Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.089472+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | SEC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.78 | 38.43 | 11.66 | 6.67 | 0.33 |
| 2 | Clemson | ACC | 6-0 | 1 | 26.64 | 27.67 | 12.13 | 5.56 | 0.44 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-0 | 1 | 26.61 | 13.86 | 14.41 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 4 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-0 | 1 | 26.59 | 27.14 | 11.94 | 6.23 | 0.77 |
| 5 | NC State | ACC | 5-0 | 1 | 25.58 | 16.2 | 8.98 | 4.16 | 0.84 |
| 6 | UCF | American Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 25.25 | 26.17 | 5.91 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| 7 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 24.56 | 24.67 | 2.77 | 5.52 | 0.48 |
| 8 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6-0 | 1 | 24.56 | 10.17 | 5.77 | 4.15 | 1.85 |
| 9 | LSU | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.52 | 15.14 | 16.26 | 5.74 | 0.26 |
| 10 | Michigan | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.34 | 22.71 | 13.65 | 6.27 | -0.27 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.31 | 22.71 | 11.79 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 12 | Florida | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.85 | 17.86 | 11.88 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 13 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.58 | 7.71 | 13.91 | 4.65 | 1.35 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.39 | 20.67 | 12.33 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 15 | Kentucky | SEC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 22.02 | 15.5 | 11.48 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 16 | Iowa | Big Ten | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.8 | 15.33 | 10.89 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 17 | Duke | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.74 | 14.33 | 10.66 | 4.82 | 0.18 |
| 18 | North Texas | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.73 | 22.29 | 4.79 | 6.12 | -0.12 |
| 19 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.63 | 27.83 | 7.13 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 20 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.58 | 16.33 | 7.03 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 21 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.54 | 11.43 | 6.58 | 5.12 | 0.88 |
| 22 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.39 | 24.5 | 6.23 | 5.52 | -0.52 |
| 23 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.37 | 18.17 | 7.44 | 4.72 | 0.28 |
| 24 | UAB | Conference USA | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.2 | 20 | 6.06 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 25 | Houston | American Athletic | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.13 | 20.67 | 5.58 | 4.73 | 0.27 |
| 26 | App State | Sun Belt | 4-1 | 0.8 | 21.02 | 33 | 7 | 4.69 | -0.69 |
| 27 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.88 | 18 | 4.42 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 28 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.87 | 10.83 | 6.69 | 4.56 | 0.44 |
| 29 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.74 | 14.33 | 3.17 | 4.67 | 0.33 |
| 30 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 5-1 | 0.83 | 20.38 | 2.17 | 10.1 | 3.38 | 1.62 |
| 31 | Miami | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.47 | 19.29 | 11.03 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 32 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 19.28 | 23.17 | 15.01 | 5.12 | -1.12 |
| 33 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.11 | 11.71 | 13.03 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 34 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.98 | 12.86 | 9.91 | 5.61 | -0.61 |
| 35 | Boston College | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.64 | 13.57 | 9.06 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 36 | Army | FBS Independents | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.56 | 13.67 | 15.45 | 4.71 | -0.71 |
| 37 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.55 | 15 | 14.82 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 38 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.39 | 4.5 | 4.83 | 4.62 | 1.38 |
| 39 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.32 | 18.33 | 11.35 | 5.36 | -1.36 |
| 40 | Boise State | Mountain West | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.3 | 14.33 | 13.07 | 4.61 | -0.61 |
| 41 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.18 | 10.33 | 11.85 | 4.37 | -0.37 |
| 42 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.17 | 6.43 | 9.61 | 4.19 | 0.81 |
| 43 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.11 | 9.14 | 5.67 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 44 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.05 | 17.83 | 9.5 | 4.68 | -0.68 |
| 45 | Utah | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 18.02 | 12.5 | 12.41 | 4.78 | -0.78 |
| 46 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.86 | 8.33 | 13.08 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 47 | Virginia | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.84 | 8.67 | 12.84 | 4.25 | -0.25 |
| 48 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.8 | 5.57 | 7.84 | 4.18 | 0.82 |
| 49 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.66 | 3.67 | 14.9 | 3.54 | 0.46 |
| 50 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.51 | 3.83 | 14.58 | 3.56 | 0.44 |
| 51 | Florida International | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.46 | 12 | 8.39 | 4.35 | -0.35 |
| 52 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.37 | 8.33 | 9.38 | 4 | 0 |
| 53 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.24 | 5.5 | 11.13 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 54 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.86 | 0.5 | 17.97 | 3.07 | 0.93 |
| 55 | Marshall | Conference USA | 4-2 | 0.67 | 16.31 | 3.5 | 6.82 | 3.46 | 0.54 |
| 56 | Auburn | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.8 | 11.43 | 11.37 | 5.43 | -1.43 |
| 57 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.37 | 18.43 | 5.64 | 5.49 | -1.49 |
| 58 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.28 | 11 | 7.33 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 59 | Temple | American Athletic | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.09 | 9.43 | 9.44 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 60 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.67 | 2.14 | 11.64 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 61 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 14.21 | 8.67 | 15.68 | 4.16 | -1.16 |
| 62 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.12 | 0.71 | 14.86 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 63 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.97 | 3 | 18.74 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 64 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.95 | 8.5 | 12.06 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 65 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.62 | 8.17 | 9.27 | 3.73 | -0.73 |
