Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.093788+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clemson | ACC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.48 | 31.69 | 11.75 | 12.28 | 0.72 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 13-0 | 1 | 25.4 | 33.08 | 11.18 | 12.24 | 0.76 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 12-0 | 1 | 25.03 | 16.5 | 11.97 | 9.97 | 2.03 |
| 4 | UCF | American Athletic | 12-0 | 1 | 24.65 | 22.92 | 8.85 | 10.2 | 1.8 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.32 | 17.08 | 12.42 | 9.51 | 2.49 |
| 6 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.09 | 17.77 | 11.03 | 10.1 | 1.9 |
| 7 | Georgia | SEC | 11-2 | 0.85 | 22.03 | 20.62 | 13.42 | 11.11 | -0.11 |
| 8 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.58 | 20.5 | 9.55 | 12.5 | -0.5 |
| 9 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-2 | 0.83 | 21.45 | 19.25 | 13.01 | 10.23 | -0.23 |
| 10 | App State | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.39 | 21.85 | 9.43 | 11.57 | -0.57 |
| 11 | Utah State | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.24 | 25.31 | 7.95 | 11.16 | -0.16 |
| 12 | Army | FBS Independents | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.98 | 15.08 | 8.79 | 10.55 | 0.45 |
| 13 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.69 | 18.83 | 8.59 | 10.35 | -0.35 |
| 14 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 10-2 | 0.83 | 20.68 | 15.25 | 9.46 | 9.23 | 0.77 |
| 15 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.73 | 13.31 | 12.6 | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| 16 | UAB | Conference USA | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.56 | 12.86 | 8.87 | 11.08 | -0.08 |
| 17 | Washington | Pac-12 | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.43 | 11.15 | 11.51 | 10.19 | -0.19 |
| 18 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.3 | 14.58 | 12.34 | 9.43 | -0.43 |
| 19 | LSU | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 19.06 | 10.83 | 12.2 | 8.75 | 0.25 |
| 20 | Florida | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.95 | 14.08 | 10.17 | 9.31 | -0.31 |
| 21 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.93 | 8.92 | 9.3 | 9.03 | 0.97 |
| 22 | Troy | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.93 | 8.69 | 9.47 | 8.94 | 1.06 |
| 23 | Kentucky | SEC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.88 | 10.42 | 11.15 | 9.17 | -0.17 |
| 24 | Syracuse | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.86 | 13 | 10.01 | 8.56 | 0.44 |
| 25 | NC State | ACC | 9-3 | 0.75 | 18.7 | 12.92 | 8.99 | 8.93 | 0.07 |
| 26 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-3 | 0.73 | 18.6 | 15.73 | 10.33 | 8.26 | -0.26 |
| 27 | Utah | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.6 | 10.15 | 11.88 | 9.59 | -0.59 |
| 28 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.59 | 8.64 | 9.1 | 9.3 | 0.7 |
| 29 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.59 | 17.08 | 12.28 | 10.69 | -2.69 |
| 30 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.5 | 15.46 | 9.13 | 9.89 | -0.89 |
| 31 | Missouri | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.4 | 12.42 | 12.67 | 8.71 | -0.71 |
| 32 | Texas A&M | SEC | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.27 | 8.33 | 13.82 | 7.89 | 0.11 |
| 33 | Texas | Big 12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.21 | 5.08 | 12.54 | 7.84 | 1.16 |
| 34 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.17 | 14.08 | 10.29 | 9.63 | -1.63 |
| 35 | North Texas | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17 | 10.46 | 7.41 | 9.12 | -0.12 |
| 36 | Temple | American Athletic | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.92 | 10.92 | 9.8 | 8.45 | -0.45 |
| 37 | Florida International | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.91 | 9.38 | 7.37 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 38 | Marshall | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.88 | 6.38 | 9.12 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 39 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.79 | 5.83 | 12.1 | 7.53 | 0.47 |
| 40 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.77 | 10.17 | 9.12 | 8.17 | -0.17 |
| 41 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.43 | 4.33 | 10.87 | 7.23 | 0.77 |
| 42 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-4 | 0.67 | 16.26 | 5.33 | 8.57 | 7.29 | 0.71 |
| 43 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.31 | 6.77 | 8.24 | 7.77 | 0.23 |
| 44 | Miami | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.14 | 12.75 | 10.84 | 9.35 | -2.35 |
| 45 | Auburn | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 15.09 | 8.67 | 12.78 | 8.45 | -1.45 |
| 46 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.77 | 5.42 | 12.77 | 7.27 | -0.27 |
| 47 | Boston College | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.69 | 6.33 | 11.22 | 7.53 | -0.53 |
| 48 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.6 | 6.67 | 10.17 | 7.45 | -0.45 |
| 49 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-6 | 0.57 | 14.57 | 11 | 8.56 | 9.36 | -1.36 |
| 50 | Virginia | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.52 | 6.75 | 9.42 | 7.86 | -0.86 |
| 51 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.48 | 5 | 10.77 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 52 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.44 | 1.69 | 8.48 | 7.05 | 0.95 |
| 53 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.41 | 0.23 | 13.13 | 6.58 | 1.42 |
| 54 | Nevada | Mountain West | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.15 | 4.25 | 8.82 | 6.99 | 0.01 |
| 55 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.07 | 1.75 | 12.55 | 6.66 | 0.34 |
| 56 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.96 | 9.85 | 9.77 | 8.58 | -1.58 |
| 57 | California | Pac-12 | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13.8 | 2.08 | 9.3 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 58 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.76 | 5.85 | 11.81 | 8.31 | -1.31 |
| 59 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.71 | 6.36 | 8.43 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 60 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.63 | 4.38 | 12 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 61 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.6 | 1.29 | 11.64 | 7.39 | 0.61 |
| 62 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.48 | 4.92 | 9.91 | 8.02 | -1.02 |
| 63 | Duke | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 13 | -0.25 | 11.72 | 5.93 | 1.07 |
| 64 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.91 | 4.67 | 13.47 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 65 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.84 | 6 | 11.21 | 7.19 | -1.19 |
| 66 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.48 | 2.58 | 12.82 | 6.69 | -0.69 |
| 67 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.43 | 2.58 | 12.35 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 68 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 12.08 | -2.5 | 12.51 | 6.04 | 1.96 |
| 69 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.96 | -0.46 | 11.95 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 70 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.79 | 0.58 | 12.49 | 6.15 | -0.15 |
