Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.090002+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clemson | ACC | 7-0 | 1 | 26.71 | 28.57 | 13.77 | 6.56 | 0.44 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.45 | 38.25 | 11.3 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 7-0 | 1 | 26.24 | 13.86 | 14.11 | 5.52 | 1.48 |
| 4 | UCF | American Athletic | 7-0 | 1 | 24.93 | 26.29 | 5.39 | 6.25 | 0.75 |
| 5 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-0 | 1 | 23.93 | 9.86 | 3.91 | 4.78 | 2.22 |
| 6 | LSU | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.68 | 15.25 | 15.64 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 7 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.66 | 21.62 | 14.1 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.16 | 20.12 | 10.31 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 9 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 23.06 | 21.29 | 13.61 | 5.58 | 0.42 |
| 10 | Florida | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.71 | 17.86 | 12.11 | 5.95 | 0.05 |
| 11 | Georgia | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.66 | 22.71 | 10.63 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 12 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.41 | 16.43 | 11.11 | 6.03 | -0.03 |
| 13 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.4 | 7.71 | 13.95 | 4.65 | 1.35 |
| 14 | Kentucky | SEC | 6-1 | 0.86 | 22.29 | 14.29 | 10.89 | 5.98 | 0.02 |
| 15 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.97 | 11.75 | 7.4 | 5.92 | 1.08 |
| 16 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.96 | 18.29 | 8.17 | 6.07 | -0.07 |
| 17 | Utah State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.96 | 25 | 6.7 | 5.97 | 0.03 |
| 18 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.94 | 25.43 | 6.6 | 6.53 | -0.53 |
| 19 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.76 | 20.14 | 5.33 | 6.17 | -0.17 |
| 20 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.74 | 17.43 | 7.22 | 5.53 | 0.47 |
| 21 | NC State | ACC | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.7 | 7.83 | 12.54 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 22 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.51 | 29.17 | 7.43 | 5.54 | -0.54 |
| 23 | Houston | American Athletic | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.45 | 19.57 | 4.89 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| 24 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-1 | 0.83 | 21.34 | 16.33 | 8.69 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| 25 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.3 | 11.71 | 6.18 | 5.28 | 0.72 |
| 26 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-1 | 0.86 | 20.62 | 2.29 | 8.36 | 3.98 | 2.02 |
| 27 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.79 | 13 | 12.01 | 6.46 | -0.46 |
| 28 | Penn State | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.56 | 20.57 | 14.11 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 29 | North Texas | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.45 | 18.5 | 6.91 | 6.67 | -0.67 |
| 30 | Army | FBS Independents | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.2 | 11.86 | 14.75 | 5.23 | -0.23 |
| 31 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.18 | 17.43 | 12.64 | 5.38 | -0.38 |
| 32 | Miami | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 19.06 | 19.29 | 10.86 | 5.93 | -0.93 |
| 33 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.93 | 11.71 | 12.65 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 34 | Boise State | Mountain West | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.89 | 16.29 | 11.03 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 35 | Duke | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.87 | 10.29 | 11.72 | 5.14 | -0.14 |
| 36 | Utah | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.86 | 12.57 | 12.29 | 5.47 | -0.47 |
| 37 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.82 | 13 | 11.78 | 5.36 | -0.36 |
| 38 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.75 | 8 | 7.71 | 5.14 | 0.86 |
| 39 | Virginia | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.66 | 9.43 | 12.41 | 5.09 | -0.09 |
| 40 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.53 | 13.57 | 8.08 | 5.1 | -0.1 |
| 41 | Boston College | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.52 | 13.57 | 9.24 | 5.11 | -0.11 |
| 42 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.5 | 4.14 | 15.35 | 4.24 | 0.76 |
| 43 | Syracuse | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.46 | 15.71 | 8.29 | 5.24 | -0.24 |
| 44 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.12 | 10.29 | 6.76 | 5.02 | -0.02 |
| 45 | Florida International | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.94 | 13 | 5.79 | 5.21 | -0.21 |
| 46 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.89 | 5.71 | 9.53 | 4.39 | 0.61 |
| 47 | Troy | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.75 | 9.14 | 5.88 | 4.75 | 0.25 |
| 48 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.6 | 6.43 | 7.24 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 49 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-2 | 0.67 | 17.2 | 8.33 | 8.87 | 4 | 0 |
| 50 | Auburn | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.62 | 11.88 | 11.74 | 6.27 | -1.27 |
| 51 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.3 | 9.12 | 10.97 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 52 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16 | 2 | 5.56 | 4.81 | 1.19 |
| 53 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.96 | 13.43 | 13.43 | 5.85 | -1.85 |
| 54 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.87 | 3.75 | 10.62 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 55 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.56 | 13 | 12.75 | 5.22 | -1.22 |
| 56 | Missouri | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.17 | 7.71 | 12.58 | 4.4 | -0.4 |
| 57 | Maryland | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.14 | 3.86 | 13.95 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 58 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15.1 | 11 | 8.9 | 4.79 | -0.79 |
| 59 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.64 | 1.29 | 14.96 | 3.73 | 0.27 |
| 60 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.37 | 2.14 | 11.78 | 3.78 | 0.22 |
| 61 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.24 | 5.29 | 7.35 | 4.15 | -0.15 |
| 62 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.94 | 0.71 | 12.5 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| 63 | California | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.79 | 3.71 | 5.91 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 64 | Florida State | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.68 | 1.14 | 10.31 | 3.69 | 0.31 |
| 65 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.44 | 12.12 | 6.67 | 5.51 | -1.51 |