| 66 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.58 | 10.33 | 10.8 | 4.23 | -1.23 |
| 67 | Missouri | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.51 | 3.67 | 12.98 | 3.4 | -0.4 |
| 68 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.35 | -2 | 15.38 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 69 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.26 | 2 | 19.34 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 70 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.23 | 7.17 | 6.54 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 71 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.15 | 1 | 16.33 | 3.14 | -0.14 |
| 72 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 1.33 | 13.63 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| 73 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.23 | 9.14 | 11.59 | 4.62 | -1.62 |
| 74 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.97 | -4.71 | 11.87 | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| 75 | Ohio | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.95 | 0.33 | 8.12 | 3.03 | -0.03 |
| 76 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 11.34 | -0.83 | 13.42 | 2.88 | 0.12 |
| 77 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.25 | 3 | 12.23 | 3.97 | -0.97 |
| 78 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 2-3 | 0.4 | 10.96 | 6.2 | 7.51 | 3.25 | -1.25 |
| 79 | Florida State | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.86 | -2.17 | 10.64 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| 80 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.84 | -2.5 | 13.8 | 2.73 | 0.27 |
| 81 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.82 | -3.5 | 10.32 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 82 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.81 | 1.71 | 12.54 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 83 | California | Pac-12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.67 | -2.67 | 6.09 | 2.61 | 0.39 |
| 84 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.58 | 1.86 | 7.6 | 3.81 | -0.81 |
| 85 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.53 | -4.5 | 11.96 | 2.54 | 0.46 |
| 86 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.48 | -3.83 | 10.62 | 2.63 | 0.37 |
| 87 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.44 | -2.5 | 9.74 | 2.75 | 0.25 |
| 88 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.42 | -0.43 | 15.38 | 3.43 | -0.43 |
| 89 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.41 | -6.67 | 11.65 | 2.14 | 0.86 |
| 90 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.4 | -6.33 | 11.79 | 2.24 | 0.76 |
| 91 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.32 | -6 | 8.73 | 2.26 | 0.74 |
| 92 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10 | -3.67 | 6.93 | 2.51 | 0.49 |
| 93 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.66 | -1.29 | 9.96 | 3.31 | -0.31 |
| 94 | Air Force | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 9.56 | 7 | 10.27 | 3.95 | -1.95 |
| 95 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.39 | -1.71 | 14.57 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 96 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.34 | -2 | 10.12 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 97 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.84 | -6.57 | 14.53 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 98 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-4 | 0.33 | 8.34 | 1.17 | 9.23 | 3.15 | -1.15 |
| 99 | Akron | Mid-American | 2-3 | 0.4 | 8.29 | -3.2 | 7.26 | 2.12 | -0.12 |
| 100 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.01 | -11.57 | 8.05 | 1.61 | 1.39 |
| 101 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.92 | -10.57 | 10.52 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 102 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 7.8 | -14 | 11.69 | 1.79 | 1.21 |
| 103 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.6 | -3.83 | 9.96 | 2.55 | -0.55 |
| 104 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.53 | -5.17 | 15.24 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 105 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-4 | 0.33 | 6.23 | -6.5 | 8.69 | 2.32 | -0.32 |
| 106 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -8.83 | 9.26 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 107 | SMU | American Athletic | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.88 | -11.5 | 14.04 | 1.85 | 0.15 |
| 108 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-4 | 0.33 | 5.8 | -11.83 | 12.94 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 109 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.09 | -8.57 | 13.19 | 2.64 | -0.64 |
| 110 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.04 | -10.29 | 13.27 | 1.61 | 0.39 |
| 111 | Louisville | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.79 | -13 | 11.43 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 112 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.47 | -13.57 | 12.14 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 113 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.41 | -19.57 | 10.44 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| 114 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-4 | 0.2 | 2.7 | -13.2 | 14.52 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| 115 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.55 | -5.83 | 14.21 | 2.25 | -1.25 |
| 116 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.23 | -7.17 | 5.17 | 2.05 | -1.05 |
| 117 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.1 | -9.67 | 7.95 | 1.58 | -0.58 |
| 118 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.79 | -11.17 | 21.68 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 119 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.75 | -15.5 | 12.86 | 1.68 | -0.68 |
| 120 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.54 | -8.14 | 11.1 | 2.05 | -1.05 |
| 121 | Arkansas | SEC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.37 | -10.71 | 14.12 | 2.15 | -1.15 |
| 122 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.29 | -11.71 | 11.63 | 2.11 | -1.11 |
| 123 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.17 | -13.57 | 10.66 | 1.75 | -0.75 |
| 124 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-5 | 0.17 | 1.16 | -33.33 | 15.59 | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| 125 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.9 | -19.71 | 12.46 | 1.12 | -0.12 |
| 126 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.87 | -20.86 | 15.51 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 127 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.85 | -20.29 | 11.68 | 1.48 | -0.48 |
| 128 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-6 | 0 | -2.22 | -15.17 | 7.5 | 1.05 | -1.05 |
| 129 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 0-6 | 0 | -2.42 | -15 | 18.23 | 1.41 | -1.41 |
| 130 | San José State | Mountain West | 0-6 | 0 | -2.47 | -19 | 12.68 | 1.13 | -1.13 |