Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.092488+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clemson | ACC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.68 | 31.69 | 11.89 | 12.28 | 0.72 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.65 | 33.08 | 11.61 | 12.24 | 0.76 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 12-0 | 1 | 25.25 | 16.5 | 12.24 | 9.97 | 2.03 |
| 4 | UCF | American Athletic | 12-0 | 1 | 24.92 | 22.92 | 9.39 | 10.2 | 1.8 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.52 | 17.08 | 12.72 | 9.51 | 2.49 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.27 | 17.77 | 11.19 | 10.1 | 1.9 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 22.28 | 20.62 | 13.7 | 11.11 | -0.11 |
| 8 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.64 | 19.25 | 13.29 | 10.23 | -0.23 |
| 9 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.5 | 21.23 | 9.52 | 11.73 | -0.73 |
| 10 | App State | Sun Belt | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.05 | 21 | 9.52 | 10.59 | -0.59 |
| 11 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.86 | 15.25 | 9.71 | 9.23 | 0.77 |
| 12 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.84 | 18.83 | 8.67 | 10.35 | -0.35 |
| 13 | Utah State | Mountain West | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.8 | 24.17 | 7.38 | 10.15 | -0.15 |
| 14 | Army | FBS Independents | 9-2 | 0.82 | 20.3 | 12.09 | 8.72 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 15 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.9 | 13.31 | 12.55 | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| 16 | Washington | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.62 | 11.15 | 11.99 | 10.19 | -0.19 |
| 17 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.47 | 14.58 | 12.58 | 9.43 | -0.43 |
| 18 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.23 | 10.83 | 12.46 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 19 | UAB | Conference USA | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.2 | 12 | 8.99 | 10.1 | -0.1 |
| 20 | Florida | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.1 | 14.08 | 10.34 | 9.31 | -0.31 |
| 21 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.07 | 10.08 | 8.5 | 9 | 1 |
| 22 | Kentucky | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.06 | 10.42 | 11.54 | 9.17 | -0.17 |
| 23 | Syracuse | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.02 | 13 | 10.23 | 8.56 | 0.44 |
| 24 | NC State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.85 | 12.92 | 9.26 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 25 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.76 | 15.73 | 10.53 | 8.26 | -0.26 |
| 26 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.61 | 9.5 | 8.97 | 8.44 | 0.56 |
| 27 | Troy | Sun Belt | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.52 | 8.58 | 8.86 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| 28 | North Texas | Conference USA | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.48 | 14.58 | 6.16 | 9.25 | -0.25 |
| 29 | Utah | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.77 | 10.15 | 11.89 | 9.59 | -0.59 |
| 30 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.75 | 17.08 | 12.61 | 10.69 | -2.69 |
| 31 | Missouri | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.55 | 12.42 | 12.92 | 8.71 | -0.71 |
| 32 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.39 | 5.08 | 12.63 | 7.84 | 1.16 |
| 33 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.39 | 8.33 | 13.86 | 7.89 | 0.11 |
| 34 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.3 | 14.08 | 10.44 | 9.63 | -1.63 |
| 35 | Ohio | Mid-American | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.12 | 14.5 | 8.95 | 8.84 | -0.84 |
| 36 | Temple | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.07 | 10.92 | 10.11 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 37 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 10.17 | 9.45 | 8.17 | -0.17 |
| 38 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.93 | 5.83 | 12.52 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 39 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.76 | 12 | 7.38 | 8.04 | -0.04 |
| 40 | Florida International | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 9.92 | 7.16 | 8.28 | -0.28 |
| 41 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.57 | 4.33 | 11.18 | 7.23 | 0.77 |
| 42 | Marshall | Conference USA | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.49 | 5.42 | 8.98 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 43 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.39 | 5.33 | 8.73 | 7.29 | 0.71 |
| 44 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.84 | 12.08 | 8.44 | 8.88 | -0.88 |
| 45 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.4 | 3.85 | 11.13 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 46 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.26 | 12.75 | 11 | 9.35 | -2.35 |
| 47 | Auburn | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.21 | 8.67 | 12.88 | 8.45 | -1.45 |
| 48 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.95 | 10.92 | 9.34 | 8.1 | -1.1 |
| 49 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.87 | 5.42 | 13.1 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 50 | Boston College | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.78 | 6.33 | 11.15 | 7.53 | -0.53 |
| 51 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.74 | 6.67 | 10.46 | 7.45 | -0.45 |
| 52 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.73 | 5.67 | 11.33 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 53 | Virginia | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.62 | 6.75 | 9.41 | 7.86 | -0.86 |
| 54 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.61 | 5 | 11.04 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 55 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.59 | 0.23 | 13.33 | 6.58 | 1.42 |
| 56 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.47 | 5.5 | 9.32 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 57 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.26 | 4.25 | 8.94 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 58 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.2 | 1.75 | 12.86 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 59 | California | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.94 | 2.08 | 9.31 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 60 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.83 | 6.36 | 8.73 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 61 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-5 | 0.62 | 13.74 | -0.85 | 12.45 | 6.19 | 1.81 |
| 62 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.49 | 0.58 | 10.4 | 6.19 | 0.81 |
| 63 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.17 | 0.42 | 8.28 | 6.12 | 0.88 |
| 64 | Duke | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.12 | -0.25 | 12.02 | 5.93 | 1.07 |
| 65 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 13.02 | 4.67 | 13.81 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 66 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.96 | 6 | 11.52 | 7.19 | -1.19 |
| 67 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.91 | -0.17 | 9.47 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 68 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 12.74 | -3.31 | 9.02 | 5.75 | 2.25 |
| 69 | BYU | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.71 | 3.75 | 12.03 | 7.12 | -1.12 |