| 66 | South Carolina | SEC | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.42 | 3 | 16.53 | 3.39 | -0.39 |
| 67 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.4 | -1.43 | 16.54 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 68 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.22 | 5.38 | 12.43 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 69 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 3-3 | 0.5 | 13.21 | 2 | 17.21 | 3.3 | -0.3 |
| 70 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 4-3 | 0.57 | 13.1 | -0.29 | 11.84 | 3.45 | 0.55 |
| 71 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-3 | 0.5 | 12.85 | 6.83 | 7.37 | 4 | -1 |
| 72 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.46 | -1.14 | 9.62 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 73 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.36 | -1.43 | 9.52 | 3.31 | 0.69 |
| 74 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 12.19 | 6.43 | 15 | 4.57 | -1.57 |
| 75 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.03 | -4.71 | 12.29 | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| 76 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.97 | -3.43 | 10.46 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 77 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.96 | 9.14 | 11.06 | 4.62 | -1.62 |
| 78 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-3 | 0.57 | 11.89 | -4.29 | 11.14 | 2.85 | 1.15 |
| 79 | Nevada | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.8 | 0.5 | 10.43 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 80 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.75 | 3.71 | 14.18 | 4.08 | -1.08 |
| 81 | Toledo | Mid-American | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.6 | 5 | 10.55 | 4.06 | -1.06 |
| 82 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.44 | 6.86 | 9.24 | 4.52 | -1.52 |
| 83 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.31 | -2.38 | 16.49 | 3.59 | 0.41 |
| 84 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-4 | 0.43 | 10.81 | 1.71 | 8.42 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 85 | Akron | Mid-American | 3-3 | 0.5 | 10.29 | -2.5 | 8.02 | 2.64 | 0.36 |
| 86 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.78 | 1.38 | 12.59 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 87 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.48 | -2.71 | 14.35 | 3.09 | -0.09 |
| 88 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.41 | -11.5 | 9.4 | 2.27 | 1.73 |
| 89 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.39 | -1.71 | 12.92 | 3.21 | -0.21 |
| 90 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 9.16 | -4.14 | 14.01 | 2.89 | 0.11 |
| 91 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.89 | -3.57 | 10.51 | 3.07 | -0.07 |
| 92 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.6 | -1.25 | 14.81 | 3.75 | -0.75 |
| 93 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.59 | -6.57 | 13.45 | 2.53 | 0.47 |
| 94 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.54 | -4.29 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 95 | Wake Forest | ACC | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.54 | -6.86 | 11.45 | 2.67 | 0.33 |
| 96 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.51 | -6.71 | 10.74 | 2.69 | 0.31 |
| 97 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.22 | -9.29 | 9.66 | 2.24 | 0.76 |
| 98 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.21 | -1.25 | 9.29 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 99 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 8.19 | -1.12 | 7.25 | 3.79 | -0.79 |
| 100 | SMU | American Athletic | 3-4 | 0.43 | 8.11 | -9.29 | 12.49 | 2.36 | 0.64 |
| 101 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.79 | -12.75 | 10.3 | 2.19 | 0.81 |
| 102 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.78 | -11.38 | 8.42 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 103 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.64 | -3.57 | 8.93 | 2.97 | -0.97 |
| 104 | Tulane | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.5 | -5 | 13.45 | 2.75 | -0.75 |
| 105 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.38 | -5.14 | 10.77 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| 106 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-5 | 0.29 | 5.12 | -6.43 | 8.5 | 2.73 | -0.73 |
| 107 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.95 | -9.43 | 18.34 | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| 108 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.83 | -11.43 | 11.43 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 109 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.78 | -12.43 | 12.15 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 110 | Louisville | ACC | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.65 | -13 | 11.21 | 1.66 | 0.34 |
| 111 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.62 | -13.57 | 11.72 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 112 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.12 | -8.88 | 13.04 | 2.91 | -0.91 |
| 113 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.09 | -6.5 | 12.76 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 114 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.04 | -10 | 13.56 | 1.88 | 0.12 |
| 115 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.75 | -9.88 | 11.32 | 2.65 | -0.65 |
| 116 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.48 | -19.25 | 11.62 | 1.64 | 0.36 |
| 117 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-5 | 0.17 | 2.01 | -11.5 | 13.4 | 1.67 | -0.67 |
| 118 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.57 | -7 | 6.07 | 2.36 | -1.36 |
| 119 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.54 | -8.29 | 12.16 | 2.18 | -1.18 |
| 120 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.43 | -8.71 | 7.31 | 2.09 | -1.09 |
| 121 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.2 | -9.29 | 16.92 | 2.34 | -1.34 |
| 122 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.89 | -19.29 | 11.62 | 1.57 | -0.57 |
| 123 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.89 | -10.25 | 12.47 | 1.98 | -0.98 |
| 124 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.74 | -12 | 9.93 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 125 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-6 | 0.14 | 0.55 | -29.71 | 16.58 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 126 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.43 | -18.62 | 13.95 | 1.04 | -0.04 |
| 127 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.38 | -19.62 | 12.21 | 1.26 | -0.26 |
| 128 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.29 | -22.12 | 11.96 | 1.49 | -0.49 |
| 129 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-7 | 0 | -2.16 | -14 | 8.6 | 1.4 | -1.4 |
| 130 | San José State | Mountain West | 0-7 | 0 | -2.4 | -16.71 | 13.93 | 1.4 | -1.4 |