Last updated: 2026-10-19T14:20:37.361171+00:00
| rank | school | conference | record | win_pct | cors | mov | sos | expected_wins | wins_vs_expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 26.68 | 40.38 | 13.89 | 7.89 | 0.11 |
| 2 | LSU | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.78 | 26.75 | 11.12 | 7.06 | 0.94 |
| 3 | Penn State | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 25.7 | 28.88 | 10.43 | 7.71 | 0.29 |
| 4 | Alabama | SEC | 8-0 | 1 | 25.47 | 33.38 | 8.8 | 7.52 | 0.48 |
| 5 | Clemson | ACC | 9-0 | 1 | 25.43 | 32.56 | 8.63 | 8.63 | 0.37 |
| 6 | Baylor | Big 12 | 8-0 | 1 | 24.85 | 17.62 | 8.1 | 6.64 | 1.36 |
| 7 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 8-0 | 1 | 24.6 | 18.38 | 6.76 | 6.59 | 1.41 |
| 8 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.98 | 22.44 | 10.52 | 8.02 | -0.02 |
| 9 | SMU | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.79 | 12.89 | 11.05 | 6.27 | 1.73 |
| 10 | Utah | Pac-12 | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.79 | 20.89 | 9.83 | 8.22 | -0.22 |
| 11 | Memphis | American Athletic | 8-1 | 0.89 | 22.58 | 15.33 | 9.99 | 6.76 | 1.24 |
| 12 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.55 | 23.12 | 9.46 | 7.46 | -0.46 |
| 13 | Navy | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.49 | 22 | 9.24 | 6.94 | 0.06 |
| 14 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.49 | 26.25 | 8.35 | 6.87 | 0.13 |
| 15 | Cincinnati | American Athletic | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.25 | 7.5 | 12.36 | 5.28 | 1.72 |
| 16 | App State | Sun Belt | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.22 | 18.88 | 7.54 | 6.65 | 0.35 |
| 17 | Boise State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 22.16 | 14 | 9.36 | 6.02 | 0.98 |
| 18 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.99 | 13.38 | 8.61 | 5.89 | 1.11 |
| 19 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.25 | 12.75 | 4.44 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 20 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7-1 | 0.88 | 21.22 | 7.62 | 6.36 | 5.88 | 1.12 |
| 21 | Auburn | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.81 | 15.22 | 14.6 | 7.34 | -0.34 |
| 22 | Michigan | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.7 | 14.67 | 14.28 | 7.31 | -0.31 |
| 23 | UCF | American Athletic | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.32 | 23.89 | 9.58 | 7.63 | -0.63 |
| 24 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 20.21 | 24.25 | 12.84 | 7.5 | -1.5 |
| 25 | Air Force | Mountain West | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.19 | 13.56 | 11.42 | 6.89 | 0.11 |
| 26 | Florida | SEC | 7-2 | 0.78 | 20.15 | 14.11 | 10.12 | 7.3 | -0.3 |
| 27 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.88 | 13 | 14.14 | 6.08 | -0.08 |
| 28 | Indiana | Big Ten | 7-2 | 0.78 | 19.64 | 14 | 7.86 | 7.01 | -0.01 |
| 29 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.51 | 14.25 | 11.08 | 7.11 | -1.11 |
| 30 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.43 | 18.75 | 9.53 | 6.73 | -0.73 |
| 31 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6-2 | 0.75 | 19.38 | 13 | 10.96 | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 32 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 6-2 | 0.75 | 18.66 | 11.25 | 6.68 | 6.11 | -0.11 |
| 33 | UAB | Conference USA | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.98 | 9.5 | 2.17 | 5.89 | 0.11 |
| 34 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 6-2 | 0.75 | 17.61 | 1.75 | 7.45 | 4.23 | 1.77 |
| 35 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.43 | 12.56 | 10.52 | 6.71 | -0.71 |
| 36 | Tulane | American Athletic | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.34 | 11 | 10.44 | 6.31 | -0.31 |
| 37 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.25 | 7.78 | 11.72 | 5.72 | 0.28 |
| 38 | Virginia | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.13 | 8.89 | 10.13 | 6.22 | -0.22 |
| 39 | Florida Atlantic | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 17.01 | 7.11 | 10.53 | 5.76 | 0.24 |
| 40 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.5 | 13 | 11.48 | 5.95 | -0.95 |
| 41 | Texas | Big 12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.48 | 7.62 | 14.37 | 5.01 | -0.01 |
| 42 | Marshall | Conference USA | 6-3 | 0.67 | 16.09 | 2.22 | 9.16 | 4.97 | 1.03 |
| 43 | Missouri | SEC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 16.04 | 13.62 | 7.72 | 6.32 | -1.32 |
| 44 | Liberty | FBS Independents | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.97 | 7.67 | 2.59 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
