Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.086882+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-0 | 1 | 36.38 | 13.5 | 6.58 | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| 2 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 32.13 | 22 | 32.4 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| 3 | Boston College | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 31.05 | 34 | 25.53 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 30.23 | 37 | 8.71 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 29.7 | 49 | 10.15 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 6 | Houston | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 29.46 | 18 | 19.37 | 0.77 | 0.23 |
| 7 | Penn State | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 29 | 7 | 9.44 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 8 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 29 | 31 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 28.86 | 21 | 8.29 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 10 | Boise State | Mountain West | 1-0 | 1 | 28.83 | 36 | 9.62 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 11 | Auburn | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 28.49 | 5 | 10.98 | 0.66 | 0.34 |
| 12 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 28.38 | 26 | 8.12 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 13 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 28.38 | 21 | 9.03 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 14 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 28.35 | 46 | 0.36 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 15 | UCF | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 28.1 | 39 | 1.69 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 28.01 | 16 | 8.64 | 0.83 | 0.17 |
| 17 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 1-0 | 1 | 27.95 | 7 | 8.46 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 18 | Duke | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 27.85 | 20 | 8.5 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 19 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 27.01 | 4 | 7.77 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 20 | USC | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 26.97 | 22 | 4.36 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 21 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 26.84 | 42 | 8.06 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 22 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 26.81 | 34 | 2.04 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 23 | Marshall | Conference USA | 1-0 | 1 | 26.67 | 7 | 5.7 | 0.63 | 0.37 |
| 24 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 26.64 | 7 | 6.86 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| 25 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 1-1 | 0.5 | 26.64 | 0 | 5.06 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | South Carolina | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 26.54 | 34 | 2.32 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 27 | Clemson | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 26.35 | 41 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 28 | North Texas | Conference USA | 1-0 | 1 | 26.27 | 23 | 6.15 | 0.84 | 0.16 |
| 29 | Wake Forest | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 26.27 | 6 | 4.86 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 30 | Georgia | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 26.23 | 45 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 26.15 | 26 | 2.34 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 32 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 25.94 | 32 | 5.78 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 33 | Ole Miss | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 25.81 | 20 | 6.51 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 34 | TCU | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 25.76 | 48 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 35 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 25.7 | 38 | 2.79 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 36 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 25.64 | 10 | 4.33 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| 37 | Mississippi State | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 25.45 | 57 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 38 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 1-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 66 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 39 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 1-0 | 1 | 25.39 | 4 | 2.9 | 0.58 | 0.42 |
| 40 | Kentucky | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 25.32 | 15 | 5.99 | 0.79 | 0.21 |
| 41 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 25.3 | 41 | -10 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 42 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 25.19 | 28 | 6 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 43 | Syracuse | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 25.14 | 13 | 7.22 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 44 | Memphis | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 25.12 | 52 | -10 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 45 | Toledo | Mid-American | 1-0 | 1 | 25.1 | 63 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 46 | South Florida | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 24.82 | 20 | -10 | 0.89 | 0.11 |
| 47 | California | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 24.73 | 7 | 3.6 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 48 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 24.67 | 27 | -10 | 0.88 | 0.12 |
| 49 | Utah | Pac-12 | 1-0 | 1 | 24.45 | 31 | -10 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 50 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 1-0 | 1 | 24.35 | 48 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 51 | Missouri | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 24.25 | 37 | -10 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 52 | Ohio | Mid-American | 1-0 | 1 | 24.16 | 6 | -10 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 53 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-1 | 0.5 | 24.07 | 7 | -1.44 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
| 54 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 1-0 | 1 | 24.06 | 38 | -10 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 55 | Texas A&M | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 24.01 | 52 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 56 | UAB | Conference USA | 1-0 | 1 | 23.96 | 52 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 57 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 1-0 | 1 | 23.9 | 34 | -10 | 0.93 | 0.07 |
| 58 | BYU | FBS Independents | 1-0 | 1 | 23.89 | 5 | 7.55 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 59 | Maryland | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 23.87 | 5 | 8.66 | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| 60 | NC State | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 23.85 | 11 | -10 | 0.81 | 0.19 |
