Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.094629+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clemson | ACC | 14-0 | 1 | 25.56 | 31.36 | 12.61 | 13.28 | 0.72 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 14-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 31.5 | 11.91 | 12.99 | 1.01 |
| 3 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 13-1 | 0.93 | 23.29 | 16.86 | 11.53 | 10.77 | 2.23 |
| 4 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 12-1 | 0.92 | 23.14 | 13.15 | 12.9 | 10.19 | 1.81 |
| 5 | UCF | American Athletic | 12-1 | 0.92 | 22.84 | 20.54 | 9.24 | 10.68 | 1.32 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.94 | 15.07 | 13.33 | 9.91 | 2.09 |
| 7 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 12-2 | 0.86 | 21.48 | 20.5 | 9.38 | 12.5 | -0.5 |
| 8 | App State | Sun Belt | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.3 | 21.85 | 9.34 | 11.57 | -0.57 |
| 9 | Utah State | Mountain West | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.16 | 25.31 | 7.91 | 11.16 | -0.16 |
| 10 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21.07 | 14.23 | 9.8 | 9.82 | 1.18 |
| 11 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 11-2 | 0.85 | 21 | 17.69 | 8.57 | 10.95 | 0.05 |
| 12 | Army | FBS Independents | 11-2 | 0.85 | 20.89 | 15.08 | 8.49 | 10.55 | 0.45 |
| 13 | Georgia | SEC | 11-3 | 0.79 | 20.56 | 18.64 | 13.51 | 11.66 | -0.66 |
| 14 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.9 | 15.77 | 13.28 | 10.45 | -0.45 |
| 15 | Boise State | Mountain West | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.67 | 13.31 | 12.59 | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.59 | 10.62 | 13.27 | 9.35 | 0.65 |
| 17 | UAB | Conference USA | 11-3 | 0.79 | 19.5 | 12.86 | 8.81 | 11.08 | -0.08 |
| 18 | Florida | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.46 | 15 | 10.7 | 10.27 | -0.27 |
| 19 | Syracuse | ACC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.32 | 13.23 | 10.36 | 9.36 | 0.64 |
| 20 | Kentucky | SEC | 10-3 | 0.77 | 19.28 | 9.85 | 11.59 | 9.73 | 0.27 |
| 21 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.86 | 8.92 | 9.23 | 9.03 | 0.97 |
| 22 | Troy | Sun Belt | 10-3 | 0.77 | 18.86 | 8.69 | 9.32 | 8.94 | 1.06 |
| 23 | Washington | Pac-12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 18.1 | 10 | 12.41 | 10.58 | -0.58 |
| 24 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.9 | 13.23 | 12.77 | 9.94 | -0.94 |
| 25 | Texas A&M | SEC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.89 | 10.69 | 14.19 | 9.07 | -0.07 |
| 26 | Texas | Big 12 | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.68 | 5.21 | 12.96 | 8.5 | 1.5 |
| 27 | Iowa | Big Ten | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.56 | 13.38 | 10.66 | 10.28 | -1.28 |
| 28 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 10-4 | 0.71 | 17.46 | 8.64 | 8.89 | 9.3 | 0.7 |
| 29 | Ohio | Mid-American | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.4 | 15.46 | 8.65 | 9.89 | -0.89 |
| 30 | NC State | ACC | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.21 | 8.92 | 9.85 | 8.76 | 0.24 |
| 31 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 8-4 | 0.67 | 17.16 | 13.08 | 11.02 | 8.61 | -0.61 |
| 32 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.14 | 9.46 | 9.42 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 33 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 9-4 | 0.69 | 17.08 | 5.46 | 11.69 | 8.11 | 0.89 |
| 34 | North Texas | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.96 | 10.46 | 7.52 | 9.12 | -0.12 |
| 35 | Florida International | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.85 | 9.38 | 7.23 | 8.83 | 0.17 |
| 36 | Marshall | Conference USA | 9-4 | 0.69 | 16.83 | 6.38 | 9.03 | 8.42 | 0.58 |
| 37 | Mississippi State | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.42 | 15.38 | 12.84 | 11.21 | -3.21 |
| 38 | Utah | Pac-12 | 9-5 | 0.64 | 16.35 | 8.64 | 12.01 | 9.87 | -0.87 |
| 39 | Auburn | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.16 | 11.77 | 12.6 | 9.84 | -1.84 |
| 40 | Missouri | SEC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 16.1 | 11.08 | 12.27 | 9.12 | -1.12 |
| 41 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.59 | 7.08 | 10.93 | 8.53 | -0.53 |
| 42 | Virginia | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.55 | 8.38 | 9.72 | 9.04 | -1.04 |
| 43 | Temple | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.52 | 7.85 | 9.86 | 8.4 | -0.4 |
| 44 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.27 | 3.85 | 11.57 | 7.68 | 0.32 |