| 45 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-3 | 0.67 | 15.9 | 0.78 | 11.4 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 46 | Louisville | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.17 | 0.88 | 14 | 4.13 | 0.87 |
| 47 | Washington | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 15.17 | 12.11 | 11.87 | 6.6 | -1.6 |
| 48 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5-3 | 0.62 | 15.02 | 2.25 | 8.9 | 4.48 | 0.52 |
| 49 | Miami | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.68 | 8.44 | 11.23 | 6.39 | -1.39 |
| 50 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.58 | 10.22 | 8.57 | 6.19 | -1.19 |
| 51 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 6-4 | 0.6 | 14.32 | 2.9 | 6.73 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| 52 | USC | Pac-12 | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.31 | 2.11 | 14.32 | 4.88 | 0.12 |
| 53 | Temple | American Athletic | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.28 | -0.12 | 11.48 | 3.98 | 1.02 |
| 54 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.25 | 5.22 | 10.54 | 5.5 | -0.5 |
| 55 | Southern Miss | Conference USA | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.2 | 0.38 | 7.85 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 56 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 5-4 | 0.56 | 14.2 | 5.78 | 9.6 | 5.7 | -0.7 |
| 57 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.19 | 0.5 | 6.31 | 4.08 | 0.92 |
| 58 | Toledo | Mid-American | 5-3 | 0.62 | 14.14 | 0.38 | 7.38 | 4.06 | 0.94 |
| 59 | Boston College | ACC | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.86 | 2.67 | 11.26 | 4.93 | 0.07 |
| 60 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.71 | 1.89 | 9.58 | 4.96 | 0.04 |
| 61 | Florida International | Conference USA | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.44 | 2.78 | 6.62 | 5.05 | -0.05 |
| 62 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.42 | 7.25 | 11.92 | 5.13 | -1.13 |
| 63 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 5-3 | 0.62 | 13.39 | -2.12 | 11.69 | 3.61 | 1.39 |
| 64 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 13.39 | 12 | 9.01 | 5.53 | -1.53 |
| 65 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 13.38 | 0.78 | 10.17 | 4.61 | 0.39 |
| 66 | Ball State | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.83 | 4.38 | 10.43 | 4.67 | -0.67 |
| 67 | Duke | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.77 | 3.62 | 10.91 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 68 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.7 | 5 | 9.09 | 4.77 | -0.77 |
| 69 | Utah State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.32 | 0.75 | 12.97 | 4.13 | -0.13 |
| 70 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 4-4 | 0.5 | 12.27 | 2.38 | 9.3 | 4.34 | -0.34 |
| 71 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 5-4 | 0.56 | 12.04 | -1.78 | 11.21 | 4.23 | 0.77 |
| 72 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.98 | 1.25 | 10.34 | 4.18 | -0.18 |
| 73 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.92 | -0.12 | 16.01 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 74 | Ohio | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.92 | 0.88 | 9.8 | 4.14 | -0.14 |
| 75 | Kentucky | SEC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.75 | 0 | 13.25 | 4 | 0 |
| 76 | NC State | ACC | 4-4 | 0.5 | 11.18 | -0.5 | 8.87 | 3.91 | 0.09 |
| 77 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.14 | 0.78 | 16.1 | 4.65 | -0.65 |
| 78 | South Carolina | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 11.14 | 2.22 | 12.59 | 4.95 | -0.95 |
| 79 | BYU | FBS Independents | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.87 | -2.25 | 15.62 | 3.6 | 0.4 |
| 80 | North Texas | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.78 | 2.56 | 8.02 | 4.9 | -0.9 |
| 81 | Tennessee | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 10.6 | 0.56 | 13.75 | 4.62 | -0.62 |
| 82 | South Florida | American Athletic | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.53 | -2.25 | 10.21 | 3.61 | 0.39 |
| 83 | Nevada | Mountain West | 5-4 | 0.56 | 10.46 | -15.22 | 9.09 | 1.81 | 3.19 |
| 84 | California | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.43 | -3.38 | 11.7 | 3.17 | 0.83 |
| 85 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 4-4 | 0.5 | 10.21 | -5.38 | 13.02 | 3.01 | 0.99 |
| 86 | Florida State | ACC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.9 | -1.56 | 16.01 | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 87 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 4-4 | 0.5 | 9.7 | -10.5 | 12.59 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 88 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.63 | -1.56 | 15.36 | 4.22 | -0.22 |