| 61 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 23.73 | 41 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 62 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 23.47 | 28 | 0.83 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 63 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 23.44 | 9 | 4.26 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 64 | Air Force | Mountain West | 1-0 | 1 | 23.14 | 38 | -10 | 1 | 0 |
| 65 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 23.14 | 3 | -10 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| 66 | Nevada | Mountain West | 1-0 | 1 | 22.56 | 53 | -10 | 0.96 | 0.04 |
| 67 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 22.55 | 26 | -10 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 68 | Florida | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 22.48 | 47 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 69 | Arkansas | SEC | 1-0 | 1 | 22.17 | 35 | -10 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 70 | Virginia | ACC | 1-0 | 1 | 22.08 | 29 | -10 | 0.94 | 0.06 |
| 71 | Illinois | Big Ten | 1-0 | 1 | 21.75 | 7 | -0.19 | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| 72 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 21.67 | 32 | -10 | 0.92 | 0.08 |
| 73 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 1-0 | 1 | 21.46 | 32 | -10 | 0.85 | 0.15 |
| 74 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 21.42 | 31 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 75 | Baylor | Big 12 | 1-0 | 1 | 21.4 | 28 | -10 | 0.84 | 0.16 |
| 76 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 1-0 | 1 | 21.36 | 11 | -10 | 0.69 | 0.31 |
| 77 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 21.07 | 4 | -10 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| 78 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-0 | 1 | 20.87 | 3 | -10 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| 79 | Ball State | Mid-American | 1-0 | 1 | 20.66 | 36 | -10 | 0.99 | 0.01 |
| 80 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 1-0 | 1 | 20.53 | 42 | 2.1 | 0.98 | 0.02 |
| 81 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 1-0 | 1 | 20.36 | 24 | -10 | 0.95 | 0.05 |
| 82 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-1 | 0.5 | 18.1 | -7.5 | -1.32 | 0.73 | 0.27 |
| 83 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 0-0 | 0 | 4.36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 84 | Washington | Pac-12 | 0-1 | 0 | 4.13 | -5 | 10.41 | 0.34 | -0.34 |
| 85 | App State | Sun Belt | 0-1 | 0 | 3.13 | -7 | 11.57 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| 86 | Texas | Big 12 | 0-1 | 0 | 3.06 | -5 | 2.04 | 0.41 | -0.41 |
| 87 | Purdue | Big Ten | 0-1 | 0 | 2.68 | -4 | 8.91 | 0.42 | -0.42 |
| 88 | Michigan | Big Ten | 0-1 | 0 | 2.66 | -7 | 9.83 | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| 89 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 0-1 | 0 | 2.5 | -5 | 2.48 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 90 | Miami | ACC | 0-1 | 0 | 2.2 | -16 | 8.76 | 0.17 | -0.17 |
| 91 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 0-1 | 0 | 2.2 | -21 | 8.97 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| 92 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 0-1 | 0 | 2.12 | -49 | 9.93 | 0.03 | -0.03 |
| 93 | Troy | Sun Belt | 0-1 | 0 | 2.11 | -36 | 8.85 | 0.08 | -0.08 |
| 94 | Army | FBS Independents | 0-1 | 0 | 1.98 | -20 | 8.18 | 0.11 | -0.11 |
| 95 | Temple | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | 1.91 | -2 | -10 | 0.43 | -0.43 |
| 96 | Utah State | Mountain West | 0-1 | 0 | 1.89 | -7 | 7.82 | 0.38 | -0.38 |
| 97 | Florida State | ACC | 0-1 | 0 | 1.81 | -21 | 10.22 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| 98 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | 1.71 | -13 | 3.85 | 0.35 | -0.35 |
| 99 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-0 | 0 | 1.61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 100 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | 1.59 | -26 | 9.01 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| 101 | Louisville | ACC | 0-1 | 0 | 1.56 | -37 | 11.98 | 0.04 | -0.04 |
| 102 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | 1.3 | -7 | 8.32 | 0.37 | -0.37 |
| 103 | UTSA | Conference USA | 0-1 | 0 | 1.3 | -42 | 5.26 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| 104 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 0-0 | 0 | 1.27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 105 | Navy | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | 1.17 | -18 | 26.52 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| 106 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 0-1 | 0 | 1.05 | -20 | 4.88 | 0.21 | -0.21 |
| 107 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | 0.99 | -15 | 4.49 | 0.21 | -0.21 |
| 108 | Tulane | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | 0.98 | -6 | 8.03 | 0.33 | -0.33 |
| 109 | SMU | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | 0.76 | -23 | 5.73 | 0.16 | -0.16 |
| 110 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 0-1 | 0 | 0.59 | -28 | 3.35 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| 111 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 0-1 | 0 | 0.5 | -9 | 2.08 | 0.27 | -0.27 |
| 112 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 0-2 | 0 | 0.47 | -20.5 | 15.64 | 0.37 | -0.37 |
| 113 | Florida International | Conference USA | 0-1 | 0 | 0.41 | -10 | 6.31 | 0.33 | -0.33 |
| 114 | North Carolina | ACC | 0-1 | 0 | 0.29 | -7 | 5.22 | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| 115 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 0-1 | 0 | 0.26 | -4 | 7.48 | 0.42 | -0.42 |
| 116 | UNLV | Mountain West | 0-1 | 0 | -0.15 | -22 | 7.89 | 0.15 | -0.15 |
| 117 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 0-1 | 0 | -0.27 | -31 | 11.32 | 0 | 0 |
| 118 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | -0.6 | -5 | -10 | 0.39 | -0.39 |
| 119 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0-1 | 0 | -0.88 | -3 | -10 | 0.43 | -0.43 |
| 120 | Tennessee | SEC | 0-1 | 0 | -1.26 | -26 | 6.81 | 0.08 | -0.08 |
| 121 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-2 | 0 | -1.38 | -30 | 18.8 | 0.05 | -0.05 |
| 122 | San José State | Mountain West | 0-1 | 0 | -1.39 | -6 | -10 | 0.41 | -0.41 |
| 123 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 0-1 | 0 | -1.45 | -42 | -5 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| 124 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 0-1 | 0 | -1.47 | -34 | 7.23 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| 125 | Kent State | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | -1.55 | -7 | 0.69 | 0.35 | -0.35 |
| 126 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 0-1 | 0 | -1.62 | -34 | 7.87 | 0.11 | -0.11 |
| 127 | UConn | American Athletic | 0-1 | 0 | -1.95 | -39 | 10.4 | 0.06 | -0.06 |
| 128 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 0-1 | 0 | -1.96 | -28 | 1.94 | 0.02 | -0.02 |
| 129 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-1 | 0 | -2.25 | -20 | -10 | 0.07 | -0.07 |
| 130 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 0-1 | 0 | -2.76 | -46 | 11.21 | 0.1 | -0.1 |