Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.090430+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clemson | ACC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.46 | 31.12 | 13.07 | 7.58 | 0.42 |
| 2 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 26.21 | 38.25 | 11.09 | 7.59 | 0.41 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8-0 | 1 | 25.74 | 14.88 | 12.33 | 6.37 | 1.63 |
| 4 | UCF | American Athletic | 7-0 | 1 | 24.63 | 26.29 | 4.86 | 6.25 | 0.75 |
| 5 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.59 | 21.62 | 14.5 | 7.18 | -0.18 |
| 6 | LSU | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.43 | 15.25 | 15.1 | 6.71 | 0.29 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.34 | 23.25 | 12.97 | 6.58 | 0.42 |
| 8 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 23.09 | 22.25 | 11.83 | 7.07 | -0.07 |
| 9 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.61 | 20.12 | 9.31 | 6.54 | 0.46 |
| 10 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.48 | 12.75 | 10.71 | 6.68 | 0.32 |
| 11 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.38 | 26 | 7.33 | 7.42 | -0.42 |
| 12 | Utah State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.3 | 27.12 | 6.68 | 6.95 | 0.05 |
| 13 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.08 | 15.62 | 7.73 | 6.07 | 0.93 |
| 14 | Houston | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.05 | 19.75 | 6.68 | 6.15 | 0.85 |
| 15 | UAB | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22 | 18.38 | 6.5 | 7.1 | -0.1 |
| 16 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 6-1 | 0.86 | 21.98 | 20.29 | 8.71 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 17 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.96 | 12.75 | 8 | 6.2 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.93 | 18.38 | 6.18 | 6.9 | 0.1 |
| 19 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.9 | 11.75 | 7.74 | 5.92 | 1.08 |
| 20 | South Florida | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.17 | 6 | 5.33 | 4.86 | 2.14 |
| 21 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.22 | 18.75 | 13.82 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 22 | Army | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.94 | 12.25 | 14.12 | 6.01 | -0.01 |
| 23 | Florida | SEC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.93 | 13.25 | 12.39 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 24 | North Texas | Conference USA | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.89 | 19.11 | 7.29 | 7.57 | -0.57 |
| 25 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.76 | 13.62 | 11.19 | 6.48 | -0.48 |
| 26 | Boise State | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.63 | 15.5 | 11.01 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 27 | Utah | Pac-12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.61 | 14.88 | 11.08 | 6.55 | -0.55 |
| 28 | Texas | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.49 | 6.38 | 12.97 | 5.06 | 0.94 |
| 29 | Syracuse | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.47 | 15 | 10.25 | 5.85 | 0.15 |
| 30 | Boston College | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.36 | 13.5 | 9.99 | 5.91 | 0.09 |
| 31 | Virginia | ACC | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.16 | 9.5 | 10.23 | 5.8 | 0.2 |
| 32 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.91 | 22.14 | 9.27 | 6.07 | -1.07 |
| 33 | Troy | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.67 | 10.62 | 6.71 | 5.65 | 0.35 |
| 34 | Florida International | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.65 | 14 | 5.24 | 6.09 | -0.09 |
| 35 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.65 | 6 | 9.11 | 5.11 | 0.89 |
| 36 | NC State | ACC | 5-2 | 0.71 | 18.51 | 5.29 | 13.53 | 4.28 | 0.72 |
| 37 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.04 | 1.5 | 9.21 | 4.35 | 1.65 |
| 38 | Washington | Pac-12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.82 | 11.33 | 11.89 | 7.1 | -1.1 |
| 39 | Marshall | Conference USA | 5-2 | 0.71 | 17.49 | 6.43 | 6.72 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| 40 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.91 | 13.62 | 14.06 | 6.72 | -1.72 |
| 41 | Miami | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.9 | 15.25 | 12.01 | 6.4 | -1.4 |
| 42 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.83 | 14.12 | 11.79 | 5.79 | -0.79 |