| 89 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.56 | -0.33 | 7.8 | 4.44 | -0.44 |
| 90 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.49 | 1.38 | 11.2 | 4.22 | -1.22 |
| 91 | Troy | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 9.46 | 2.12 | 7.23 | 4.3 | -1.3 |
| 92 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.29 | -2.67 | 14.7 | 4.04 | -0.04 |
| 93 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.23 | -2 | 9.31 | 4.16 | -0.16 |
| 94 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 4-5 | 0.44 | 9.22 | -2.78 | 11.68 | 3.97 | 0.03 |
| 95 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.75 | -4.44 | 9.1 | 3.83 | 0.17 |
| 96 | Charlotte | Conference USA | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.64 | -5 | 11.13 | 3.74 | 0.26 |
| 97 | Army | FBS Independents | 3-6 | 0.33 | 8.57 | 2.11 | 10.63 | 4.98 | -1.98 |
| 98 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5 | 0.44 | 8.52 | -7 | 10.21 | 3.27 | 0.73 |
| 99 | Maryland | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7.53 | -0.44 | 12.24 | 4.42 | -1.42 |
| 100 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 3-5 | 0.38 | 7.07 | -9.75 | 13.64 | 2.34 | 0.66 |
| 101 | Houston | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 7 | -1.89 | 13.54 | 4.18 | -1.18 |
| 102 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.97 | -7 | 8.59 | 2.82 | 0.18 |
| 103 | Ole Miss | SEC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.97 | -1.67 | 12.29 | 4.15 | -1.15 |
| 104 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.87 | -9.88 | 10.25 | 2.65 | 0.35 |
| 105 | UTSA | Conference USA | 3-5 | 0.38 | 6.51 | -14.62 | 8.64 | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| 106 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.44 | -3.89 | 14.74 | 3.72 | -0.72 |
| 107 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.17 | -4.67 | 7.98 | 3.54 | -0.54 |
| 108 | Syracuse | ACC | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.13 | -6.56 | 11.97 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| 109 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6.1 | -6.22 | 11.21 | 3.34 | -0.34 |
| 110 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 3-6 | 0.33 | 6 | -6.33 | 9.33 | 3.28 | -0.28 |
| 111 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -8.78 | 13.8 | 2.99 | 0.01 |
| 112 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.99 | -7.56 | 11.5 | 3.17 | -0.17 |
| 113 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 3-6 | 0.33 | 5.22 | -16.22 | 10.54 | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| 114 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.78 | -12 | 11.83 | 1.77 | 0.23 |
| 115 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.72 | -13.88 | 13.16 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 116 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 2-6 | 0.25 | 3.61 | -15.38 | 12.33 | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| 117 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.51 | -8.56 | 18.5 | 2.96 | -0.96 |
| 118 | UNLV | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.1 | -10.89 | 9.59 | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 119 | Arkansas | SEC | 2-7 | 0.22 | 3.03 | -12.56 | 10.97 | 2.34 | -0.34 |
| 120 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.99 | -12.33 | 9.17 | 2.42 | -0.42 |
| 121 | UConn | American Athletic | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.69 | -19.44 | 11.09 | 1.52 | 0.48 |
| 122 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-7 | 0.22 | 2.67 | -22 | 14.69 | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| 123 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.55 | -15.88 | 15.4 | 0.74 | 0.26 |
| 124 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.52 | -15.75 | 12.4 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
| 125 | UTEP | Conference USA | 1-7 | 0.12 | 0.46 | -17.38 | 9.15 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| 126 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | 1-8 | 0.11 | 0.39 | -13.89 | 12.03 | 1.55 | -0.55 |
| 127 | Massachusetts | FBS Independents | 1-8 | 0.11 | -0.19 | -29.78 | 6.75 | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| 128 | Rice | Conference USA | 0-9 | 0 | -2.23 | -13.22 | 16.87 | 1.63 | -1.63 |
| 129 | Akron | Mid-American | 0-9 | 0 | -2.6 | -25.44 | 9.67 | 0.44 | -0.44 |
| 130 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | 0-8 | 0 | -2.66 | -24.38 | 14.21 | 0.93 | -0.93 |