| 70 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.6 | 2.58 | 13.23 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 71 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.54 | 2.58 | 12.66 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 72 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-5 | 0.58 | 12.09 | -2.33 | 9.48 | 5.45 | 1.55 |
| 73 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.89 | 0.58 | 12.69 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 74 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.72 | -2.23 | 14.29 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 75 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.7 | -1.15 | 10.81 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 76 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.65 | 0.25 | 12.19 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 77 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.18 | 6.25 | 11.73 | 7.28 | -2.28 |
| 78 | Wake Forest | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.99 | -0.75 | 11.76 | 5.84 | 0.16 |
| 79 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.83 | -0.92 | 11.38 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 80 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.78 | 4.42 | 9.78 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 81 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.65 | -1.33 | 10.47 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 82 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.45 | -2.17 | 10.86 | 5.43 | 0.57 |
| 83 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.3 | -2.92 | 11.07 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 84 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.83 | -3.58 | 7.48 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 85 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.81 | -5.17 | 9.49 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 86 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.61 | -0.17 | 13.42 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 87 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.32 | -0.17 | 9.49 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 88 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.3 | -0.58 | 12.52 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 89 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.21 | -0.92 | 13.36 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 90 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.91 | -1.25 | 10.94 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 91 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.65 | -2.25 | 11.42 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 92 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.56 | -3.5 | 13.96 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 93 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.51 | -2.92 | 11.59 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 94 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.29 | -5.17 | 13.65 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 95 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.2 | -4.83 | 11.61 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 96 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.12 | -4.92 | 10.65 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 97 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.95 | -6.5 | 10.92 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 98 | Florida State | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.84 | -9.58 | 13.52 | 3.57 | 1.43 |
| 99 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.97 | -1.25 | 13 | 5.71 | -1.71 |
| 100 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.96 | -5.08 | 8.66 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 101 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.73 | -8.25 | 9.93 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 102 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.68 | -8.25 | 9.53 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 103 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -8.5 | 9.33 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 104 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -10.08 | 10.83 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 105 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.33 | -13.42 | 9.43 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 106 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.15 | -5.5 | 9.33 | 4.57 | -1.57 |
| 107 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.1 | -6.17 | 10.13 | 4.4 | -1.4 |
| 108 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.98 | -6.75 | 8.27 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 109 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.96 | -8.67 | 13.2 | 4.05 | -1.05 |
| 110 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -10.08 | 16.24 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 111 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.88 | -7.83 | 8.24 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 112 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.8 | -9.58 | 10.32 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 113 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.55 | -14.58 | 11.28 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 114 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.54 | -14.58 | 11.86 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 115 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -13.92 | 9.55 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 116 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.43 | -15.67 | 9.81 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 117 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.41 | -17 | 11.45 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.37 | -16.08 | 8.5 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 119 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.45 | -7.18 | 11.66 | 4.02 | -2.02 |
| 120 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.8 | -13.08 | 12.56 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 121 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -12.75 | 9.92 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 122 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.77 | -13.58 | 12.27 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 123 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.5 | -19.58 | 13.23 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 124 | Louisville | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.34 | -24.33 | 13.76 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 125 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.12 | -17.08 | 10.78 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 126 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.22 | -12.33 | 9.9 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 127 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.37 | -15.08 | 8.06 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 128 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.39 | -15.33 | 12.54 | 2.6 | -1.6 |
| 129 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.51 | -17.92 | 13.51 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 130 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.85 | -28.25 | 12.06 | 1.5 | -0.5 |