 6.08 | 0.92 |
| 55 | South Carolina | SEC | 6-4 | 0.6 | 15.42 | 6.1 | 12.46 | 6.2 | -0.2 |
| 56 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.26 | 1.82 | 8.82 | 5.99 | 1.01 |
| 57 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-4 | 0.64 | 15.05 | 0.73 | 10.21 | 5.72 | 1.28 |
| 58 | Miami | ACC | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.65 | 12 | 11.64 | 8.32 | -2.32 |
| 59 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.42 | 0 | 8.42 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| 60 | California | Pac-12 | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.42 | 2.3 | 8.84 | 5.63 | 0.37 |
| 61 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 7-4 | 0.64 | 14.41 | -0.45 | 10.94 | 5.35 | 1.65 |
| 62 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.32 | 6.09 | 12.11 | 6.95 | -0.95 |
| 63 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.32 | 7.18 | 11.97 | 6.78 | -0.78 |
| 64 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.25 | 8.45 | 10.4 | 7 | -1 |
| 65 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.02 | 4.82 | 12 | 6.85 | -0.85 |
| 66 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 14.02 | 5.27 | 10.81 | 6.86 | -0.86 |
| 67 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.78 | 1.55 | 14.63 | 6.02 | -0.02 |
| 68 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-5 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 3.8 | 10.34 | 5.97 | -0.97 |
| 69 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12.23 | 7.82 | 12.42 | 6.94 | -1.94 |
| 70 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 12.05 | -0.64 | 10.14 | 5.38 | 0.62 |
| 71 | Purdue | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 12 | 4.45 | 14.25 | 6.46 | -1.46 |
| 72 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.94 | -0.82 | 8.74 | 5.34 | 0.66 |
| 73 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 11.76 | -3.67 | 8.37 | 5.24 | 1.76 |
| 74 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 11.63 | 3 | 12.94 | 6.16 | -1.16 |
| 75 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-5 | 0.55 | 11.01 | -5.36 | 9.25 | 4.32 | 1.68 |
| 76 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.98 | 0.91 | 13.71 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 77 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.82 | 0.55 | 13.84 | 5.63 | -0.63 |
| 78 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.76 | 0.91 | 9.51 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 79 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.68 | 0.45 | 11.25 | 5.58 | -0.58 |
| 80 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.25 | -0.36 | 12.64 | 5.41 | -0.41 |
| 81 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.23 | -0.36 | 12.61 | 5.43 | -0.43 |
| 82 | TCU | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 10.14 | -0.36 | 12.87 | 5.4 | -0.4 |
| 83 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.79 | -1.36 | 12.56 | 5.19 | -0.19 |
| 84 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.75 | -1.27 | 10.92 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 85 | Air Force | Mountain West | 4-7 | 0.36 | 9.55 | 4.09 | 10.65 | 6.43 | -2.43 |
| 86 | Tulane | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.49 | -2.45 | 12.13 | 4.9 | 0.1 |
| 87 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.47 | -3.18 | 14.57 | 4.78 | 0.22 |
| 88 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.42 | -3.36 | 13.83 | 4.64 | 0.36 |
| 89 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.21 | -2.82 | 11.49 | 4.69 | 0.31 |
| 90 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.09 | -4.18 | 11.72 | 4.59 | 0.41 |
| 91 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-6 | 0.45 | 9.01 | -5 | 12.21 | 4.54 | 0.46 |
| 92 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.97 | -4 | 11.17 | 4.32 | 0.68 |
| 93 | Wake Forest | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.93 | -5.55 | 12.01 | 4.41 | 0.59 |
| 94 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.78 | -6.82 | 11.9 | 4.05 | 0.95 |
| 95 | Florida State | ACC | 5-6 | 0.45 | 8.67 | -8 | 13.5 | 3.61 | 1.39 |
| 96 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-6 | 0.4 | 8.01 | -3.5 | 10.75 | 4.31 | -0.31 |
| 97 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 7.72 | -1.09 | 13.27 | 5.27 | -1.27 |
| 98 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.61 | -5.3 | 8.88 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 99 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 4-6 | 0.4 | 7.39 | -8.5 | 10.29 | 3.64 | 0.36 |
| 100 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.75 | -5.64 | 10.69 | 4 | 0 |
| 101 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.72 | -4.27 | 9.02 | 4.7 | -0.7 |
| 102 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.42 | -7.09 | 9.18 | 3.89 | 0.11 |
| 103 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-7 | 0.36 | 6.06 | -13.91 | 9.31 | 2.99 | 1.01 |
| 104 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.7 | -10.08 | 11.44 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 105 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-7 | 0.3 | 5.07 | -7 | 9.62 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 106 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.61 | -6.09 | 9.77 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 107 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.52 | -6.18 | 7.67 | 3.86 | -0.86 |
| 108 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.47 | -7.91 | 10.84 | 3.96 | -0.96 |
| 109 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.37 | -10.36 | 16.81 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 110 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.32 | -9.36 | 13.23 | 3.58 | -0.58 |
| 111 | UNLV | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 4.26 | -9.73 | 9.39 | 3.65 | -0.65 |
| 112 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.98 | -14.45 | 9.64 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 113 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.86 | -14.36 | 8.77 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 114 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.86 | -18.27 | 11.19 | 1.28 | 1.72 |
| 115 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 3-8 | 0.27 | 3.83 | -16.91 | 8.34 | 2.55 | 0.45 |
| 116 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-8 | 0.2 | 2.81 | -7.3 | 11.6 | 3.63 | -1.63 |
| 117 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.53 | -6.27 | 9.48 | 4.01 | -2.01 |
| 118 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.21 | -10.82 | 12 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 119 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.17 | -8.73 | 7.95 | 3.3 | -1.3 |
| 120 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.06 | -12.91 | 11.63 | 2.97 | -0.97 |
| 121 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.01 | -13.18 | 9.52 | 2.9 | -0.9 |
| 122 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.9 | -16.18 | 12.29 | 2.47 | -0.47 |
| 123 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.85 | -17.73 | 13.73 | 2.56 | -0.56 |
| 124 | Louisville | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 1.67 | -22.36 | 13.51 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 125 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-10 | 0.09 | 0.15 | -10 | 10 | 2.55 | -1.55 |
| 126 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.06 | -13.55 | 8.1 | 2.37 | -1.37 |
| 127 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.14 | -15.09 | 11.87 | 2.47 | -1.47 |
| 128 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.33 | -19.18 | 14.43 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| 129 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-10 | 0.09 | -0.56 | -26.27 | 12.02 | 1.59 | -0.59 |
| 130 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.57 | -19.67 | 11.68 | 1.8 | -0.8 |