| 43 | Texas A&M | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.66 | 8.38 | 13.54 | 5.48 | -0.48 |
| 44 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.6 | 4.11 | 8.08 | 5.16 | 0.84 |
| 45 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.54 | 9.62 | 11.85 | 5.66 | -0.66 |
| 46 | Auburn | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.52 | 11.88 | 11.43 | 6.27 | -1.27 |
| 47 | Duke | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.38 | 7.88 | 11.63 | 5.32 | -0.32 |
| 48 | Maryland | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.26 | 7.12 | 12.9 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 49 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.22 | 3.25 | 15.2 | 4.62 | 0.38 |
| 50 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.19 | 10 | 10.42 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 51 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.13 | 9.12 | 9.89 | 5.59 | -0.59 |
| 52 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.04 | 8.25 | 8.74 | 5.17 | -0.17 |
| 53 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.77 | 2.38 | 14.78 | 4.51 | 0.49 |
| 54 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.69 | 8.12 | 6.15 | 5.34 | -0.34 |
| 55 | Ole Miss | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.69 | 3.75 | 11.27 | 4.49 | 0.51 |
| 56 | Ohio | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.67 | 9.38 | 6.97 | 5.29 | -0.29 |
| 57 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.24 | 1.5 | 12.93 | 4.29 | 0.71 |
| 58 | California | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.07 | 3.5 | 7.29 | 4.71 | 0.29 |
| 59 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-3 | 0.57 | 15 | 3 | 17.59 | 3.99 | 0.01 |
| 60 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.8 | 3 | 15.6 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 61 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 4-3 | 0.57 | 14.54 | 4.14 | 9.5 | 4.07 | -0.07 |
| 62 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.42 | 0.5 | 9.7 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 63 | Purdue | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.91 | 10.12 | 13.4 | 5.64 | -1.64 |
| 64 | Missouri | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.59 | 6.5 | 13.48 | 4.94 | -0.94 |
| 65 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.57 | -0.88 | 8.79 | 3.87 | 1.13 |
| 66 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.52 | 10.62 | 11.28 | 5.44 | -1.44 |
| 67 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.43 | 0.89 | 11.11 | 4.65 | 0.35 |
| 68 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.43 | 6 | 14.09 | 5.08 | -1.08 |
| 69 | Toledo | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.37 | 7.75 | 12.13 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 70 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.25 | -4 | 13.18 | 3.03 | 1.97 |
| 71 | Memphis | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.19 | 12.12 | 6.37 | 5.51 | -1.51 |
| 72 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 6-4 | 0.6 | 13.05 | -1.2 | 7.11 | 4.79 | 1.21 |
| 73 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.44 | -1.14 | 9.21 | 3.36 | 0.64 |
| 74 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.19 | 0.5 | 12.57 | 4.11 | -0.11 |
| 75 | Akron | Mid-American | 4-3 | 0.57 | 12.12 | -1.14 | 7.1 | 3.29 | 0.71 |
| 76 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.64 | 3.11 | 13.1 | 5.11 | -1.11 |
| 77 | USC | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.35 | -1.62 | 15.64 | 3.72 | 0.28 |
| 78 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 3-4 | 0.43 | 11.24 | 5.43 | 7.31 | 4.46 | -1.46 |
| 79 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11 | -1.5 | 13.55 | 3.75 | 0.25 |
| 80 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.94 | 2.11 | 10.65 | 4.89 | -0.89 |
| 81 | Baylor | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.69 | -3.62 | 12.19 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 82 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.63 | 0.44 | 13.9 | 4.59 | -0.59 |
| 83 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.43 | -2.62 | 10.41 | 3.65 | 0.35 |
| 84 | Florida State | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.42 | -5.12 | 12.08 | 3.07 | 0.93 |
| 85 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.4 | -3.5 | 9.95 | 3.47 | 0.53 |
| 86 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.35 | -4.62 | 14 | 3.28 | 0.72 |