| 45 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9-5 | 0.64 | 15.21 | 1 | 13.36 | 7.35 | 1.65 |
| 46 | Houston | American Athletic | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.19 | 6.77 | 7.98 | 7.77 | 0.23 |
| 47 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 8-5 | 0.62 | 15.08 | 4.69 | 9.04 | 7.78 | 0.22 |
| 48 | Nevada | Mountain West | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.98 | 4.15 | 8.86 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 49 | Duke | ACC | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.95 | 2 | 12.11 | 7.04 | 0.96 |
| 50 | Boston College | ACC | 7-5 | 0.58 | 14.62 | 6.33 | 10.97 | 7.53 | -0.53 |
| 51 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-6 | 0.57 | 14.48 | 11 | 8.5 | 9.36 | -1.36 |
| 52 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 8-5 | 0.62 | 14.43 | 1.69 | 8.38 | 7.05 | 0.95 |
| 53 | Miami | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 14.02 | 9.31 | 11.27 | 9.31 | -2.31 |
| 54 | Toledo | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.84 | 9.85 | 9.38 | 8.58 | -1.58 |
| 55 | BYU | FBS Independents | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.71 | 5.85 | 11.42 | 8.31 | -1.31 |
| 56 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.7 | 5.92 | 11.51 | 7.77 | -0.77 |
| 57 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 6-5 | 0.55 | 13.69 | 6.36 | 8.72 | 7.25 | -1.25 |
| 58 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.56 | 4.38 | 11.79 | 7.71 | -0.71 |
| 59 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 8-6 | 0.57 | 13.55 | 1.29 | 11.65 | 7.39 | 0.61 |
| 60 | South Carolina | SEC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.42 | 2.85 | 12.91 | 7.26 | -0.26 |
| 61 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.41 | 4.31 | 10.44 | 7.55 | -0.55 |
| 62 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.36 | 4.92 | 9.19 | 8.02 | -1.02 |
| 63 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.27 | 2.38 | 12.46 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 64 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 7-6 | 0.54 | 13.08 | 1.54 | 12.57 | 7.16 | -0.16 |
| 65 | California | Pac-12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.79 | 1.69 | 9.63 | 7.13 | -0.13 |
| 66 | TCU | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 12.54 | 0.46 | 11.79 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 67 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 6-6 | 0.5 | 12.37 | 2.58 | 12.17 | 6.68 | -0.68 |
| 68 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 8-6 | 0.57 | 11.98 | -2.5 | 12.31 | 6.04 | 1.96 |
| 69 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.95 | -0.46 | 11.89 | 6.39 | 0.61 |
| 70 | Tulane | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.69 | -0.69 | 10.41 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
| 71 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.4 | -1.54 | 10.64 | 5.95 | 1.05 |
| 72 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 8-6 | 0.57 | 11.39 | -4.29 | 9.43 | 5.93 | 2.07 |
| 73 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 11.31 | 1.85 | 12.52 | 7.02 | -1.02 |
| 74 | Baylor | Big 12 | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.24 | -2.15 | 10.79 | 5.96 | 1.04 |
| 75 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 7-6 | 0.54 | 11.03 | -2.54 | 9.44 | 5.91 | 1.09 |
| 76 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 11.03 | 6.25 | 11.22 | 7.28 | -2.28 |
| 77 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6-7 | 0.46 | 10.94 | 0.54 | 13.82 | 6.64 | -0.64 |
| 78 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-6 | 0.54 | 10.86 | -3.54 | 9.66 | 5.6 | 1.4 |
| 79 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7-7 | 0.5 | 10.67 | -2.14 | 14.42 | 6.34 | 0.66 |
| 80 | Air Force | Mountain West | 5-7 | 0.42 | 10.65 | 4.42 | 9.52 | 7.11 | -2.11 |
| 81 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-6 | 0.5 | 10.53 | -1.33 | 10.26 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 82 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 7-7 | 0.5 | 10.31 | -2.29 | 10.82 | 6.43 | 0.57 |
| 83 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-7 | 0.46 | 9.83 | -1.15 | 11.62 | 6.21 | -0.21 |
| 84 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.79 | -3.58 | 7.54 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 85 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 6-6 | 0.5 | 9.69 | -5.17 | 9.15 | 4.76 | 1.24 |
| 86 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.49 | -0.17 | 13.01 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 87 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.19 | -0.17 | 9.01 | 5.96 | -0.96 |