| 71 | Tulane | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.75 | -0.69 | 10.61 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
| 72 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.57 | -2.23 | 14.24 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 73 | TCU | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 11.56 | 0.25 | 11.98 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 74 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.5 | -1.54 | 10.7 | 5.95 | 1.05 |
| 75 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 8-6 | 0.57 | 11.45 | -4.29 | 9.32 | 5.93 | 2.07 |
| 76 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.14 | -2.54 | 9.63 | 5.91 | 1.09 |
| 77 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.09 | 6.25 | 11.52 | 7.28 | -2.28 |
| 78 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.95 | -3.54 | 9.95 | 5.6 | 1.4 |
| 79 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.78 | -0.92 | 10.94 | 5.78 | 0.22 |
| 80 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.69 | 4.42 | 9.6 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 81 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.58 | -1.33 | 10.37 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 82 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 7-7 | 0.5 | 10.35 | -2.29 | 10.9 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 83 | Baylor | Big 12 | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.21 | -2.92 | 10.85 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 84 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.8 | -3.58 | 7.29 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 85 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.73 | -5.17 | 9.23 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 86 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.53 | -0.17 | 13.16 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 87 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.23 | -0.17 | 9.1 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 88 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.2 | -0.58 | 11.95 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 89 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.11 | -0.92 | 12.85 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 90 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.81 | -1.25 | 10.48 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 91 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.59 | -2.25 | 11.37 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 92 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.49 | -3.5 | 13.81 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 93 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.44 | -2.92 | 11.39 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 94 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.22 | -5.17 | 13.48 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 95 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.13 | -4.83 | 11.37 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 96 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.05 | -4.92 | 10.31 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 97 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.9 | -6.5 | 10.84 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 98 | Florida State | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.8 | -9.58 | 13.65 | 3.57 | 1.43 |
| 99 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.91 | -1.25 | 12.72 | 5.71 | -1.71 |
| 100 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.91 | -5.08 | 8.34 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 101 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.65 | -8.25 | 9.69 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 102 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.64 | -8.25 | 9.46 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 103 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.61 | -8.5 | 9.36 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 104 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.56 | -10.08 | 10.74 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 105 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.28 | -13.42 | 9.17 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 106 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.11 | -5.5 | 9.1 | 4.57 | -1.57 |
| 107 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.07 | -6.17 | 9.94 | 4.4 | -1.4 |
| 108 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.94 | -6.75 | 7.83 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 109 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.91 | -10.08 | 15.94 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 110 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.85 | -7.83 | 8.07 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 111 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -9.58 | 10.35 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 112 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.51 | -14.58 | 11.56 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 113 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.5 | -14.58 | 11.23 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 114 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-10 | 0.23 | 3.5 | -8.54 | 13.66 | 4.32 | -1.32 |
| 115 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.48 | -13.92 | 9.38 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 116 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.4 | -15.67 | 9.53 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 117 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.38 | -17 | 11.07 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.35 | -16.08 | 8.55 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 119 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.42 | -7.18 | 11.34 | 4.02 | -2.02 |
| 120 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -13.08 | 12.33 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 121 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.76 | -12.75 | 9.56 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 122 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.75 | -13.58 | 12.03 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 123 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.49 | -19.58 | 12.99 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 124 | Louisville | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.33 | -24.33 | 13.68 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 125 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.11 | -17.08 | 10.6 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 126 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.22 | -12.33 | 9.64 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 127 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.36 | -15.08 | 7.7 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 128 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.39 | -15.33 | 12.56 | 2.6 | -1.6 |
| 129 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.51 | -17.92 | 13.1 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 130 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.85 | -28.25 | 11.68 | 1.5 | -0.5 |