| 87 | Wake Forest | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.29 | -3.38 | 10.71 | 3.55 | 0.45 |
| 88 | Air Force | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.24 | 4.75 | 10.29 | 4.77 | -1.77 |
| 89 | TCU | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 10.22 | 3.12 | 13.09 | 4.55 | -1.55 |
| 90 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.11 | -3.38 | 8.44 | 3.35 | 0.65 |
| 91 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.62 | 1.38 | 12.26 | 4.25 | -1.25 |
| 92 | Indiana | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.51 | -2.89 | 14.94 | 3.96 | 0.04 |
| 93 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.44 | -11.5 | 9.26 | 2.27 | 1.73 |
| 94 | Tennessee | SEC | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.78 | -4 | 13.88 | 3.32 | -0.32 |
| 95 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.69 | -3.75 | 10.07 | 3.48 | -0.48 |
| 96 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.5 | -6.12 | 13.63 | 2.87 | 0.13 |
| 97 | Tulane | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.49 | -3.5 | 11.06 | 3.38 | -0.38 |
| 98 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.48 | -3 | 9.13 | 3.49 | -0.49 |
| 99 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.32 | -6.88 | 12.57 | 3 | 0 |
| 100 | SMU | American Athletic | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.13 | -8.88 | 12.8 | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 101 | Illinois | Big Ten | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.82 | -11.88 | 10.52 | 2.31 | 0.69 |
| 102 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.65 | -11.38 | 8.31 | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| 103 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.15 | -5.22 | 7.79 | 3.46 | -0.46 |
| 104 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.92 | -7.44 | 12.89 | 2.72 | 0.28 |
| 105 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.89 | -7.33 | 11.93 | 3.42 | -0.42 |
| 106 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.54 | -12.78 | 9.14 | 2.43 | 0.57 |
| 107 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 2-5 | 0.29 | 4.73 | -11.43 | 11.77 | 1.86 | 0.14 |
| 108 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.46 | -3.62 | 13.31 | 3.46 | -1.46 |
| 109 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.23 | -7.25 | 12.87 | 2.94 | -0.94 |
| 110 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4.03 | -7.25 | 6.88 | 3.04 | -1.04 |
| 111 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4 | -5.25 | 5.61 | 3.01 | -1.01 |
| 112 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 4 | -12.12 | 18.19 | 1.99 | 0.01 |
| 113 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.86 | -11.25 | 11.92 | 2.36 | -0.36 |
| 114 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.69 | -14.5 | 12.32 | 2 | 0 |
| 115 | Louisville | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.68 | -14 | 11.15 | 1.91 | 0.09 |
| 116 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.45 | -7.33 | 11.58 | 3.23 | -1.23 |
| 117 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.41 | -16 | 12.38 | 2.11 | -0.11 |
| 118 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.05 | -12.56 | 11.16 | 2.61 | -0.61 |
| 119 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.75 | -17.89 | 9.82 | 1.93 | 0.07 |
| 120 | North Carolina | ACC | 1-6 | 0.14 | 1.3 | -11.29 | 14.37 | 1.96 | -0.96 |
| 121 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 1.04 | -8.12 | 11.96 | 2.49 | -1.49 |
| 122 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.85 | -10.25 | 8.69 | 2.17 | -1.17 |
| 123 | Kent State | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.71 | -12 | 9.52 | 2.16 | -1.16 |
| 124 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.64 | -9.89 | 11.53 | 2.21 | -1.21 |
| 125 | San José State | Mountain West | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.49 | -13 | 12.25 | 2.14 | -1.14 |
| 126 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.39 | -18.62 | 12.51 | 1.04 | -0.04 |
| 127 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.25 | -22.12 | 11.25 | 1.49 | -0.49 |
| 128 | UConn | American Athletic | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.14 | -26.62 | 14.44 | 1.01 | -0.01 |
| 129 | Rice | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.11 | -20.11 | 12.77 | 1.37 | -0.37 |
| 130 | UTEP | Conference USA | 0-8 | 0 | -2.18 | -14.62 | 9.23 | 1.36 | -1.36 |