| 88 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.17 | -0.58 | 11.99 | 5.87 | -0.87 |
| 89 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 9.06 | -0.92 | 12.6 | 5.75 | -0.75 |
| 90 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.78 | -1.25 | 10.37 | 5.72 | -0.72 |
| 91 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.55 | -2.25 | 11.22 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 92 | Indiana | Big Ten | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.46 | -3.5 | 13.73 | 5.12 | -0.12 |
| 93 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.4 | -2.92 | 11.2 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 94 | Tennessee | SEC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.18 | -5.17 | 13.26 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 95 | SMU | American Athletic | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.08 | -4.83 | 11.08 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 96 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 5-7 | 0.42 | 8.03 | -4.92 | 10.39 | 4.57 | 0.43 |
| 97 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.86 | -6.5 | 10.68 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 98 | Florida State | ACC | 5-7 | 0.42 | 7.76 | -9.58 | 13.43 | 3.57 | 1.43 |
| 99 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 6.89 | -1.25 | 12.65 | 5.71 | -1.71 |
| 100 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -5.08 | 8.38 | 4.93 | -0.93 |
| 101 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.61 | -8.25 | 9.23 | 3.57 | 0.43 |
| 102 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.6 | -8.25 | 8.95 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 103 | UNLV | Mountain West | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.58 | -8.5 | 9.04 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 104 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -10.08 | 10.78 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 105 | Illinois | Big Ten | 4-8 | 0.33 | 5.26 | -13.42 | 9.1 | 3.26 | 0.74 |
| 106 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.08 | -5.5 | 8.56 | 4.57 | -1.57 |
| 107 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 4.05 | -6.17 | 9.76 | 4.4 | -1.4 |
| 108 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.93 | -6.75 | 8.09 | 4.09 | -1.09 |
| 109 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.89 | -10.08 | 15.68 | 3.64 | -0.64 |
| 110 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.83 | -7.83 | 7.98 | 3.74 | -0.74 |
| 111 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.76 | -9.58 | 10.24 | 3.9 | -0.9 |
| 112 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.49 | -14.58 | 11.49 | 2.95 | 0.05 |
| 113 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -13.92 | 9.37 | 2.93 | 0.07 |
| 114 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.47 | -14.58 | 10.77 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 115 | Navy | American Athletic | 3-10 | 0.23 | 3.47 | -8.54 | 13.13 | 4.32 | -1.32 |
| 116 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.38 | -15.67 | 9.09 | 2.83 | 0.17 |
| 117 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.38 | -17 | 11.35 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 118 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 3-9 | 0.25 | 3.35 | -16.08 | 8.73 | 2.85 | 0.15 |
| 119 | North Carolina | ACC | 2-9 | 0.18 | 2.42 | -7.18 | 11.33 | 4.02 | -2.02 |
| 120 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.78 | -13.08 | 12.28 | 2.95 | -0.95 |
| 121 | Kent State | Mid-American | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.75 | -12.75 | 9.36 | 3.2 | -1.2 |
| 122 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.74 | -13.58 | 11.69 | 3.07 | -1.07 |
| 123 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.48 | -19.58 | 12.96 | 2.52 | -0.52 |
| 124 | Louisville | ACC | 2-10 | 0.17 | 1.33 | -24.33 | 13.78 | 1.56 | 0.44 |
| 125 | Rice | Conference USA | 2-11 | 0.15 | 1.11 | -17.08 | 10.62 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 126 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.22 | -12.33 | 9.12 | 2.33 | -1.33 |
| 127 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.36 | -15.08 | 7.82 | 2.26 | -1.26 |
| 128 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.39 | -15.33 | 12.41 | 2.6 | -1.6 |
| 129 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.51 | -17.92 | 12.92 | 1.43 | -0.43 |
| 130 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-11 | 0.08 | -0.84 | -28.25 | 11.37 | 1.5 | -0.5 |